Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12229 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro and the pound continued their active rise today, making the Momentum strategy work very well. I did not trade using the Mean Reversion strategy. A sharp increase in euro area business sentiment led to another strengthening of the euro against the U.S. dollar, followed by gains in the British pound. Investors welcomed the data, which indicated a recovery in industrial production and the services sector, easing fears of a possible recession in the region. Confidence in the European economy is also supported by other factors. In particular, inflation is slowing, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected. The European Central Bank continues to maintain a loose…
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The crypto world just got some rare good news. After years of fighting, Gemini and the SEC have finally agreed to settle their dispute over the Gemini Earn lending program. The deal isn’t final yet, but it already shows a softer tone from regulators. For investors, it’s a sign that crypto projects might get more breathing room as the industry matures. Add Gemini’s successful IPO to the mix and you have a new narrative: crypto isn’t going anywhere, it’s getting stronger. And that leaves one big question on the table. What’s the next crypto to explode as Gemini and SEC make peace? Let’s dive into three new crypto projects that could be the next to explode. The Gemini-SE…
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The euro-dollar pair, following almost two weeks of sideways movement, suddenly surged into the 1.18 figure, breaking out of the 1.1680–1.1760 price range, which corresponds to the middle and upper lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart. Riding this northern impulse, EUR/USD buyers pushed through the upper boundary of the price corridor and reached 1.1819, marking a new nearly three-month high. The last time the pair traded in the 1.18s was at the end of June, and before that, four years ago in September 2021. If the Federal Reserve does not adopt an overly cautious position on Wednesday, EUR/USD bulls could not only secure a foothold in the 1.18 area b…
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How to Protect Retirement Accounts from Lawsuits Executive Summary Market swings aren’t your only risk in retirement. Legal threats can also erode savings unless you deliberately protect retirement accounts from lawsuits with the right mix of plan selection, documentation, insurance, and timing. This guide turns complex rules into practical steps you can use this year. Why Lawsuit Risk Matters in Retirement Many retirees assume their nest egg is untouchable. However, not all accounts and situations receive equal protection. Personal liability claims, business disputes, divorce orders, tax issues, and poor documentation can expose assets you thought were safe. Your goa…
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Gold stepped back ahead of the Fed's verdict. Few doubt that the central bank will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. However, the number of dissenters, signals about future monetary policy, and the dot plot forecast will be critical for XAU/USD. The precious metal had long been rising and reached record highs, but investors chose to play it safe before this key event. The best environment for gold is stagflation. It has never fallen in the 21st century during periods when U.S. inflation was rising while the Fed was cutting rates. In this regard, the acceleration of consumer prices in August to 2.9% y/y, coupled with expectations of a renewed monetary…
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell back below 0.6668 yesterday. Today, the decline continues quite actively. Accordingly, the breakout with consolidation on the 16th turned out to be false, which signals the prospect of medium-term downside movement. Confirmation of this scenario will come if the price moves under the MACD line, located near the August 14 high at 0.6571. This would open the target at 0.6450. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the MACD support line. The Marlin oscillator is declining steeply. We expect the situation to develop further along the main bearish scenario. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are significant. The most important reports this week have already been released in the U.K., while at the end of the week, traders will be entirely focused on the meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The Fed announced the results of its meeting yesterday evening, but throughout today, both currency pairs may remain under the pressure of that event. The Fed meeting will overlap with today's BoE meeting, which will undoubtedly keep the key rate unchanged, but at the same time could trigger either a rise or a decline in the pound, as the m…
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In a situation of two-sided risks, there is no risk-free path. Treat the rate cut as a reduction in risk management. How should risky assets have reacted to Jerome Powell's rhetoric? Correct — with a roller coaster ride! Stocks initially surged, then plunged, but by the close of the trading session managed to recover their lost positions. The "bulls" lined up to buy the dip in the S&P 500 and were rewarded. After a nine-month pause, the Fed resumed its cycle of monetary easing. Markets expected this, but the fact that the FOMC forecasts pointed to two more federal funds rate cuts by the end of the year became a rally catalyst. Then came the classic "sell the fact afte…
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Looking at the crypto market today, there’s a real excitement around the FOMC rate cut, the 25 basis points that becomes news headlines everywhere in a mostly positive way as BTC is dancing around 117K USD, ETH is just above 4.5K USD, creeping up about 0.7% in the last day, while XRP is trading close to 3.07, enjoying a 1.6% gain against. If history is any guide, similar rate cuts usually spark 20–30% gains for high-risk assets over the next few weeks. So yes, there’s cause to be mildly excited. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.34T24h7d1y Altcoins are getting attention now that the easing has landed. Data from TradingView shows total crypto market cap rising, suggesting some…
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Wormhole crypto, W token, enters September 2025 with a decisive upgrade, as its new treasury model links protocol revenue directly to token value, adding bullish momentum in W price action. Wormhole has entered a new stage after completing its initial token distribution, moving to a structure that directly links its revenue streams with its native token, W. The cross-chain interoperability protocol said on September 17 that fees generated across its ecosystem, including its core messaging layer, the Portal bridge, and related applications, will now flow into a dedicated treasury. This new reserve will be denominated in W and act as a permanent holder, steadily accumula…
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Today, Thursday, the GBP/USD pair is in demand, attracting buyers around 1.3585. As expected, the Federal Reserve lowered rates for the first time since December 2024 by 25 basis points, setting the overnight lending range at 4.00–4.25%. In addition, the regulator confirmed the need for two more rate cuts before the end of the year, given the weakening U.S. labor market. However, the market's initial reaction was short-lived after comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the press conference. Powell stated that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside, and the rate cut should be viewed as a risk management measure. He stressed that there is no need for rapid rate chang…
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Crypto analyst CryptoELITES has predicted that the Dogecoin price could reach $5, providing a bullish outlook for the foremost meme coin. The analyst also mentioned what needs to happen for DOGE to reach this ambitious price target. Dogecoin Price Eyes Rally To $5 If This Happens In an X post, CryptoELITES stated that the target for the Dogecoin price is $5 after a DOGE ETF launches. The analyst opined that a huge wave of institutional money is about to flow into meme coins very soon, with this money coming through the ETFs. Notably, REX-Osprey is launching the first Dogecoin ETF today. The REX-Osprey Dogecoin ETF will provide institutional investors with spot exposu…
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The FOMC meeting could amuse anyone who follows American news even a little. At the end of August, one of the Fed governors, Adriana Kugler, left her post under rather strange circumstances, just a few months before the end of her term. I can already imagine the most expensive champagne being popped open in the White House to celebrate. Trump didn't have to search long for her replacement. He nominated Stephen Miran, who was and still is Donald Trump's economic advisor. Even if you're not an expert in staffing at U.S. government agencies, it's easy to guess that Miran cannot legally hold two positions at once—one directly linked to politics, and the other to monetary poli…
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is intensifying her scrutiny of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, by demanding clarifications from the US Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding the crypto company’s compliance with a 2023 settlement agreement. This comes in the wake of concerns about the exchange’s alleged ties to President Donald Trump’s administration and the potential easing of regulatory oversight. Warren Pressures DOJ On Binance Compliance Following years of legal challenges, which culminated in the resignation and brief imprisonment of former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) over allegations of money laundering in the US, Binance appeared to have navigated a pa…
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Data shows bullish sentiment around Bitcoin Cash has exploded on social media, potentially explaining the coin’s pullback from its 17-month high. Bitcoin Cash Has Seen A Spike In Positive/Negative Sentiment In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has discussed the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for Bitcoin Cash. This indicator measures, as its name suggests, the ratio between the positive and negative comments related to BCH that are currently present on the major social media platforms. The metric separates posts/threads/messages into bullish or bearish by putting them through a machine-learning model. Once they have been divided, it counts up the numbe…
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Ethereum remains one of the most controversial tokens in the present market cycle, considering its status as the second-largest cryptocurrency and largest altcoin by market cap. Notably, several analysts have consistently backed ETH to reach a five-digit price mark this cycle based on varying rationales. Popular analyst Ted Pillows has now shared a new historical perspective that supports this general bullish notion. Short-Term ETH Correction To Precede Major $10,000 Rally – Analyst In an X post on September 20, Pillows shared a technical analysis of the ETH market, which shows that the altcoin is consolidating just below its 2021 all-time high (ATH), indicating a price…
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AUD/USD The AUD/USD pair has been declining for the fourth consecutive day. It is approaching support at the Kijun line around the 0.6565 level. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is also nearing the neutral zero line – a support area. It's likely that a price correction will occur from the 0.6565 level, along with a rebound in the oscillator. Then (on Wednesday or later), the price may consolidate with renewed momentum below the Kijun line and continue its downward path toward the target level of 0.6450. This is the main scenario. A shift to an alternative scenario of growth would only be possible after the pair overcomes the resistance level at 0.6668. On the H4 …
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the EUR/USD currency pair continued its decline, which it was "not at fault" for and did not deserve. Recall that the ECB meeting could reasonably be considered "conditionally hawkish," while the Fed meeting was "dovish." On Thursday and Friday, there were no significant macroeconomic releases in the Eurozone or the U.S. that could have triggered the euro's fall. The problem lay with the British pound, which had a mixed reaction to the Bank of England meeting (the only "dovish" decision was to reduce the volume of the QE program), and then collapsed due to new budgetary problems in the UK. The euro simply followed its "brother," as…
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Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the pos…
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The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX: U.U for USD; U.UN for CAD), the world’s largest holder of the heavy metal, now has about 70 million lb. of uranium after it bought 450,000 lb. last week as nuclear energy’s strategic value comes into sharper focus. The transaction on Friday brings to 950,000 lb. of uranium oxide (U3O8) Sprott’s weekly buy and its third quarter purchases to about 2.3 million lb., the highest since the first quarter of 2023, BMO Capital Markets analysts Helen Amos and George Heppel said in a note on Monday. The Trust’s holdings total a market value of about $5.53 billion (C$7.6bn), according to Sprott. “With the trust poised to continue raisin…
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Scottish engineering group Weir has agreed to buy Fast2Mine, a Brazil-based mine management solutions (MMS) provider, to bolster its existing suite of mine planning and control solutions. Fast2Mine offers an SaaS solution comprising four modules designed around a modern, web-native interface that prioritizes ease of use while delivering advanced reporting functionality. The technology is designed to help miners with material management, mine optimization, short-interval control, fleet management and select asset health diagnostics. Fast2Mine currently services 84 mines across multiple commodities and countries, such as Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Mexico, Guyana and …
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On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) confirmed that the base deposit rate would remain unchanged at 0% after completing its quarterly monetary policy review for Q3 2025. This decision was fully in line with market expectations. The central bank ended its rate-cutting cycle after six consecutive reductions, which began in March last year and continued through June this year. According to the latest SNB statement, Switzerland's GDP growth forecast for 2025 was revised down to 0.2% from the previous 1.0–1.5% range. For 2026, the SNB projects Swiss GDP growth of about 1% (previously 1.0–1.5%). Inflation in the country is forecast to reach 0.0% in Q2 2028. Globally, econ…
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Mechanism Capital co-founder Andrew Kang escalated his critique of Tom Lee’s latest Ethereum investment case with an unusually blunt tirade on X, interlacing his rebuttal with a series of sharply worded assertions and data-driven claims. “Tom Lee’s ETH thesis is one of the most retarded combinations of financially illiterate arguments I’ve seen from a well known analyst in a while,” Kang wrote, before listing five pillars he says underpin Lee’s view: “(1) Stablecoin & RWA adoption; (2) Digital oil comparison; (3) Institutions will buy and stake ETH; (4) ETH will be equal to all financial infrastructure companies; (5) Technical analysis.” Is Tom Lee’s Ethereum Thesis …
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The world of crypto investing is changing. Companies are shifting from solely token-based assets to more sophisticated, equity-backed exposures. In a bold move, GSR – a well-known crypto market maker – filed for a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) to invest in companies whose corporate treasuries hold digital assets. If approved, this ‘digital asset treasury company’ ETF could provide a new way for investors to gain exposure to crypto without directly owning tokens. GSR Proposes a New Twist GSR’s ETF filing shows that the fund plans to invest at least 80% of its assets in equity securities of publicly traded companies that hold significant digital assets. That’s a rever…
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US stock market closes in red amid Fed policy uncertaintyThe US stock market ended the day in the red, with the S&P 500 index falling amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's next steps in monetary policy. The US Labor Department reported a decline in initial jobless claims, signaling a stable labor market. At the same time, analysts note that the persistent gap between strong employment data and investor sentiment is contributing to heightened market volatility. Read more at the link. S&P 500 and Nasdaq under pressureOn Thursday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq indices dropped by 0.50%, as investor concerns grew over elevated stock valuations …
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