Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12235 tópicos neste fórum
-
The week saw another speech by Jerome Powell, during which the FOMC Chair stated that even one more rate cut is not guaranteed. Recall that at last week's Fed meeting, Powell indicated that two more rounds of monetary easing before year-end should not be ruled out. The market immediately raised its expectations for further cuts, but this week, Powell cooled the enthusiasm of the "dovish" camp. I would like to draw my readers' attention to two key points. The first: since 2024, Jerome Powell has been regularly repeating the phrase, "rate decisions will be made solely based on economic data." Bearing in mind the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, we cannot be confident even in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The upcoming week will be very important for the U.S. dollar. The currency will attempt to hold its ground, but it will be difficult to withstand the pressure from market participants. Most economists expect further weakening of the dollar, driven by instability in the U.S. economy, the threat of rising inflation, the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's influence on the Fed. Therefore, the period of calm for the dollar has not yet arrived. Individual events in the U.K. or the Eurozone may put pressure on the euro and the pound, allowing the dollar to strengthen from time to time. However, the situation in the United States is of far greater concern to…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground rapidly against risk assets at the start of the week, with objective reasons for this decline. The likelihood of a government shutdown increased further after yesterday's meeting between Democrats and Republicans with Trump. Traders are concerned about how political uncertainty may impact the U.S. economy and are seeking safer assets, which is putting pressure on the dollar. The situation is aggravated by the approaching deadline for passing the budget for the new fiscal year. If Congress fails to reach a compromise, government agencies will be forced to suspend their operations. This would lead to a reduction in public services, s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Vale Base Metals, a subsidiary of Vale (NYSE: VALE), has commissioned a second furnace at its Onça Puma ferronickel complex in southeastern Pará, Brazil, increasing the asset’s nominal production capacity by 60%. The start-up of Furnace 2 adds 15,000 tonnes of nickel production capacity, lifting Onça Puma’s nameplate output to 40,000 tonnes per year. The company said the investment will allow higher production at lower costs, consolidating Onça Puma as Brazil’s largest ferronickel operation. CEO Shaun Usmar told Reuters that the expansion places Vale Base Metals in a “very strong position” once the market recovers, despite current low nickel prices driven by overs…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Guanajuato Silver Company (TSXV: GSVR) is looking to raise as much as C$43 million ($31 million) in a bought deal public offering to support its Mexican mine operations. However, its shares dropped nearly 15% on the news. The company initially announced that it planned to raise C$30 million through the sale of 60 million units priced at C$0.50 each, but later increased the offering to C$43 million (87 million units) due to strong demand. The units each carry one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant, with each whole warrant exercisable at C$0.65 per share for three years. Guanajuato Silver’s stock traded at C$0.46 with a market capitaliz…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto seems to thrive on chaos, defying everyone’s expectations. Just when many thought the bull run was over, BTC USD staged a stunning comeback. Trading above $120,000 at press time, the Bitcoin price has reclaimed its July 2025 highs and hit a two-month peak. Bulls are firmly in control and appear determined to push BTC USDT even higher today. On Coingecko, the surge isn’t limited to Bitcoin. Some of the best cryptos to buy are trending higher, lifting the total market cap above $4.1T. Presently, Bitcoin commands over +56% of the total market share. Meanwhile, Ethereum, in second place, has slipped, controlling just +12% of the total market cap. (Source: Coingecko…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In line with the broader cryptocurrency market’s recent upswing, the XRP price has captured attention with one of its largest weekly candles of the year, soaring over 14% in the past week and pushing the altcoin just above the $3 mark. This performance positions XRP just 15% shy of its all-time high, making it one of the standout performers in the crypto space, trailing only Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), which saw price increases of 16%, 23%, and 21%, respectively over the same time frame. XRP Price Analysis Back in July of this year, the XRP price reached its peak of $3.66, but subsequent market corrections saw the token drop to as low as $2.70…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Montage Gold (TSX: MAU) shares climbed 4.2% Monday morning after the company reported that construction at its flagship Koné Gold Project in Côte d’Ivoire remains on schedule and on budget, with key milestones completed ahead of expectations. Montage confirmed that approximately $418 million—about half of its total upfront capital expenditure—has already been committed, with costs remaining in line with projections. The project’s first gold pour is on track for Q2 2027, marking a major step toward becoming one of West Africa’s next significant gold producers. Key infrastructure components, including site earthworks and process plant foundations, have been complete…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the European currency The test of the 1.1697 price level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the euro and resulted in a 30-point drop in the pair. The resignation of yet another French prime minister and weak eurozone data led to a decline in the euro in the first half of the day. The current political situation raises many questions about the ability of politicians to agree on next year's budget, which is an additional concern for an already weak pace of economic growth in the country. At the moment, France's …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $125,708 on Binance yesterday, BTC exchange inflows are starting to show signs of slowing down. As a result, crypto analysts are confident that the top cryptocurrency by market cap may be on the cusp of a healthy rally. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Slump Amid New ATH According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ChainSpan, fresh on-chain data shows that the average amount of BTC inflows into exchanges such as Binance has decreased significantly. To recall, BTC sent to exchanges is usually seen as a warning sign, as it suggests that investors are attempting to sell their holdings at prevailing market prices. As a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD on the 5-Minute Chart The EUR/USD currency pair experienced a sharp decline on Monday but rebounded almost as quickly. What do these two opposing movements tell us? First, the European currency most likely dropped due to the political crisis in France. Although we don't view this factor as significant—given France experiences political crises regularly—the market may have reacted to the news regardless. Second, the quick recovery of the euro appears to be a result of bargain buying. Traders saw an attractive exchange rate and quickly started purchasing. This tells us that no one in the market is seriously considering medium-term purchases of the U.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Jeff Park, chief investment officer at ProCap BTC and an advisor to Bitwise, pushed back against Paul Tudor Jones’ latest warning that markets “feel exactly like 1999,” arguing that the macro regime of 2025 is structurally different from the dot-com era and, crucially, more supportive of Bitcoin. Park’s commentary followed Jones’ interview on CNBC, where the billionaire trader said the setup resembles the late-cycle blow-off that preceded the tech crash, even as he continued to praise Bitcoin as an asset with high appeal. Bitcoin Will Thrive, Not Crash In a X post, Park called comparisons to 1999 “lazy,” contending that the drivers of asset prices today are dominated by …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The boundary between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) has become even blurrier. On October 7, 2025, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced the launch of the S&P Digital Markets 50 Index, a groundbreaking benchmark designed to track both major cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks. The goal? To give investors an easy, diversified gateway into the fast-evolving digital asset ecosystem, without needing to manage wallets, exchanges, or multiple risk assets. This move marks a significant milestone in institutional crypto adoption as we head into Q4 2025. Analysts expect the move to draw billions in new institutional liquidity as traditi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Strategy for the EuroA price test at 1.1658 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1658 happened while the MACD was in the oversold zone. This allowed Buy Scenario #2 to unfold, resulting in a 20-pip upward movement. Comments by Federal Reserve officials about the potential for rising inflation if interest rates are cut too quickly contributed to the U.S. dollar's strength and a significant decline in the euro. Investors, anticipating tighter monetary policy in the U.S., actively sold the euro and other…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Macroeconomic Report Overview: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Thursday, and all of them are secondary in nature. In Germany, import, export, and trade balance data will be released; however, these figures are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on trader sentiment. It may seem like yesterday's disappointing industrial production report from Germany triggered the euro's decline, but in reality, the euro stopped falling right after that data was published. Economic calendars for the UK, the Eurozone, and the U.S. remain largely empty today. Fundamental Events Breakdown: There is only one major fundamental event on Thursday — but it is a signific…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At the moment, the pair has failed to hold above the round level of 1.3400, which it briefly broke during the Asian session. From a technical standpoint, the recent repeated failures near the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) favor the bears in GBP/USD. Moreover, the negative oscillators on the daily chart suggest that any subsequent rise may quickly fade and should be viewed as an opportunity to sell. Therefore, to confirm a broader bullish move, it would be prudent to wait for sustained momentum above the 1.3484 level and above the 100-period SMA before opening long positions. Buying beyond the psychological level of 1.3500 would lift GBP/USD above the supply level…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Doge] – [Friday, October 10, 2025] With the appearance of the RSI indicator at a Bullish Divergent level, this cryptocurrency is expected to strengthen toward its nearest resistance. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 0.26629 2. Resistance. 1 : 0.25695 3. Pivot : 0.24910 4. Support. 1 : 0.23976 5. Support. 2 : 0.23191 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Doge breaks and closes above 0.24910, it is likely to continue strengthening to 0.25695. Momentum Extension Bias: If 0.25695 is broken, Doge will likely continue strengthening to 0.26629. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if Doge weakens and closes below 0.23191. Technic…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Underground drilling at West Red Lake Gold Mines’ (TSXV: WRLG) primary Madsen property in Northwestern Ontario yielded multiple instances of high-grade gold, the company said. Highlight hole MM25D-12-4860-004 in the lower Austin zone cut 7.75 metres grading 139.45 grams gold per tonne from 37 metres depth, West Red Lake said Thursday in a statement. Hole MM25D-12-4860-005, meanwhile, intersected 8.7 metres at 74.7 grams gold from 37.1 metres downhole. Vancouver-based West Red Lake, backed by Canadian Mining Hall of Fame member Frank Giustra, is continuing exploration work at Madsen even as it ramps up production at the past-producing mine. It restarted operations …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Silver Breaks $50 Barrier: Spot silver surged to $50.02 per ounce, its highest level since 1980, marking a 70% year-to-date gain — outperforming gold’s 51% rise.Severe Physical Shortage in London: Borrowing costs for silver hit a record 35% annualized rate, signaling tight supply as much of the metal remains locked in ETFs, limiting market liquidity.Macro Drivers & Fed Watch: Investor demand for safe-haven assets grows amid U.S. budget gridlock, stock market risks, and Fed independence concerns. Silver prices are soaring, breaking above the key $50 per ounce level and reaching their highest point since 1980. On Friday, spot silver touched $50.02, briefly spiking ab…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, Friday, for the second day in a row, the GBP/JPY currency pair is under pressure from sellers, retreating from the July 2024 high reached earlier this week around the 205.30 level. The unexpected victory of Sanae Takaichi in last Saturday's leadership election of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) paved the way for her to become Japan's first female prime minister and fueled speculation about a more expansionary fiscal policy. This weakened expectations of an immediate rate hike by the Bank of Japan, creating significant pressure on the Japanese yen earlier in the week. At the same time, Takaichi emphasized that she does not intend to allow a sharp weakening…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Gold] – [Monday, October 13, 2025] With all technical indicators currently signaling strength for gold, then there is potential for further gains today as long as there is no new bearish information appears to weaken the gold. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4071.45 2. Resistance. 1 : 4044.62 3. Pivot : 3966.60 4. Support. 1 : 3968.77 5. Support. 2 : 3919.75 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If gold breaks and closes above 3966.60, there is potential to test the 4044.62 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4044.62 is successfully breached and closes above it, gold may extend its upward move toward 4071.45. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Global markets remain in turmoil: gold is hitting an all-time high amid the escalating US-China trade war, while Bitcoin and major altcoins are experiencing a massive sell-off. At the same time, institutional players aren't standing idle — whales are buying up Ethereum worth hundreds of millions during the dip. Meanwhile, in the tech sector, Apple has made a strategic acquisition of startup Prompt AI to bring cutting-edge innovations into the smart home space. Read a detailed breakdown of these events and get recommendations on how to navigate the current wave of high volatility. Gold sets new records: why markets are on edge and how traders can profit On October 13, gl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Vale (NYSE: VALE) and locomotive manufacturer Wabtec Corporation announced a partnership on Monday to develop studies on a dual-fuel engine that can use both diesel and a mixture of diesel and ethanol. The studies will initially be conducted in a laboratory to validate the concept and evaluate performance, emissions reduction, and the ethanol/diesel substitution rate, the miner said. The studies and tests are expected to take place by 2027, for evaluation of future use in the Vitória-Minas Railway (EFVM) fleet, in Southeastern Brazil. The agreement to use ethanol, a renewable fuel that replaces fossil diesel, is part of a series of joint initiatives with Wabtec t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite the sharp drop in Ethereum's price recorded last Friday, its rapid recovery since then suggests sustained demand, not only among traders and investors, but also from new network participants. According to the latest data, the number of unique stablecoin senders on Ethereum per week has been growing exponentially over the past 12 months. From January 2020 to July 2024, the weekly average of stablecoin senders on Ethereum stood at around 400,000. Since August 2024, this figure has been increasing at an average rate of over 1.7% per week, consistently hitting new all-time highs. In 2025, Ethereum averaged 720,000 unique senders per week, and over the past two wee…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair remained within the resistance zone of 1.3332–1.3357 for most of Monday. Only on Tuesday morning, following the release of UK economic data, did the bears get an opportunity to launch a new attack toward the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3225. A consolidation above the 1.3332–1.3357 level would favor the British currency and open the way for further growth toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. The wave structure remains bearish. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous high, while the last downward wave did not breach the prior low. In recent weeks, the news background has been unfavorable for the…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
