Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12244 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3518 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. In the second half of the day, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August will be released, and a decline in this indicator will restore demand for the British pound, significantly weakening the dollar's position. The CPI excluding food and energy prices is also important. Investors and traders constantly analyze every point of the report carefully, trying to anticipate the Federal Reserve's next moves. It is expected that the Fed will make decisions ba…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundA test of the 1.3545 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just starting its move up from the zero line, confirming a good buy entry in GBP. However, the pair never developed a significant upward move. The sharp 0.1% drop in US producer prices in August led to a dollar decline and a strengthening of the British pound. Still, a major bullish run did not materialize. First, the PPI drop was a one-off event, shifting the focus to today's US Consumer Price Index figures. Second, ongoing uncertainty over the British economy continued to weigh on sterling. There are no UK data releases today, so most of the market move…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3548 level came when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 20 pips. There was no reaction to the UK GDP data. The report fully matched economists' forecasts, recording zero growth for the past month. The market seemed to have already priced in this scenario, keeping investors focused on more pressing issues like inflation and geopolitical tensions. Zero GDP growth highlights the fragility of the British economy, calling further growth prospects into question and putting pressure on the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3525 level occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose to the target area around 1.3582. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and led to growth in the British pound. Investors welcomed the slowdown in US consumer price growth, which increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This weakened the US dollar and provided significant support to the pound. A lot of important data for the UK is expected out this morning. Economists and analysts will closely watch the numbers…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3528 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound rose against the dollar after last Friday's data showed a decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The unexpected drop in the index weakened the dollar and provided a boost for the pound. Markets reacted immediately, as investors revised their expectations towards a more dovish Federal Reserve policy. No major fundamental data are expected from the UK today, which is likely positive for the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3573 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3608. The absence of U.K. statistics had a positive effect on the pound. Without fresh data to assess the state of the British economy, investors tend to rely on existing trends and the overall perception of risk. In the second half of the day, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released, and only strong data could help the dollar rise against the pound. However, even with positive results, it wo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of 1.3588 coincided with MACD moving far below zero, which limited downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3588 occurred when MACD was in oversold territory, allowing Scenario #2 to play out with a 20-pip rise. Today, reports on U.K. jobless claims, the unemployment rate, and average earnings will be published. Together, these reports offer a comprehensive view of labor market conditions, and their simultaneous publication creates a powerful flow of information that requires careful analysis. The change in the number of applications for unemployment benefits serv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3628 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero line, which limited the pound's upward potential. Weak UK labor market data prevented pound buyers from achieving strong growth in the pair. However, there was no sharp decline either. A possible explanation for this dynamic is that the market had already priced in weak employment figures. In addition, speculative factors cannot be ruled out. Large players with significant resources may have taken advantage of the pound's temporary weakness to build long positions, betting on further strengthening after tomorrow's Fe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3631 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pound's downward potential. In the first half of the day, inflation data was released in the UK. The market showed no reaction. The pound sterling continued to trade within a narrow sideways channel. It will likely remain there until the Fed's decision. In the second half of the day, the FOMC decision on the key interest rate, FOMC economic projections, and Jerome Powell's press conference are expected. Markets are frozen in anticipation. Investors and analysts around the world are preparing for the mome…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns abo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and advice for trading the pound The price test at 1.3611 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points. The European session only reinforced the intentions of major players, pushing the pound to new local highs. Optimism about the outlook for the British economy, supported by expectations that the Bank of England will maintain a cautious stance on interest rates, continues to fuel demand for the pound. Technical analysis also points to a favorable picture for the currency. Beyond the regulator's decision, the pound ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3631 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry on the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 pips for the pair. The Bank of England's decision to keep rates unchanged did not help the pound; the market reacted with disappointment, viewing the lack of hawkish signals as a sign of caution and indecisiveness from the central bank in tackling inflation. On the one hand, the decision to hold rates at current levels can be seen as a balanced approach, accounting for the risks of slowing economic gro…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3524 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 25 points. The drop was caused by a sharp increase in public sector borrowing, which threatens the UK's economic outlook and the political career of Rachel Reeves. The surge in government debt, reported at far higher levels than expected, triggered panic among investors. Many economists questioned the government's ability to manage finances effectively, which immediately weighed on the pound sterling. This significa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3490 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. In the second half of the day, all eyes will be on speeches by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin. If their tone is cautious or dovish, it could trigger further U.S. dollar weakening and, as a result, strengthen the pound. Should Williams and Barkin express concerns about the current economic situation, it may prompt another round of dollar selling. Investors are likely to interpret such comments as a signal of potential future monetary…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3467 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below zero, limiting the pair's downside potential. Long positions on the rebound from 1.3434 (Scenario #2) returned about 15 pips of profit. News that US new home sales came in much higher than economists had forecast strengthened the dollar and led to a decline in the British pound. Investors immediately reconsidered their positions, anticipating good economic growth momentum. The prospect of keeping rates higher for longer returned appeal to the US dollar. Today, the Confederation of British Industry will release UK retail sales figur…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundTesting the 1.3441 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by more than 100 pips. The pace of US economic growth, revised upward to 3.8%, delivered a strong boost to the US dollar and, as a result, triggered a weakening in the British pound. This unexpected GDP growth for Q2 signals more resilience in the American economy than previously expected. The strengthening of the dollar, driven by favorable economic data, inevitably put pressure on other currencies, particular…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3383 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and skipped the pair's small upward move. The pound reacted positively against the dollar on news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, in line with economists' forecasts. This modest increase, predicted by analysts, served as a signal of a possible further easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The market interpreted this as a sign of a softer stance by the ce…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3448 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I decided not to buy the pound. A second test of the same level coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which validated sell Scenario #2, resulting in a 30-pip drop. The absence of consensus among U.S. politicians due to major ideological differences negatively impacted the value of the U.S. dollar yesterday, leading to a modest strengthening of the British pound. Investors are increasingly concerned about the potential consequen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3493 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3546. Selling from there on the rebound allowed for an additional profit of about 30 pips from the market. The latest report from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that employment in the U.S. rose by only 22,000 in August, which led to a sharp drop in the dollar and strengthening of the pound. This figure falls significantly short of forecasts, which anticipated over 75,000 new jobs, and raises…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3511 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics held back the pound's upward momentum. Technical analysis also points to the possibility of a correction. Overbought signals and divergence on daily charts warn of weakening bullish momentum. A break of key support levels could trigger sellers' activity and strengthen the downtrend. In the second half of the day, traders will focus on U.S. consumer credit data, where overly strong figures could lead to a decline in GBP/USD. This is because robust c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3520 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3555. Unfortunately, there is no economic data out of the UK today, so the further direction of the pair will be determined more by technical factors, as well as the bullish momentum that has persisted in the market since the end of last week. Given the absence of fundamental drivers from the UK, technical analysis takes on primary importance. Traders will closely watch the support and resistance leve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3567 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair moved down only about 10 points before demand returned. During the U.S. session, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index report is expected. After strong data, the pound may decline slightly against the dollar. While this indicator is not decisive, it can bring short-term volatility to quotes, especially if its value deviates significantly from expectations. Investors closely monitor sentiment in the small business sector, as it is an impo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3152 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's potential for further decline. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3152 shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, prompting the execution of Scenario #2: a buy. As a result, the pair rose by 30 pips. The British pound hardly reacted to the news that the U.S. Senate approved a bill aimed at stopping the shutdown. This bill is now headed to the House of Representatives for a vote scheduled for Wednesday. Any positive data concerning …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3052 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3052 occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing the implementation of Scenario #2 to buy the pound, resulting in a rise of more than 50 pips. Mixed U.S. data failed to provide the support the dollar needed. Nevertheless, market participants betting on a stronger pound waited for the right moment and became active after John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stat…
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