Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12255 tópicos neste fórum
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Wall Street Ends in the Red U.S. stock markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the three major Wall Street indexes finishing the session in decline. Investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Rate Cut Expectations Most market participants continue to bet that the Fed will trim its key rate by 25 basis points. The move is seen as a response to mounting signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market, highlighted by a series of recent economic reports. Political Moves Overlooked Political developments failed to shift market sentiment. The Senate confirmed White House economic adviser Steven Miran to the Federal Res…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.3626 — a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3682 — the 161.8% target level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3642 (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue…
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Solana is once again in the spotlight after surging past the $240 level, marking a strong recovery and renewed momentum for the altcoin. Bulls appear firmly in control, but analysts caution that the next critical resistance lies at $270, a level that must be reclaimed before Solana can realistically attempt to retest its all-time high. The move underscores the growing confidence in SOL as one of the leading players in the market, particularly as institutional activity adds fuel to the rally. Fresh data from Lookonchain highlights this trend, revealing that institutions continue to accumulate SOL, signaling sustained confidence in the token’s long-term potential. This in…
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The US stock market has entered a new phase following the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year. The decision to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points was widely anticipated and already priced in by market participants — but how Jerome Powell framed the move sparked active debate. The Fed Chair described the decision as a "risk management" cut, emphasizing that the central bank has no risk-free path forward. In other words, the rate was lowered not due to panic or a sharp deterioration in economic conditions, but rather as a preemptive step to balance the risks of an economic slowdown and to preserve labor market stability. Investors interpreted this as…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its downward movement after Wednesday evening, though we consider this move to lack logic. If you think about it, there was not a single reason for the euro to fall on Thursday, nor for the dollar to rise. However, the Bank of England's meeting triggered a drop in the pound sterling, which, in turn, pulled the euro down as well. Yet there were no strong reasons for the pound's decline in recent days—the BoE took an absolutely neutral stance, UK inflation was unchanged and matched forecasts, and the unemployment rate was also steady and aligned with market expectations. The same can be sa…
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The US dollar quickly regained the upper hand, indicating the presence of major buyers in the market even though the Federal Reserve cut interest rates the previous day. Apparently, without a good correction in risk assets, another move to the upside will be hard to achieve. Strong Philadelphia Manufacturing Index numbers gave the dollar a boost. Traders, encouraged by the unexpectedly high readings, rushed to buy the US currency, viewing it as a sign of strengthening in the US economy. The euro, on the other hand, came under heavy selling pressure. Today, German Producer Price Index (PPI) data is due. If the figure comes in below economists' forecasts, it could trigger a…
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The Canadian dollar is in negative territory for a third straight day. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, up 0.18% on the day. Canada's retail sales slide Canada's retail sales declined by 0.8% m/m in July, a sharp dowrturn from the 1.6% gain in June. The volatility in retail sales reflects uncertainty over the US tariffs, which has affected consumer spending. August is expected to show a rebound, with a preliminary estimate of a 1% gain, which would make up for the July decline. US unemployment claims slip There are no US releases today but there was positive news from the employment front on Thursday. Unemployment claims fell to 231 thoua…
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Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) is auctioning its final collection of rare diamonds from its closed Argyle mine in Australia and the soon-to-shutter Diavik operation in Canada. The tender, called Beyond Rare, includes 52 lots totalling 45.44 carats and marks the end of an era for two of the world’s most celebrated diamond mines. The centrepieces are six diamond sets selected to represent the peak of production from the East Kimberley region of Western Australia and the Northwest Territories of Canada. The tender also features 39 individual stones and seven curated sets. Rio Tinto Diamonds’ general manager of sales and marketing, Patrick Coppens, called the auction a his…
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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are gearing up for their upcoming public roundtable meeting scheduled for 29 September 2025. To begin with, the meeting will focus on regulatory harmonisation across digital and traditional finance (TradFi), enabling the unification of fragmented oversight, since digital and TradFi often fall under different regulatory umbrellas. Importantly, the roundtable discussions signal legitimacy. With top crypto exchanges like Kraken and Crypto.com participating in the discussions, the message goes out that the regulators are serious about compliance and collaboration. Further, the …
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China’s Zijin Mining Group (HKG: 2899) has become the world’s third-largest mining company by value after surpassing $100 billion in market value for the first time at Thursday’s close. The milestone places Zijin alongside global heavyweights BHP (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO), which closed Thursday with market capitalizations of A$212 billion ($140B) and A$169 billion ($111B), respectively. Founded in the 1980s by geologist and current chairman Chen Jinghe, Zijin grew from a small gold mine in southeastern China into a sprawling global player. The company now controls or holds majority stakes in hundreds of operations worldwide. In the past year alone, it ad…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the euro The price test of 1.1735 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. I did not see any other entry points into the market. The growth of private sector lending in the eurozone was offset by a decline in M3 money supply. This contradiction may be explained by several factors. First, despite increased lending volumes, banks may be reducing interbank market operations, which leads to a decline in overall money supply. Second, the drop in M3 could be the result of capital outflows from the eurozone to …
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Cloudflare is stepping into the world of digital currency with a new project called NET Dollar. It plans to launch this as a fully backed stablecoin tied to the U.S. dollar. According to CEO Matthew Prince, the idea is to help build a better foundation for how the internet handles payments and value. Why Cloudflare Is Entering the Stablecoin Space Although Cloudflare is known for its internet security and performance tools, the company sees a bigger role for itself. As AI and smart systems grow more common, there is a clear need for a faster and more efficient way to move money. NET Dollar is meant to handle payments in these new digital spaces, especially when smal…
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EUR/USD The euro looked almost hopeless on Thursday, September 25, but found support from the renewed strength of the stock and commodity markets. The S&P 500 added 0.59% on Friday, gold rose 1.00%, oil increased by 0.04%, copper rose 0.29%, and the euro itself gained 34 pips. During today's Pacific session, the price moved above the MACD line resistance on the daily timeframe, and the Marlin oscillator entered positive territory. Once the price consolidates above the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator holds in positive territory, the euro will open the way toward the upper boundary of the price channel at 1.1914. This week, moderately optimistic U.S. industrial sec…
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We usually don’t see many thousands of percent gains from utility tokens; that’s more of a meme coin phenomenon. However, over the past month, the perpetual futures exchange Aster has seen its native token, $ASTER, make astounding gains of over 2,100%. Aster burst onto the scene with bold ambitions, establishing itself as a strong competitor to established players like Hyperliquid. At the same time, the protocol promised a privacy-focused approach and extremely high leverage, drawing the interest of traders and investors alike. As Aster grows, it should set the stage for projects like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), providing even new investors a convenient way to unlock …
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The market is confident that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep all monetary policy settings unchanged at its September meeting. This is the most widely expected scenario, and its outcome has already been factored into the price. The intrigue lies in the RBA's future actions, given the mixed fundamental backdrop ahead of the September decision. Last week's data showed that monthly inflation in Australia accelerated to 3.0% — the fastest pace since July 2024. However, the rise in CPI in August was driven mainly by temporary factors, particularly the expiration of "energy" subsidies in three states. The labor market delivered weak results: total employment in …
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Bitcoin and Ethereum continue their steady growth amid the risk of a US government shutdown. Just a couple of years ago, such an event would have triggered a sell-off of risky assets, but not anymore. It's clear that demand has returned to the cryptocurrency market. Fresh data shows that in the past 90 days, net inflows to stablecoins have exceeded $46 billion—that's a 325% increase compared to last year. This indicates growing demand for assets pegged to the US dollar. The surge in interest in stablecoins is not a coincidence, but a logical result of several interconnected factors. First, uncertainty in the global economy is prompting investors to seek stable assets…
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As the Bitcoin price has staged a rebound coming out of the weekend, the momentum has begun to skew bullish again, and expectations remain that the price will wax higher from here. Some predictions have placed the digital asset’s price lower. However, there are some who expect this to be the start of the next upward wave for Bitcoin. One of those is crypto analyst Arman Shabann, who shared an analysis of the Bitcoin price that seems to be playing out quite well. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For Higher Levels In the analysis, Arman explained the current Bitcoin price trajectory as being bullish, especially with the formation of a clear ascending channel. The digital as…
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The Japanese yen continues to gain intraday strength. Despite mixed views expressed by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in its recently released Summary of Opinions, investors appear convinced that the central bank is leaning toward a path of monetary policy normalization. This perception is helping to offset weak domestic indicators such as industrial production and retail sales, lending additional support to the yen. Rising geopolitical tensions and fears of a potential U.S. government shutdown also contribute to the yen's demand as a safe-haven currency. The Bank of Japan's tone remains notably hawkish, standing in contrast to growing market expectations that the U.S. Federal R…
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Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, used a wide-ranging conversation on the Lex Fridman Podcast to make one of his clearest long-term calls on Bitcoin yet: “I believe it will come to a point when Bitcoin is worth $1 million.” The remarks appear on Fridman’s newly released episode with Durov. Why Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million: Pavel Durov Pressed by Fridman on why he kept accumulating Bitcoin and whether he sees further upside, Durov traced his conviction to the asset’s earliest days and to its monetary design. “I was a big believer in Bitcoin since more or less the start of it,” he said, recalling that he bought “my first few thousand of Bitcoin in 2013,” aroun…
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Nova Minerals (NASDAQ, ASX: NVA) has been awarded $43.4 million by the US Department of War (DoW) to support the production of antimony trisulfide at its Estelle project in Alaska. Shares of the Australian miner skyrocketed on the news. The DoW funding, provided under Defense Production Act Title III, will go towards Nova’s US-based subsidiary Alaska Range Resources, which holds an 85% interest in the Estelle project. Located 150 km northwest of Anchorage, Estelle is a district-scale project that spans a 35-km mineralized corridor and hosts 20 identified gold prospects, including four large, near-surface gold deposits. Together, these deposits hold nearly 10 mill…
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USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) is acquiring one of the most established rare earth metal and alloy producers outside of China, a move that it says represents “a significant acceleration” of its mine-to-magnet strategy. Earlier this week, the company announced that it will acquire United Kingdom-based Less Common Metals (LCM), which currently produces both light and heavy rare earth permanent magnet metals and alloys at scale at its 67,000-square-foot facility in Cheshire. LCM is one of the few companies capable of processing metal oxide feedstocks from both mined and recycled sources, USAR said. Metals and alloys produced at its facility include samarium, samarium …
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The U.S. government is partially shut down, and that’s thrown a wrench into the SEC’s regular activity. One of the biggest consequences right now is the halt on reviewing applications for spot altcoin ETFs. For investors hoping to see new crypto funds approved soon, especially ones linked to Solana and other popular tokens, the wait just got longer. SEC Freezes Review During Budget Impasse The SEC has a contingency plan for situations like this, and it clearly states that only emergency cases will be reviewed during a shutdown. Everything else, including new financial product applications, is off the table for now. That leaves crypto ETF filings stuck in limbo. …
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Trade Review for Thursday:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD also showed a downward move, despite the British pound having no real reason to fall. As mentioned earlier, this week's movements in the FX market have been very strange and illogical. Such moves are not rare, and when they do not align with the fundamental or macroeconomic background, the best approach is to acknowledge their illogicality rather than trying to force-fit news or data to explain them. There were no significant events in the UK or the U.S. yesterday, although earlier this week, at least two events could have triggered a major dollar sell-off—but didn't. That's the main "strangeness" …
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As the crypto market kicks off October with a remarkable recovery, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to turn the $4,500 level into support after nearly two weeks. Some analysts forecast that a breakout from this crucial area could set the stage for a massive 50% rally in Q4. Ethereum Retests Next Major Resistance Ethereum has bounced 17% from last week’s lows and is retesting the next crucial level to reclaim. The cryptocurrency started this week by recovering from the recent market correction, which sent its price to a multi-week low of $3,815. Since then, the King of Altcoins has reclaimed the mid-zone of its macro range and broken past a major sell wall located around th…
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Samsung is building on its partnership with Coinbase, giving Galaxy smartphone users in the U.S. a way to buy crypto straight from the Samsung Wallet app. Instead of switching between apps or logging in somewhere else, users will now be able to handle everything from inside their Wallet. The goal is to make crypto feel like just another part of your phone. What the Integration Means for Users Once this goes live, anyone in the U.S. using a Galaxy device will get access to Coinbase One directly through Samsung Wallet. That opens up the ability to trade, stake, and keep an eye on crypto balances right alongside things like digital payments and saved passwords. If you …
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