Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12244 tópicos neste fórum
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Having rallied substantially from lows made last week, the GBP/USD broke a four-day winning streak in yesterday's trading, falling by 0.28%. Today, and at the London open, GBP/USD currently trades at ~1.34521, up 0.10%. GBP/USD: Key takeaways 03/10/2025 The most significant catalyst of GBP/USD movement currently, the US government shutdown is weighing heavily on the dollar, as markets readjust confidence in American governanceOtherwise, and following Wednesday’s worse-than-expected UK manufacturing PMIs, signifying five-month lows, the Bank of England is under increasing pressure to consider further rate cuts, although inflation remains somewhat stickyRecent GBP/USD up…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior report, “GBP/USD Technical: Sterling torpedoed by spike in 30-year gilt yield, watch the 1.3315/3280 key support”, published on 2 September 2025. The price actions of the GBP/USD have shaped the expected minor corrective decline in the past two sessions to print an intraday low of 1.3333 on Wednesday, 3 September, just whiskers above the pre-defined 1.3315/1.3280 key medium-term pivotal support highlighted in our last publication. Let’s now determine its next short-term (1 to 3 days) directional bias and key levels to watch as we await the key US labour data release: non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “GBP/USD Technical: Corrective decline ended, potential bullish reversal in progress for sterling”, published on 5 September 2025. The price actions of the sterling have staged the expected recovery against the US dollar, as the GBP/USD has rallied by 1.2% and almost hit the lower limit of our highlighted resistance zone of 1.3650/1.3680 (printed an intraday high of 1.3645 on Tuesday, 16 September 2025, at the time of writing). Today’s stellar performance of the GBP/USD (+0.3% has also been reinforced by better-than-expected July’s employment change data for the UK, which came in at 232,000, ab…
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The sterling slumped against the US dollar, losing as much as 1.2% intraday and erasing all gains from Fed Chair Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech on 22 August 2025. Based on a one-day rolling performance basis as of Tuesday, 2 September, the sterling is the weakest major currency against the greenback, where the USD/GBP gained by 1.1% at the time of writing (see Fig. 1). …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair spent most of the day in low-volatility consolidation but eventually initiated an entirely logical upward movement by evening. As previously stated, the current fundamental and macroeconomic background does not favor the U.S. dollar, and the recent period of dollar strength has appeared illogical. Both major currency pairs recently broke above their trendlines, shifting short-term sentiment to bullish. On Wednesday, neither the UK nor the U.S. released any important or even notable economic events, making the pound's rise even more telling. The fact that the market began buying GBP/USD without any accompan…
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This article is a follow up to the GBPP/USD article posted on July 15, titled GBP/USD Vulnerable as Trendline Break Sets Up Potential 600 Pip Drop GBPUSD has continued its recovery having dipped below a long term ascending trendline discussed in the July 15 article. Not a complete surprise given that the pair was in oversold territory on the daily chart and I did mention the possibility of a pullback. close Source: TradingView.com …
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Most Read: Silver trades around 14 years high in a breakout GBPUSD has continued its recent struggles today with the pair on a 8-day losing streak. This comes after cable posted 5 consecutive months of gains, to rise from a 2025 low of 1.2099 to a high of 1.3788, last seen in October 2021. The rally in GBPUSD was largely facilitated by USD weakness following Donald Trump's inauguration and announcement of global tariffs. The move which saw the US Dollar lose its safe haven status and the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below the psychological 100.00 mark for the first time since a brief foray in July 2023. …
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On Wednesday, the pound surged by more than 150 pips against the dollar amid a general weakening of the greenback. Looking at the weekly GBP/USD chart, we can see that the pair is actively rising for the second week in a row, currently approaching the resistance level of 1.3370, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly timeframe. In comparison, just a few weeks ago—in November—the pair was trading at the bottom of the 30 range under background pressure. However, the fundamental picture for GBP/USD has changed. The growth driver this time is the greenback, which again fell from grace amid rising "dovish" expectations for the Feder…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD pair has been under pressure since mid-September, following the unexpectedly dovish outcome of the Bank of England's September meeting. While pound buyers have launched regular counterattacks, their short-term victories have mostly been fueled by U.S. dollar weakness rather than genuine pound strength. To recap briefly, last month the Bank of England held interest rates steady but signaled a readiness to lower them in the near future. The central bank notably softened its tone, stating that the disinflationary trend "continues overall." Moreover, contrary to the expectations of most analysts, the Monetary Policy Committee voted 0–2–7 (zero for a hike, two …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At the start of the new week, the GBP/USD pair halted its five-day decline and confidently held above the key 1.3300 psychological level, even trading above 1.3330. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the downside. The British pound continues to face pressure from growing expectations of further monetary policy easing by the Bank of England. This weighs on the GBP/USD pair, as markets now price in about a 40% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November, and around 65 basis points of total easing by the end of the year. These expectations are reinforced by unexpectedly stable inflation data r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, the British pound continued to come under pressure against the U.S. dollar. The GBP/USD pair fell to levels last seen in April, amid the overall strengthening of the dollar and growing concerns over the UK budget. As of now, the pair is trading around 1.3047, down roughly 0.7% for the day. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) — which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies — is rising for the fifth consecutive day, breaking through the psychological 100.00 level and reaching its August highs. This marks a new three-month high, reflecting the waning expectations of a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. UK-linked assets came under pre…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Starting with a UK national holiday, coupled with a noticeably sparse UK economic calendar, the current trading week has been somewhat uneventful for cable traders. Having only recently secured its best six-monthly performance since 2020, riding a wave of dollar downside, GBP/USD currently floats above the key level of 1.35000 and looks for daily support. GBP/USD: Key takeaways from today’s session Happening some hours ago, a better-than-expected US GDP result introduced some immediate GBP/USD selling pressure as the dollar strengthened Otherwise, and following recent revelations surrounding the Bank of England and Federal Reserve monetary policy, cable downside remain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The UK inflation data put pressure on the British pound. The GBP/USD pair fell to the lower end of the 1.33 handle, briefly updating a weekly price low in response to the negative release. Nearly all components fell short of forecasts, pointing to softening price pressures. This outcome has increased market expectations that the Bank of England may cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting in November—or at the very least hint at such a move in December. Specifically, the September headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in flat month-over-month, while analysts had expected a modest 0.1% increase. On a year-over-year basis, CPI remained at 3.8% for the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Last Friday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3211 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout near 1.3211 led to a buying point for the pound. However, after a 14-pip rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. In the second half of the day, a false breakout in the area of 1.3211 provided an excellent opportunity to open new long positions, resulting in a rise of over 40 pips. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD:The lack of data from the UK has sustained demand for risk assets, despite all attempt…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3316 level and planned to make market-entry decisions from that level. The breakout and subsequent retest of 1.3316 provided a buying opportunity for the pound, but the pair did not reach significant growth. In the second half of the day, another false breakout at 1.3320 again allowed entry into the market, driving the pair up by more than 30 pips. Active selling from 1.3352 led to a rapid decline of more than 20 pips in the pound, but then the bulls took over. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD:Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, only one entry point into the market was formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.3374 and planned to make market entry decisions based on it. The rise occurred, and the test at 1.3374 was completed, but suitable entry points did not form there. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.3395 provided an excellent entry point to sell the pound, resulting in a more than 40-pip decline in the pair. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD: Despite weak data from the US Empire State Manufacturing Index and Christopher Waller's dovish tone, the British pound did not show strong gains…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points in the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.3211 and planned to make decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout around 1.3211 provided an entry point for buying the pound, resulting in the pair rising by more than 20 pips. In the afternoon, active selling around 1.3265 prompted the opening of short positions, sending the pound back to the support area at 1.3211. To open long positions on GBP/USD, it is required:A weak ISM report on the U.S. manufacturing index increased pressure on the U.S. dollar and stren…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3203 level and planned to make entry decisions based on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3203 provided a buying opportunity for the pound, but a significant rise in the pair did not materialize. In the second half of the day, active buying around 1.3177 created another buying opportunity for the pound, and this time the pair rose by more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD, it is required:Good reports from the U.S. put pressure on the pound and support on th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the level of 1.3250 and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.3250 led to a short entry point for the pound, but after a decline of the pair by 15 pips, demand returned. In the second half of the day, the drop and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3289 led to a buy entry point for the pound further along the trend, resulting in a rise of more than 40 pips. To Open Long Positions on GBP/USD: The British pound continued its rapid rise against t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points were established in the market. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3133 level and planned to decide whether to enter the market from there. The breakout and retest of 1.3133 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a gain of more than 30 pips. In the afternoon, a false breakout around 1.3181 enabled the establishment of short positions, resulting in a 25-pip decline. Similar short positions from 1.3216 yielded a profit of about 30 pips relative to the market. To Open Long Positions for GBP/USD: News that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is consider…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were created. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I pointed out the level of 1.3172 and planned to make market entry decisions based on it. The rise and establishment of a false breakout around 1.3172 provided a selling entry point for the pound, resulting in a small 15-pip decline. In the second half of the day, active bearish action near the 1.3178 resistance level provided another entry point for short positions, yielding around 30 pips of profit. To open long positions on GBP/USD, the following is required: Data on the Empire Manufacturing Index's growth in the U.S.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points in the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.3176 and planned to make market entry decisions based on it. The rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.3176 provided a sell entry point for the pound, resulting in a move of more than 25 pips. In the second half of the day, buyers appeared in the area of 1.3138, which allowed for long positions on a false breakout. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. For opening long positions on GBP/USD, it is required:The absence of UK reports and budget-related news keeps the GBP/USD pa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Several suitable entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3138 level and planned to base my trading decisions on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3138 provided an entry point to buy the pound, but after a rise of only 10 pips, demand quickly waned. In the second half of the day, a false breakout in the area of 1.3111 led to short positions, resulting in the pound falling by more than 60 pips. Long Positions for GBP/USDThe pound has lost all its positions, dropping below the lower boundary of the sideways channel it occupied …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, several entry points into the market were formed. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the level of 1.3073 and planned to make entry decisions based on it. The rise and formation of a false breakout at 1.3073 led to a sell entry for the pound, resulting in only a 15-pip move down. In the second half of the day, active bearish actions around 1.3100 allowed for entering short positions on the pound, moving down to the area of 1.3073. For opening long positions in GBP/USD, the following is required: The pound rose on news that the US unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in September; however, the bulli…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Several entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3087 level and planned to make decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout around 1.3087 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a 20-pip increase. In the afternoon, the situation around the level of 1.3087 repeated itself, leading to a recovery in the pair of more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD: The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar against the British pound. But now all eyes are on the UK's new budget, which will be presented tomorrow, so it is …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
