Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Why is Crypto Down Today? The crypto market just faced its sharpest liquidation wave of October, catching overleveraged bulls off guard. Peace in the Middle East, anon. All safe haven assets are going to crash 80 percent, and leveraged speculative investments are going to 100x. Or are they? So far more than $630 million in positions were wiped out on October 9, according to data from Coinglass, with over 81% of those being long bets. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,607.12 0.23% …
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Gold is trading around 3,985, rebounding after a strong technical correction of more than $100 in less than 24 hours from 4,050 to 3,947. After the initial strong technical correction that occurred yesterday during the American session, gold is rebounding and is now consolidating below the psychological level of $4,000. During the European session, gold attempted to consolidate above $4,000 but failed. We are now seeing a technical correction, so the bearish cycle is likely to resume. We could expect the instrument to reach +1/8 Murray around $3,906 in the coming days. The Eagle indicator is showing a positive signal for the coming hours. Therefore, if the price consolida…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 10th After an almost flawless run since June, equity markets finally met their match. Wall Street closed deep in the red as profit-taking and risk aversion swept the board. The Nasdaq plunged 3.5%, marking its sharpest daily decline in months, while the S&P 500 and Dow followed suit. The selloff didn’t spare cryptocurrencies, with Ethereum down roughly 8% since the session opened amid broad liquidation flows. The causes? After President Trump’s comments hinting at new tariffs, a mix of renewed US-China tensions reignited trade war fears. With the U.S. government shutdown extending, metals rallying…
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Kalshi just closed a major funding round worth $300 million, lifting the platform’s valuation to around $5 billion. That’s a serious leap and shows that investors are betting big on where prediction markets might go next. Some heavyweight names are behind the raise, including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and Coinbase Ventures. The numbers behind the platform’s growth are just as eye-catching. Weekly trading volume recently passed the $1 billion mark, which is more than triple what it was just a year ago. Kalshi has also expanded globally, now serving users in over 140 countries. Its presence in the prediction market space has gone from a small sliver to dominati…
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CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has dropped to a value of 20, hinting that a potential bearish transition could have occurred for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Now In “Extra Bearish” Territory In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has shared how the analytics firm’s “Bull Score Index” has changed for Bitcoin after its recent price drawdown. The Bull Score Index is an indicator that tells us about the market phase the cryptocurrency is currently going through. It determines this by referring to a bunch of key on-chain metrics. Below is a chart that shows the trend in the indicator over the past year. As is visible in the graph, Bit…
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Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 70 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting; the rest for a 50 bps cut) ECB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 42 bps (89% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 30 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 38 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 7 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) Rate hikes by year-end BoJ: 12 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)The biggest changes in interest rates expectations happened o…
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for it is declining across the market in the medium term, so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At present, wave 4 is presumably complete. If this is correct, the instrument will continue rising within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies, and not only in trade. From time to time, positive news emerges f…
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Dogecoin flashes a bullish signal after crashing through the Kumo. However, with the $0.23 resistance in the spotlight, the question remains: Can DOGE clear this hurdle and rekindle its rally momentum? Cloud Turns Support: Kumo Now Shields Bitcoin Price Action In a recent analysis shared on X, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade provided an updated technical outlook on DOGE’s price action using the Ichimoku indicator. The analysis points to a significant development: a Kumo breakout, which has triggered a long trade signal for the cryptocurrency. The analyst explained that this breakout is a crucial turning point, as the Kumo, or “Cloud,” which previously acted as resista…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $212 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $210 and might aim for more gains above the $218 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $202 and $210 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $210 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $212 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $218 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Additional Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $200 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the …
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On Tuesday, gold reached another record, driven by increased bets on a wave of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The price of gold rose by 0.6%, reaching a new historic high of over $3,659 per ounce, surpassing the previous high set on Monday. Over the last two sessions, prices rose by 2.5% after unexpectedly weak US employment data on Friday prompted traders to price in at least two rate cuts this year, including a quarter-point cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next week. Investors are betting that lower interest rates will make gold a more attractive asset since it does not yield interest. Recall that gold has traditionally been considered a safe-haven as…
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Kazakhstan has officially entered the global crypto race with plans to establish a National Digital Asset Fund, accumulating Bitcoin and other strategic digital assets to strengthen its economy and hedge against fiat instability. The initiative includes building CryptoCity, a plot zone for digital payments using crypto, stablecoins, and the digital tenge. It also expands Kazakhstan’s role as a Bitcoin mining powerhouse with growing state revenues. This move signals a larger trend of emerging markets embracing crypto reserves, aiming to diversify away from volatile commodity exports and attract foreign investment while competing with developed nations for financial innov…
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There is movement in Solana crypto, and it is the refreshing type of price action because yesterday, on September 8, SOL USD pushed higher versus the greenback, closing solidly above $210. As it is, the Solana price is within a bullish formation, and there are hints of buyers stepping in, shaking off the weakness of the second half of August. Zooming in and checking Coingecko, it appears that SOL crypto buyers are positioning for possible major moves. So far, SOL/USDT is up +69% year-to-date. At the same time, Solana buyers are building momentum, looking at the performance in the last month, where SOL crypto is up nearly +23%. Because of the consolidation of the previous…
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The cryptocurrency market is closely watching Dogecoin this week as Nate Geraci, chairman and president of The ETF Store, says the first Dogecoin ETF could launch very soon, possibly within days. Meanwhile, market analyst Javon Marks predicts that the memecoin could be on the edge of a massive rally, which may bring huge gains of more than 860 percent for holders. First Dogecoin ETF Could Arrive This Week Nate Geraci shared his view on X that the first Dogecoin ETF appears likely to launch this week. He pointed to the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF, which will trade under the ticker symbol $DOJE. Geraci told followers to “get ready,” and he added that he thinks the next two months…
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Perpetua Resources (TSX, NASDAQ: PPTA) says it received initial terms for a $2 billion US government loan that would almost completely fund restarting the fast-tracked Stibnite project in Idaho, which shut in the 1990s as the last domestic source of antimony used in weapons. The Export-Import Bank of the United States, which is conducting due diligence on Perpetua’s application, sent the company a preliminary project letter with its initial findings and a non-binding term sheet, according to a statement issued late Monday. Perpetua is continuing to work with the lender to advance the project through the next stages of the loan application process. If the due dilig…
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How can I pass gold to heirs without triggering major taxes? As the value of gold continues to rise, many individuals are considering how to pass their gold assets to heirs without incurring significant tax liabilities. Understanding the intricacies of estate and gift taxes is crucial for effective wealth transfer. This article explores proven strategies to minimize tax implications while helping ensure your heirs receive as much of the inheritance as possible. Understanding Estate and Gift Taxes Before delving into strategies for passing gold to heirs, it is essential to grasp the fundamentals of estate and gift taxes. These taxes can significantly impact the value tran…
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German officials thought they had wrapped up one of the biggest crypto cases in the country’s history when they seized and sold nearly 50,000 Bitcoin tied to the piracy platform Movie2K. But a new investigation is raising eyebrows. It turns out there might be another massive stash that was completely overlooked. There Might Be More Where That Came From In early 2024, German police took control of Bitcoin surrendered by Movie2K’s operators. Those coins were auctioned off for nearly $3 billion. At the time, it seemed like a done deal. Now, with Bitcoin’s price way up, those coins would be worth far more. And according to blockchain firm Arkham, that original stash might no…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Econom…
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XRP Exchange reserves have surged by 1.2 billion in just a day, presenting a bearish outlook for the XRP price. This development comes as the token looks to hold above the psychological $3 level. XRP Exchange Reserves Increase By 1.2 Billion In Just A Day A CryptoQuant analysis by CryptoOnchain revealed that XRP Exchange reserves jumped by 1.2 billion in a day across four crypto exchanges, with Binance leading the surge. Bithumb, Bybit, and OKX also experienced a major increase in their reserves, a development which CryptoOnchain noted shifted the volume of XRP’s reserves in an unprecedented manner. Binance saw its reserve holdings increase from around 2.928 billion …
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The upcoming week promises to be volatile and informative. The central event will be the September Federal Reserve meeting, whose outcome will overshadow all other fundamentals. Let's first review the key macroeconomic reports for EUR/USD that will be released in the coming days. On Monday, the US will publish the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index, based on a survey of New York Fed district manufacturers. After two months of growth, it's expected to fall to 4 points, signaling a fading of the momentum seen in July and August. For dollar bulls, the index must not return to negative territory, especially with the ISM Manufacturing Index (in contraction since Ma…
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The euro continues to rest on its laurels as the US dollar declines. The euro doesn't even have to do anything to attract investors and traders — market participants are fleeing the dollar like the plague, but money can't just float in the air; it needs to take the form of some currency. How many real alternatives to the dollar are there in today's world? The euro, the pound, and, at best, the yen and the franc. Thus, the main beneficiaries in 2025 are currencies that aren't even making any real effort. Everything in the FX market now hinges on a simple question: Will the US dollar keep falling? If yes, the euro and pound will continue to rise. If the dollar begins to str…
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During the day, the US dollar ceded ground to the euro, the pound, and other risk assets at the end of last week. However, this did not lead to a major shift in the balance of power in the market. A sharp drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index weakened the US dollar. The index, which tracks consumer expectations regarding the economy, fell to 55 points. This raised concerns about a potential decrease in consumer spending in the future, putting pressure on the dollar. Lower consumer confidence also heightened fears of a possible slowdown in US economic growth. Consumer spending is a key driver of the American economy, and its decline could negatively i…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe first test of the 1.1712 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of this price occurred when the MACD entered the oversold area, enabling the implementation of buy scenario #2 and resulting in a 20-pip rise for the pair. Last Friday, the US dollar came under pressure due to an unexpected drop in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This indicator, which reflects the public's outlook on economic conditions, fell to a level of 55 (versus a forecasted rise to 58), spark…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.06 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar, and this decision proved correct as the pair failed to continue rising. The Japanese yen strengthened against the dollar after last Friday's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 55.4 points, versus economists' forecast for an increase to 58. This unexpected slump in American consumer sentiment reinforced the market's belief in the need for monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The dollar, which had previously been…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the market may continue upward toward 1.1788 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). Upon reaching this level, a downward move toward 1.1747 – the upper fractal (daily candle of September 12, 2025) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1734 (the closing of Friday's daily candle), the price may continue…
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Dogecoin sits at a technically pivotal juncture, according to crypto analyst CantoneseCat (@cantonmeow), who argues that the next decisive inflection arrives at $0.54—“the final boss”—if the coin can translate an increasingly constructive multi-timeframe structure into weekly acceptance above the Ichimoku cloud. Recording just hours ahead of the weekly close on September 14, he framed DOGE’s backdrop as a steady, methodical rebuild powered by higher-timeframe support retention rather than headline-driven spikes. “I am bullish on Dogecoin,” he said. “There is nothing that I’m really too bearish about here.” Dogecoin Charge Stalls At Ichimoku Wall The crux of his view is …
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