Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12223 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade analysis and advice for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 150.58 in the first half of the day coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. In the second half of the day, market attention will shift to U.S. trade balance data and consumer credit figures. A reduction in the trade deficit could positively influence the dollar, especially if the actual value exceeds expectations. Consumer credit volumes, on the other hand, serve as an important barometer of consumer sentiment and spending willingness. An increase in consumer credit may indicate optimism and confidence in the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and advice for trading the British pound The test of 1.3469 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3440. A sharp decline in the Halifax House Price Index in the UK brought renewed pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The published data, showing an unexpected drop in housing prices, intensified concerns about the state of the British economy and the prospects for further monetary tightening by the Bank of England. Investors closely monitoring financial stability indicators viewed this report as a warnin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
With the latest rally to a new all-time high above $125,700, the Bitcoin price looks to have begun another path that could lead to multiple new all-time highs. At this time, market sentiment has moved back into the positive, and this continues to show in the way the price has held above $120,000 despite the corrective dips. Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto believes that this means that the Bitcoin price is set on its path to $150,000, so this report takes a look at the breakdown. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed To $150,000 And The Best Time To Buy In the analysis that was shared with over 478,000 followers on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, CrediBULL Crypto highlights …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and advice for trading the euro The price test of 1.1696 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro and resulted in a 30-point drop in the pair. The political crisis in France continues: today, French Defense Minister Le Maire also resigned. This came just a day after the resignation of the Prime Minister, who had served for only 27 days. Political turbulence has reached its peak, plunging the country into deep uncertainty and calling into question the stability of the ruling coalition. The resignation of key government figures one after another indicates a se…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The NZD/USD pair has encountered resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), around the 0.5845 level. The U.S. dollar is showing positive momentum for the second consecutive day, supported by broad weakness in the Japanese yen. Additionally, cautious sentiment regarding U.S. equity futures strengthens the dollar's role as a safe-haven currency and is seen as a key factor exerting some downside pressure on the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar. However, dollar strength does not appear overly optimistic against the backdrop of expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve policy, which in turn could lend support to the NZD/USD pair. According to the CME FedWatch Tool…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today the British pound, the euro, and the Australian dollar were successfully traded using the Momentum strategy. I did not trade anything using Mean Reversion. Weak data on German factory orders put pressure on the euro in the first half of the day. Traders took this as a signal of a possible slowdown in economic growth in the eurozone's largest economy and, consequently, in the region as a whole. Concerns were reinforced by the escalation of the political crisis in France, which in recent days has weighed heavily on risk assets. Against this backdrop, the U.S. dollar showed steady growth. As for the second half of the day, much will depend on trade balance data and con…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the GBP/JPY pair is retreating from a new yearly high — just above the round 203.00 level, reached earlier on Tuesday. Spot quotes show no signs of bearish pressure and are currently holding slightly above 202.50, down less than 0.10% on the day. The Japanese yen continues to show relative weakness following the unexpected outcome of Japan's leadership elections on Saturday, which brought Sanae Takaichi to power as the country's first female prime minister. Takaichi supports a "dovish" fiscal stance and is therefore expected to oppose further monetary tightening by the Bank of Japan. Alongside the overall bullish sentiment, this undermines the safe-haven yen and pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On 6 October 2025, Indian Union Minister Piyush Goyal said that the country is ready to launch a sovereign, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) -backed digital currency, which will be traceable. Goyal insisted that the country will not be encouraging cryptocurrency,” which does not have sovereign backing or which is not backed by assets, say it on the federal bank or local currency.” The digital Rupee will be akin to regular currency. It will be backed by the central bank, while leveraging blockchain technology. “Our idea is that this will only make it easier to transact. It will also reduce paper consumption and will be faster to transact than the banking system. But it will a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The dollar has come back bid. It is trading near session highs late in the European morning. The French crisis has not been resolved and the policy mix advocated by the new head of the LDP and soon-to-be prime minister continues to weigh on the yen. The US government remains closed, and the White House has sent mixed signals about its willingness to negotiate with the Democratic Party leaders. The Antipodeans are the weakest among the G10 currencies ahead of New Zealand's anticipated rate cut tomorrow. True to form, in a firm US dollar environment, the Canadian dollar does relatively better, and today, it is atop the G10 currencies. The greenback is at its best …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
OpenAI has inked a multiyear deal with AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) for six gigawatts of GPU capacity to power its next generation of AI models. It’s a mic drop moment. The agreement, unveiled Monday, could deliver tens of billions in revenue over five years, marking AMD’s biggest step yet toward challenging Nvidia’s dominance in AI chips. AMD and Nvidia will never become the same. NVIDIA will likely make an x86 processor that might be ok, but AMD is crushing in CPUs and might forever after this deal. Intel will eventually be sold off to government mothballs since they can’t make new enterprise or consumer products. Learn more …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the EUR/USD pair resumed its decline against forecasts but during the day still reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Thus, today the growth process may continue toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. A new close below 1.1695 would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a fresh decline toward the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the previous wave's peak, while the new downward wave has not yet broken the previous low. Therefore, the trend remains "bearish" for now. Recent labor market data and shifting ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Recently, everyone and their mother in crypto is gunning for the deeper pockets that institutional investors provide. With a horde of institutional investment activity on the established coins, decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms are not too far off in securing a bag or two for themselves by tapping into buybacks. For instance, take DeFi platforms like .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Aave AAVE $291.20 0.13% Aave AAVE Price $291.20 …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: OPEC + Delivers Modest Output Hike, Brent Crude Rises 1.7%. What Next for Oil Prices? EUR/USD continued its slide this morning as a combination of US Dollar strength and concerns around the French political drama rambled on. The most recent news indicates that President Macron has given the outgoing Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, until Wednesday evening to try and get the divided parliament to agree on a new prime minister. It is unclear what will happen if Lecornu is unsuccessful, but the likely choices would be either appointing someone who is an expert but not a politician (a technocrat) or calling for early elections. Resurgent US Dollar Keeps EUR/USD o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Perth Mint refines more gold annually than many countries produce, yet many investors overlook this 125-year-old powerhouse. Established during Australia’s gold rush, the Western Australian institution has since become a globally recognized leader in bullion. With government backing, rigorous authentication standards, and exceptional quality control, its gold bars, silver coins, and bullion products stand apart. This article explores Perth Mint’s role in global precious metals markets and why its products are essential to sophisticated investment portfolios. What Is the Perth Mint? Perth Mint is one of the world’s most significant precious metals institutions, combin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Perth Mint refines more gold annually than many countries produce, yet many investors overlook this 125-year-old powerhouse. Established during Australia’s gold rush, the Western Australian institution has since become a globally recognized leader in bullion. With government backing, rigorous authentication standards, and exceptional quality control, its gold bars, silver coins, and bullion products stand apart. This article explores Perth Mint’s role in global precious metals markets and why its products are essential to sophisticated investment portfolios. What Is the Perth Mint? Perth Mint is one of the world’s most significant precious metals institutions, combin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price pushed through resistance and blasted to the roof above its previous all-time high, putting the king back to the top. Most crypto news today reports this records that BTC USD reached above $126,000, while ETH and BNB both delivered double‑digit gains over the past week. Bitcoin’s dominance remains above 58%, which is not bad, as it means that altcoins still have room to pump. (source – BTC Dominance, TradingView) Massive flows into Bitcoin are responsible for this price run. Nearly 985 million USD was funneled into BTC ETFs last week alone. Data reveals BTC USD futures open interest surged about 15% as institutional players stepped back in. Yet, even wit…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
An analyst has pointed out how Ethereum has seen a sell signal on the Tom Demark (TD) Sequential alongside the retest of a key resistance line. Ethereum Is Trading Around Upper Boundary Of Descending Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about how Ethereum is looking from a technical analysis (TA) perspective. First, Martinez has pointed out that ETH has been trading inside a Descending Channel for the last couple of months. The Descending Channel refers to a consolidation pattern that forms whenever an asset’s price travels between two parallel lines that are sloped downward. It’s a type of Parallel Channel. Below is the chart shared by the anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market continued its bullish momentum today as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $123,550.04 0.31% Bitcoin BTC Price $123,550.04 0.31% /24h Volume in 24h $59.58B Price 7d Learn more , Solana meme coins, surged 35% today, outperforming …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways Nikkei 225 hits new record high, rising 6.5% since 23 September 2025 amid optimism over Japan’s incoming Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi.Expansionary fiscal policy expected, with higher government spending and increased JGB issuance to boost wages and corporate profits.Steepening JGB yield curves continue to correlate positively with the Nikkei 225’s bullish momentum.Medium-term bullish bias remains intact, with key support at 45,930 and potential targets between 50,090 and 51,220. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225: Bullish reversal above 45,000, no negative impact from BoJ’s ETF unwind”, published on 23 Sep…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As BitMine continues to bet on Ethereum (ETH), the King of Altcoins is eyeing a crucial resistance level that could set the stage for a new breakout, leading some analysts to suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) is around the corner. Ethereum Ready For New Highs? On Monday, Ethereum rallied to a multi-week high of $4,718 following the start of the “Uptober” market rally that has sent Bitcoin (BTC) and BNB to new highs. Notably, the King of Altcoins has bounced 23% from the recent September correction, which sent the cryptocurrency’s price to a local low of $3,815. Now, ETH nears the upper boundary of its macro range high for the first time in almost a month. The altc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stocks advanced as tech stocks continue to drive the rally. It seems the deal between Advanced Micro Devices and OpenAI gave investors a boost. The MSCI Asian‑Pacific Index was up about 0.3 percent, touching a record level. Japanese shares kept climbing, while worldwide markets also nudged toward peaks. Yet worries about a US government shutdown and turmoil in France seemed to push some people toward safe assets. Gold and Bitcoin both hit fresh highs. A sign that concerns still linger? Tech firms still anchor the global rise. The AMD‑OpenAI partnership c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday made two rebounds from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3425, turned in favor of the pound, and rose to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. A rebound of quotes from this level would allow for a reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and a return to 1.3425. A consolidation of the pair's rate above 1.3482 will increase the likelihood of further growth toward the levels of 1.3528 and 1.3574. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the last upward wave did not break the previous peak. Over the past week, the news background has been negative for the U.S. dollar, but …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The stock market continues its upward climb despite multiple concerns. Overvalued fundamentals, trade tariffs, and a government shutdown — all of these typically spell trouble for the S&P 500. Yet the broad U.S. equity index continues to "find the good in the bad." It has now recorded its 32nd all-time high of the year, driven by optimism in artificial intelligence (AI) and expectations ahead of the upcoming corporate earnings season. Contributing to the rally was also a statement from the U.S. President regarding negotiations with the Democrats. S&P 500 Corporate Earnings Outlook According to Bloomberg analysts, corporate earnings for S&P 500 companies are ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly start moving upward, targeting the 50% retracement level at 1.3432 (yellow dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.3482 (yesterday's daily candle close), the pric…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue movi…
Last reply by Ben Graham,