Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12244 tópicos neste fórum
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Several entry points were formed in the market yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3228 level and planned to base my market entry decisions on it. A decline and the formation of a false breakout around 1.3228 provided a buying point for the pound, but the pair did not rise, resulting in a loss. In the afternoon, short positions on the false breakout near 1.3240 yielded about 100 pips of profit. Longs in the 1.3142 area led to a correction of more than 40 pips in the pair. For Opening Long Positions on GBP/USD:Yesterday, the British pound sharply declined after Powell said future rate decisions …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Strategy for the British PoundA price test at 1.3431 occurred while the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming the right entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 30 pips. Buying on a bounce from 1.3400 also allowed for a profit of approximately 20 pips. The pound fell and the dollar strengthened following comments by Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, who warned that an aggressive rate cut could lead to rising inflation. Coming amid increasingly hawkish rhetoric from the Fed, his statement had an immediate impact on currency markets, boosting the d…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3218 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound, which led to a 30-pip rise. Today, attention will focus on the release of several economic indicators from the UK: the manufacturing PMI, the number of approved mortgage applications, and data on changes in the M4 money supply. The PMI index traditionally serves as a key indicator of the health of the UK manufacturing sector. Given the current economic situation, forecasts for this indicator are cautiously pessimistic. A deterioration in PMI values might f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3323 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. Strong US labor market data from ADP and JOLTs helped the dollar rise against the pound yesterday. Economists and analysts note that the resilience of the US labor market, despite recent signs of weakness, provides significant support for the dollar. This, in turn, puts pressure on other countries' currencies, particularly the British pound. Today, traders have little to anticipate in the first half of the day. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3318 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve voted to lower the key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%. This led to a weakening of the dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates was anticipated. In justifying their decision, Fed officials cited the slowdown in labor market growth. Immediately after this, the British pound showed strong growt…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3385 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and missed out on all the upward movement. News that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States was higher than expected led to a decline in the dollar and a rise in the British pound in the afternoon. The US labor market continues to show signs of cooling, which increases investors' expectations regarding further easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. This factor puts pressure on the dollar, mak…
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Deal Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3362 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to sell the pound. As a result, the pair decreased by more than 17 pips. Long positions on the bounce from 1.3345 allowed for an additional profit of about 20 pips from the market. The pound only slightly declined against the US dollar. This relative stability of the British currency can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the market has already partially priced in expectations regarding a further pause in the Bank of England's rate-cutting cycle, as high inflation in the UK…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3387 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the pound. As a result, the pair only rose by 10 pips, after which the upward movement stalled. Despite weak data from the US Empire State Manufacturing Index and Christopher Waller's dovish tone, the British pound remained within a range. This indicates that the recent strengthening of the pound has been linked to the weakness of the dollar rather than the strength of the pound itself. Expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England may lead to a much larger correction…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3336 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming an appropriate entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair increased by 20 pips. The sharp decline in UK inflation led to a decline in the British pound. However, bulls managed to reclaim their positions in the second half of the day. Several factors likely triggered the sudden reversal. Firstly, the decline in the pound reached critical levels, prompting stop-loss orders to trigger and attracting short-term buyers looking to capitalize on a rebound. Secondly, traders may have concluded t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3365 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 40 pips. The pound increased yesterday after the Bank of England lowered interest rates but warned that the speed and scale of future cuts are now in question. This decision, made against a backdrop of conflicting economic signals, left markets in uncertainty and increased volatility in the British currency. On one hand, the rate cut is intended to stimulate economic activity by easing the burden of borrowing for businesse…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3235 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and missed a good upward movement. However, short positions on the bounce from 1.3264 allowed for a decent profit of about 30 pips from the market. A weak report on the U.S. ISM manufacturing index increased pressure on the U.S. dollar and strengthened the British pound. The published data showed a decline in the ISM manufacturing index, which fell short of analysts' expectations for growth. This decline in U.S. manufacturin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3372 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair decreased by 15 pips. The pound reacted poorly to the retail sales data. Weak UK retail sales raised concerns about consumer activity; however, their impact was mitigated by similar signals from the U.S. economy. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, reflecting worries about inflation and economic uncertainty, raised doubts about the strength of the U.S. recovery, putting pressure on the dollar. This morning, import…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3206 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point for buying pounds. However, a significant rise in the pair did not materialize. Positive news about a sharp increase in the Economic Optimism Index from RCM/TIPP in the United States led to a strengthening of the dollar against the pound. The dollar's strengthening was a likely expected consequence of the data's release. The RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, one of the key indicators of American consumer and investor sentiment, jumped significantly, signaling improved economic prospects …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3297 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming an appropriate entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 pips. The British pound continued its rapid rise against the dollar following news of a decline in U.S. ADP employment for November. The figure of 32,000 came as a shock to analysts who had forecast an increase of 13,000. This sharp decline indicates a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy, heightening concerns over a weak end to the year. The pound strengthened against the dollar, reaching new multi-month highs. T…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3353 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for buying pounds. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Following the publication of data showing a reduction in initial jobless claims in the United States to their lowest level in over three years, the dollar partially regained its position against the British pound. However, statements from Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council and a Trump adviser, on the advisability of a 25 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3309 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3309 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, allowing for the implementation of Scenario 2 to buy the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 20 pips. The British pound has corrected somewhat; however, it still has room to grow. In the UK, despite some signs of stabilization, inflation remains at a high level, putting pressure on the Bank of England. The central bank is forced to ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3111 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 pips. The pound rose while the dollar fell after the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index sharply fell to 50.3 points. This figure is among the lowest in recent times, signaling growing concerns among Americans about the economic outlook. The sharp correction in consumer sentiment triggered a chain reaction in currency markets, as fears of a potential economic slowdown weakened the dollar's position.…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3145 occurred when the MACD indicator had risen significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and missed the pair's upward movement. The unexpectedly high unemployment rate and the slowing wage growth caused a brief panic among investors, leading to a momentary drop in the pound. However, demand quickly returned, resulting in trading within a range. The main factor for the pound's recovery was the overall weakness of the US dollar, which, in turn, was driven by growing expectations regarding further interest rate cuts by the Fede…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3108 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning its downward move from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 20 pips. The resumption of US government operations brought relief to hundreds of thousands of federal employees who had been placed on unpaid leave or worked without pay for 43 days. However, this did not support the US dollar. The H.R. 5371 bill only funds the government temporarily until January 30, 2026. This means that political battles will resume shortly. Congress and the White House will need to find a compromise by that d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Transactions and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3145 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero mark, confirming the right entry point for selling the pound. However, the trade incurred a loss as the pair did not decline. The statements by the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer regarding her consideration of abandoning tax increases led to buying activity for the pound, while uncertainty regarding the future actions of the U.S. Federal Reserve created additional problems for the dollar, resulting in the strengthening of the GBP/USD pair. Since there are no economic data releases from the United Kingdom…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3160 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move up from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the pound. However, the pair did not experience significant growth thereafter. The British pound continued to demonstrate quite high volatility. Uncertainty about Starmer's government's fiscal policy is putting substantial pressure on the pound's exchange rate. Investors also express concerns about the resilience of the British economy. The market is closely monitoring every statement from the Bank of England regarding future monetary policy. It is expected that the central bank may opt f…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3177 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. However, the pair only rose by 15 pips before demand decreased. Optimistic data on the Empire Manufacturing Index's growth in the U.S., which exceeded analysts' expectations, along with statements from Federal Reserve officials about a cautious approach to interest rate cuts, provided substantial support for the U.S. dollar against the British pound. The strengthening dollar, supported by macroeconomic indicators and central bank r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3144 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not drop as expected, resulting in a loss. In the absence of UK data, the pound declined after news of a rise in manufacturing orders that beat analysts' forecasts. At the same time, Federal Reserve representatives, in cautious statements about the outlook for inflation and economic activity, indicated that the central bank would not rush into changes in monetary policy, which also strengthened the dollar. This morning, dat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3103 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's bearish potential. The second test at 1.3103 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, prompting trade #2 to buy the pound, which resulted in a loss as the anticipated rise did not materialize. The appreciation of the dollar and the decline of the pound came after it became clear that many Federal Reserve officials consider it prudent to keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2025. The minutes strengthened the dollar's position against other major currencies, as investor…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3089 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and leading to a rise near the target level of 1.3118. The pound reacted positively to news that the US unemployment rate rose. Weaker-than-expected unemployment data initially pressured the US dollar, as investors became more cautious about the US economic outlook. The rise in unemployment hints at a potential slowdown in economic growth, which may lead the Federal Reserve to reconsider its restrictive stance on interest rates. However, the non-farm payroll…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
