Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11722 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3353 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. A second test at 1.3353 occurred while the MACD was in the overbought area, allowing the execution of Scenario No. 2: selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined by 15 pips. In the afternoon, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, along with data on changes in personal spending and income, is expected to be released. Shortly afterward, figures for the University of Michiga…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the EuroThe test of the price level at 1.1665 coincided with the MACD indicator already having moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The European currency strengthened its position, supported by positive economic news: a stable rise in German industry and encouraging GDP figures for the Eurozone instilled optimism in the investment environment. German industry reported a noticeable increase in orders, indicating a recovery in purchasing activity and strengthening in the manufacturing sector towards year-end. This factor had a significant positive impa…
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Currently, Bitcoin has once again fallen into the $91,000 range and is now trying to make a comeback to the $92,000 mark as the hype surrounding meme tokens is beginning to fade. As seen on the chart, trading volumes and the market capitalization of various "shitcoins" launched this year continue to stabilize at lower levels. Notably, more than 50% of the sector's total capitalization still belongs to Dogecoin. A decline in this altcoin could significantly pull down the entire meme token market. The influence of Dogecoin on the meme token market is hard to overstate. Despite the emergence of many new projects, none have come close to matching the popularity of Dogecoin. …
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"To survive, one must adapt." Kazuo Ueda's diplomacy has convinced investors of the potential for a December cut in the overnight rate. According to a Reuters insider in the government, the Bank of Japan will continue its normalization efforts, and the Prime Minister must simply accept this. Just a year ago, Sanae Takichi called tightening monetary policy foolish. Perspectives change, and along with them, the upward trend for USD/JPY is breaking. One can only speculate how Ueda managed to convince the Prime Minister—perhaps by emphasizing the need to combat inflation or by referencing the weak yen, which does not please the United States. The government will turn a blind …
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The EUR/USD pair pulled back slightly on Thursday, but bulls held the support zone at 1.1645–1.1656. Therefore, a bounce from this zone today will favor the European currency and resume the upward movement towards the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. A consolidation of the pair below the 1.1645–1.1656 zone will increase the likelihood of a continued decline towards the support zone of 1.1594–1.1607. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the last upward wave broke the prior peak. Thus, the trend has officially changed to "bullish." It cannot be called strong, b…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair bounced off the resistance zone of 1.3352–1.3362 on Thursday, then reversed in favor of the US dollar, posting a slight decline. Trader activity was very low due to a weak informational backdrop. On Friday morning, the pound is aiming to return to the 1.3352–1.3362 zone. A new bounce from this zone will once again favor the US dollar and lead to a decline towards the 61.8% corrective level at 1.3294. A consolidation above this zone will increase the likelihood of further growth towards the 1.3425 level. The wave situation has transformed into a "bullish" stance. The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while…
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BHP (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto (ASX, LON: RIO) have begun testing two battery electric haul trucks at BHP’s Jimblebar iron ore mine in Australia’s Pilbararegion as the miners look for ways to curb diesel use and cut emissions. The units, supplied through a partnership with Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), mark the first phase of a joint trial meant to gauge whether battery technology can support large-scale iron ore operations. Each miner will decide on next steps after the joint testing period, including whether to move toward broader trials or fleet integration. BHP said the work aims to confirm the performance of battery systems, charging infrastructure and support…
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ChatGPT competitor Gemini AI, developed by Google, has issued an incredible forecast for Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Shiba Inu (SHIB), along with a stark warning for investors. These leading altcoins could be set for a highly volatile December. Gemini projects sharp price swings for all three assets as 2025 comes to a close. The broader crypto market has begun its slow recovery after a heavy correction phase triggered by heavy Bitcoin sell-offs. BTC USD dropped to $82,000 on November 30, its lowest level in eight months, and dragged the entire market down with it. Despite this turbulence, long-term sentiment in the industry remains largely positive, supported by o…
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Overview: The US dollar is a little softer today but mostly consolidating yesterday's moves against the G10 currencies. The Australian dollar leads the way and reached its best level since September 18. The market, though, has shrugged off surprising data: a surge in German factory orders and a disappointing drop in household spending in Japan. Most emerging market currencies are firmer. As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of India cut its repo rate by 25 bp to 5.25% and signaled there was room for more cuts. The PBOC lifted the dollar's reference rate slightly, but it has fallen on a weekly basis since the end of September, with one exception. Outside of Japan, where …
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According to an analytics report, XRP traded near $2.06 on Friday as social chatter around the token turned sharply negative after a two-month slide of about 30%. Traders and data firms flagged a sudden rise in bearish messages, a shift from the more mixed views seen earlier this year. The mood has tightened around crypto, and XRP is not immune. Crowd Mood Shifts To Fear Based on reports from Santiment, its chart tracks XRP’s price against positive and negative comments and a combined sentiment line that aims to measure crowd feeling. Recent readings pushed the balance into what Santiment calls the fear zone, where negative talk outweighs optimism. On this same model,…
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Gold climbed and stocks slumped as private ADP jobs report revealed accelerating job losses, a confidence survey showed a downturn in sentiment and new retail sales data disappointed. Gold hit a 10-day high following the news and stocks turned lower. Digging Deeper into the Economic Outlook Payroll processing firm ADP reported that job losses averaged 13,500 per week for the four weeks ending November 8, which pushed stocks lower as “risk-off” trading sentiment increased. The ADP report reveals bigger questions about how weak the U.S. labor market truly is. Wall Street economists remain in catch up mode following the government shutdown on Oct. 1 that lasted to mid-Nove…
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Gold climbed and stocks slumped as private ADP jobs report revealed accelerating job losses, a confidence survey showed a downturn in sentiment and new retail sales data disappointed. Gold hit a 10-day high following the news and stocks turned lower. Digging Deeper into the Economic Outlook Payroll processing firm ADP reported that job losses averaged 13,500 per week for the four weeks ending November 8, which pushed stocks lower as “risk-off” trading sentiment increased. The ADP report reveals bigger questions about how weak the U.S. labor market truly is. Wall Street economists remain in catch up mode following the government shutdown on Oct. 1 that lasted to mid-Nove…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is hovering near $0.15, but a cluster of technical and on-chain indicators shared on X suggests the market structure is far healthier than during the last bear phase, prompting fresh upside calls from analysts. Dogecoin Could Target $1.30 Trader Cryptollica posted a long-term monthly DOGE chart with the Mayer Multiple and a clear message: “DOGE Target > $1.30.” The Mayer Multiple, using 200- and 50-period moving averages with a 2.4 threshold, sits at 0.66005. Visually, that is far below the spikes above 5 that accompanied the 2017 and 2021 blow-off tops, indicating that Dogecoin is not yet in the overheated conditions historically associated with major market…
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What’s happening with Web3 after the White House Crypto Summit? David Sacks, the Trump administration’s AI and Crypto Czar, is being accused of helping formulate policies that aid his Silicon Valley friends and many of his own tech investments. Earlier in the year, Sacks and President Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping AI Action Plan drafted in part by Sacks himself, surrounded by executives from Nvidia, AMD, and a gallery of Silicon Valley allies who stood to benefit from the policy shift. What the audience witnessed was not just a policy rollout, but direct collusion, according to NYT investigators. Here’s what to know and how this could hurt crypto: “The tech bros are…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Grind Lower Most Read: The Bank of Japan's FX Intervention: Mechanism, Impact, and Historical Precedent Asian stock markets went down today because the previous day ended poorly on Wall Street, especially for tech companies and US government bonds (Treasuries). Investors are now nervously waiting for important US inflation data that will be released later today (Friday). The overall Asian stock index fell by up to 0.7% but is still on track to finish with a gain for the second week in a row. Leading the losses across the region were Japanese stocks, which saw a significant drop after a strong gain the day before; the Nikkei 225 index fel…
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Tom Lee fans are jolting this week after the Fundstrat co-founder told a Binance Blockchain Week crowd that Bitcoin and the crypto market have already bottomed and that the next eight weeks could break the traditional four-year cycle. His remarks came just as Bitmine accumulation crossed another major milestone, with the firm scooping $131 million USD more in ETH. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time Lee’s confidence is based. On-chain labels connected to Bitmine ETH operations show that the firm added 41,946 ETH last week, lifting holdings beyond 3.57 millio…
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Regulators in Washington on Thursday cleared a major step that lets Americans trade spot Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on federally registered exchanges for the first time. According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, listed spot crypto products may now be offered on exchanges registered with the agency, a move announced on December 4, 2025. Regulated Spot Trading Begins The action comes from a CFTC press release labeled Release No. 9145-25 and that the change allows spot crypto contracts to be listed on futures exchanges that are registered with the CFTC. The regulator said its rules now permit such listings to trade under the oversight and surveillanc…
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Bitcoin is again trading under the shadow of a potential yen carry-trade shock as markets head into the 9–10 December FOMC meeting and a likely hawkish turn from the Bank of Japan at the December 18-19 meeting. The setup echoes last summer’s episode, when a policy shift in Tokyo triggered rapid deleveraging across risk assets, including crypto. Will The Bitcoin Price Crash Next Week? Analyst Benjamin Cowen explicitly links today’s environment to that July shock. He reminded followers that “in July 2024, the Fed cut rates while the BOJ raised rates, leading to the unwind of the carry trade. Bitcoin capitulated into it, and found a low 1 week later.” He added, “Good chance…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed with gains. The S&P 500 rose by 0.11%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.22%. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.07%. Futures on American and European stocks rose on Friday, as investors shifted their focus to the upcoming release of key inflation data in the United States ahead of the widely anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. Futures contracts for the S&P 500 and Euro Stoxx 50 indices climbed by 0.2%, while contracts for the Nasdaq 100 rose by 0.4%. Asian indices recovered from a previous decline of 0.7% and have been demonstrating growth for the second week. The MSCI All Country Wor…
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Buy or lose. Investors are preparing for a Christmas rally and are wondering whether a rate cut on federal funds at the FOMC meeting on December 10 will ensure this rally. The end of the year is traditionally a seasonally strong period for the S&P 500, so the proliferation of FOMO, or fear of missing out, is understandable. The question is whether the broad stock index has been driven too far by euphoria. Markets are in a mode where downbeat economic data from the United States is perceived as good news for stocks. In this regard, the announcement by Challenger, Gray & Christmas that American employers plan to cut 71,300 employees in November is seen as a boon fo…
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The Japanese yen rose against the dollar after rumors circulated that officials at the Bank of Japan are ready to raise interest rates this month. It is expected that next week, the BOJ will also announce its intention to continue raising rates if its economic forecasts are realized, while exercising caution about how much it will ultimately raise rates. Such expectations are fueled by domestic pressure to combat inflation, strengthen the national currency, and stimulate sustainable economic growth. A stronger yen may also help reduce import costs, in turn lessening the inflationary pressure that Japanese consumers have been feeling lately. The BOJ's decision to raise ra…
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Yesterday's reaction to US jobless claims data led to a surge in volatility across both currency and stock markets. As it became known, last week the number of claims fell to its lowest level in more than three years, indicating that employers are still largely retaining employees despite a wave of recent layoffs. The number of initial jobless claims decreased by 27,000 to 191,000 for the week ending November 29. However, it is worth noting that weekly claims data can be particularly volatile during holiday seasons. Nonetheless, this figure was below all forecasts gathered in an economist survey. The four-week moving average of new claims, a measure that helps smooth out…
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The dollar declined once again against risk assets following statements by Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council. Trump's economic advisor stated yesterday that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates at its upcoming meeting next week and predicted a 25-basis-point reduction. "I think we should do this, and I think we are likely to do so," Hassett said, pointing to recent comments from Fed governors and heads of regional banks. "They now seem to be increasingly leaning toward a rate cut." Hassett also noted that he would like to see much lower rates in the long term. "If there is a consensus on 25 basis points, which apparently there is, then w…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 154.69 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was beginning to move downward from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling dollars. However, a significant decline in the pair did not materialize, resulting in a realized loss. The dollar regained some ground against the Japanese yen, but this was seen as merely a technical correction. Yesterday's statements from Donald Trump's economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, put pressure on the US dollar in the USD/JPY pair. Investors reacted by selling following his comments regarding a potential adjustment in US monetary po…
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3353 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator began to move upward from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for buying pounds. As a result, the pair rose by more than 30 pips. Following the publication of data showing a reduction in initial jobless claims in the United States to their lowest level in over three years, the dollar partially regained its position against the British pound. However, statements from Kevin Hassett, head of the National Economic Council and a Trump adviser, on the advisability of a 25 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upc…
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