Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11782 tópicos neste fórum
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Donald Trump attempted to exert control over the Federal Reserve even during his first term as president. I do not doubt that he appointed Jerome Powell to the position of Fed Chair with some "ulterior motive," aiming to gain control over the central bank. This is precisely what Trump is trying to do now. However, with Powell, it turned out to be a miscalculation. Legally, the president has no influence over the Fed chair; therefore, Powell has operated independently since taking his position. I don't know if there were any arrangements between Powell and Trump before his first appointment eight years ago. This mystery will likely remain unsolved. However, it can be said …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The economic calendar for the upcoming week is not packed with significant events for the EUR/USD pair. Among the minor releases, only the JOLTS data for October and the weekly jobless claims data stand out. However, this does not mean the week will be quiet and uneventful. On the contrary, we are about to enter a phase of heightened price volatility, as the Federal Reserve's December meeting results will be announced on Wednesday. Therefore, the upcoming week can be divided into two parts: before and after the meeting. In the first half of the week, the market will focus on expectations regarding the meeting, while in the second half, it will react to its outcomes. All o…
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At the end of the week, the Japanese yen attempted to maintain its bullish stance, but profit-taking ahead of the weekend prompted a slight rise in USD/JPY. However, reports released this week by the Japanese Ministry of Internal Affairs indicate that household spending in October 2025 decreased by 2.9% year-on-year. This result fell short of market expectations for a 1.0% increase and completely offset the 1.8% growth from the previous month. This marked the first decrease since April and the fastest decline since January 2024, raising new concerns about economic development. Despite this, the Japanese yen tried to hold its ground in the USD/JPY pair, supported by potent…
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The American dollar will set the tone for the entire currency market in the coming week. However, if my readers have just entertained the thought of a busy economic calendar, I must burst that bubble. The "shutdown" continues in effect in the US. While the shutdown itself has ended, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other government agencies have not yet been able to gather all the necessary information or fill the statistical gaps. For example, the next reports on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation will only be released next week, on December 16 and 18. This means they will come after the FOMC meeting. I have often discussed the impact of the lack of statisti…
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The British pound has been trading similarly to the euro in recent months (as it often does), constructing identical or very similar wave structures. However, the wave structure for the pound appears more convincing overall. We observed a long, complex corrective wave 4 that took the form of an A-B-C. Inside wave C, a corrective structure a-b-c-d-e was also formed. Following this, an upward wave set began to develop, which could signify the start of a new global wave 5 or it could simply be wave D in 4. Unfortunately, corrective structures tend to take on more complex forms and elongate. The news backdrop for the pound in recent weeks has only created problems. The econom…
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The European currency has seen demand over the past two weeks; however, while this phrase sounds promising, in reality, we have observed very weak growth in the euro. Even on the EUR/USD chart, it's clear that we witnessed nothing more than yet another corrective wave within countless other corrective waves and structures. The formal targets of the proposed wave 3 or C have been reached, so the instrument may begin a new decline as early as next week. This could occur as part of wave 4 of the same upward corrective structure or within a new downward structure. The essence remains unchanged: the euro still cannot resume the formation of an upward trend. The news backdrop l…
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The IMF also believes that increasing government investments in 2026 will boost economic growth, while low public debt will allow for the attraction of additional funds. Germany's public debt stands at only 68% of GDP, the lowest figure among EU countries. As the saying goes, Germany has room to grow, provided there is the will to do so. However, Germany epitomizes the well-fed and measured pace of the European Union. While in many other countries workers are willing to do overtime, actively seek new jobs in case of layoffs, and do not allow themselves to have idle time—where all adult family members work—many EU countries (including Germany) experience the opposite situa…
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The German economy has been in a dire state for almost five years now. While "dire" may not be the most precise term, the reality is that the economy experiences periods of growth and decline. This is not what one expects from the "locomotive of the Eurozone." As the richest country in the bloc, Germany faces high expectations, and the last time its GDP grew by more than 1% year-on-year was three years ago—in the third quarter of 2022. New Chancellor Friedrich Merz has taken steps to accelerate Germany's economic growth, notably by significantly increasing investments in defense and the military. These investments are being funded through increased public debt. However, t…
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Current Interest Rates How the 2026 FOMC Shake-Up Could Reshape Federal Reserve Policy Current Interest Rates Just weeks ago, money markets were pricing in a 70% chance the Federal Reserve would not cut rates on December 10. In an abrupt shift, markets flipped, and rate-cut odds surged to 84%, strongly favoring a 25-basis-point reduction. If the FOMC follows the market’s lead, investors will be watching not only the policy statement but also how many voting members dissent—a key signal for the path of rate cuts in 2026. But there’s another major wild card: the 2026 makeup of FOMC voting members, which could significantly alter the policy balance. Current Inter…
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Dogecoin has just celebrated its 12th anniversary, a milestone that arrives during a period of shaky price action. The meme coin has spent the majority of recent days trading with a bearish tone, but its anniversary places into perspective how much the crypto environment has changed since the token’s joke-related launch in 2013. The celebration comes as analysts continue to debate whether Dogecoin’s long accumulation structure is nearing a turning point, and its next breakout might define its 13th year. A Milestone That Shows How Far Dogecoin Has Come Dogecoin began as a lighthearted project by developer Billy Markus and Adobe sales employee Jackson Palmer in order to…
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Prominent market analyst Michael Van de Poppe has shared four market conditions that would confirm an altcoin market rally. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market continues to experience a widespread correction, weighing down the price growth of several assets. Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin: A Positive Sign For Altcoins? Ethereum has shown more resilience in the last month than Bitcoin, which is largely interpreted as a bullish signal for altcoin enthusiasts. In the last week alone, the prominent altcoin reported a slight market gain of 0.86% compared to Bitcoin’s loss of 1.95%. When Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin, it encourages increased altcoin activity, as investor confid…
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In the last couple of days, the crypto space has been just going through the motions. SpaceX moved 1,083 Bitcoin (BTC), roughly $100 million, to new wallets. At the time, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before {…
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What place holds the highest probability for a new world-class discovery? As an Australia-based geologist and investor, I tend to look in my own backyard first, which is the home bias effect. But the thing is, thanks to decades of a supportive mining environment, well-trained staff, and advanced exploration methods, the prospect of discovering another giant deposit in Australia is fading. Don’t get me wrong, there could still be potential in remote outback locations, like the Tanami. But compared to places like West Africa, where high-grade gold can still be found close to surface, Australia’s giant discovery potential is diminishing. Then there’s Ca…
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It’s time for Africa Crypto News Week in Review! This is my first time doing this, so don’t be mad if I’m not as great as 99Bitcoins writers Dalmas Ngetich or editor Sam Cooling. This week, crypto adoption in Sub-Saharan Africa is accelerating at one of the fastest rates in the world, driven by currency instability, retail demand, and the region’s growing adoption of digital settlement rails. Here’s what you need to know: “Crypto products are structurally designed to outperform traditional finance.” – Christo de Wit, Luno South Africa DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025 Kenya Crypto Positioning Strengthens: Kenya’s Directorate of C…
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Bitcoin’s (BTC) ongoing price correction has been accompanied by several other negative developments that continue to grab investors’ attention. Most recently, market analyst Darkfost has observed a significant crash in Bitcoin spot trading volume, while highlighting potential long-term implications of such an event. Binance Records $40B Loss In BTC Monthly Spot Trading The spot trading volume refers to the total amount of Bitcoin that is bought and sold for immediate delivery on exchanges within a specific time period. It is a key market indicator used to gauge participation, liquidity, and investor interest. According to Darkfost in an X post on December 6, the Bitc…
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Another week, another crypto Asia roundup. In this week’s update, we will focus on key developments in the crypto Asia landscape, with a keen emphasis on India, Japan, and South Korea. These four markets never seem to sleep and always have something going on. Here are the biggest headlines from this past week. Crypto Asia Win: Bitget To Expand Investment Platform In India Post 2026 FIU Approval Bitget is all in on India and, as such, wants to expand beyond being just an exchange platform to offer wider investment options in the future. According to a local publication, the exchange is currently registering with the Indian Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU). According to…
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The latest market conditions have pushed hopes of an altcoin season even further out of reach. Bitcoin continues to dominate the market with a 59.6% share, and its recent struggle to hold bullish momentum has not translated into any meaningful boost for altcoins. Broader sentiment has weakened as well, with the CMC Altcoin Season Index registering just 20, which still places the entire market in a Bitcoin-favored phase. Meanwhile, a critical indication has been detected from on-chain data that suggests this may be a rare moment to accumulate strong altcoin positions before conditions eventually turn. Altcoins Stay Subdued As Market Sentiment Worsens Altcoin performanc…
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Following a fresh wave of bearish pressure on Friday, December 5, the price of Bitcoin has struggled beneath the psychological 90,000 level for much of the weekend. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that the premier cryptocurrency might be readying for its next healthy upward move. BTC SOPR Drops To Lowest Level Since Early 2024 In a December 6 post on the X platform, CryptoOnchain hypothesized that a local bottom appears to be forming for the price of Bitcoin. According to the market pundit, the selling pressure, especially amongst long-term holders, seems to be fading off at the moment. This market observation centers on the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) …
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The Bitcoin market appears to be riddled with an increasing amount of sell-side pressure, as its recent price action reveals bears’ dominance. Interestingly, another on-chain evaluation suggests that the current market movement may be a direct effect of rising panic-induced sales. $1.7B Realized Losses Vs $605M Realized Gains In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, GugaOnChain shared that the Bitcoin market has been in a capitulation phase in recent days. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin Realized Profit and Loss ($) metric. For context, this metric tracks the actual profits (in US dollars) and losses investors realize—or lock in—whenever …
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Bitcoin finds itself at a critical crossroads, hovering between two major price zones that could define its next big move. Buyers and sellers are locked in a tight battle, and the market now waits for a decisive break. A push above key resistance could open the door to $107,000, while weakness at support risks a deeper slide toward $71,000. Bounce Scenario: A Return Toward The Pink Box And Descending Trendline Kamile Uray, in her latest update on Bitcoin, noted that BTC failed to hold above the $90,720 level on the hourly chart, triggering the expected decline. The first immediate support now sits at $87,644, while the deeper support range lies between $83,822 and $82,47…
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Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, says ultra-wealthy families are rapidly accumulating XRP, and he believes most XRP holders still don’t realize how rare their position is. In a video posted on X, Claver revealed that his firm has been in recent conversations with large family offices that are now making significant allocations into XRP. His comments arrive at a moment when XRP’s long-term narrative is witnessing increased interest due to ETFs, and they highlight a shift happening among investors who have always avoided cryptocurrencies altogether. Wealthy Families Quietly Accumulating XRP Claver explained that XRP ownership is currently extremely limited r…
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Poland crypto industry scored a major win this week, as plans to move ahead with new crypto rules stalled on Friday after lawmakers failed to override President Andrzej Duda’s veto. The setback slows Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s effort to align national policy with the European Union’s MiCA framework. The Sejm, Poland’s lower house, fell 18 votes short of the three-fifths majority needed to reverse the president’s decision. With the veto standing, Tusk’s coalition must restart the entire process if it wants to establish a formal regulatory system for digital assets. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Bitcoin and Ethereum are holding steady near important levels while derivatives traders prepare for the next move. According to CoinGecko’s data on December 7, Bitcoin price is trading just below $89,400 today. The price is up about +0.1% in the past 24 hours, with roughly $28.5Bn in spot volume. The calm spot trading hides a much busier picture in the futures market. CoinGlass shows Bitcoin futures open interest sitting near $56.5Bn. (Source: Coinglass) Futures volume over the past day is close to $49.5Bn, while spot volume on major exchanges is around $3.6Bn. DISCOVER: Next 1000X Crypto – Here’s 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x This Year Is Bitcoin’s On-Chain …
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Ethereum switched on its biggest capacity upgrade of 2025 this week, activating the Fusaka hard fork and triggering a quick positive response from the market. The update merges the Fulu consensus layer with the Osaka execution layer. In simple terms, it changes how Ethereum moves and stores data. The goal is to process more transactions without giving up decentralization. Fusaka brings two major upgrades. The first is PeerDAS, a change to how data is handled across the network. Developers say it can increase Ethereum’s data throughput by up to eight times. The latest acquisition further strengthens BitMine’s position as one of the largest corporate holders of Ethe…
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Ethereum is gaining momentum, and several technical signals suggest that a significant move could be on the way. With key support levels holding and bullish patterns forming, the market may be setting up for a notable upside. Golden Pocket Rejection: Confirming The High-Risk Scenario In a recent update on X, analyst Luca referenced his recent market commentary, noting that Ethereum price action unfolded exactly as he had anticipated, with the price tapping into the lost high-timeframe support range. This range aligned with the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, and the price rejected there, confirming the high-risk scenario he had highl…
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