Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12244 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the price at 1.3087 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The absence of U.S. data weighed on the dollar against the British pound, prompting traders to adopt a wait-and-see approach and keeping the pair within the channel. However, attention is now focused on the new UK budget, which will be presented tomorrow. Expectations for this event are so high that significant movements in the pound today are unlikely. Tomorrow's budget will be crucial for the UK's economy in the coming…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3139 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning its upward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a rise towards the target level of 1.3187. The pound surged sharply on news that the UK will increase the minimum wage by 4.1%. Investors now assess the likelihood of the Bank of England maintaining interest rates unchanged in the coming months as quite high. However, opinions among experts are divided. Some argue that raising the minimum wage will undoubtedly increase inflationary pressures, as businesses will be forced to pass on …
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3179 coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and driving a rise towards the target level of 1.3235. The publication of the UK budget sparked volatility, with the pound emerging as the winner. Investors seemingly perceived the budget initiatives as evidence of the government's commitment to stabilizing the economic situation. Specifically, the tax increases and spending cuts, while painful for the population and businesses, are viewed as necessary steps to restore confidence in the British economy. H…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3238 occurred as the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a good entry point to buy the pound, which resulted in a 17-pip rise. Today, significant movements in the GBP/USD pair are not expected, as there are no UK reports in the first half of the day. However, despite the absence of macroeconomic news from the UK, one should consider the indirect impact of events in the Eurozone and the USA. Any surprises in German data or US data may provoke fluctuations in the euro, which in turn will affect the British pound through cross rates. Technical analysis indicates the pa…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3128 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and missed the entire downward movement of the pair. Additionally, I did not get the opportunity to buy on the bounce from 1.3096. Following quite hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, the pound fell. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, driven by expectations of a tight US monetary policy, as well as the UK budget crisis, the British currency is under serious pressure. Investors, fearing a recession in t…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3118 occurred when the MACD indicator had significantly fallen from the zero mark, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. Weak US manufacturing data for October supported the pound. This short-term spike was driven by hopes that a slowing US economy would compel the Federal Reserve to continue easing its monetary policy. However, fundamental factors that determine the British currency's trajectory, such as high inflation, recession risks, and uncertainty about fiscal policy, quickly brought the pound back down. This morning, there are no economic rep…
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3055 coincided with the MACD indicator beginning its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound further down the trend. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3015. The pound collapsed after the likelihood of another tax increase by the UK government increased. Yesterday, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that such a decision would be fair within the context of the expected new budget for next year. This news instantly sparked a wave of concern among investors accustomed to the unstable economic environment …
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Analysis of Trades and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3025 occurred when the MACD indicator was beginning its downward movement from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not fall, which resulted in a loss. According to the ADP report, the number of jobs exceeded economists' forecasts. This unexpected jump strengthened the U.S. dollar, but there was no significant sell-off in GBP/USD. Today promises to be another interesting day. A decision on the main interest rate and the Bank of England's monetary policy report are ahead, along with a speech from Governor Andrew Bailey. While t…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3073 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not experience a significant drop. Closer to midday, there was a test of the price at 1.3099, which occurred as the MACD began its upward movement from the zero mark, allowing the pound to be bought at acceptable prices. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 pips. Yesterday, the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged. However, the possibility of a rate cut in December led to a surge in volatility, with buyers of the pound em…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3445 level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line — a confirmation of a valid entry point for buying the pound, which resulted in a 20-pip gain. Today, the British pound continued to rise during the Asian session, benefiting from additional pressure on the U.S. dollar due to the ongoing government shutdown. This shutdown, caused by a lack of consensus on government spending for the upcoming fiscal year, has triggered a wave of concern among investors, prompting them to shift away from dollar-denominated assets in search of safer havens. The pound t…
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Trade Review and GBP/USD Trading TipsA test of the 1.3310 level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The British pound rose sharply, while the U.S. dollar declined following Donald Trump's renewed consideration of implementing 100% tariffs against China. Waves of panic swept through financial markets, forcing investors to hastily reassess their strategies. Trump's statements, as unexpected as a bolt from the blue, immediately drove the dollar down, exposing its vulnerability in the face of geopolitical uncertainty. The British currency—seemingly unaffected directly by t…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3315 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already dropped significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. Attempts by the United States and China to stabilize rapidly deteriorating trade relations have yet to succeed, negatively affecting risk-sensitive assets, including the British pound. The uncertainty surrounding the potential escalation of the trade war continues to raise investor fears about the prospects of global economic growth, putting pressure on currencies closely tied to global market sentiment. The British pound is also affected by internal factors, includin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3284 level coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level occurred while MACD was in the overbought zone, triggering the implementation of Sell Scenario No. 2. However, the anticipated decline in the pair did not materialize. The pound surged sharply on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the U.S. central bank plans to lower the key interest rate by 0.25% at the end of the month. The market reacted instantly with widespread buying of the British currency, as i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3342 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD entering the oversold zone, which led to the realization of Buy Scenario No. 2. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The U.S. dollar continues to steadily lose ground against the British pound, and it seems unlikely that any events in the near future could reverse this trend. The lack of key macroeconomic data, due to the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S., has created an informational vacuum a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3474 price level occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a 40-pip rise. The sharp drop in U.S. employment data from ADP for August triggered a strong sell-off of the U.S. dollar and a strengthening of the British pound. Investors, concerned about a slowdown in the U.S. economic recovery, quickly moved away from dollar-denominated assets, while the pound, conversely, found support amid expectations of a more cautious monetary policy from the Bank of England. However, this out…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3328 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero mark, which limited the downside potential of the pair. The second test of 1.3328 shortly thereafter took place while the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing scenario No. 2 for buying the pound to be realized. As a result, the pair only rose by 10 pips. There is no fundamental data for the UK today, so the pound has every chance to continue its correction. The absence of macroeconomic data generally provides currencies with maneuverability, allowing them to move under the influence of technica…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe first test of the price at 1.3305 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move below the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 50 pips. Pound sellers appeared after Reeves' statements about wanting closer ties with the EU, while the country had only just recovered from Brexit, which affected sentiment among pound buyers. During Asian trading, the decline in GBP/USD continued as disagreements within the Federal Reserve began to weigh on buyers of risk assets. This morning, data will be released regarding the number of approved mo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3490 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound, which resulted in a drop of over 40 pips. Strong U.S. data, supported by hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, restored confidence in a more cautious approach by the Fed regarding interest rate cuts. This, in turn, makes the U.S. dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors. The pound, however, came under pressure. The situation is further complicated by the fact that the Bank of England is facing a greater challenge than the Fed. The UK central ba…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3211 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had declined significantly from the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair before the release of the FOMC decision. For this reason, I did not sell the pound and missed the entire downward movement. Yesterday, the British pound sharply dropped following Powell's statement that future rate decisions now depend on incoming data. The market's reaction to Powell's words was immediate, resulting in a capital outflow from the pound, which is traditionally seen as a riskier asset. Investors, concerned about the uncertainty surroun…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Deals and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3179 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, limiting the downside potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3179 coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, leading to the implementation of Scenario #2 to buy the pound and realize losses, as the pair did not rise. Expectations of a more cautious stance from the US Federal Reserve regarding interest rates only increased demand for the US dollar. The British pound seemed unable to find support amid the rapid strengthening of the American currency. The decisio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3465 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. A second test of 1.3465, while the MACD was in overbought territory, provided an entry point for a sell trade according to Scenario 2; however, no major decline in the pair occurred afterward. The British pound responded with solid growth to the news that the U.S. ISM Services PMI had returned to the 50-point area. This morning, expectations for the UK Construction PMI are not optimistic, which may limit the upside potential of the pair. Additionally, a public speech…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3456 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The U.S. dollar resumed its decline against the British pound yesterday after Republicans and Democrats once again failed to reach a budget agreement, extending the government shutdown. Investors, exhausted by political uncertainty and concerned about its potential economic consequences, continued to abandon dollar-denominated assets, which immediately impacted the exchange rate against major global currencies. As is well known, a prolonged shutdown erodes confidence i…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3573 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in a drop toward the target level of 1.3533. The pound declined against the dollar after buyers failed to hold the weekly high. This cautious approach, typical in the market ahead of the release of key economic data, is due not only to the desire to avoid unjustified risks but also to an understanding of the potential impact of this data on the future dynamics of the currency pair. US economic data—whether inflation, employment, or industria…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3527 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics predictably put pressure on the pound in the first half of the day, but it did not lead to a larger correction of the pair. Investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, assessing the prospects of further moves by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Expectations regarding a possible rate cut at the upcoming meeting remain fairly muted, which supports the British currency. Technical analysis shows that GBP/USD cont…
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