Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12240 tópicos neste fórum
-
Ethereum (ETH) has been on an uptrend since September 28, surging from around $3,800 to the mid $4,000 range at the time of writing. According to recent data from Binance, ETH went through a “reset” during the second half of September and early October, and may now be eyeing the $5,000 price level. Ethereum Reset Over, New Highs Soon? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, ETH underwent a healthy reset over the past few weeks. While the digital asset initially dropped to $3,800 – $3,900 range, it is now trading in the mid $4,000 level. At the same time, ETH’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) remained volatile around 1.0, with multiple spik…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and advice for trading the British pound The test of 1.3469 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3440. A sharp decline in the Halifax House Price Index in the UK brought renewed pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The published data, showing an unexpected drop in housing prices, intensified concerns about the state of the British economy and the prospects for further monetary tightening by the Bank of England. Investors closely monitoring financial stability indicators viewed this report as a warnin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Saylor’s Bitcoin investment pays off, as MicroStrategy (now just Strategy) has surpassed Coinbase in market capitalization. The move not only boosts the legitimacy of Saylor’s Bitcoin treasury strategy but also positions the company for its next step: potentially joining the list of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the United States – the S&P 500. And even as Strategy eyes the next prize, the best crypto presales to buy get ready to make their own big moves. A Strategic Pivot Pays Off Coinbase, a leading cryptocurrency exchange with a $3.7B market cap, marked its arrival on public markets in 2021. MicroStrategy, formerly known primarily as an enterpri…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Tensions are running high. Donald Trump's patience is wearing thin, and President Emmanuel Macron's authority is beginning to waver. Conflicting comments from the U.S. President have raised doubts about the end of the government shutdown, while the escalating political crisis in France continues to weigh heavily on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Mistakes shouldn't just be acknowledged — they're expected to be corrected, at any cost. Just over a year ago, Macron dissolved the National Assembly and called for snap parliamentary elections. At that time, the spread between French and German bond yields was just over 40 basis points. By October, it had surged to 86 basis points. S…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.920. The price is now consolidating losses and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.850. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.920 pivot zone. The price is now trading below $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key declining channel with support at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.850. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $3.020 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $3.00 and $2.950 to enter a short-term bearish z…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, the U.S. dollar continued its rise against a number of currencies — with the euro and the Japanese yen suffering the most. The dollar's rally resumed after Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari warned that any sharp cut in U.S. interest rates could lead to higher inflation. His remarks, delivered amid growing expectations of imminent monetary easing, had a significant impact on the currency market. Investors, weighing the risks associated with premature policy loosening, once again turned to the dollar as a relatively safe asset. Kashkari's comments highlighted the dilemma facing the Federal Reserve. On the one hand, slowing economic growth …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: There was some, albeit limited follow-through dollar buying today, but the early gains have been pared as the European morning progressed. That leaves the greenback narrowly mixed among the G10 currencies, with the Scandis, sterling, and the New Zealand dollar underperforming. North American leadership is awaited. Emerging market currencies are also mixed. News that Hamas accepted the initial terms of peace deal, helped lift the Israeli shekel. Gold was initially sold, but new buying emerged ahead of $4000, and it is near $4038. Yesterday's record was slightly below $4060. French bonds are stocks are outperforming today, encouraged that a potential deal may be i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Anglo American’s (LON: AAL) chief executive officer Duncan Wanblad said Botswana’s government will join negotiations with one or two shortlisted bidders for De Beers, as the mining giant moves to sell its 85% stake in the diamond producer. “This isn’t going to be the classical first round, second round sale process that you would ordinarily receive for businesses of this type,” Wanblad told the Financial Times at the the publication’s annual Mining Summit. Anglo will hold direct talks with selected bidders alongside Botswana, which owns 15% of De Beers through its Debswana joint venture. Wanblad said he expects the sale process to conclude within six months but di…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin’s latest pullback has little to do with crypto-native flows and everything to do with the dollar, according to chief crypto analyst at Real Vision Jamie Coutts. Sharing two charts on X, Coutts argued that a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) is briefly tightening global liquidity and pressuring risk assets across the board. “Bitcoin’s dip isn’t mysterious — it’s macro,” he wrote. Why Is Bitcoin Down? “The dollar’s rebound is tightening global liquidity. DXY is retesting 100–101 — a key resistance and natural mean-reversion zone after one of the sharpest declines in decades in 1H25. Positioning had become crowded on the short side, so a bounce was always likely…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to Coinbase’s internal metrics shared by community figure Moonkie, XRP drew 32,000 searches on the exchange in the past 24 hours, making it the most searched token on the platform. Bitcoin trailed with 26,000 searches, BNB pulled 22,000, and Ethereum recorded 18,000. The spike in search activity comes amid rising debate about whether retail interest will turn into real buying pressure. Search Interest Surges Based on reports, search trends can sometimes foreshadow market moves. Traders and new investors often look up tokens before placing orders. Some observers tied the rush of queries to hopes for an XRP-focused spot ETF, with a final SEC decision originall…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Top crypto analyst Capo has indicated that the Bitcoin price crash is not over. This comes amid a rebound in the flagship crypto, which has climbed from the lows recorded during the recent crypto market crash. Analyst Predicts 30% Drop For The Bitcoin Price In his latest market update, Capo predicted that the Bitcoin price could still drop another 30%. This came as he noted that the flagship crypto remains above $100,000, far from the $60,000 to $70,000 range that would align with a complete market correction. He added that until then, the downside potential remains significant. This market update comes amid the crypto market crash last Friday, when Bitcoin fell to a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In recent years, central banks have been preoccupied with monetary easing, and few in the market have considered the question: who will be the first to raise interest rates again? That central bank could potentially be the European Central Bank (ECB), which was the first to cut rates to "neutral" levels and the first to return inflation to its target. Therefore, a moment may come in the future when inflation starts to accelerate again, prompting the ECB to take a more hawkish stance. Among major central banks, the ECB appears closest to that point. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the eurozone remains slightly above 2%. However, according to ECB President Christine Lagar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The XRP price has been exhibiting a complex pattern of consolidation and retracement for weeks. However, according to prominent market analyst Egrag Crypto, there’s a critical signal to watch for that could determine whether the cryptocurrency’s bullish narrative remains intact or not. The expert’s analysis, shared on X social media, highlights that the behaviour of XRP’s 3-day candles could soon decide the direction of its next major move. XRP Price Integrity Hinges On 3-Day Candle Closes Below $2 In his post on X, Egrag Crypto explains the “measured move breakdown” for XRP, identifying a key technical formation in the form of a descending triangle that, based on its s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin faced renewed selling pressure on Wednesday, falling 0.45% to $118,446.5 as traders braced for pivotal macroeconomic events. This drop comes amid heightened caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting and the looming implementation of steep U.S. tariffs on August 1. Despite a strong July performance, the flagship cryptocurrency remains under pressure due to profit-taking and broader market uncertainty. The decline follows a stretch of consolidation near the $120,000 level, a psychological resistance zone that prompted selling from long-term holders and institutions. Even Strategy’s historic $2.5 billion Bitcoin acquisition, adding 21,021 BTC, fai…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following another rejection at the $120,000 level, Bitcoin (BTC) is beginning to show signs of cooling off – potentially setting the stage for another rally in the second half of the year. Some analysts now predict that BTC’s next top could approach $150,000. Bitcoin’s Current Overheating Phase Short-Lived According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crypto Dan, Bitcoin is currently entering a cooling-off period after a short-term overheating phase. The warning signs are most evident in the cohort of BTC held for one day to one week. Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing that this short-term holding cohort is now recording successively lower spikes,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price is struggling to clear the $3.080 resistance zone. The price is now declining and might extend losses if it drops below $2.920. XRP price is correcting gains from the $3.080 resistance. The price is now trading near $2.9650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to decline if it stays below the $3.050 zone. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price started a downside correction from $3.0850, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price traded below the $3.0650 and $3.050 levels. The bears were able to push the pric…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold scored a new high as the prospect of US interest rate cuts and growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s future lifted the appeal of precious metals. Spot gold set an all-time record of $3,516.31 per ounce during the Asian trading hours, surpassing the previous high of $3,500.05 from April. By market open in New York, it had pulled back below the $3,500 mark, but still 0.8% higher on the day. Gold futures also touched a new high, trading at roughly $3,580 an ounce in the US. Gold has surpassed its highs from April. The latest rally has been fueled by expectations that the US central bank will lower interest rates for the first time in nine months, aft…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In an interview with Dutch host Paul Buitink published on September 4, Henrik Zeberg, Head Economist at SwissBlock, set out a two-stage roadmap for Bitcoin and crypto: a final, powerful “melt-up” driven by liquidity and momentum, followed by a dot-com-style bust that he says will be catalyzed by a surging dollar and tightening financial conditions. “We do have the largest bubble ever,” Zeberg said, arguing that equities, crypto and real estate will first climb further before the cycle turns. “The music is still playing and you can still get a drink at the bar,” he quipped, extending his Titanic metaphor to explain why he believes sentiment and macro signals have not yet …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has held up strongly compared to the companies that have adopted it as part of their treasury strategy, but the gap between the digital asset and these firms is becoming more pronounced. Over the last 10 weeks, stocks of Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs) have fallen sharply, shedding between 50% and 80% of their value. This divergence shows an unusual pattern, effectively creating a “1:4 ratio” in cycle behavior. 12 Mini-Bear Markets In 18 Months Bitcoin’s price action in the past 18 months has mostly been in a bullish cycle on the macro end, with the leading cryptocurrency creating new price highs upon new price highs within this period. This has caused an …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Monday. In the European sesssion, USD/JPY is trading at 147.87, down 0.35% on the day. Japan's economy expands 2.2% in Q2 The week has started on a positive note in Japan, as GDP for the second quarter was revised sharply higher to 2.2% y/y, up from the initial reading of 1.0% and above the Q1 gain of 0.3%. This was the fastest pace of growth since Q3 2024, as private consumption was higher, in part due to government subsidies for rice and energy. Exports were higher as firms rushed to ship to the US before the blanket 15% tariffs kicked in. On a quarterly basis, GDP expanded 0.5%, up from the initial reading of 0.3%. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1735 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. In the first half of the day, the euro received some support from positive data on German industrial production growth. However, unlike the reaction to Friday's U.S. labor market data, there was no significant continuation of the upward move. In the second half of the day, the economic calendar does not contain events likely to cause major market swings. While the release of U.S. consumer credit data is of some interest, it is unlikely to be a dec…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Cardano has just seen a surge beyond the $0.85 mark, potentially confirming a bullish breakout forming in the asset’s 4-hour price chart. Cardano Is Breaking Out Of A Falling Wedge Pattern In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in the 4-hour price of Cardano. The pattern in question is a “Falling Wedge,” which belongs to the broader class of Wedges. Wedges form whenever an asset travels between two converging trendlines. When the lines are sloped upward, the formation is known as a Rising Wedge. Similarly, price action to the downside creates a Falling Wedge. Wedges sound similar to Triangles, which also inv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Shiba Inu rose over 3% in the past 24 hours, outperforming the whole crypto market’s 1.58% gain. $SHIB’s price climbed to approximately $0.000013. Right now, the token has a market cap of $7.69B with a 24-hour trading volume at roughly $267M. Overall, the past 7-day performance has shown a clear upward price movement despite fluctuations, signalling the token’s potential resurgence. Moreover, the RSI for $SHIB, although still neutral, is also showing bullish divergence building. The EMA, meanwhile, is flashing buy signals as $SHIB’s price is testing support at $0.000013 and approaching new key resistance levels. If traders establish support at $0.000013, this could fu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar has actively regained some of the positions it lost at the beginning of the week. This indicates that traders are taking a wait-and-see approach ahead of important fundamental data. It is clear that the market is influenced by a range of factors that could, in the long term, exert significant pressure on the US currency. Chief among these is the ongoing debate about the future monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Despite inflation showing signs of rising, the Fed is set to lower interest rates at the upcoming meeting in September of this year. Much will depend on today's US inflation data, which we will discuss in more detail later on. During the European…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices rose again today and are near their historic highs, as traders prepare to assess US data that could confirm the need for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Gold prices exceeded $3,643 per ounce after peaking above $3,674 on Tuesday, when a preliminary data revision showed that the number of employed workers is likely to be revised downward by a record 911,000. The Fed will set monetary policy next week after the publication of US producer and consumer inflation data on Wednesday and Thursday, which will also influence its decision. Weak economic indicators in recent months—particularly slowing GDP growth and a decline in employment gains—have increased expectations …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
