Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12229 tópicos neste fórum
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For the GBP/USD pair, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past several weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any global corrective wave, since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken the shape of a five-wave a-b-c-d-e pattern and may be complete. If this is indeed the case, the p…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the GBP/USD pair, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any major corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its subwaves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has formed a five-wave pattern a-b-c-d-e and may now be complete. If this is indeed the case, the pair is currently at the very begin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (bottom illustration), but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top illustration). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4, or any major corrective wave, since it has a corrective rather than an impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal sub-waves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has taken on a five-wave form a-b-c-d-e and may be complete. If this is indeed the case, then the instrument…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend segment (see lower chart), although in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form (see upper chart). The pound has declined too sharply, making the trend segment that began on August 1 appear uncertain. It is likely that wave c of 4 has taken the shape of a five-wave corrective pattern. If that is indeed the case, then the rise in quotations should resume within a new upward wave sequence, forming part of the anticipated wave 5. The downward wave sequence that began on September 17 could theoretically become even more extended and complex. However, in any case, it still h…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave markup continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure, but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has fallen too sharply recently, so the trend segment starting from August 1 now looks uncertain. The first thing that comes to mind is the complication of the assumed wave 4, which will take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also structured into three waves. In this case, a decline of the pair towards the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, there is a positive aspect – the wave structures of the euro and the pound have once again aligned. The European currency will li…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure, but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has declined too sharply, and therefore, the trend section that began on August 1 now looks uncertain. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three waves. In this case, a decline of the instrument toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels can be expected. However, the current downward wave structure has already taken on a three-wave form. From here, it could either develop into a five-wave stru…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure (see second chart), but over the past few weeks, it has become more complex and ambiguous (see first chart). The pound has declined too sharply, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks uncertain. The first idea that comes to mind is the complication of the presumed wave 4, which is taking a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three smaller waves. In that case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels could be expected. However, the downward wave structure that began on September 17 has already taken a three-wave form. From here, two scenar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD still indicates the formation of an upward wave pattern, although in recent weeks it has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, making the uptrend that began on August 1 look unclear. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also subdividing into three smaller waves. In this case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels could be expected. However, the downward wave pattern that began on September 17 has already taken the shape of a three-wave structure. From here, it could either evolve into a five-wave formation or tra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward sequence, but over the past few weeks, the pattern has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks unclear. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which is taking on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three smaller waves. In this case, the pair could decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels. However, the downward wave structure that started on September 17 has already taken on a three-wave form. From here, either it will develop into a five-wave structure…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure, but in recent weeks, it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has fallen too sharply, and as a result, the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks unclear. The first idea that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each of its subwaves also consisting of three waves. In this case, we can expect the pair to decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels. However, the downward wave structure that began on September 17 has already formed a three-wave pattern. From here, there are two possibilities: either the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave pattern, but over the past few weeks, it has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, making the trend segment that began on August 1 appear uncertain. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each sub-wave containing its own three smaller waves. In this case, a decline of the pair toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels can be expected. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 appears to be five-wave, though it could theoretically become much longer and more complex. Personally, I c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the building of an upward wave pattern, and it has not changed over the past week. The pound has fallen too much recently, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks ambiguous. The first idea that comes to mind is a complication of the assumed wave 4, which could take the form of a three-wave structure, with each of its subwaves also made up of three smaller waves. In this case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, if this assumption is correct, then the euro would also decline, and consequently its wave structure would undergo certain changes as well. At this time, I do not…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave structure of GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward trend, but over the past few weeks, it has taken on a complex and ambiguous shape. The pound has fallen too sharply, making the trend segment that began on August 1 look uncertain. The first thing that comes to mind is the complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take the form of a three-wave structure, with each sub-wave containing its own corrective formation. In this case, we can expect the pair to decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 appears to be forming a five-wave pattern, though theoretically, it could develop into somethi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave pattern still indicates the construction of an upward wave structure, but in recent weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has dropped too sharply of late, so the trend section beginning on August 1 now looks unclear. The first thing that comes to mind is the complication of the supposed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also consisting of three waves. In this case, a decline of the instrument toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, if this assumption is correct, then the euro will also decline, and therefore its wave structure will also undergo certain changes. At pres…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to point to the formation of a bullish impulsive wave structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for the dollar is falling across the market (in the medium term), which is why many instruments show almost the same dynamics. At this stage, wave 4 is likely complete. If so, the rise of the instrument will continue within the framework of impulsive wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related ones. Fr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD since the sole "culprit" remains the U.S. dollar. Demand for the dollar is declining across the market in the medium term, and many instruments are therefore showing nearly identical dynamics. At this stage, the presumed wave 5 is still developing, within which waves 1 and 2 have already formed. The current wave structure raises no doubts. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—beyond just trade. Occasionally, positive news emerges from the U.S., but the market cons…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave count continues to indicate the formation of an upward impulse structure. The wave pattern is almost identical to that of EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for the U.S. currency is falling across the market in the medium term, leading many instruments to show nearly the same dynamics. At present, the formation of the assumed wave 5 is ongoing, within which waves 1 and 2 have already formed. The current wave structure raises no doubts. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related. From time to time, positive news does emerge from the U.S., but the mark…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for it is declining across the market in the medium term, so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At present, wave 4 is presumably complete. If this is correct, the instrument will continue rising within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies, and not only in trade. From time to time, positive news emerges f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse sequence. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only real driver remains the dollar. Demand for the U.S. currency is declining across the market (in the medium term), so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At this point, wave 4 is presumably complete. If so, the instrument's rise will continue within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could still take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related ones. From time to time, po…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound, like the euro, ended Friday's session with gains—likely driven by market expectations of benefiting from the political and economic standoff between the U.S. and China. During the previous session, the price nearly covered the entire target range of 1.3253 to 1.3369. This morning, the pair is attempting to break above resistance at 1.3369. If successful, the next major test will be the MACD line at 1.3417. A confirmed breakout above this level would open the path toward the next bullish target at 1.3525. On the four-hour chart, the pair still needs to break above the 1.3385 resistance level and consolidate above the MACD line, which also lies at 1.33…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD The British pound declined slightly yesterday, but this morning it is showing growth. This signals a price consolidation near the resistance level of 1.3369. A breakout above this level will not greatly ease the situation for the bulls, as the MACD line lies ahead near the 1.3400 mark. However, breaking above the MACD line opens the path to the target level of 1.3525. The Marlin oscillator may not have time to move into positive territory by the moment the price reaches the MACD line, which underscores the difficulty of further growth. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has entered positive territory. The price is nearly ready to challenge the 1.3369 …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD On Tuesday, the British pound didn't even attempt to break through the resistance level at 1.3369. Instead, it worked through support at 1.3253, a level it previously approached but failed to reach on October 10. By the end of the day, the daily candlestick left a long lower wick, which adds another signal supporting a potential upward reversal. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is now pointing upward. The price must now complete two difficult tasks in succession: overcome the resistance of the 1.3369 target level, followed by the MACD line at 1.3400. A successful breakout through both would allow the market to aim for the next target at 1.3525. On the fo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD The British pound rose by 82 pips yesterday, reaching the MACD line. Today, the market opened above this line, and the upward movement continued. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has not yet crossed into positive territory, suggesting the price may pause temporarily to gather momentum for the next push toward the target level at 1.3525 (the high from October 1). Today, the UK releases a broad set of economic reports. Forecasts are moderately pessimistic: GDP (YoY) for August may decline from 1.4% to 1.3%.Construction output is expected at -0.1% (MoM).Industrial production may fall by -0.6% (YoY).The trade balance may slightly improve from -22.24 billion t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD On Thursday, the British pound gained over 30 pips on a rebound from the MACD line support. This morning, the pound remains in a positive mood; however, the Marlin oscillator is now approaching the zero line. If no profit-taking occurs today, the pound has every chance to continue its advance toward the 1.3525 target. If the day ends with a bearish (black) candle, the technical picture may become muddled within the psychological cycle of market anticipation ahead of the Fed meeting on October 29. It is also worth noting that the support level of 1.3369 and the MACD line at 1.3393 currently form a support range of 24 pips. Breaking below this zone will be difficul…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Since the start of the U.S. budget crisis, the British pound has perked up, reaching the key resistance level of 1.3525. However, this optimism has not been supported by external markets or technical indicators — the Marlin oscillator remains weak and stuck in negative territory. As a result, the pound has retraced more than half of its upward progress. Today, the pair opened above the MACD line. If the upward movement gains momentum, Marlin is likely to enter positive territory soon. A firm break above 1.3525 would open the path toward the next target at 1.3631. Despite the political instability in the United States, the pound has been technically developing within a b…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
