Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6914 tópicos neste fórum
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Atico Mining (TSXV: ATY) has inked an investment protection agreement (IPA) with the government of Ecuador for the development of its La Plata mining project located 100 km southwest of Quito. The IPA, which formalizes the commitment made by the Ecuadorian government during last year’s Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, covers a total of $157.9 million in current and future investments. Vancouver-headquartered Atico said the agreement would provide the added benefit of legal and tax stability throughout the life of mine. Under the terms of the IPA, Atico would receive an income tax reduction of 5% during the life of the contract, a…
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Mineralization at Bald Hill project in New Brunswick, Canada. Image: Antimony Resources. Antimony Resources (CSE: ATMY) (FSE: K8J0) reported Wednesday that the first assays have been received from drilling at its Bald Hill antimony project, including sections of “massive antimony stibnite and stibnite bearing breccia-filling” intersected. The Bald Hill project is located in Canada’s New Brunswick province. The company reported drilling 4.17% Sb over 7.40 meters including three zones which returned 28.8% Sb, 21.9% Sb, and 17.9% Sb, respectively. Ten additional drillholes have been completed to date and sections of massive antimony stibnite and stibnite …
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Singapore-based tech start-up Atomionics has received a $12.7 million Pre-Series A round to rapidly scale its quantum gravimetry sensors for mineral discovery, which it says could cut costs and speed the development of projects. The round was led by Paspalis and includes BHP Ventures, In-Q-Tel, Wavemaker, VU Venture Partners, SG Growth Capital and Alex Turnbull, among others, the company said. In February, Atomionics partnered with Rio Tinto Exploration to test a quantum gravity sensor in mineral exploration. Atomionics’ Gravio device is a portable, basketball-sized sensor and works like a “virtual X-ray” for the Earth to identify what could lie beneath th…
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The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will conclude its monetary policy today at 11.00 (SGT) and release its latest quarterly outlook report. It is widely expected that the BoJ will maintain its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.5%, its highest level since 2008, for the fourth consecutive meeting due to uncertainties on the impact of US trade tariffs. Also, BoJ is likely to revise its inflation outlook higher for this fiscal year 2025 in its quarterly outlook report to 2.5% from 2.5% due to the secondary effects from US tariffs, while maintaining its inflation forecast unchanged at 1.7% for FY 2026, and 1.9% for FY 2027, according to consensus estimates. Hence, the BoJ may co…
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The AUD/JPY pair began the week with a bullish gap and reached 99.37 — levels last seen in November 2024. The strong intraday rally was driven by heavy selling of the Japanese yen, indicating the potential for further gains in the pair in the near term. On Saturday, Sanae Takaichi won the second round of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership election and is expected to be confirmed as Japan's first female prime minister at the parliamentary session in mid-October. Takaichi is considered a "fiscal dove" and may announce a more expansionary economic policy. This increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will not raise rates this month, triggering aggressive ye…
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Key takeaways RBA steady, RBNZ dovish tilt: Australia’s central bank is expected to hold rates at 3.6%, while New Zealand’s weak labour market raises the odds of a more dovish RBNZ stance.Widening yield spreads: The 2-year and 10-year AU/NZ sovereign bond yield spreads are likely to widen further, favouring AUD strength over NZD.AUD/NZD strength: The cross pair has gained 5.8% since July 2025, hitting a three-year high of 1.1390, supported by relative macro and yield dynamics.Technical outlook bullish: Short-term bias stays positive for AUD/NZD above 1.1330 support, with scope to test 1.1435 and the long-term secular resistance at 1.1470. Australia’s central bank (R…
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Key takeaways AUD/NZD nears breakout: The pair rallied 1.10% since 6 October 2025, approaching the key long-term resistance at 1.1470.RBNZ turns more dovish: The central bank cut its cash rate by 50 bps to 2.5%, signaling openness to further easing to boost demand.Yield spread widens: The AU–NZ 10-year bond yield spread expanded to 0.16%, reinforcing bullish momentum for AUD/NZD.Technical setup remains strong: Uptrend within a medium-term ascending channel; breakout above 1.1470 could target 1.1510 next. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “AUD/NZD: Bullish en route towards a 10-year high at 1.1470 with a less dovish RBA”, published o…
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The Australian dollar remained calm in response to yesterday's news about the suspension of funding for several U.S. government agencies, continuing the upward movement that began three days ago. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above both key indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is in the positive zone, taking a brief pause before potentially continuing the uptrend. The target at 0.6668 remains open, and a firm consolidation above this level could lead to further gains toward 0.6755. The alternative (bearish) scenario would require a sustained move below the MACD line (at 0.6564). In that case, the downside target opens at 0.6450. In the 4-hour timefram…
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On the weekly chart, the price has reached the upper boundary of the descending price channel. From here, there are two options: either a breakout upward from the current levels with the possibility of medium-term growth, or a reversal downward from the current levels for a medium-term decline. A divergence between the price and the Marlin oscillator suggests a higher probability of the downside scenario. On the daily chart, consolidation below the July peak (0.6627) will be the first signal of a reversal. The Marlin oscillator is already indicating further downside. A break above 0.6668 opens the way to growth (alternative scenario). Consolidation below the MACD lin…
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell back below 0.6668 yesterday. Today, the decline continues quite actively. Accordingly, the breakout with consolidation on the 16th turned out to be false, which signals the prospect of medium-term downside movement. Confirmation of this scenario will come if the price moves under the MACD line, located near the August 14 high at 0.6571. This would open the target at 0.6450. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the MACD support line. The Marlin oscillator is declining steeply. We expect the situation to develop further along the main bearish scenario. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar failed to break through the support of the daily balance indicator line on September 25 and 26. It is possible that the strength of the "bulls" will now push the price above the already reached MACD line. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory. A decisive breakout may occur tomorrow. If successful (with consolidation above the MACD line), the target at 0.6668 will open. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its rate decision. The probability of holding the rate is estimated at 96.4%, but market participants expect a shift in the accompanying statement's tone toward hawkishness due to rising inflation. …
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Most Read: Taking a step back – key long-term market charts and levels AUD/USD has risen 0.6% from its Tuesday low of 0.6572 as the US Dollar continued its slide. The Dollar struggle is partly linked to a potential US Government shutdown with Congress needing to agree to temporary funding before 04h00 GMT on Wednesday. RBA Rate Hold Boosts Aussie Dollar The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep its main interest rate, known as the cash rate, unchanged at 3.6%. This decision was expected by the markets and indicates a more cautious approach by the central bank. This careful stance is due to concerns that overall inflation is starting to creep up toward the top…
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This article is a follow up from the previous article on the Australian Dollar titled AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Is the Aussie Dollar Poised for Gains? As discussed in the previous Australian Dollar article titled AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? The Aussie Dollar may be poised for a rally. Since the interest rate decision by the RBA the Aussie Dollar has flattered to deceive. AUD/USD has faced a challenge given the US Dollars recent renaissance but that rally is likely to run out of steam soon in my opinion. The fact that the RBA are holding rates and the Fed expected to cut bodes well for the AUD/USD…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior report “AUD/USD Technical: Further Aussie rally towards major resistance, supported by firmer China core inflation”, published on 10 September 2025. The price actions of the AUD/USD have indeed jumped as expected; it rallied by 1.2% to record an intraday high of 0.6690 on Friday, 12 September, Asia session at the time of writing, and hit the lower limit of the 0.6660/0.6680 major resistance zone mentioned in our publication. …
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Since a retest on its key medium-term “Expanding Wedge” range support on 22 August 2025, the AUD/USD has staged a minor bullish reversal and rallied by 3.2% (low to high) to print an intraday high of 0.6620 on Tuesday, 9 September 2025, on the backdrop of a broad-based weaker US dollar against other major currencies in anticipation of a Fed dovish pivot. Read more on US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve …
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After Australia’s central bank (RBA) shocked market participants with its prior monetary policy decision in July to stand pat on its short-term cash interest rate at 3.85% in defiance of overwhelming expectations of a rate cut, the consensus forecast now is a 25 basis points cut to lower the cash interest rate to 3.6% on Tuesday meeting, 12 August as inflation pressures subsided. Q2’s trimmed mean gauge of inflation in Australia cooled to 2.7% from 2.9% in Q1, inching down closer to the midpoint of RBA’s 2%-3% inflation target. Even the monthly CPI rose by 1.9% y/y in June, easing from May’s print of 2.1%. Hence, RBA’s third interest rate this year, which is set for T…
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The minor corrective pull-back of -2% seen in the AUD/USD ex-post FOMC from 17 September 2025 high of 0.6707 to 22 September 2025 low of 0.6575 has reached an inflection point to kick-start a potential fresh bullish impulsive up move sequence. Fig. 1: …
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The market is confident that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep all monetary policy settings unchanged at its September meeting. This is the most widely expected scenario, and its outcome has already been factored into the price. The intrigue lies in the RBA's future actions, given the mixed fundamental backdrop ahead of the September decision. Last week's data showed that monthly inflation in Australia accelerated to 3.0% — the fastest pace since July 2024. However, the rise in CPI in August was driven mainly by temporary factors, particularly the expiration of "energy" subsidies in three states. The labor market delivered weak results: total employment in …
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The AUD/USD pair has been in a zone of strong turbulence in recent days — on Wednesday, buyers made their presence felt at the 0.6709 mark, while on Thursday, sellers pushed it down to the lower end of the 0.66 range. Such swings are driven not only by the outcome of the Fed's September meeting. The Australian currency has also played a role, sharply reacting to the published labor market data out of Australia. The release did not favor the Aussie. Unemployment in August held at the previous month's level, i.e., 4.2%. On the one hand, this is "stability," but it's important to remember that the unemployment rate is a lagging and shaky indicator. Labor market cooling ca…
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This week has been essential for the future course of action for both the Aussie and the US Dollar. After Tuesday's Royal Bank of Australia meeting, where the unanimous decision to cut rates by 25 bps to 3.60%, the Aussie had strengthened a tid-bit. Australian data following the meeting included Employment which largely came as expected and with the 4.2% unemployment rate, staying relatively flat, the RBA will be patient with its upcoming rate cuts – The next meeting will be on the On the other side of the Pacific, the US saw a reassuring CPI data on Tuesday right before these hopes got taken by yesterday's PPI report showing the first effect of tariff-led inflation. …
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Most majors have appreciated the latest bout of dovishness from the FED Speakers as they entered the blackout period (2 weeks before FED Meeting where they can't mention Monetary Policy). The Dollar Index has fell below the 98.00 level, key barometer for appetite after having failed to even reach 99.00 on the July USD run-up. This allowed AUDUSD to find some form of bottom before markets see more data. The Australian Dollar had actually held pretty strong compared to its neighbor NZD for example, after holding their rates at the July 8th Meeting, before Markets saw disappointing Jobs data the week after and decided to still sell the Aussie. As a matter of fact, the RBA…
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This week is full of data for the Antipodeans and fro now, a combination of decent to positive Chinese and Australian data are providing boosts to both the New Zealand Dollar and the Australian Dollar. The Employment rate for NZ came exactly in line and following consecutive beats for Australian and Chinese PMIs, the export-reliant economies are seeing a revamped economic outlook and this is helping commodities like Oil to reverse some of its downward movement. You can access the latest report on the NZ Employment data right here. In the meanwhile, let's take a look at multiple timeframe charts for the Aussie as it leads the Forex board in today's session. Tonight wil…
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A fundamental overview of the AUD to prepare for a key week This week is promised to be a major mover for the Forex market, and the AUD is far from being excluded from potential movement. Between Central Bank meetings, including Wednesday’s FOMC and Australia’s Quarterly Inflation data, AUD Traders must stay prepared for the upcoming action. The Royal Bank of Australia held its Main Rate at 3.85% at the beginning of July, citing higher inflation and more than decent employment figures. However, the week after, the figures were not as good. The initial reaction was stronger for the AUD, but the motion is starting to show some change right after the pair hit some 8-mon…
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There is a beautiful storm brewing that could shape the direction of the crypto bull run in 2025 and beyond. This Friday (August 15), Donald Trump will meet with Vladimir Putin, and the leaders of their respective nations aim to bring about an end to the conflict in Ukraine. A positive outcome will likely send the crypto bull market into overdrive. On the crypto side, Sharplink Gaming (SBET), one of the leading publicly-traded Ethereum Treasury firms, has its Q2 earnings call, which investors will be keen to hear after the firm has amassed just shy of 600,000 ETH ($2.8 billion) since pivoting to its Ethereum Treasury strategy earlier this year. These two events taking p…
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The August lull is a myth—a mirage for those who mistake heat for inertia. As this summer advances, businesses and investors should brace for turbulence, not tranquility. A kaleidoscope of US tariffs, an escalation of Russia's assault on Ukraine ahead of the American deadline, deceleration of US growth, when looking through the trade-related distortion, and the de-synchronization of the monetary cycle, weave together a narrative far more dramatic than Northern Hemisphere’s summer doldrums. Market participants and policymakers alike will be navigating a landscape increasingly defined by disruption and divergence, with the potential for unforeseen consequences echoing acros…
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