Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12278 tópicos neste fórum
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GBP/USD By the end of Thursday, the price returned below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The daily close occurred 23 pips below the MACD line, marking a conditional consolidation under it and significantly increasing the likelihood of further decline. Support at 1.3364 is formally open. The Marlin oscillator turned downward while remaining in bearish territory. A close above the MACD line on Friday near 1.3475 would indicate conditional consolidation above it, opening the path to 1.3525. For now, the base scenario remains bearish. On the H4 chart, the price attempted conditional consolidation twice above the MACD line, but each time it closed firmly below it. Toda…
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Bitcoin edged higher today, breaching the key $119,000 mark, after a string of steady sessions, lifting prices above recent ranges and drawing fresh attention from big investors. According to Coinglass data, BTC rose about 2.50% in the last 24 hours, and is up 8% over the last seven days. Trading activity and inflows are being watched closely as traders size up the next move. Institutional Flows Drive Momentum Data shows the top crypto asset registered a second straight day of strong inflows, putting $430 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs. That kind of demand helps explain why Bitcoin’s market value has jumped from $870 billion to $2.34 trillion this year. Analysts say t…
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The U.S. government is partially shut down, and that’s thrown a wrench into the SEC’s regular activity. One of the biggest consequences right now is the halt on reviewing applications for spot altcoin ETFs. For investors hoping to see new crypto funds approved soon, especially ones linked to Solana and other popular tokens, the wait just got longer. SEC Freezes Review During Budget Impasse The SEC has a contingency plan for situations like this, and it clearly states that only emergency cases will be reviewed during a shutdown. Everything else, including new financial product applications, is off the table for now. That leaves crypto ETF filings stuck in limbo. …
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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The Ethereum price has once again crossed the $4,500 threshold, trading just 9% below its all-time high of $4,946, prompting a surge of bullish predictions for the leading altcoin. Bullish Reversal For Ethereum Price Market expert Gert van Lagen took to X (formerly Twitter) to share his insights, suggesting that the Ethereum price is currently following a “textbook” expanding diagonal pattern on its biweekly chart. As seen in the expert’s chart below, this expanding diagonal pattern is characterized by a series of rising trend lines, indicating a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Over the past month and a half, the Ethereum price has consolidated bet…
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A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents th…
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On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued to trade very calmly. Still, it is worth recalling that the U.S. dollar has recently accumulated several fresh factors of weakness. Whether the U.S. NonFarm Payrolls and unemployment reports will be released today remains unclear, with contradictory news circulating. However, even without these releases, the situation looks obvious. We have often noted that ADP and NonFarm Payrolls figures for the same month rarely align closely. The market, therefore, tends to focus more on Nonfarm Payrolls for assessing the labor market. What the two reports do share, however, is the trend: both show different numbers but a consistent deterioratio…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued to trade very calmly, without sharp moves or significant volatility. Once again, the first week of the new month is proving to be dreadfully dull. As a reminder, the first week of each month usually brings important U.S. macroeconomic data. However, in recent months, despite genuinely interesting and high-impact releases—particularly labor market reports—we increasingly observe extremely low market interest in immediately pricing in this information. This week also seems quiet on the surface, although its events are far from ordinary. The U.S. ADP employment report turned out to be "below the floor," quite literally—if we consider t…
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GBP/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, GBP/USD also traded lower, although the British pound had absolutely no grounds for decline. One might assume that the euro pulled the pound down with it, but even the euro's fall raises questions—particularly since it started two hours after the weak unemployment report was published. The technical picture on the hourly timeframe remains unchanged. Despite Wednesday's and Thursday's declines, the new uptrend is still valid, though it remains very weak and uncertain as long as the Senkou Span B line is not broken. Friday may not provide clarity either and could create even more confusion. For starters, it is still unclear whether U.S.…
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EUR/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair unexpectedly declined. Over the past couple of weeks, the dollar has accumulated several new factors that weaken its position against its competitors. Yet instead of a natural rise in the pair, we see either flat movement or even declines. From our perspective, the dollar should already be plunging into another downturn, so these "twitches" can hardly be called movement—nor are they particularly logical. The formal reason for the euro's decline on Thursday was the unemployment report in the euro area, which showed that the rate unexpectedly rose to 6.3%. This could have triggered pressure on the euro. However…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has started October with renewed strength, riding a wave of bullish technical patterns and increasing global adoption that continue to boost optimism among traders and long-term holders alike. As momentum grows, analysts are closely monitoring key resistance levels around $0.33 and higher as DOGE shows signs of consolidating for its next big move. The technical outlook is supported by on-chain signals and open interest inflows, indicating that market participants are gearing up for further upside. Golden Cross Formation and Technical Strength On multiple timeframes, Dogecoin is completing a Golden Cross pattern, a bullish signal that occurs when a sh…
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The phenomenal +150% run that saw Ethereum dramatically outperform Bitcoin has officially hit the brakes. After fueling the recent altcoin mini-season, the crucial ratio has stalled out completely, exhibiting 40 days of stagnation. With the main engine of the altcoin market now idling, the initial euphoria is fading, raising serious concerns about the stability and short-term future of nearly every asset outside of BTC. Is Ethereum Entering A Healthy Accumulation Phase? The powerful momentum behind altcoins has evaporated following the stagnation of the ETH/BTC ratio. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades has highlighted that after a monumental +150%…
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Metallium Limited (ASX: MTM; OTCQX: MTMCF) announced Thursday that its subsidiary, Flash Metals USA has executed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with a division of Swiss commodities giant Glencore (LON: GLEN). The MOU, which is effective immediately, creates a framework for a potential long-term collaboration in electronic scrap supply and metal offtake in the United States. It’s subject to negotiation and execution of final definitive agreements, and runs until the end of the year, Metallium said. The company’s patented Flash Joule Heating (FJH) technology was developed at Rice University and enables the extraction of materials including gallium, germanium,…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-…
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Fan tokens get fresh momentum as Chiliz launches official merch auctions and Alpine’s ALPINE token whipsaws on heavy volume. On Wednesday, Chiliz rolled out limited-edition merchandise bundles inside the Socios.com app, aiming to reward active fans and spark more activity across its sports-token network. The bundles containing a T-shirt, hoodie, socks, hat, stickers, and a linked NFT are up for grabs from Oct. 1 through Oct. 18. Access is restricted to “Reward Points Auctions,” which require users to bid with points earned by staking fan tokens purchased with CHZ. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Although this week has already brought a number of important events and economic data, the amplitude of price movements remains extremely low, and trader activity is subdued. If we had seen a four-day strengthening of the euro by now, I would not have considered such a move unusual. However, instead of a logical rise in the euro, we are witnessing sideways choppiness in a very narrow range. The market is in no hurry to trade, despite all the conditions for active trading being present. In fact, this week has delivered just one report that outweighs all others – the ADP employment data. Inflation in the eurozone or the U.S. manufacturing PMI are important releases, but the…
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1.20 per euro is the minimum projected exchange rate for EUR/USD by year-end. Most banks and economists agree with this forecast. The news background for the dollar in 2025 is not just poor—it keeps worsening. Just a couple of weeks ago, the market was still digesting Donald Trump's new import tariffs (covering all medicines, trucks, and furniture) and the FOMC rate cut, when a government shutdown had already begun in the U.S., while the labor market continued to cool. Currently, demand for the U.S. currency has not declined significantly, but I believe the market will factor these considerations in later. The Federal Reserve has not just carried out one round of monetary…
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The EUR/USD pair continues to test resistance at 1.1750. At this price point, the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart coincides with the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines. For the past three days, traders have been pressing against this barrier but repeatedly pulling back to the 1.1730 area, reflecting indecision on both sides of the market. On the one hand, bullish sentiment dominates (bears cannot even approach the 1.16 area), while on the other, most buyers lock in profits above 1.1750, after which sellers regain control. As a result, EUR/USD has been stuck in a 1.1710–1.1770 range despite the broader weakening of the dollar. Notably, nearl…
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Central banks are usually less agile than hedge funds or asset managers. However, they control enormous reserves of $12 trillion. If they begin diversifying by selling one currency and buying another, the consequences for Forex could be massive. In this regard, the reduction of the U.S. dollar's share in foreign exchange reserves to 56.3%—the lowest level since 1995—has seriously alarmed EUR/USD bears. Could the process of offloading the greenback already be underway? Dynamics of the U.S. Dollar's Share in Central Bank Reserves There are plenty of reasons for concern. The highest tariffs since the 1930s, along with attempts by the White House to undermine the Fed's…
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Hedera (HBAR) is gaining momentum as “ETF season” heats up and technical patterns align for a potential upward move. After bouncing from a September low near $0.205, HBAR has formed constructive patterns, an Elliott Wave advance, a double bottom, and a 10-week descending wedge, that together suggest a bullish turn. With a final decision on a proposed HBAR spot ETF expected in November, traders are wondering if a clear break above $0.23–$0.24 could lead to the $0.30 level. ETF Season Puts HBAR in the Spotlight Macro tailwinds are strengthening, with the SEC expected to make decisions on numerous crypto ETF applications in October–November. Analysts believe that current…
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Dogecoin is cooling off after its recent rejection near $0.307, with price action now consolidating between $0.220 and $0.240. Despite the pullback, bullish momentum remains intact, and market signals suggest a retest of the $0.32 level could be only a matter of time. Critical Support Validated, Bulls Eye $0.32 Retest Master Kenobi, in a fresh DOGE chart update, pointed out that the red dashed line has once again acted as a strong support level. This confirmation aligns with the point earlier highlighted by the yellow arrow, showing that the level was accurately identified as a realistic and critical zone for price stabilization. According to his analysis, this support…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 2 Towards the end of trading, U.S. stock markets resumed their climb to new highs, especially in technology stocks. This rebound happened even though the Trump administration had created some unease by proposing to cut "thousands" of federal jobs on the second day of the government shutdown. The Nasdaq 100 index surged to its second consecutive record high, fueled by renewed excitement around artificial intelligence (AI) after a share sale by OpenAI. This transaction made OpenAI the world's most valuable startup, with a staggering $500 billion valuation. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also rose by 1.9%…
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USA Rare Earth (Nasdaq: USAR) is acquiring one of the most established rare earth metal and alloy producers outside of China, a move that it says represents “a significant acceleration” of its mine-to-magnet strategy. Earlier this week, the company announced that it will acquire United Kingdom-based Less Common Metals (LCM), which currently produces both light and heavy rare earth permanent magnet metals and alloys at scale at its 67,000-square-foot facility in Cheshire. LCM is one of the few companies capable of processing metal oxide feedstocks from both mined and recycled sources, USAR said. Metals and alloys produced at its facility include samarium, samarium …
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The XRP price has often drawn ambitious forecasts, but few as outrageous as a recent prediction placing its potential value at $170,000 per token. This projection not only suggests that XRP could surpass the current price of its primary rival, Ethereum, but even dethrone Bitcoin, which has an ATH above $124,000. The crypto analyst behind this bold claim openly rejects conventional valuation models, arguing that they belong to the “old world” and are incapable of measuring the disruptive potential of blockchain-based assets. Why A $170,000 XRP Price Isn’t “Impossible” XRP long-term price forecasts continue to grow bolder as the market evolves, with the latest prediction b…
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The first shipment of tungsten concentrate (WO3) from Trinity Metals’ Nyakabingo mine in Rwanda arrived this week at Global Tungsten and Powders’ (GTP) plant in Towanda, Pennsylvania. Officials from Trinity Metals, GTP and Traxys were joined at the facility by the US Ambassador to Rwanda and The Deputy Rwandan Ambassador to the US to witness the arrival. GTP is the largest tungsten processor in the US and is part of Austria’s Plansee Group, a global manufacturer of tungsten-made components used in aerospace, defense and industrial applications. Tungsten is listed by the US government as a critical mineral needed to support the economy and enhance national …
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