Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Bank of England held its meeting yesterday, almost exactly in line with expectations, except for the voting: the forecast was 8-1 for holding the rate, but it turned out to be 7-2. Now, expectations for a rate cut have shifted to November. Meanwhile, the realization is spreading through the media and markets that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates twice by year-end, so the BoE is set to retain its leadership in the easing cycle. On the daily chart, the price is preparing to break through support at 1.3525, which coincides with the MACD line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is not only about to move into bearish territory, but also looks poised to fall below th…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair exhibited movements on Thursday similar to those of EUR/USD—or rather, it would be more accurate to say that EUR/USD mirrored GBP/USD. The key event of the day was the Bank of England meeting. After the results were announced, the British pound continued to decline, despite the absence of strong reasons for it to fall, even on Wednesday evening. The BoE left its monetary policy unchanged and noted that core inflation is slowing and wage growth is decelerating—subtly opening the door for another policy easing this year. However, we don't really see any slowdown. Headline inflation in the UK has been rising for …
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range”, published on 17 September 2025. The USD/JPY dropped further on Wednesday, 17 September 2025, with an initial intraday loss of -0.7% to print an intraday low of 145.48 before it reversed up higher ex-post FOMC to close higher and erased all its initial losses, reinforced by Fed Chair Powell’s “less dovish” press conference. The USD/JPY has managed to survive at the 145.95 medium-term support (the lower boundary of the “Ascending Wedge” range configuration) in place since the 22 April 2025 low of 139.89 and…
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Today, Friday, the GBP/JPY pair was actively sold off as the yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting. The release of somewhat positive data on the pound barely slowed the decline. As expected, following its two-day meeting, the Bank of Japan decided to keep the interest rate unchanged in the 0.4%–0.5% range. However, two board members voted against this decision, favoring a rate hike, which provided an additional intraday boost for the yen and pushed GBP/JPY lower. Investors are also factoring in the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan in October, given signs of economic stability. This stance sharply contrasts with the…
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US stock indices hit record highs amid Fed decisions and Nvidia investments The largest US stock indices closed the trading session at new historical highs. This significant growth was driven by two powerful factors. First, the Federal Reserve decided to lower the key interest rate, which had a positive impact on market expectations and increased capital inflow into stocks. Second, the market was inspired by news from Nvidia: the company announced plans to invest $5 billion in Intel's stock. This initiative triggered a strong rally in the IT sector, particularly with Intel shares soaring a record 22.8% in a single day. The success of the tech sector and the Fed's polic…
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Safe Withdrawal Rate: Income from a $5M–$10M Portfolio Executive Summary A safe withdrawal rate is a disciplined way to turn savings into steady retirement income while keeping the risk of running out low. For $5 million to $10 million portfolios, even a 0.5% shift changes annual income by roughly $25,000 to $50,000; it takes about a 1% change on $10 million to move income by six figures. Additionally, this guide defines the safe withdrawal rate, shows practical ranges, and gives you a simple playbook to use with your advisor. In short, start with a sensible range, then refine it with rules you can actually follow. What a Safe Withdrawal Rate Really Means A safe withdraw…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The first test of 1.1768 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below zero, which limited the pair's downward potential. The second test of 1.1768 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which allowed scenario #2 (buy) to materialize, but no significant rally followed. News of a sharper-than-expected decline in German producer prices had a negative impact on the euro. The decline in prices will benefit the country's economy and manufacturers, but that alone is not enough. Other economic indicators also need to show improvement. Against this backdrop, the euro weakened against the US dollar and other major …
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US Equities keep up their positive performance with each of them finishing at or close to their highs, with the Tech-heavy Nasdaq taking the lead yet again. With the most recent Federal Reserve cut and positive acquisition news as seen in yesterday's US Index piece, sentiment is at its highs again. Both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have yet to break their yesterday highs and it will be interesting to see if they manage to do so towards the daily close or next week. In addition to the PBoC (China's Central Bank) which releases its own rate decision (major support to the economy is expected, traditionally positive for equities), Markets will assist to many FED Members' …
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The UK is once again sinking under the weight of economic and financial troubles. Recall that the "British drama" began in 2016, when by a margin of several percentage points the British people decided to break off official ties with the European Union and begin building a fully independent United Kingdom. Nearly ten years have passed, and many opinion polls now show that Britons are starting to regret their decision. A trade agreement with the EU was signed with great difficulty, but many problems remain unresolved. One of them is labor supply: earlier, migrants came to the country for high wages and took on low-skilled jobs that Britons themselves were unwilling to do. …
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On Friday, the Canadian dollar is gaining against the US dollar, with the USD/CAD pair halting its two-day advance and paring earlier intraday losses, despite a stronger US dollar and weaker retail sales data in Canada. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.3772, pulling back from the day's high of 1.3825, as buyers failed to hold above the psychological 1.3800 level. The US Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against a basket of six major currencies, continues to rebound after the Fed's decision, trying to stay near its daily high, last seen six days ago. According to Statistics Canada, retail sales fell by 0.8% in July compared with the previous month, in…
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BitMine Immersion Technologies has added nearly $70 million worth of Ethereum to its holdings, pushing the company’s ETH stash to a value near $8.66 billion. Based on reports, the purchases were made through Galaxy Digital’s over-the-counter desk and arrived in several chunks rather than a single block. Purchase Broken Into Four Tranches The recent buys were split into four settlements: 3,247 ETH ($14.50 million), 3,258 ETH ($14.6 million), 4,494 ETH ($20 million), and 4,428 ETH ($19.75 million). That totals about 15,427 ETH, which sums to roughly $69 million at the prices reported. According to public trackers cited in the coverage, these were likely coordinated OTC …
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the pos…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Start Week on the Front Foot Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - PMI and PCE in the Spotlight as US Dollar Remains Sensitive to US Labor Data Asian stock markets rose, following a strong performance on Wall Street. Japanese stocks, in particular, saw a significant boost as worries eased about the Bank of Japan's recent plan to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds. As a result, the region's overall stock index, the MSCI, went up by 0.2%, and Japan's Nikkei-225 index jumped by as much as 1.6%. Meanwhile, in India, stocks for IT companies declined as traders began to evaluate the potential negative effects of a sharp increas…
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ASTER, the native token of the decentralized perpetual exchange Aster, officially launched last week and immediately made waves across the crypto market. Backed by Yzi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) and carrying the public endorsement of former Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the token quickly drew massive attention from traders and investors. Upon launch, ASTER surged to nearly $1.94, sparking excitement around its potential to rival leading decentralized derivatives platforms. However, the enthusiasm was quickly tested as the token dropped 33% to lows of $1.33 within days, reflecting the volatility often seen in new market entries. Despite this sharp correction, ASTER …
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As I sit down to pen this article, I’m met with a feeling of déjà vu. The difference is that I have actually been here before, many times in the last few months, in fact, with silver seemingly hitting new highs every time I check my charts. Naturally, this time is no different, with silver rocketing to new highs in yesterday’s trading, while handsomely outperforming its yellow counterpart, gold, in the last seven days. As is almost tradition by now, let’s discuss some of the fundamentals responsible for the recent moves in precious metal pricing. Read previous coverage: Silver Price: XAG/USD poised to extend gains further, support likely at $40.60 Silver XAG/USD pois…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. We are now passed the feared and anticipated September FOMC meeting and since last week, the US Dollar has seen some whipsawing up-down action. While originally thought that a less-dovish-than expected Powell at the past week's FOMC press conference could invert the downward path in the greenback, comments made yesterday at a Rhode Island conference put-back more emphasis on a weakening job market. A dovish interpretation of this most recent turnaround has sent the dollar down, but in today's session…
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Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $4,120. ETH is now struggling and might decline further if it breaks the $4,050 support zone. Ethereum failed to extend gains and declined below the $4,150 zone. The price is trading below $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $4,050 and $4,000. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price remained in a bearish zone after it settled below $4,450, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $4,320 and $4,300 support levels. The bears even pus…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.49 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved sharply above zero, limiting the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level allowed for selling according to Scenario #2, but it ended with a stop-out as the pair failed to drop as expected. The sharp jump in US new home sales in August strengthened the dollar and sent the Japanese yen lower. This unexpected surge in real estate activity signaled the resilience of the US economy, which immediately impacted investor expectations for the Federal Reserve's future policy. The jump in sales exceeded analyst forecasts, reinforcing the b…
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After a strong price performance over the past month, driven by growing interest in the Avalanche ecosystem, AVAX now faces a key resistance area that could delay its long-awaited rally. Institutional Momentum Fuels Avalanche Price On Wednesday, Avalanche continued its recovery from the start-of-week pullback and is currently retesting the $34 area as support. The cryptocurrency recently fell to the $29 level, but quickly bounced toward a seven-month high of $36.1 on Tuesday, fueled by institutional interest in the ecosystem. AgriFORCE Growing Systems recently announced its rebrand to a crypto treasury company under the name AVAX One, marking the first Nasdaq-listed en…
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Bitcoin is approaching a decisive inflection in its four-year cycle, with a euphoric “blowoff” advance likely to begin within days—or the market having already printed its peak at month 33—according to cycle analyst Bob Loukas. In a video published on September 24, 2025, Loukas told viewers he remains “heavily” inclined toward an imminent upside resolution into a cycle high during Q4, while outlining the risk markers that would instead confirm the top is already in. Bitcoin Blowoff Top Imminent Or Already In Loukas framed the present as the late stage of Bitcoin’s rising phase, noting that the advance from the bear-market low has been “a pretty consistent uptrend marked …
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Ethereum is under pressure after sliding below the $4,200 level, with price now testing the $4,000 support zone. The market is watching closely, as a breakdown here could expose ETH to deeper corrections, while a strong defense may open the door for a rebound. Despite the selling pressure, on-chain signals reveal a strikingly different picture beneath the surface. Top analyst Darkfost shared data showing that ETH inflows into accumulator addresses are exploding, signaling long-term conviction even as short-term sentiment wavers. Just yesterday, nearly 400,000 ETH were added to these specialized wallets. More notably, on September 18th, Ethereum saw a historic first when…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the Japanese yen The designated test levels were not reached in the first half of the day. In the second half of the day, USD/JPY will be strongly influenced by data on initial jobless claims, Q2 GDP, and the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. These macroeconomic indicators, like seismic waves, can trigger significant volatility in the currency market, determining the pair's next direction. Initial jobless claims serve as a barometer of labor market health. A sharp decline would signal resilience and likely be interpreted positively by the Federal Reserve. Conversely, an increase could point to deteriorating conditions…
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Ripple has unveiled a partnership that places its RLUSD stablecoin at the center of tokenized finance involving BlackRock and VanEck. The announcement, which was shared on the company’s official X account, connects Ripple directly to tokenized versions of institutional funds and sets the stage for deeper integration between the XRP Ledger and some of the largest names in asset management. Ripple And Securitize Join Forces Ripple confirmed that it is working with Securitize,the world’s largest tokenization platform, to bring in real-time liquidity for institutional assets provided by BlackRock and VanEck. Through this arrangement, holders of BlackRock’s $BUIDL and VanEck’…
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Crypto analysts Kaleo and Mags have predicted that the Dogecoin price will witness a parabolic run, with the potential to reach the $1 mark. This comes amid the top meme coin’s downtrend, which puts it at risk of retesting the $0.2 mark. Dogecoin Price Eyes Parabolic Rally To $1 In an X post, Kaleo declared that the Dogecoin price will rip to new highs from its current level. He further remarked that it is only a matter of time before prices catch up with institutional interest coming from DOGE treasury companies and ETFs. In line with this, he advised market participants not to “sleep on the king of memes.” Meanwhile, crypto analyst Mags indicated that the Dogecoin p…
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