Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are quite a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday, but it's worth reminding novice traders that yesterday's calendar was also full of data—yet none of it had any impact on the dollar, euro, or pound. So a similar situation might occur today. For instance, what should we expect from the second estimate of eurozone inflation, when this reading already has almost no impact on the ECB? US construction and real estate data are unlikely to be more important than industrial production and retail sales, which the market ignored yesterday. Thus, the only data of real interest is the UK inflation report. Fundamental Events Analys…
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It is September, and it is the month when the crypto market usually flips the script. This September, memecoins are front and center, and Toshi crypto is leading the memecoin space. While the crypto sentiment shifts bullish following the Fed’s rate cut odds, retail money is pouring into Solana memecoin crypto plays like PENGU and Toshi, which just posted a massive 49% daily pump. (source – CME watch) Currently trading around $0.00088 with a market cap north of $366 million, Toshi crypto is crushing rivals like BRETT, while boosting confidence across the Solana memecoin sector. With daily volume on Toshi spiking past $363 million, fueled by a Korean Upbit listing, an…
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Sui Crypto is about to have a major breakout in Q4. The L1 blockchain created by former Facebook devs has been thrust into the spotlight with Google’s launch of the Agentic Payments Protocol (AP2), a framework built for AI-driven payments. Backed by PayPal, Salesforce, and dozens of others, AP2 aims to let autonomous agents manage direct purchases and recurring transactions with little to no human input. According to analyst MartyParty, AP2 “creates a traceable audit trail, making automated purchases safer,” while setting the stage for broader Web3 applications in subscriptions and digital content monetization. Here’s what else you need to know about Sui crypto heading …
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Today’s Federal Reserve Rate Cut Is Just the Start, Gold Still Climbing The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point today, marking the start of an important new monetary easing cycle. In an 11-1 vote, central bankers lowered the Fed’s benchmark rate to 4.00-4.25%. The lone dissent came from newly appointed Governor Stephan Miran, who wanted a half-point rate cut. A majority of Fed officials indicated they expect at least two more interest rate cuts in 2025, suggesting easing at the October and December meetings. After hitting a new record high earlier this week, gold pulled back after the Fed news. Today’s Fed rate cut was widely expected, and short-term t…
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Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.876 with a daily volume of $1.28 billion, but sellers remain in control after a sharp 7% decline over two days. On-chain data from Santiment shows the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric spiking to its highest level since July, signaling that many investors are cashing out profits. This wave of profit-taking, while not a sign of structural weakness, has capped ADA’s recovery attempts. Analysts emphasize that defending the $0.87–$0.85 support range will be crucial to maintaining ADA’s broader bullish outlook. Technical Outlook: Will ADA Break or Hold? From a technical perspective, Cardano (ADA) is struggling beneath the 50-EMA at …
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The US Federal Reserve cut the key interest rate by 0.25 points, with the change coming into effect at 2 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave a press conference on the same day, hinting the cut is a risk management move. He went on to say that ‘[…] a quarter point won’t make a huge difference to the economy,’ but that further cuts were inevitable. Bitcoin reacted with a slight dip to $116.2K, reflecting traders’ caution despite the cut going into effect. Overall, Bitcoin has been trading sideways, still trying to find support above $117K. With investors waiting for clearer signals from the Fed, Powell’s comments, although measured, create a possible bul…
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An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wro…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 18 Today's story was one of a FOMC rate decision that American Markets loved. Between a comeback in the US Dollar and Nasdaq rallying to new highs, traders loved the atmosphere. Tech stocks led the charge after the acquisition news that Nvidia had acquired a stake in Intel, propelling related names like CrowdStrike and Synopsys higher. Still, the Dow Jones closed near the same lows seen during the FOMC’s intraday down-wick, a dynamic that will be worth watching in the coming sessions. By contrast, the Russell 2000 marked fresh all-time highs—a first since November 2024—underscoring the rotation into sma…
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The USD/JPY pair has spent the past week in a complicated, confusing game with false moves in both directions. The most recent of these was a deep false breakout below the 146.29 support level with Wednesday's lower shadow. Now, the price will attempt to break through and consolidate above the daily-scale MACD line (148.28). If successful, the price could climb above the first target level at 149.38 and continue rising into the target range of 151.70–152.10. The Marlin oscillator has established itself in bullish territory, joining this main upward scenario for the pair. On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator is moving sideways. This is a sign of an impending co…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, the market from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1727 – the 21-period EMA (black thin line). When testing this line, a corrective upward movement is possible with a target of 1.1751 – the 13-period EMA (yellow thin line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1788 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start m…
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Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 4.00–4.25% after a nine-month pause, pairing the move with a cautious message.Powell framed the decision as “risk management,” downplaying a rapid cutting cycle.Statement language shifted toward rising “risks on the employment side,” even as inflation and jobless rates have nudged higher.The new dot plot trimmed the 2025 median to 3.6%, implying two more 25 bp cuts this year but with wide dispersion.A small move with outsized signaling power The week on markets centered on the Federal Reserve’s long-anticipated 25-basis-point rate cut, which lowered the federal funds target range to 4.00–4.25% after nine months on hold. The mechanics were exp…
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The Fed’s recent 25-basis-point interest rate cut reignited investor interest in risk assets, causing crypto prices to surge. $BTC and $ETH led the initial rally, with altcoins like $SOL and $BNB following closely. BNB briefly hit a new all-time high above $1,000. The Federal Open Market Committee also indicated the possibility of further interest rate cuts, which boosted growth-oriented assets like cryptocurrencies. Markets showed strength after the decision — over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin traded at $117k (+~1%), Ethereum at $4.59k (+~3%), Solana at $247 (+~6%), and BNB reached an all-time high of ~$1,003 before settling near $986 amid intraday swings. The total cryp…
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Crypto analyst Javon Marks has revealed that Shiba Inu has completed a bullish setup and that a rally of around 138% may be on the horizon. Fundamentals such as the new SEC rule also provide a bullish outlook for the foremost meme coin. Shiba Inu’s Bullish Setup Hints At 138% Rally In an X post, Marks said that Shiba Inu’s setup is still hinting at a rally of over 138%, which would send the SHIB price back to around $0.000032. He added that it is only a matter of time for this move to materialize as a bull signal holds confirmed, hinting at this move for the top meme coin. Before now, Marks had highlighted a divergence confirmation for Shiba Inu, which led to his pre…
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The XRP price is showing signs of repeating a past price pattern that once led to a strong rally. According to crypto analyst Egrag Crypto, this setup suggests a move higher in the weeks ahead. To back the bullish case, the token is currently holding its ground above support areas. Traders across the market are now waiting to see if this pattern develops into another upward move. Analyst Spots Bullish Fractal Formation In XRP Price Chart Egrag Crypto has been studying the XRP price chart and points to what he calls a repeating fractal formation. In this case, the current price structure with the yellow fractal of XRP resembles one seen before a strong rally in the past. …
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The currency market had been dormant for a while, but this is now a theme of the past yet again. Throughout August, a first move higher from the Pound got met with a subsequent consolidation until the beginning of this month . GBP/USD peaked just above 1.37 on Wednesday’s announcement, but that rally didn’t stick — the pair now trades roughly 1.70% lower as the dollar staged a fierce comeback. What flipped the script was a rapid unwind of pre-FOMC downbeat USD bets: Powell’s more balanced tone and a re-credibilized Federal Reserve re-anchored the dollar (the latter could still be a bearish theme for the USD in the future). Recent exchanges between US President Trump …
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The FTX Recovery Trust is gearing up for its third distribution to creditors affected by the exchange’s significant collapse, with payments set to commence on September 30, 2025. FTX Trust Confirms Payments To Eligible Creditors According to the official statement, this distribution will be available to holders of allowed claims categorized under the Plan’s Convenience and Non-Convenience Classes who have completed the necessary pre-distribution requirements. Eligible creditors can expect to receive their funds through their chosen distribution service provider—either Bitgo, Kraken, or Payoneer—within one to three business days following the distribution date. In t…
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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a notable decline, erasing the gains it achieved following the recent decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates. After soaring to nearly $118,000—just 5% shy of its all-time high—the market has faced renewed uncertainty. Despite this setback, experts emphasize that the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, especially as September 21 approaches, a date identified as pivotal for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Will September 21 Mark The Start Of A New Bull Run? Market analyst Timothy Peterson highlights that historically, Bitcoin has finished the year higher 70% of the time after Sept…
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Charles Hoskinson has affirmed that Cardano (ADA) will steal the crypto spotlight as the altcoin attempts to hold a crucial level as support. Some analysts believe the cryptocurrency is preparing for a massive rally in the coming months. ADA Holds Key Support Zone Following Thursday’s market rally, Cardano has seen its price retrace 4% in the last 24 hours, failing to reclaim the range high for the second time over the past week. The altcoin has been trading between $0.72-$0.96 since July, hitting a local high of $1.01 last month. Despite the dip, ADA has held the $0.85-$90 zone as support, attempting to stabilize around this area throughout Friday morning. Analyst Seb…
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Shiba Inu is now entering the same space as some of the largest cryptocurrencies when it comes to discussing exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The SHIB coin is starting to gain notice as it appears on Coinbase’s radar. Coinbase already offers a futures product for Shiba Inu, and this step positions the meme coin for consideration as a future ETF. SHIB’s marketing lead claims the coin already has the necessary setup for this, while a market analyst predicts significant price growth. Both agree that momentum for SHIB is picking up now. Shiba Inu Enters Coinbase’s ETF Watchlist According to SHIB’s marketing lead, Susie S, the coin has now joined Coinbase’s “ETF Watchlist Club.…
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Bitcoin’s slow ascent towards establishing new highs has continuously encountered significant opposition in the past few weeks. As the market currently stands in an uncertain zone, there are several questions and concerns about the future trajectory of the premier cryptocurrency. Below is how the latest on-chain data answers some of these questions How $117,000 Slowed Down BTC’s Rise In a September 20 post on social media platform X, Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson reemphasized his early prediction of $117,000 as a critical resistance zone for the Bitcoin price. Wedson referenced his post published exactly a week ago, which utilized two main on-chain metrics — t…
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Gold is trading around 3,689, close to its all-time high and within the upward trend channel formed since September 5. Gold is showing a strong positive signal, so it is likely to reach 3,718 in the coming days and could even reach the 8/8 Murray around 3,750. If the gold price falls below its weekly close around 3,685, we could expect a technical correction toward the 7/8 Murray support or around 3,666, where the 21SMA is located. If gold consolidates above 3,660, it will be seen as an opportunity to resume long positions, with targets at 3,700 and 3,750. A break and consolidation below 3,666 could revive bearish pressure, and gold could reach support at 3,637. If the pr…
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AUD/USD The AUD/USD pair has been declining for the fourth consecutive day. It is approaching support at the Kijun line around the 0.6565 level. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is also nearing the neutral zero line – a support area. It's likely that a price correction will occur from the 0.6565 level, along with a rebound in the oscillator. Then (on Wednesday or later), the price may consolidate with renewed momentum below the Kijun line and continue its downward path toward the target level of 0.6450. This is the main scenario. A shift to an alternative scenario of growth would only be possible after the pair overcomes the resistance level at 0.6668. On the H4 …
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Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the pos…
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One step forward, two steps back. Bitcoin has tumbled from monthly highs as markets reassess the scope of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and question whether demand for crypto remains strong enough. Even news of the SEC approving an ETF based on a basket of digital assets — rather than a single cryptocurrency — failed to support BTC. While US authorities are showing more openness toward the crypto industry than in the past, BTC/USD is increasingly behaving like an overbought asset. The futures market now expects the federal funds rate to fall from its current 4.25% to below 3%. However, the latest FOMC projections show a terminal rate of 3.4%. Investors had become o…
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Amid Wall Street’s heightened expectations for future rate cuts, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will be speaking on Tuesday, 22 September 2025. Hence, the crypto market is bracing for volatility and has every reason to. Apart from Powell’s speech, a string of high-impact US economic data drops throughout the week. On Wednesday, 23 September 2025, home sales figures will be released. On Thursday, 24 September 2025, we’ll see existing home sales data shine a light on the strength of America’s housing market, along with the latest durable goods orders report. The health of both reports has influenced investment flows into digital assets in the past. But Thursday wil…
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