Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement for most of Monday. It cannot be said that the dollar fell too sharply, but the decline has now lasted for two consecutive days. Nor can it be said that the threat of a U.S. government shutdown or Donald Trump's new import tariffs triggered a collapse of the dollar, although in the first half of 2025, such factors would almost certainly have done so. Thus, under current conditions, the U.S. dollar remains relatively stable. On the hourly timeframe, we have drawn a descending trendline, but it is rather tentative. On Monday, there were no important macroeconomic releases in either th…
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A shutdown of the US federal government is becoming practically unavoidable as Congress is unable to reach a budget agreement. In the coming hours, a halt in federal operations may destabilize the economy, delay the release of key macroeconomic data, and increase volatility in financial markets. We analyze the causes of the standoff, potential crisis scenarios, and possible consequences for the dollar, markets, and the US economy as a whole. Latest news: talks deadlocked and political tensions rise In the final day before a potential shutdown, the situation in Washington has taken on all the signs of a major crisis. Negotiations between President Donald Trump and congre…
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On Monday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after rebounding from the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. Thus, the rise of the European currency may continue today toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A close of the pair below the 1.1695 level would favor the U.S. currency and a return to the 1.1637–1.1645 level. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave did not break the previous low. Therefore, the trend remains bearish for now. Recent labor market data and shifting prospects for Federal Reserve monetary policy support bullish traders, w…
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Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a slight surge earlier today, climbing from $113,000 to around $117,000 at the time of writing, in contrast to expectations of several crypto analysts who were predicting a decline in risk-on assets due to the US government shutdown. Bitcoin Rises Despite US Government Shutdown The US federal government shut down at midnight on September 30, as President Donald Trump and Congress failed to reach a deal on funding. Specifically, the two camps were at odds over enhanced Obamacare subsidies, with neither party willing to take the blame. However, Bitcoin made a surprise move to the upside despite the uncertain environment created by the US governme…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are considered significant. There are no reports planned in the UK or Germany. In the eurozone, only the unemployment rate will be published, and in the U.S., weekly jobless claims are scheduled. All of these reports are considered secondary and are likely to trigger only a mild market reaction. As a result, both currency pairs, which have recently shown lackluster movements, may experience low volatility and range-bound behavior today. Fundamental Events Analysis: Very few fundamental events are expected on Thursday — just a few speeches from European Cent…
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The world’s largest holder of physical uranium keeps expanding its war chest. The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX: U.U for USD; U.UN for CAD) now holds about 72.4 million lb. of uranium, according to its website. That’s after buying 400,000 lb. of uranium oxide (U3O8) Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets analysts Helen Amos and George Heppel said Thursday in a note. “In our view, the increasing activity of financial players and the focus of utilities and governments on uranium supply security will continue supporting the improving uranium demand fundamentals,” the BMO analysts wrote. Sprott bought more than 2.3 million lb. of U3O8 in the third quarter, BMO report…
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Standard Chartered’s custody role on a new tokenized money-market fund puts Polygon in the spotlight as “Uptober” begins and POL price is ticking higher. AlloyX and Polygon Labs, with custody provided by Standard Chartered Bank, have launched RYT, a tokenized money-market fund on the Polygon network with ties to Hong Kong. The aim is to deliver regulated, on-chain yield while linking decentralized finance with traditional banking frameworks. AlloyX said RYT combines on-chain transparency with a regulated structure and T+1 settlement. Standard Chartered will handle custody, while Polygon Labs supports the rollout. The fund will debut exclusively on Polygon before exp…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has started October with renewed strength, riding a wave of bullish technical patterns and increasing global adoption that continue to boost optimism among traders and long-term holders alike. As momentum grows, analysts are closely monitoring key resistance levels around $0.33 and higher as DOGE shows signs of consolidating for its next big move. The technical outlook is supported by on-chain signals and open interest inflows, indicating that market participants are gearing up for further upside. Golden Cross Formation and Technical Strength On multiple timeframes, Dogecoin is completing a Golden Cross pattern, a bullish signal that occurs when a sh…
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On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued to trade very calmly. Still, it is worth recalling that the U.S. dollar has recently accumulated several fresh factors of weakness. Whether the U.S. NonFarm Payrolls and unemployment reports will be released today remains unclear, with contradictory news circulating. However, even without these releases, the situation looks obvious. We have often noted that ADP and NonFarm Payrolls figures for the same month rarely align closely. The market, therefore, tends to focus more on Nonfarm Payrolls for assessing the labor market. What the two reports do share, however, is the trend: both show different numbers but a consistent deterioratio…
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Dogecoin’s daily chart is coiling into a technically clean inflection, according to trader IncomeSharks, who posted a rising channel and an on-balance volume (OBV) wedge that together map a straightforward route to higher levels. “DOGE – Not a bad setup. Obvious channel and clear OBV wedge. Ideally OBV will break out before price,” the analyst wrote, sharing the chart that frames the current advance. Dogecoin Breakout Watch: $0.33 Trigger On Deck Price has been respecting a well-defined ascending channel that has governed trade since early summer. Multiple touches on both boundaries validate the structure: higher lows along the lower trendline from July through early Oct…
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AI rules the day! No matter how grim Donald Trump's threats of mass layoffs, warnings from Scott Bessent about a U.S. economic slowdown, or even the ADP private sector jobs report may seem, the S&P 500 still managed to notch its 30th record high of the year. Leading the northbound herd are the tech giants. Deals between OpenAI and Samsung Electronics, as well as SK Hynix, sparked a swift rebound in the broad equity index after a dip early in the session. Performance of Tech and Other Sectors in the S&P 500 A 45% rally in tech stocks since the April low doesn't look like a bubble — at least according to Bank of America. The bank recommends that its client…
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The Bitcoin price has clawed back more than 10% from its September lows and is once again eyeing the $124,514 ATH. Traders are split debating if this is the start of another leg higher, or just another setup for a bull trap? Bitcoin Price: Why Are Wall Street Analysts Turning Bullish on Bitcoin? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Citigroup has laid out three scenarios for .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $120,327.33 …
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 at all-time highs amid AI optimismThe US stock indices S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to rise, setting new all-time highs. This is linked to optimism around artificial intelligence, stimulating investor interest and underpinning technology sector stocks. An additional growth driver has been strong quarterly earnings from leading IT companies, further strengthening confidence in the sector's outlook. Experts note that inflows of foreign investment into the US market are also playing a key role. Follow the link for more details. S&P 500 sets 30th record thanks to technology companiesDespite threats and criticism, the S&P 500 set…
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JPMorgan has just dropped a bold target for $BTC: $165K. The firm cited gold’s record-setting run and the growing ‘debasement trade’ as tailwinds. At the same time, Uptober is living up to its name, with Bitcoin blasting through $120K despite the U.S. government shutdown, proving just how resilient this market has become. Historically, when Bitcoin asserts dominance like this, it doesn’t take long for capital to rotate into the best altcoins, as that’s often where the larger gains emerge. With momentum building, hot alternatives like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), Best Wallet Token ($BEST), and Aster ($ASTER) are catching attention as potential breakout plays during Q4. JPMo…
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Today, the NZD/USD pair is attracting new buyers. The U.S. dollar attempted to extend its rebound from the weekly low reached the day before, which became the main factor limiting the pair's upside. However, the rebound attempt was unsuccessful. In addition, growing expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are restraining traders from actively buying the New Zealand dollar. In this context, it is worth exercising caution before relying on a continued recovery of the pair, which began from the 0.5750 level — the September low, also seen back in April.That said, significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar now seems unlikely due to fore…
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According to on-chain metrics, BNB climbed to a record high of $1,111 and traded around $1,110 after an 8% jump in the past 24 hours. Data shows nearly $400 million in positions were liquidated across the BNB market in the last day, with close to $270 million of that coming from short positions and $127 million from long positions. Liquidations And Short Squeeze The heavy liquidation figure points to a sharp and fast move that forced leveraged traders out of the market. Short sellers bore the brunt, which helps explain the sudden surge. Rapid liquidations can push a price higher quickly, and that kind of move often brings extra volatility right after the spike. The t…
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The US federal government was forced to close by the inability of Congress to pass a single appropriations bill for the new fiscal year that began October 1. Despite the disruption for government workers and their families, and in projects, which the White House has targeted opposition-led states, the capital markets barely took notice, except for the missing high-frequency data, including the September employment report. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq set new record highs ahead of the weekend. So did Europe's Stoxx 600, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index and the MSCI Emerging Market Equity Index. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell nearly three basis points last week, the most among…
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XRP price extended gains above $3.00 and $3.050 before correcting gains. The price is now consolidating gains and facing hurdles near the $3.050 level. XRP price is slowly moving higher above the $2.920 support zone. The price is now trading below $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at $3.050 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $3.050. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a recovery wave after it found support above $2.80 and $2.820, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.920 and $2.9…
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The Cardano price is showing signs of strength, with one analyst suggesting it may be preparing for a rally to reach $7.82 during this bull run. Crypto analyst Javon Marks believes Cardano is now following the same bullish path that it did in the last market cycle. He explains that after breaking out before, Cardano met its price targets and showed strong technical performance. According to Marks, the same phenomenon is repeating itself in this cycle, suggesting that ADA could be on track to reach new highs. Many traders are closely watching as the token exhibits growing signs of upward momentum during this bull run. Analyst Javon Marks Sees Cardano Price Repeating Its…
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Starting 8 October 2025, the UK is ready to lift its bank on crypto exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for retail investors. BTC products will return to the UK after two years! Companies like Bitwise, registered in the UK, took to X on 3 October 2025 to celebrate the opportunity “to serve more investors in our home market in Europe at long last.” UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) made the announcement as David Geale, executive director of payments and digital finance at the FCA, said, “Since we restricted retail access to cETNs, the market has evolved, and products have become more mainstream and better understood. In light of this, we’re providing consumers with more ch…
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Crypto analyst Chart Nerd has declared that XRP is set to mirror its 2017 cycle, when the price recorded a parabolic rally. He further revealed how high the altcoin could reach, with a double-digit price on the cards. XRP Could Mirror 2017 Cycle And Eyes Rally To $27 Chart Nerd stated that XRP is gearing up for a 2017-style run and is unlikely to decline as low as $0.50. Instead, the analyst believes that the altcoin will hold the line above $2, which is the January 2018 candle close highs, and then record a parabolic rally to its Fibonacci extension targets at $8, $13, $15, and $27. Chart Nerd was responding to an analysis from Captain Toblerone, who had earlier sta…
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An analyst has pointed out how Ethereum has seen a sell signal on the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential alongside the retest of a key resistance line. Ethereum Is Trading Around Upper Boundary Of Descending Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Ethereum is looking from a technical analysis (TA) perspective. First, Martinez has pointed out that ETH has been trading inside a Descending Channel for the last couple of months. The Descending Channel refers to a consolidation pattern that forms whenever an asset’s price travels between two parallel lines that are sloped downward. It’s a type of Parallel Channel. Below is the chart shared by the anal…
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US stock indices ended the session mixed amid rising gold and cryptocurrency pricesThe S&P 500 rose 0.36%, the Nasdaq 100 added 0.41%, while the Dow Jones declined by 0.14%. Demand for gold reached a new record amid ongoing political crises, and Bitcoin also showed significant growth. Analysts note that the rise in safe-haven assets points to continued investor caution, particularly given the high valuations of equities. Read more at the link. Stock market remains resilient despite risksThe stock market continues to show strength despite headwinds such as overvalued assets and trade tariffs. The S&P 500 has hit 32 record highs this year, driven by developments …
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Despite consolidating around the $0.24 area for months now, a new technical analysis suggests that the Dogecoin price could be gearing up for another explosive move this cycle. A crypto analyst has identified a recurring rounded bottom pattern in DOGE’s historic price chart, suggesting a familiar setup that often precedes massive rallies. The analyst argues that a combination of technical structure and macroeconomic conditions could once again send Dogecoin flying. Macro Correlations Suggest Dogecoin Price Rally Ahead In an extensive analysis shared on X social media, crypto market analyst Osemka highlighted a recurring pattern of rounded bottom formations in Dogecoin’s…
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the European CurrencyA price test at 1.1615 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.1574. Yesterday's comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials regarding the inadvisability of further monetary easing triggered a strengthening of the U.S. currency and a weakening of the European one. Today, the absence of economic data from the eurozone suggests the possibility of a short-term correction in the euro, but it is unlikely that buyers will be able to recover all of yesterday's los…
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