Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
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Most Read: WTI Rangebound: How Stalled Peace Talks & OPEC Strategy Will Shape the Oil Market American consumers felt slightly better about the economy in early December, according to a survey released on Friday. The Consumer Sentiment Index from the University of Michigan went up to 53.3 this month, an improvement from 51.0 in November, and slightly better than what economists expected. However, the overall mood remains gloomy. The main problem is that consumers are still very worried about high prices (inflation) and are not very optimistic about the job market. On a positive note, consumers expect price increases to slow down slightly: they now anticipate inflation …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1644, below 3/8 Murray, and around 21 SMA. If the euro pulls back towards the 3/8 Murray or 1.1670 in the coming hours, it could be seen as an opportunity to resume selling. If the euro rises in the coming hours and tests the strong daily resistance at 1.1670, it could be a good time to enter short positions with a target at the 200 EMA at 1.1600. On the H4 chart, we can see that EUR/USD is in a downtrend channel, which could be confirmed if a pullback towards 1.1670 occurs, resuming its downtrend. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signs. So, we believe that in case of a sharp break in the bullish trend channel, EUR/USD could gain down…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst CryptoInsight has indicated that the XRP price is on the verge of another crash, with a potential drop below the psychological $2 level. The analyst also revealed the level that the altcoin needs to reclaim to invalidate this bearish outlook. XRP Price Risks Crash To Another Low In an X post, CryptoInsight suggested that the XRP price could crash to a new low. This came as the analyst noted that on the lower time frame, the altcoin has made a higher low after bouncing from range lows. However, it has yet to make a higher high, which provides a bearish outlook. The analyst further remarked that until the XRP price makes a higher high, there is likely to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin is trading around $91,270. On a daily chart, we can see that the price is within a downtrend channel formed since the end of September. If Bitcoin falls below the psychological level of $90,000, we could expect it to reach the psychological level of $75,000 in the medium term, around the 0/8 Murray. If Bitcoin rebounds and consolidates above $90,000, we could expect it to continue rising and could reach the top of the downtrend channel around $96,500. A good area to open short positions could be if the price reaches the $96,000 level. Below this area, we could expect a strong technical correction. On the contrary, if Bitcoin falls towards the 1/8 Murray located a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is trading around $3,125, consolidating above the 21 SMA, below the 200 EMA, and below the uptrend channel formed since November 21. Ethereum is showing signs of exhaustion. Hence, a drop below $3,097 could accelerate a sharp technical correction to reach the 1/8 Murray support. Conversely, if Ethereum breaks above $3,200 and consolidates above this zone, we could expect it to reach the 3/8 Murray around $3,437. A technical rebound around the support at the bottom of the uptrend channel, located at $2,800, could present a good opportunity to enter long positions to hit the 3/8 Murray at $3,437. Technically, the Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal. So, if…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold is trading around $4,218, around 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA with a slightly bullish bias, although it is showing signs of exhaustion. Gold could continue its rise in the coming hours if it consolidates above $4,220. A return below the 7/8 Murray could mean a technical correction, and we could expect the price to reach the support of the uptrend channel drawn around $4,118 on the daily chart. If gold continues its upward bias, it could reach the 8/8 Murray around $4,375, and we could even expect the upward momentum to take it to the +1/8 Murray around $4,531. A sharp break in the uptrend channel formed since October 20 could signal a change in trend, and we could…
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Some change is starting to appear for Canada after consecutive rough years. Subject to a red-hot post-COVID boom, the Land of the Maple Syrup had severely tightened its policy rates and immigration rules, leading to a consecutive trough in activity starting in 2024. To add to that, US President Trump’s protectionist policies placed huge tariffs on key Canadian exports, including Lumber, Aluminium, and many others, damaging demand for Canada's cyclical economy and its prospects for growth. Given that growth prospects are essential for inciting business investment and hiring, it is clear why Canada struggled quite a bit under such pressure. But with peak fear subsiding a…
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Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound. A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility refle…
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Markets now treat a December rate hike to 0.75% as the base case.Inflation remains above target, with limited improvement in core measures.Rising rate expectations are strengthening the yen, supported by a narrowing US - Japan rate spread.Higher yields may constrain the BoJ’s pace of tightening next year.Growing likelihood of a December rate increase Expectations for another interest rate hike in Japan are clearly strengthening. Although initial hints appeared as early as September, they have intensified markedly in recent days. According to the latest reports, Bank of Japan policymakers are prepared to raise the policy rate to 0.75% at the December meeting - provided …
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Pan American Silver (TSX, NYSE: PAAS) has taken a 14.7% stake in Galleon Gold Corp. (TSX-V: GGO) after buying 18.75 million units in the explorer and developer via private placement. The Canadian precious metals miner paid C$0.60 per unit as part of Galleon’s wider 50-million-unit financing. Each unit includes one common share and half a warrant, with full warrants exercisable at C$0.75 until December 4, 2027. The investment gives Pan American 18.75 million common shares, 9.38 million warrants and its previously issued unsecured convertible debenture, amounting to 14.7% ownership on a non-diluted basis and about 29.7% on a partially diluted basis. This marks …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: IMF concerns about dollar stablecoins eroding local currencies reinforce the appeal of scarce, non-sovereign assets like Bitcoin in a fragmented monetary system. Bitcoin’s base layer remains constrained by slow confirmations, fee volatility, and minimal smart contract support, creating renewed interest in specialized Layer 2 infrastructure. Competing Bitcoin scaling projects, from Lightning to sidechains, are racing to capture BTC liquidity as programmable capital for payments and DeFi. Bitcoin Hyper uses an SVM-based Layer 2 anchored to Bitcoin to deliver extremely low-latency smart contracts, targeting DeFi, gaming, and high-speed BTC payments. Stablec…
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What to Know: Circle’s climb toward a potential $100 valuation reflects recovering crypto sentiment, renewed USDC activity, and stronger demand for regulated on-chain liquidity exposure. As risk appetite returns, capital often rotates from infrastructure equities and large caps into earlier-stage narratives with more asymmetric upside potential. AI-powered content platforms aim to fix Web2 creator pain points: high fees, opaque moderation, fragmented tools, and limited global payment options. SUBBD Token merges Web3 payments and integrated AI tools so creators can keep more earnings, automate fan engagement, and control content inside a transparent, tokenized ecosystem.…
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What to Know: Solana stalls near $140 and ETF flows reshape liquidity as DEX volumes cool off. Money starts to rotate into projects with real narratives or structural links to Bitcoin’s liquidity base. Bitcoin Hyper brings SVM-powered smart contracts and ultra-fast execution to Bitcoin, aiming to unlock DeFi and dApps for BTC holders. Maxi Doge channels trader culture into a meme token with competitions, dynamic staking, and a growing presale-backed war chest. Solana’s the talk of the town. $SOL has been grinding against the $140 ceiling as spot altcoin ETFs soak up liquidity and DEX volumes cool off. Perps funding has normalized, leverage is bleeding out, and the ea…
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Since the panicked sell-off at the beginning of this week, where major cryptocurrencies saw massive declines, including Bitcoin (BTC) that slid from $91,000 to $85,000 in a few hours, today, the broader crypto market has stabilized and bounced back. During the early trading hours today, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive…
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What to Know: Bitcoin traders are reducing leverage as risk appetite cools, shifting focus toward selective, asymmetric opportunities. Presales with strong narratives and clear utility, rather than high-beta momentum trades, are gaining attention in this cautious environment. Bitcoin Hyper leads the rotation with SVM-powered speed, a strong Bitcoin-centric thesis, and more than $29M raised. Maxi Doge appeals to volatility seekers through meme-driven trading culture, competitions, and high-APY staking. Bitcoin’s mood has shifted. With the taker buy/sell ratio rolling over as Bitcoin’s price falls, and estimated leverage cooling, futures markets are telling you traders…
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Crypto analyst CryptoWzrd, in a recent Chainlink daily technical outlook, noted that the candle closed slightly bearish, but the overall structure remains constructive and pushes toward the key $16.00 resistance, where momentum could shift quickly. According to the analyst, a retest of the $13.50 support or a break above the $15.20 resistance will be the critical trigger for the next major trade setup. Indecisive Daily Close Sets the Stage For A Critical Trendline Test CryptoWzrd noted that both LINK and LINKBTC closed the daily candle in an indecisive manner, reflecting uncertainty in the short-term market direction. Despite this hesitation, the broader structure remain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The main reason cited for the rally in EUR/USD is the increased likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut to 3.75% in December, rising from less than 30% at the end of November to nearly 90% now. However, the euro is not a lightweight. The European Central Bank has succeeded in combating inflation without pressure, unlike the Federal Reserve. Business activity in the Eurozone has surged to its highest level in 2.5 years, and the growth in German manufacturing orders suggests that Germany's GDP will impress in the fourth quarter. Dynamics of German Manufacturing Orders According to Bank of America, EUR/USD is expected to rise to 1.22 by the end of 2026, driven by a low…
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As Bitcoin exhibits relative stability, trading above $90,000, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Thursday that the rise of stablecoins could accelerate the substitution of local currencies in countries with weak monetary systems, potentially undermining central banks' control over capital flows. In a report titled "Understanding Stablecoins," published on Thursday, the IMF cautioned that the rapid growth in the popularity of dollar-denominated stablecoins, coupled with their ease of cross-border use, might encourage households and businesses to abandon local currencies in favor of dollar-based stablecoins, particularly in environments marked by high inflat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 154.47 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Unfortunately, I did not wait for a second test to buy at this level. In the afternoon, particular attention will be paid to the release of US data. It will start with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, followed by information on changes in consumer spending and income. Later that day, consumer sentiment data calculated by the University of Michigan and inflation forecasts prepared by the same…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3353 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. A second test at 1.3353 occurred while the MACD was in the overbought area, allowing the execution of Scenario No. 2: selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 15 pips. In the afternoon, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, along with data on changes in personal spending and income, is expected to be released. Shortly afterward, figures for the University of Michiga…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1665 coincided with the MACD indicator already having moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The European currency strengthened its position, supported by positive economic news: a stable rise in German industry and encouraging GDP figures for the Eurozone instilled optimism in the investment environment. German industry reported a noticeable increase in orders, indicating a recovery in purchasing activity and strengthening in the manufacturing sector towards year-end. This factor had a significant positive impa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Currently, Bitcoin has once again fallen into the $91,000 range and is now trying to make a comeback to the $92,000 mark as the hype surrounding meme tokens is beginning to fade. As seen on the chart, trading volumes and the market capitalization of various "shitcoins" launched this year continue to stabilize at lower levels. Notably, more than 50% of the sector's total capitalization still belongs to Dogecoin. A decline in this altcoin could significantly pull down the entire meme token market. The influence of Dogecoin on the meme token market is hard to overstate. Despite the emergence of many new projects, none have come close to matching the popularity of Dogecoin. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
"To survive, one must adapt." Kazuo Ueda's diplomacy has convinced investors of the potential for a December cut in the overnight rate. According to a Reuters insider in the government, the Bank of Japan will continue its normalization efforts, and the Prime Minister must simply accept this. Just a year ago, Sanae Takichi called tightening monetary policy foolish. Perspectives change, and along with them, the upward trend for USD/JPY is breaking. One can only speculate how Ueda managed to convince the Prime Minister—perhaps by emphasizing the need to combat inflation or by referencing the weak yen, which does not please the United States. The government will turn a blind …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair pulled back slightly on Thursday, but bulls held the support zone at 1.1645–1.1656. Therefore, a bounce from this zone today will favor the European currency and resume the upward movement towards the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. A consolidation of the pair below the 1.1645–1.1656 zone will increase the likelihood of a continued decline towards the support zone of 1.1594–1.1607. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the last upward wave broke the prior peak. Thus, the trend has officially changed to "bullish." It cannot be called strong, b…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair bounced off the resistance zone of 1.3352–1.3362 on Thursday, then reversed in favor of the US dollar, posting a slight decline. Trader activity was very low due to a weak informational backdrop. On Friday morning, the pound is aiming to return to the 1.3352–1.3362 zone. A new bounce from this zone will once again favor the US dollar and lead to a decline towards the 61.8% corrective level at 1.3294. A consolidation above this zone will increase the likelihood of further growth towards the 1.3425 level. The wave situation has transformed into a "bullish" stance. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
