Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12254 tópicos neste fórum
-
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3511 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics held back the pound's upward momentum. Technical analysis also points to the possibility of a correction. Overbought signals and divergence on daily charts warn of weakening bullish momentum. A break of key support levels could trigger sellers' activity and strengthen the downtrend. In the second half of the day, traders will focus on U.S. consumer credit data, where overly strong figures could lead to a decline in GBP/USD. This is because robust c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3520 occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulted in growth toward the target level of 1.3555. Unfortunately, there is no economic data out of the UK today, so the further direction of the pair will be determined more by technical factors, as well as the bullish momentum that has persisted in the market since the end of last week. Given the absence of fundamental drivers from the UK, technical analysis takes on primary importance. Traders will closely watch the support and resistance leve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3567 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair moved down only about 10 points before demand returned. During the U.S. session, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index report is expected. After strong data, the pound may decline slightly against the dollar. While this indicator is not decisive, it can bring short-term volatility to quotes, especially if its value deviates significantly from expectations. Investors closely monitor sentiment in the small business sector, as it is an impo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3152 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's potential for further decline. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3152 shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the oversold area, prompting the execution of Scenario #2: a buy. As a result, the pair rose by 30 pips. The British pound hardly reacted to the news that the U.S. Senate approved a bill aimed at stopping the shutdown. This bill is now headed to the House of Representatives for a vote scheduled for Wednesday. Any positive data concerning …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3052 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test at 1.3052 occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing the implementation of Scenario #2 to buy the pound, resulting in a rise of more than 50 pips. Mixed U.S. data failed to provide the support the dollar needed. Nevertheless, market participants betting on a stronger pound waited for the right moment and became active after John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3419 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound continues to show steady growth. However, this rise is more a consequence of U.S. dollar weakness than pound strength. The dollar is under significant pressure due to the Federal Reserve's rhetoric. Dovish remarks from Fed officials suggest further interest rate cuts, which negatively affect the dollar's position. There are no major economic releases scheduled for the U.K. today, so market attention will be foc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Review of Forex Trades and Trading Advice on the British PoundA test of the 1.3425 level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. A rebound buy at 1.3394, which I mentioned in my forecast for the second half of the day, yielded about 25 pips of profit. No economic data is expected from the UK today, meaning GBP/USD retains the potential for further growth. However, traders should pay close attention to global factors influencing currency pair dynamics. In particular, investor attention will be focused on news from the United States…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Strategy for the British Pound The test of the 1.3421 level occurred while the MACD indicator was just beginning to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the pound. However, the anticipated strong upward movement failed to materialize. The easing of U.S.–China trade tensions has helped the U.S. dollar strengthen, placing renewed pressure on the British pound. Investors who were previously concerned about further escalation in the trade conflict are now feeling some relief, which has led to capital flows in favor of more stable assets like the U.S. dollar. Improving global trade sentiment has also contributed to the greenback'…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3204 price occurred when the MACD indicator was just starting to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 20 points. After news of the third consecutive month of rising housing prices in the UK, the pound showed a slight strengthening, but it was not enough to restore bullish optimism. In the second half of the day, the RCM/TIPP U.S. Economic Optimism Index will be released. FOMC member Michelle Bowman will also deliver a speech. Only very strong statistics will bring pressure back on the pound a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3336 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, which confirmed a proper entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped by 30 points. Given the lack of important statistics from the UK, the pound performed rather poorly during the European session, losing part of the advantage gained at the end of last week. The absence of domestic drivers allowed other, predominantly external, factors to put pressure on the GBP/USD currency pair. However, it is clear that many market participants are gradually taking a wait-and-s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test at 1.3144 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound. However, the trade resulted in a loss. The pair then rose. When the price tested 1.3162, the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero line, allowing a buy of the pound. As a result, growth occurred toward the target level of 1.3184. In the absence of significant economic data, traders responded by buying the pound against the dollar. Considering that there are no major U.S. reports scheduled for the second half of the day, the focus wil…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3159 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3119. News that the UK unemployment rate jumped to 5.0% and that wage growth slowed led to a fall in the pound during the first half of the day. The market reacted instantly: traders began selling the British currency, fearing further economic weakening. The slowdown in wage growth, coupled with rising unemployment, creates a toxic mix that puts pressure on consumer demand. The labor market data r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3145 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For that reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of this price shortly thereafter coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 30 points. Pressure on the pound increased in the first half of the day. Investors likely shifted their focus to global risks and the overall uncertainty dominating the markets. The lack of positive domestic drivers left the B…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe price test at 1.3111 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. Together with weak U.K. data, this suggested the possibility of a strong decline in the pair. nHowever, that decline never materialized, and losses were eventually recorded. Then, a price test at 1.3131 coincided with the MACD starting to move upward from the zero mark, providing a buy signal, after which the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3170. As mentioned earlier, the pound fell following news that the U.K. GDP shrank by 0.1% in September. Ind…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3134 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 20 points. The pound continues to show high volatility, directly linked to issues surrounding the UK's budget for next year. Uncertainty regarding tax policy, economic stimulus measures, and plans to reduce the budget deficit is putting pressure on the sterling, making investors nervous and prompting them to seek more stable assets. The situation is further complicated by high inflation, which, despite the Bank of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3155 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a proper entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 25 points. The lack of fresh data increased market uncertainty, as traders had no opportunity to assess the current state of the UK economy. Attention shifted to indirect indicators and global trends, which affected the volatility of GBP/USD. Given that the market continues to trade sideways, a break of any support or resistance level may serve as a signal for the start of a new directional movement. Regar…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test at 1.3165 occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct buy-entry point for the pound. As a result, the pair rose by only 10 points before pressure on the pound returned. Due to the lack of important U.K. statistics, the British pound continued to trade within a sideways channel. However, despite the current stability, experts note growing uncertainty surrounding the Bank of England's future monetary policy and the budget set to be presented on November 26. Inflationary risks, although showing signs of slowing, still remain abov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of the 1.3130 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far down from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 1.3130 happened while the MACD was in the oversold zone, which resulted in the implementation of Scenario No. 2 for buying the pound, although the pair did not manage to show any significant upward movement. The pound reacted with a decline to news that inflation in the U.K. in October increased but fully matched economists' forecasts. Such a market reaction indicates that investors are highly sensitive to even the smallest signals …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of the 1.3063 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3063 happened when the MACD was in the overbought area, which triggered scenario No. 2 for selling the pound, but the pair never actually moved into a decline. In the absence of important U.K. statistics, the pound managed to partially recover its positions. The lack of macroeconomic guidance from the U.K. left traders with little opportunity for fundamental analysis, which increased t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3092 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. With no major statistics released, the pound showed very low volatility. Market attention is focused on Rishi Sunak's new budget, which will be presented on November 26. The market expects the new budget to include measures to stimulate economic growth and plans for reducing public debt. Investors will carefully watch for any signals that might indicate future monetary policy from the Bank of England. Unfortunatel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3113 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 points. The pound strengthened amid expectations that tomorrow's UK budget will still receive approval. Investors appear to be betting on Reeves's ability to convince both party colleagues and the broader public of the necessity of the proposed measures, despite the potential unpopularity of tough decisions. However, optimism regarding the budget is not universal. Complex geopolitical realities and domestic …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound A price test of 1.3183 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by more than 20 points. Market expectations ahead of the budget release are always associated with elevated volatility. Traders evaluate the potential consequences of the announced measures for the economy, inflation, and, of course, the British pound. This time, the situation is complicated by uncertainty over how the UK Treasury plans to close the budget gaps created by very high government spending. The budget ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3246 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by more than 30 points. The pound fell noticeably in the absence of UK statistics, partially offsetting yesterday's rise. This resembles the classic "swing" movement in currency markets, where short-term impulses are followed by corrective movements, reflecting the ongoing struggle between buyers and sellers. Yesterday's optimism was likely triggered by details of the budget, which investors viewed as positive for econo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The price test of 1.3215 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3215 coincided with a moment when the MACD was oversold, which allowed scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out. However, the pair failed to rise, resulting in closing the position with a loss. The pound continued to decline amid the absence of U.K. statistics. After the morning pressure, the lack of internal catalysts left the British currency vulnerable to the overall negative market sentiment. Traders, lacking domestic guidance, focus on global uncertainty fa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test of 1.3138 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a 20-point decline for the pair. The fact that the UK manufacturing PMI came in slightly better than economists' forecasts limited the pair's downward potential. However, this is only a temporary reprieve. The overall picture for the British economy remains challenging, and fundamental pressure on the pound sterling persists. The manufacturing sector is close to recovery, though the index still remains below the 50-point threshold. In additi…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
