Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12254 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The 1.3116 price test occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming a proper entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a 50-point decline in the pair. The British pound came under heavy selling pressure earlier today after UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer made it clear that he supports raising taxes to help balance the budget for the next fiscal year. Investors reacted nervously, fearing that increased tax burdens could slow down the recovery of the UK economy, which is already facing multiple challenges. The short-term outlook for the British pound l…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of trades and advice on trading the British pound The test of the 1.3038 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound — but the pair failed to show any significant growth afterward. The UK Services PMI for October rose to 52.3, exceeding economists' forecasts. This unexpected increase in service-sector activity was a pleasant surprise for the market, weary of pessimistic forecasts and statements from British politicians. Surpassing the 50-point threshold, which separates growth from contraction, indicates that, contrary to expectations, the UK services sector is s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound A price test at 1.3068 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 points. The pound showed no reaction to the news of a decline in the U.K. Construction PMI index. Despite the fact that the indicator fell further below the 50-point threshold, signaling a contraction in construction activity, investors seemed to ignore this data. Most likely, the market's attention is focused on broader factors such as the Bank of England's interest rate outlook and the overall state of…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on the British Pound The test of 1.3298 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. This week, investors will focus on speeches by U.S. Federal Reserve representatives Austan D. Goolsbee and Alberto Musalem. Markets will closely monitor their statements to get a sense of the regulator's future plans regarding monetary policy. Any hints of tightening or, on the contrary, readiness to ease policy could trigger sharp swings in the currency markets. Alongside these speeches, particular importance will be given to the University of M…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3341 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in a decline of more than 25 points. The lack of U.K. economic data has brought pressure back on the GBP/USD pair. Investors are likely avoiding open long positions while waiting for new U.S. data — though such releases are unlikely today. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend, so traders should be extremely cautious with buying positions. Given that there are also no significant U.S. macroeconomic releases in the second half of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3325 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 points. A sharp increase in the number of unemployment benefit claims and in the unemployment rate in the U.K. led to a sell-off of the pound. Investors reacted instantly, alarmed by signs of a slowdown in economic growth. The data published by the Office for National Statistics caused some turbulence. In particular, the rise in jobless claims pointed to potential issues in the labor market, intensifying…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3367 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. Comments from Bank of England officials did not help the pound rise. Investors, who are seeking clearer signals on the future course of monetary policy, heard nothing new — only restrained statements. Today, attention will focus on the Empire Manufacturing Index, which may shed light on the state of industry in the region and, indirectly, across the country. Investors are extremely sensitive to any signs of a slowdo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3416 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of this price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was in the oversold zone, allowing Scenario #2 (buy) to play out, resulting in a 20-point rise. During the U.S. session, only the Leading Economic Index will be released, so we are unlikely to see any major changes in the balance of power in the GBP/USD pair. Nevertheless, it would be unwise to underestimate the impact of this macroeconomic release. The Leading Economic Index itself is…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3393 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the pound. However, the pair failed to show any notable growth afterward. The increase in the U.K. public sector debt burden triggered a weakening of the British pound. This negative trend creates an unfavorable backdrop for the government and signals potential problems that the British economy may face. Investors' concerns are linked not only to the current debt level but also to the prospects for its further increase. The U.K. government, faced with the need to fina…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Recommendations for Trading the British Pound The price test of 1.3372 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3324. Inflation growth in the United Kingdom slowed in September, leading to a sharp fall in the British pound. The decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in below analysts' forecasts, which may weaken expectations of further monetary tightening by the Bank of England (BoE). Investors have revised their forecasts for the level of the key interest rate that they…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3309 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential — especially given that buyers had been defending this level throughout the week. The UK manufacturing PMI in October approached the 50-point mark. This improvement allowed pound holders to overcome the pressure felt in the first half of the trading day. The increase in this indicator, which reflects the state of the industrial sector, came as an unexpected signal of optimism for investors. In September, when the PMI fell to 46.2, the market recorded clear signs of a slowdown:…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Guidance on Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3355 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 30 points for the pair. Statements by UK Prime Minister Rachel Reeves that her country could gain substantial benefits from restoring relations with the European Union caused turmoil in the currency market. Investors interpreted this rhetoric as a sign of a possible softening of the government's hardline stance, which in turn raised concerns about the outlook for the British economy. Many analysts expressed worry about t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe price test of 1.3228 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 1.3228 triggered Scenario #2 for buying the pound, which resulted in losses as the pair continued to decline. Only positive data on the growth in approved mortgage applications and changes in the M4 money supply in the UK managed to halt the bearish momentum for the pound. However, it's worth noting that the fundamental problems of the British economy have not disappeared. High inflation, political turmoil, and uncertainty about future trade rel…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of trades and trading advice for the British pound The price test of 1.3205 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun to move downward from the zero mark. This confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound and resulted in the pair dropping toward the target level of 1.3183. The lack of statistics from the UK affected GBP/USD volatility, although sellers still prevailed. During the U.S. session, FOMC member Michelle Bowman and FOMC member Lorie K. Logan are expected to speak. We'll see what comments they make following yesterday's Fed decision. The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates has undoubtedly become a catalyst for numerous questio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of the 1.3451 price level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. However, after a 10-point rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. Although the UK construction sector PMI declined, its reading of 46.2 exceeded analysts' expectations. Positive dynamics have persisted for three months, fueling optimism about a potential recovery in business activity in the near term. The moderate decline in housing construction is a result of the Bank of England's interest rate cuts in recent …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for the British pound The price test of 1.3316 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pound's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy. The absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK provided only slight support to buyers of the British pound. Amid the overall uncertainty related to the Federal Reserve's next steps, a short break from negative news allowed investors to focus on technical factors and recover part of the previously lost positions. However, it is worth noting that this growth is most likely corrective in nature and does not indicate a continuation o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The first test of 1.3373 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3373 shortly afterward coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario No. 2 (selling the pound) to play out. As a result, the pair fell by 20 points. In the absence of important fundamental statistics from the UK, the British pound made several attempts to continue its bullish momentum, but without much success. The pound's further movement will largely depend on the release …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade analysis and guidance on trading the British pound The first test of the 1.3386 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair dropped toward the target level of 1.3366. According to the data, UK GDP declined by 0.1% in October this year, which led to the pound's fall during the first half of the day. Although the contraction in GDP is not catastrophic, it is yet another signal of the economic slowdown that began several months ago. It is important to note that this decrease occurred amid a relatively stable global economy and the absen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Breakdown and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3371 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by 15 points. The absence of UK data supported the pound in the first half of the day. However, the euphoria was short-lived. The strengthening of the British currency encountered a number of restraining factors, including ongoing uncertainty regarding economic prospects and expectations of further steps from the Bank of England. Investors are also exercising caution while assessing the potential impa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Trading Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3359 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move downward from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 25 points. In the second half of the day, very important data are expected on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the CPI excluding food and energy prices. Weekly U.S. initial jobless claims data are unlikely to attract much interest. Higher-than-expected CPI readings could spark concerns about persistent inflationary pressure in the United States, which in turn may push the Federal Reserve to be more …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Breakdown and Trading Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3369 price level occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move down from the zero line, which confirmed a correct entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not go on to post a major decline. Despite the fact that UK retail sales fell by 0.1% in November this year, the pound barely reacted. Although the data came as an unpleasant surprise to the market, which had been expecting confirmation of resilient consumer demand. In the second half of the day, the focus will shift to U.S. existing home sales data, as well as the consumer sentiment index and inflation expectations fr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for Trading the British Pound The price test at 1.3211 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero line, limiting the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The UK Manufacturing PMI matched economists' forecasts, remaining above 50 points. This paints a picture of a fragile but still steady recovery, with the manufacturing sector stabilizing. Exceeding expectations in UK lending also provides a positive signal, indicating continued demand in the real estate market. Later today, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index data is expected. Only exceptionally strong numbers—which are u…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The test of the 1.3245 price occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had just begun to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 35 points. News that the UK Services PMI came out higher than economists' forecasts provided significant support for the pound. The impact of positive PMI data on the currency market is quite logical. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity in the services sector, which in turn signals an overall improvement in the country's economic situation. For traders, this serves as an i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of the 1.3344 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by only 10 points. A sharp decline in the UK construction sector, reflected in the drop of the index to 39.4, has negatively affected the pound sterling. The decrease in the construction PMI indicates a slowdown in economic growth, which impacts future performance. A reduction in construction volumes may trigger decreased demand for resources, slower wage growth, and, consequently, worsening consumer sentiment. This situ…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
