Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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While traders buy Bitcoin and Ethereum at any sign of a dip, rumors are circulating in the market that the SEC might soon give the green light to several ETFs, including those for XRP and SOL. After the Securities and Exchange Commission approved general listing standards for crypto ETFs and a number of amended Solana fund filings were submitted, many speculate that a wave of new crypto ETFs is about to reach its peak. According to rumors, Solana ETF approval could come as soon as next week. This optimism is driven not only by regulatory shifts, but also by the successful launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which have demonstrated the maturity of the crypto market an…
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Crypto analyst Trader Mayne is cautioning that Bitcoin may be setting up for a sharper drawdown before resuming its broader uptrend into year-end, arguing that a “$98,000 weekly liquidity level” sits uncollected below price and could be targeted early in October. Two Price Scenarios For Bitcoin In a video analysis posted on September 30 titled “Did Bitcoin Just Top? The Signal Everyone’s Ignoring…,”Mayne outlined a two-track playbook: a tactical long on a lower-timeframe liquidity sweep that could precede a deeper correction, and, if that setup fails, a decisive flush that takes out $98,000 before a fourth-quarter continuation higher. “TLDR — I think we are due for a l…
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Shares of lithium producers in Australia slumped after Chinese regulators approved reserve reports for two major projects in Yichun, easing fears of prolonged supply disruptions. Liontown Resources Ltd. tumbled as much as 10.6% at close in Australia, Pilbara Minerals shed 6.3%. The declines followed Bloomberg reports that Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) secured approval for a reserve report at its Jianxiawo mine in Jiangxi province. Operations at the site have been suspended since August, after the battery giant failed to renew an expired mining permit. The approval brings CATL closer to a potential restart, though no timeline has been confirmed. …
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Before analyzing all the aspects of a "government shutdown" and its impact on the economy, it's worth recalling that the last time the U.S. government suspended operations was six years ago. Previously, it occurred in 2013–2014. In both cases, the American economy lost between 0.4% and 0.6% of its GDP. So it's naive to think that this time there will be no or minimal losses. The U.S. economy is bound to take a hit. The first issue to consider is the fate of federal employees. They are once again being sent on an unplanned vacation, as Donald Trump refuses to make compromises with Democrats. If the shutdown lasts one to two weeks, it won't be catastrophic. But what if it d…
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The U.S. dollar has once again come under pressure, this time due to another round of weak fundamental data, which triggered a rally in risk assets — including the euro, British pound, and Japanese yen. The sharp drop in U.S. private-sector employment, as reported by ADP (down 32,000), led to an active sell-off of the dollar and strengthened the euro, pound, and yen. However, this disappointing labor market data was partially offset by a stronger-than-expected ISM manufacturing PMI, which limited the dollar's downside momentum. These conflicting signals created an atmosphere of uncertainty in the market. On one hand, job losses highlight potential vulnerabilities in the U…
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During today's Asian session, Bitcoin reached the $119,500 level and doesn't seem to be slowing down. Ethereum is also trading above $4,400, poised to set a new all-time high potentially. A sharp spike in buying in October once again highlights the tendency for a strong fourth quarter in the crypto market. Yesterday, it was announced that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) will no longer be subject to the U.S. alternative minimum corporate tax. This is good news for many crypto-focused companies that are following in Strategy's footsteps. Given the increase in Bitcoin prices this year, Strategy was anticipating facing the 15% alternative minimum tax in 2026. This corporat…
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Asia Market Wrap - OpenAI Boosts Asian Tech Sector Asian stock markets moved significantly higher on Thursday, fueled by a major rally in technology shares. Japan's Nikkei index gained more than 1%, led by chip sector companies, despite facing headwinds from a stronger yen against the dollar. Elsewhere, the tech-heavy stock market in Taiwan jumped 1.8%, and South Korea's KOSPI index shot up an impressive 2.8%. The boost in South Korea came after chip giants Samsung and Hynix announced new partnerships to supply data centers for OpenAI. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also added 1.6%. This widespread enthusiasm drove the broader MSCI Emerging Markets Asia Index up by as muc…
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Overview: The dollar is soft and trading near session lows in late European morning turnover. The news stream is light and large parts of the US federal government remain closed. China's mainland markets are on holiday. Among the G10 currencies, the Canadian dollar remains the laggard in a soft greenback environment. Most emerging market currencies also are firmer against the US dollar. The Argentine peso sold off for the third consecutive session yesterday after rallying every day last week. It settled at its highest level since September 22 yesterday. Gold demand persists and it looks poised to challenge yesterday's record high near $3895. Equities are mostly stronger …
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Critical Metals Corp (Nasdaq: CRML) will lift its ownership in the Tanbreez rare earth project in southern Greenland to 92.5%, positioning itself to control one of the world’s largest rare earth deposits, major shareholder European Lithium (ASX: EUR) announced Thursday. Under the revised agreement, Critical Metals will raise its stake in Tanbreez Mining Greenland AS from 42% to 92.5% by issuing 14.5 million shares to Rimbal Pty Ltd, a company controlled by project founder Gregory Barnes. The agreed price of $8 per share represents a 23% premium to Critical Metals’ last close of $6.49, valuing the transaction at $116 million. Barnes waived an earlier requirement fo…
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USDT issuer Tether has added a significant amount of Bitcoin to close out the third quarter, a development that has caught the attention of the crypto community. Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, also confirmed this purchase, as the company ranks among the largest BTC treasury companies. Tether Adds 8,889 BTC To Bitcoin Holdings Arkham data shows that Tether bought 8,889 BTC for $1 billion, with the coins transferred from Bitfinex’s hot wallet to the USDT issuer’s Bitcoin reserves wallet. The company now holds 86,335 BTC, which is valued at $10.23 billion. Ardoino also confirmed the purchase in an X post, highlighting their effort to keep accumulating BTC. BitInfoCharts d…
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Copper prices climbed to their highest level in more than a year on Thursday, fueled by mounting global supply disruptions and growing expectations that US interest rate cuts will support demand for the industrial metal. Benchmark futures on the London Metal Exchange (LME) briefly rose above $10,500 a tonne for the first time since May 2024, before trading at $10,497.50, up 1.1% as of 11:50 a.m. in London. Three-month futures traded above $10,976 per ton ($4.989 per lb.) on the CME, up 2.2% for the day. Click on chart for live prices. The rally has been bolstered by news that Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) declared force majeure at its giant Grasberg mine in Ind…
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NioCorp Developments (NASDAQ: NB) has taken another step in its application for an US$800 million loan from the Export-Import Bank of the US (EXIM) as it looks to begin an independent review of its flagship project. The company, which is developing the shovel-ready Elk Creek critical minerals property in southeast Nebraska, announced it has engaged SLR Consulting to conduct the project’s environmental and social (E&S) review, a key part of EXIM’s due diligence process. SLR is the same company that the bank is using to conduct its own technical review of the project. “The SLR team is an outstanding selection and they are very familiar with our project, given th…
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The latest analysis from DustyBC Crypto indicates that the XRP price is still struggling to overcome key resistance levels. The price has increased a few times, but each attempt to move higher has faced rejection. For XRP, the situation is not yet showing clear signs of a breakout. Instead, the market outlook remains cautious, and there is still a chance of further downside before the pattern can fully play out. XRP Price Faces Resistance With More Rejections In Market Action According to DustyBC Crypto, XRP recently pushed upward but quickly met a strong resistance zone. After testing that level, the price began rejecting again, showing that sellers are still active in…
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Fan tokens get fresh momentum as Chiliz launches official merch auctions and Alpine’s ALPINE token whipsaws on heavy volume. On Wednesday, Chiliz rolled out limited-edition merchandise bundles inside the Socios.com app, aiming to reward active fans and spark more activity across its sports-token network. The bundles containing a T-shirt, hoodie, socks, hat, stickers, and a linked NFT are up for grabs from Oct. 1 through Oct. 18. Access is restricted to “Reward Points Auctions,” which require users to bid with points earned by staking fan tokens purchased with CHZ. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents th…
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The U.S. government is partially shut down, and that’s thrown a wrench into the SEC’s regular activity. One of the biggest consequences right now is the halt on reviewing applications for spot altcoin ETFs. For investors hoping to see new crypto funds approved soon, especially ones linked to Solana and other popular tokens, the wait just got longer. SEC Freezes Review During Budget Impasse The SEC has a contingency plan for situations like this, and it clearly states that only emergency cases will be reviewed during a shutdown. Everything else, including new financial product applications, is off the table for now. That leaves crypto ETF filings stuck in limbo. …
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Trade Review for Thursday:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD also showed a downward move, despite the British pound having no real reason to fall. As mentioned earlier, this week's movements in the FX market have been very strange and illogical. Such moves are not rare, and when they do not align with the fundamental or macroeconomic background, the best approach is to acknowledge their illogicality rather than trying to force-fit news or data to explain them. There were no significant events in the UK or the U.S. yesterday, although earlier this week, at least two events could have triggered a major dollar sell-off—but didn't. That's the main "strangeness" …
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The U.S. dollar has regained leadership – especially after it became clear that the much-anticipated key U.S. labor market statistics would not be released this week. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve representatives Logan and Goolsbee, noting that the U.S. economy is in good shape, also increased demand for the dollar. Traders interpreted these comments as a sign of a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts, making the U.S. currency more attractive for investment. Ahead, markets await data on the Eurozone Services PMI, Composite PMI, and the Producer Price Index. Weak numbers will only increase pressure on EUR/USD, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1746 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving down from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area near 1.1712. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials—that the U.S. economy is in good shape and that the fight against inflation is far from over—spurred U.S. dollar buying. However, today brings important data releases, including the Eurozone services PMI, composite PMI, and producer price index (PPI), all of which could significantly impact the market. The significance of the upcoming reports cannot be over…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3490 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound, which resulted in a drop of over 40 pips. Strong U.S. data, supported by hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, restored confidence in a more cautious approach by the Fed regarding interest rate cuts. This, in turn, makes the U.S. dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors. The pound, however, came under pressure. The situation is further complicated by the fact that the Bank of England is facing a greater challenge than the Fed. The UK central ba…
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Crypto markets started October with renewed strength, as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $119,770.39 0.95% Bitcoin BTC Price $119,770.39 0.95% /24h Volume in 24h $57.98B Price 7d Learn more is up 57% over the past week, supported by $76M in tr…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks on Course for Solid Week Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Asian stock markets were heading for solid weekly gains on Friday, largely because of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates soon. This positive outlook helped calm market nerves surrounding the US government shutdown, which has simultaneously pushed gold prices to record highs and caused the US dollar to weaken. Investors have mostly ignored the shutdown, which is the 15th since 1981, even though it has resulted in the suspension of financial oversight and delayed the release of crucial economic data, inc…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading softer but most inside yesterday's ranges. An unexpected jump in Japanese unemployment has weighed on the yen, which is the only G10 currency that is not gaining on the dollar today. The soft greenback means the Canadian dollar is likely under-performing and it is barely firmer on the day. Sterling is the next to weakest following the final September composite PMI reading that lowered to slightly above the 50 boom/bust levels. Most emerging market currencies are also firmer. The JP Morgan and MSCI emerging market currency indices are up 0.2%-0.3% this week. Equities are pushing higher. In the Asia Pacific region only Hong Kong among the…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of price at 1.1730 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero mark. This confirmed the correct entry point for buying euros and resulted in a 15-point rise in the pair. The PMI services activity data from the Eurozone matched economists' forecasts, which at first glance suggests stability and predictability of the economic landscape. However, traders need to keep in mind that these forecasts are based on historical data and current conditions. Therefore, the fact that actual data matched expectations does not mean there are no risks that could disrupt the trend. Despite…
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