Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Silver prices rose above $45 an ounce for the first time since 2011 on Thursday, bolstered by an increased risk-off sentiment in equity markets amid worries about the trajectory of the US economy. Spot gold hit an intraday high of $45.07 — its highest in over 14 years — before pulling back to around $44.70 per ounce, for a 1.8% rise. Click on chart for live prices. The move takes silver’s year-to-date gains up to over 55%, surpassing that of its more expensive sister metal gold, which has seen multiple record highs this year. The bullish drivers include a weakening US dollar, relentless central bank buying and rising geopolitical risks. Surging demand for go…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves are forming, the structure remains intact. This allows for accurate forecasts. It is worth remembering that wave patterns do not always look like textbook examples. Right now, the structure still looks very good. The upward trend section continues to build, while the news background mostly does not support the dollar. The trade war launched by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations for Fed rate policy are rising. The market is rating the results of Trump's first 6–7 months very po…
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The US Dollar has been rallying steadily since its pre-FOMC lows, with Powell’s not-so-dovish speech last week marking the start of a V-shape reversal from the sharp pre-meeting downfall. Despite another appearance from the Fed Chair at a Rhode Island conference on Tuesday—where his strong emphasis on employment could have been read as a dovish catalyst—markets didn’t budge. Instead, the DXY finished higher that day, signaling that markets already priced in Powell’s words and participants are now looking for something else. The decisive move came from this morning's Jobless Claims beat, combined with even higher Q2 GDP, which markets saw as another reason to extend the …
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Gate Builds Its Own Layer 2 with OP Stack Gate is stepping into the Layer 2 race with a new network called Gate Layer. It’s being built using the OP Stack, the same open-source tech used by Coinbase and Kraken. Instead of settling transactions on Ethereum like most L2s, Gate will settle on its own chain, GateChain. And instead of ETH for gas fees, users will pay in GT, the native token of the exchange. What Gate Layer Is Supposed to Do This new setup is meant to make things quicker and cheaper. By shifting activity off the main chain and handling it on Gate Layer first, the network should be able to cut down on traffic and bring fees down too. Once everything’s pro…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,050. ETH is now struggling and might decline further if it breaks the $3,850 support zone. Ethereum failed to extend gains and declined below the $4,000 zone. The price is trading below $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,050 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $3,880 and $3,850. Ethereum Price Dips Further Ethereum price remained in a bearish zone after it settled below $4,250, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,120 and $4,050 support levels. The bears even p…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also plunged on Thursday. Recall that the British pound had grounds for its latest downward move. We cannot say these reasons were unambiguous—many factors were interpreted by the market against the pound, though they could've been seen the other way around. However, on Thursday, the US GDP and durable goods orders reports could only be interpreted as favorable to the US dollar. Q2 GDP came in at +3.8%, while durable goods orders rose by 2.9%—in both cases, much stronger than forecasts. Thus, more positive reports triggered growth in the US currency, fully supporting the current downward trend, now reaffirmed …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3293 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: The price from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may c…
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Yesterday's U.S. GDP report triggered a surge in demand for the U.S. dollar and a sell-off in risk assets — and it comes as no surprise. According to the data, the U.S. economy grew in the second quarter at its fastest pace in nearly two years, after the government revised its previous estimate of consumer spending. According to the report released Thursday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) rose at an annual rate of 3.8%, based on revised data. This is higher than the preliminary estimate of 3.3%, and clearly much stronger than the 0.5% contraction in the first quarter. The acceleration in economic growth was primarily dr…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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If you’re a TRX holder, it’s time to start worrying. Get ready to wrap your head around major changes unfolding in the multi-billion-dollar stablecoin space, a court Tron has dominated for years. Yesterday, the Plasma mainnet launched, and contributors, even those who supplied just $1, received over 9,300 XPL tokens for free. It was a classic airdrop, the kind designed to spark FOMO, of which Plasma delivered in spades. At press time, those 9,300 XPL tokens are worth more than $10,000, with the XPL USD price defying gravity and climbing higher. Patient HODLers could emerge as big winners in the weeks ahead. For the less patient, selling might be the path of least res…
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Key takeaways SPX 500 pullback: Index fell -1.9% over three sessions from its all-time high, testing key support at 6,580/6,560 near its 20-day moving average.Bullish setup intact: price remains within its short- and medium-term uptrend, with momentum indicators pointing to easing bearish pressure.Sector rotation support: Consumer Discretionary’s outperformance over Consumer Staples signals potential for a bullish reversal in SPX 500.Key levels to watch: a rebound above 6,635 could extend gains to 6,670/6,680 and 6,730/6,745; failure below 6,560 risks a deeper slide to 6,530/6,460. Since hitting the latest fresh all-time high of 6,710 on Monday, 22 September 2025, t…
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Fireweed Metals’ (TSXV: FWZ) shares jumped to an all-time high this week on drill results at its Macpass project in Yukon that extended a zone of high-grade zinc mineralization in massive sulphides in a 115-metre step-out hole. Highlight hole TS25-001D1 in the Tom deposit cut 54.8 metres grading 18.2% zinc, 13.9% lead and 161 grams silver per tonne from 892 metres depth, including 40.4 metres at 22.4% zinc, 17.7% lead and 208.2 grams silver, the company reported on Tuesday. Another interval in that hole cut 12.8 metres grading 24.9% zinc, 32% lead and 371 grams silver. “It’s only one hole, but the most recent result from Tom South provides a high-grade target tha…
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Aya Gold & Silver (TSX: AYA) has shot down a short-seller report alleging that the company had overstated the resource and value of its only producing asset. Shares of Aya bounced back after an initial onslaught. A report by activist short-seller Blue Orca Capital on Thursday claimed that the company had significantly inflated the resource estimate of its Zgounder mine in Morocco to cover up issues such as plummeting grades and underwhelming production. The Canadian miner later responded with a press release, stating that it “strongly refutes” those allegations, and the report “contains numerous inaccuracies and mischaracterizations, including about Aya’s curr…
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The week saw another speech by Jerome Powell, during which the FOMC Chair stated that even one more rate cut is not guaranteed. Recall that at last week's Fed meeting, Powell indicated that two more rounds of monetary easing before year-end should not be ruled out. The market immediately raised its expectations for further cuts, but this week, Powell cooled the enthusiasm of the "dovish" camp. I would like to draw my readers' attention to two key points. The first: since 2024, Jerome Powell has been regularly repeating the phrase, "rate decisions will be made solely based on economic data." Bearing in mind the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, we cannot be confident even in…
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The U.S. dollar quickly lost ground against risk assets at the end of last week, with clear reasons for this shift. Data showed that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressures in the U.S. This sharply weakened the dollar's position. Traders interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates without major risks, stimulating the economy and supporting the labor market. As a result, U.S. assets became less attractive, triggering capital outflows. The euro, the British pound, and other risk-sensitive assets, by contrast, strengthened on expectations that th…
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Bitcoin rose sharply during today's Asian session, reaching $112,300, after previously trading near $109,000. Ethereum also gained significantly, climbing back to the $4,000 level, which had been broken late last week. Meanwhile, Eric Trump, son of the U.S. president, recently stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be incredible for BTC and the entire cryptocurrency market, citing seasonality and similar factors. According to him, the future of crypto looks bright thanks to QE, an expanding money supply, regulatory progress, and the actions of the White House administration. While the impact of political statements on the cryptocurrency market is hard to overestim…
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According to reports from Egrag Crypto, a statistical model now being applied to XRP points to a wide range of possible outcomes — from a modest climb to an extreme rally. The coin is trading near $2.86 and has fallen about 2% over the past week, which the firm says sits it near an important junction on a long-term trend line. Let’s check these numbers: a monthly linear regression plotted on a logarithmic scale, with an R-squared of 0.847. That figure is being used to argue that the model explains roughly 80% of past price movement. Monthly Regression Model On Log Scale Egrag’s model is statistical and simple in form, but it is plotted in a way traders often use to re…
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Canadian private equity firm Kinterra Capital has secured $80 million led by Lionhead to reboot the Pumpkin Hollow underground mine in Nevada, targeting first production within 24 months. The company acquired Pumpkin Hollow last October through a $128 million stalking horse bid for its previous owner Nevada Copper, which had briefly brought the mine into production before encountering operational setbacks and subsequently went bankrupt. At the time of the sale, the project was fully permitted and had about $800 million in installed infrastructure, with no debt or stream obligations. With core infrastructure already in place, Kinterra said it will focus on clos…
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Solana is once again at a pivotal crossroads, with its price hovering around the 50-day EMA —a level that could dictate its next major move. A decisive break above $220 could ignite fresh bullish momentum, while failure to hold could open the door for a slide back toward $175. SOL Tests 50-Day EMA As Market Watches Closely Lark Davis, a widely followed crypto analyst on X, recently noted that Solana has returned to test its 50-day EMA. This moving average has historically provided both support and resistance for SOL, making the latest retest a key moment for traders watching the coin’s short-term direction. In addition, Davis highlighted signs of improving momentum on …
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave and traded above $114,000. BTC is trading above $114,000 and facing hurdles near $115,000. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $113,500 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $112,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $115,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $110,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $112,500 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls w…
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EUR/AUD On the daily chart, the price has almost consolidated below both indicator lines. A short-term descending channel has formed along a MACD line that has turned downward. The Marlin oscillator is testing the boundary with the bearish zone. The target is seen at the lower edge of the price channel at 1.7400, with the primary objective at 1.7246, the May low. If the price consolidates above the upper boundary of the channel at 1.7862, the main scenario will shift to an alternative one — a rise toward 1.8154, the August high. On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated below the MACD line. A brief move of the Marlin oscillator signal line above zero, marked by…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3448 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I decided not to buy the pound. A second test of the same level coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which validated sell Scenario #2, resulting in a 30-pip drop. The absence of consensus among U.S. politicians due to major ideological differences negatively impacted the value of the U.S. dollar yesterday, leading to a modest strengthening of the British pound. Investors are increasingly concerned about the potential consequen…
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At the end of yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.26%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.48%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 0.15%. Today, Asian stock indices increased by 0.4% and are on track to post their sixth consecutive monthly gain—marking the longest winning streak since 2018. Clearly, markets are in no rush to reduce risk after several previous episodes of threats to a US government shutdown. This persistent optimism, however, is supported by a number of factors beyond seasonal stability. First and foremost, there is the expectation of further economic stimulus measures aimed at supporting domestic demand and cushioning p…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continues to rise for the third consecutive day. Earlier, prices rebounded from the 1.1645 level, last week's low, amid a weakening U.S. dollar driven by concerns over a potential government funding lapse that could occur on Wednesday, October 1. At the same time, negative market sentiment and weak economic data from the eurozone are limiting the euro's gains. U.S. President Donald Trump's talks with congressional leaders from both parties on Monday ended, as expected, without concrete results. Vice President J.D. Vance confirmed that the government is indeed preparing for a shutdown. This would lead to delays in the release of key data from t…
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