Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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As soon as Wednesday, October 1, the U.S. government and all federal institutions may go on leave. No, this isn't the start of vacation season. This is Donald Trump, once again, failing to reach an agreement with the Democrats — and lacking the political leverage to bypass the opposition. This time, U.S. legislation stands in Trump's way: the law requires 60 votes in the Senate to pass the budget for the next fiscal year. Whether Trump forgot about this or anticipated it and prepared accordingly is unclear. Most likely, it's the latter. Either way, whether he forgot or not doesn't really matter. What matters is the shutdown, which could become the first in the past six ye…
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Bitcoin (BTC USD) price closed September near $113,400, slipping from an intraday high of $114,842 as trading wrapped up on September 30. The late-month pause came as gold pushed to fresh all-time highs, renewing debate over whether Bitcoin might follow bullion’s lead into Q4. Gold’s surge set the tone for the close. As per Reuters report, Spot XAU/USD touched roughly $3,871 per ounce on Sept. 30, lifted by US government shutdown concerns and expectations that the Federal Reserve may lean toward policy easing. Market watchers say a softer yield backdrop could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, in the weeks ahead. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 CME Gap at…
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US- based Momentum Technologies announced Monday it has proven its ability to deliver commercial-quality battery materials at scale. The company said its demonstration unit in Carrollton, Texas has achieved commercial-grade purity and yield within the first year of the facility’s opening, marking a milestone in the company’s scale-up journey from pilot-scale operations to full commercial readiness. Momentum said its proprietary Membrane Solvent Extraction (MSX) technology represents the culmination of a systematic scale-up process that began with pilot-scale validation and has now been proven at demonstration scale. The company said it has consistently produ…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, the market from the level of 1.3441 (yesterday's daily candle close) may possibly continue moving upward with the target at 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward with the target at 1.3417 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, the market from the level of 1.3…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed the five key Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to keep an eye on in the coming week. Bitcoin Is Observing Developments On These Metrics In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has discussed about some Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to watch amid the consolidation phase in the cryptocurrency’s price. The first indicator shared by the analytics firm is the 60-day change in the market cap of USDT, the number one stablecoin. As is visible in the above chart, the 60-day change in the USDT market cap has continued to sit at a notable positive level recently, implying the stablecoin has been witnessing growth. Stablecoi…
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Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, used a wide-ranging conversation on the Lex Fridman Podcast to make one of his clearest long-term calls on Bitcoin yet: “I believe it will come to a point when Bitcoin is worth $1 million.” The remarks appear on Fridman’s newly released episode with Durov. Why Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million: Pavel Durov Pressed by Fridman on why he kept accumulating Bitcoin and whether he sees further upside, Durov traced his conviction to the asset’s earliest days and to its monetary design. “I was a big believer in Bitcoin since more or less the start of it,” he said, recalling that he bought “my first few thousand of Bitcoin in 2013,” aroun…
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Bitcoin climbed sharply at the end of September 2025 after a run of heavy selling left the market tense. Based on reports, the rebound followed a series of events that together eased selling pressure and drew fresh money into the crypto market. The move touched off debate among traders about whether this is a short-term bounce or the start of a stronger leg up into Q4 2025. Bitcoin’s strong rebound in late September 2025 was no accident, according to a recent analysis by XWIN Research Japan. It came from overlapping forces — a weaker dollar, record-breaking gold, steady inflows into large funds, and signs of renewed accumulation — that gave the rally a strong foundatio…
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Bitcoin is back above $116K, Ethereum is trading near $4.3K, and Tapzi is ready to take off. As macro tailwinds buoy the broader market, Tapzi’s presale is accelerating. Early supporters who join the presale now could lock in 185% gains by the time the token hits exchanges. While many new coins struggle to articulate real value, Tapzi doubles down on structure, scarcity, and use case. In a market where hype often reigns supreme, this disciplined approach is capturing attention. Market Rebound Adds Fuel to Presale Sentiment This week witnessed a striking rebound across major cryptos. Bitcoin clawed back into the $116K range after earlier sliding near $109K. Ethereum fo…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen The test of 147.23 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of 147.23 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which triggered scenario #2 for buying the dollar, but the pair did not actually manage to grow afterward. For further downward movement in USD/JPY later in the day, the key drivers will be the U.S. ADP employment change report and the ISM Manufacturing Index. Investors will carefully analyze the incoming data to assess the state of the …
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Hooked on Headlines: Why Financial Markets Are Addicted to News Financial Decisions and Headlines Financial markets today are hooked on news, so much so that it often feels like an addiction. Headline news is the primary mechanism by which uncertainty is reduced and expectations are formed. At the same time, news can create new uncertainty, especially when it delivers a surprise. That uncertainty can spark volatility. While investors often dislike volatility, traders thrive on it, as it creates opportunities for quick gains. In this article, we break down why news matters to financial markets and why traders can’t escape the pull of the next headline. Financial D…
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Shiba Inu is approaching a decisive inflection on the 6-day SHIB/USDT chart, according to analyst CryptoNuclear’s October 1 TradingView update. The pair is pressing into a long-standing demand shelf between $0.00000850 and $0.00001183, a band that has repeatedly arrested declines since 2022 and underpinned the market’s extended sideways structure. The zone is highlighted as the market’s “make-or-break” area: hold here and the path opens to a multi-leg advance; lose it and the structure degrades into a deeper drawdown. Key Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Levels Structurally, the macro picture remains defined by lower highs from the all-time peak, which continues to signal longer-t…
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So, the U.S. government shutdown is now a fact. However, the market — as expected — did not panic or start "selling America." On the contrary, the S&P 500 rose by 0.34%, and the U.S. dollar index slipped by a symbolic 0.03%. What did change meaningfully were U.S. Treasury yields — the 5-year yield fell from 3.73% to 3.67%, and the 10-year yield from 4.15% to 4.09%. During the previous shutdown in December 2018, the markets also remained calm; equities continued to rally, and although the euro jumped 200 points at the peak of fear, it ended the 35-day shutdown only 60 points higher. Treasury yields also steadily declined back then. What's different this time is that th…
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[Platinum] – [Thursday, October 02, 2025] With all technical indicators pointing to bullish conditions, such as the RSI being at a Neutral-Bullish level and both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, today #PLF has the potential to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1654.7 2. Resistance. 1 : 1624.8 3. Pivot : 1600.7 4. Support. 1 : 1570.8 5. Support. 2 : 1546.7 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Platinum breaks and closes above 1600.7, it has the opportunity to test the next level at 1624.8. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1624.8 is breached and closes above that level, #PLF could strengthen further up to 1654.7. …
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair was also influenced by macroeconomic factors. Since there were no major UK data releases during the day, the British pound avoided participating in the early-morning decline that affected other currencies. Given the generally unfavorable macro and fundamental backdrop for the U.S. dollar, the pound continued its steady appreciation. The selloff in the dollar accelerated after the release of the extremely weak U.S. ADP employment report. The subsequent ISM Manufacturing PMI came in slightly better, which helped the dollar recover briefly. However, it's important to remember that the U.S. governme…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1740 price level coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move up from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair rose by 15 pips, and that was the end of the movement. An unexpected decline in U.S. employment, as indicated by ADP data, with a drop of 32,000 jobs, triggered an active phase of selling in the U.S. dollar, which in turn supported the euro's exchange rate. However, the negative labor market data was partially offset by positive figures from the manufacturing PMI index. This combination of conflicting signals created a climate of heigh…
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"Don't fight the Fed." Well, it depends on what the Federal Reserve is saying. Recent comments from Jerome Powell that U.S. equities are highly valued only briefly spooked investors. They quickly bought the dip and pushed the S&P 500 to its 29th record high. If the Fed Chair intended to scare the market, it didn't work. Historically, when the central bank has commented on the overvaluation of equities — going back to 1996 — the broad stock index has, on average, risen by 13% over the following 12 months. During that same period, it consistently outperformed its global peers. P/E Ratio Trends and Fed Mentions of S&P 500 Valuation In reality, the Fed's stance is und…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 gained 0.34%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.42%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.09%. Record growth in global indices extended to Asia: equities moved higher after OpenAI reached an agreement with South Korean chipmakers, boosting enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. Asian indices climbed by 1.1%, trading above the record closing level reached last month. The main growth leaders were semiconductor producers. Shares of Samsung Electronics Co. rose by 4.3%, and SK Hynix Inc. surged by 10% after OpenAI approached these companies with a request for chips. This pushed South Korean indices to a histori…
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Those were only practice rate cuts, unironically, and we’re starting off Uptober with a solid pump. Sui Crypto has joined the upward move, with traders eyeing $5 by 2026 as a plausible milestone should the broader rally continue. If this is a fake pump, then I’m looking forward to the soup line. Learn more reinvest in its own ecosystem. Here’s what you need to know, and if SUI can hit $5 before 2026: Why BlackRock Chose Sui Crypto: How Does suiUSDe & USDi Work? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time …
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S&P 500 hits new record amid Powell's remarksPowell's comments on high stock valuations only briefly discouraged investors, with the S&P 500 reaching its 29th record high. Despite the cooling economy, hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to support the stock market. Analysts note that the technology sector remains the main driver of growth, fueling investor optimism. In addition, rising corporate share buybacks contribute to sustaining the market's positive momentum. Follow the link for more details. Indices rise on AI optimismUS stock indices S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 closed higher, hitting historical records amid optimism about investments in art…
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Crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow on X) argues that DOGE remains in a long-duration advance that has not yet delivered its terminal impulse. In a video analysis published on October 1, the analyst lays out a multi-cycle framework built on logarithmic charting, Elliott Wave structure, and Fibonacci extensions, concluding that a run toward roughly $4 per coin is the most probable outcome of the current bull phase. “It’s all math,” he says, adding that liquidity dynamics and market structure—not simplistic notions of market capitalization—will determine how far the move extends. Dogecoin To $4? The analyst opens by dispelling social-media speculation about his iden…
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USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) is acquiring one of the most established rare earth metal and alloy producers outside of China, a move that it says represents “a significant acceleration” of its mine-to-magnet strategy. Earlier this week, the company announced that it will acquire United Kingdom-based Less Common Metals (LCM), which currently produces both light and heavy rare earth permanent magnet metals and alloys at scale at its 67,000-square-foot facility in Cheshire. LCM is one of the few companies capable of processing metal oxide feedstocks from both mined and recycled sources, USAR said. Metals and alloys produced at its facility include samarium, samarium …
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As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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Uptober is only beginning, and we’re already seeing a sharp uptrend from nearly all the market’s top cryptocurrencies. This has resulted in many short positions totaling $337.21M being liquidated on October 2, according to CoinGlass data. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s ($BTC) massive rally brought it back to $120K, with some analysts projecting that it could finally hit $125K with support from the upward spike in gold’s value and reduced inflation risks, as reported by CoinTelegraph. With Q4 historically being great for the crypto market, the time is right to grab some of the best altcoins to buy, including Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) and Best Wallet Token ($BEST). Market Uptrend De…
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Only the Australian dollar could be traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. The Japanese yen once again performed well with trades through Momentum. The PMI activity data from the Eurozone and the U.K. came in slightly below economists' forecasts, but this had little impact on the FX market and traders. Moreover, although inflationary pressure has eased somewhat in recent months, it still remains a source of uncertainty. The European Central Bank continues to pursue a wait-and-see policy, which supports the euro. The Bank of England is acting in a similar way, hoping to bring inflation fully under control in the coming quarters. In the second half of the day, the …
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