Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On Wednesday, GBP/USD fell below the round 1.3400 level as the latest UK inflation report showed a notable decline, ahead of the Bank of England's upcoming monetary policy decision on Thursday. The pound sterling weakened sharply as the CPI for November revealed an unexpected result: instead of the anticipated increase, it decreased. The economic situation in the U.S. remains tense as Federal Reserve officials adjust their positions. Fed Chairman Christopher Waller, whom President Donald Trump planned to appoint as Fed Chair, noted that the rate cut had a positive effect on the labor market. He emphasized that inflation is unlikely to rise again, stating that current rate…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Monday, the GBP/USD pair was confidently holding around 1.3325, slightly below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.3329. This positioning is linked to investor expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's decision following its two-day meeting concerning interest rates. This situation has allowed the U.S. dollar to maintain stability in the G10 currency markets. The pair is currently testing an important resistance zone as market participants await the central bank's decision. On Wednesday, the Fed is set to announce its final monetary policy decision of the year. Traders are pricing in an 86% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. Many analysts suggest t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Good day, traders! On the hourly chart, GBP/USD on Wednesday traded exactly between the 1.3482 and 1.3587 levels. Thus, no new trading signals or ideas emerged—one of those two levels needs to be tested before a clearer direction returns. If the pair bounces off 1.3587, the decline may resume. The wave picture continues to shift to bullish. The last completed down wave broke through two previous lows, but the new up wave broke the last two highs. At the moment, this suggests a new bullish trend after more than two months of weak bearish dominance—largely unsupported by fundamentals. On Thursday, the US will release its August Consumer Price Index—the data that traders …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Good afternoon, traders! On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the pound on Thursday and rallied almost to the 100.0% correction level at 1.3587. A clear sell signal was not formed. Today, a rebound from this level would allow traders to look for a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. If the pair consolidates above the resistance zone at 1.3611–1.3620, the likelihood of further pound gains increases, with the next target being the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708. The wave pattern continues to shift bullish. The last completed wave downward broke two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two highs. Thus, at this poi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, GBP/USD traded sideways on Friday just below the 100.0% retracement level at 1.3587. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, which traders could then work through. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.3611–1.3620 would allow for further growth toward the next 127.2% retracement level at 1.3708. The wave picture continues to shift toward bullish. The last completed wave downward broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, at this point it can be assumed that a new bullish trend is starting after more than two month…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Monday consolidated above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3425, where it continues to trade as of Tuesday morning. A rebound from the 1.3425 level would favor continued growth toward the levels of 1.3482 and 1.3528. A consolidation below the 1.3425 level would suggest a reversal in favor of the US dollar and a resumption of the decline toward the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357. The wave pattern remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has yet to surpass the previous high. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe this ha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD pair completed a reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar and returned to the "bullish" imbalance 11 after liquidity was taken from the previous swing. And that's where all movement ended. The reaction to this pattern was seen last week, but there is nothing wrong with a second or even third execution of the same pattern. Let me remind you that imbalances can be filled by 50% or even 100%. Sometimes this requires several attempts. Thus, in the near future the price may bounce off the imbalance, push deeper into it, then reverse, take liquidity from the last "bearish" swing, and then reverse again. Only if the imbalance is invalidated will I consider a scenario of …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend AnalysisIn December, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.2886 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.2942 — the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible. Overall Summary for the Monthly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely show a downward tend…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis.In November, from the 1.3151 level (closing of the October monthly candle), the price may continue moving downward toward 1.2900 – a historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.2941 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: A downward trend is possible. Overall summary of the monthly GBP/USD candle calculation:The price will most likely …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.3441 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may begin moving upward with the target at 1.3990 – the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may roll back downward toward 1.3786 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the GBP/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likely have an upwa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend AnalysisThis week, from the level of 1.3232 (the close of the last weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3012 — the historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3079 — the lower fractal (weekly candle of November 23, 2025). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardConclusion from comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall Summary for the Weekly GBP/USD Candle:The price will most likely s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3329 (the close of the latest weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3270 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back upward toward 1.3348 – the resistance line (thick red line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downMonthly chart – downConclusion of comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall weekly forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle:The price will most likely show a downward trend during the we…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend AnalysisThis week, the price — starting from 1.3160 (the closing price of the last weekly candle) — may continue its downward movement toward 1.2942, which corresponds to the 50% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3044, a historical support level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume analysis — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardOverall conclusion from the weekly GBP/USD analysis:During the week, the price will most likely exhi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis. This week, the price at the level of 1.3096 (the closing of the last weekly candle) may begin to move upwards with a target of 1.3270 – a historical resistance level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may pull back down to a target of 1.3224 – the 8-period EMA (blue thin line). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Monthly chart – up.Conclusion from Comprehensive Analysis: Upward trend. Overall assessment of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: the price is most likely to have an upward trend this week, with the absence o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis.This week, the price from the 1.3151 level (closing of the last weekly candle) may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.2943 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3044 – a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall summary of the weekly GBP/USD candle calculation:The price will most likely show a downward trend during the week, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3355 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may continue to move downward, targeting 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3270 — the historical support level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Weekly Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall Conclusion Based on the weekly chart, the GBP/USD pair is most likely to show a downward trend during the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3429 (the closing price of the last weekly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.3141 — the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace upward toward 1.3270 — the historical support level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (Weekly Chart) Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardMonthly chart — downwardOverall conclusion: During the week, the GBP/USD price is most likely to follow a downward trend, forming a black weekly candle with a fi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3478 (closing of the last weekly candle), the price may start moving downward with the target of 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with the target of 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of September 21, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volume – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall conclusion for the GBP/USD weekly chart: The price this week will most likely have a downward tendency, with the absence of a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3556 (the closing of the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving upward toward 1.3787 – the upper fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may retrace downward toward 1.3658 – the upper fractal (weekly candle of July 6, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Monthly chart – upward.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: upward trend. Overall summary of GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: during the week, the price is most likely t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis This week, from the 1.3466 level (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue to decline toward the target of 1.3270 – a historical support level (light blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Monthly chart – downward.Overall forecast for the GBP/USD weekly candle: the price will most likely follow a downward trend throughout the week, with no …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3400 (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving downward with the target at 1.3270 – the historical support level (light blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of August 31, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for GBP/USD: during the week, the price will most likely show a downward tren…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3506 (close of the last weekly candle), the price may continue downward toward 1.3389 – the 23.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may extend its downward move toward 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: Downward movement. Overall summary of the GBP/USD weekly candle calculation: The price will most likely have a downward …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Monday, from the level of 1.3232 (Friday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3178 — the 23.6% retracement level (blue dashed line). When testing this level, the price may start moving upward toward 1.3200 — the lower fractal (daily candle of November 28, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis:Indicator analysis — downwardFibonacci levels — downwardVolume — downwardCandlestick analysis — downwardTrend analysis — downwardBollinger Bands — downwardWeekly chart — downwardOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.3232 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, from the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.3378 – the 5-period EMA (thin red line). From this line, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the target of 1.3400 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downFibonacci levels – downVolumes – downCandlestick analysis – downTrend analysis – downBollinger Bands – downWeekly chart – downOverall conclusion: a downward trend. Alternative Scenario:From the level of 1.3378 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving dow…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with a target of 1.3451 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective downward move is possible with a target of 1.3437 — the upper fractal (daily candle from December 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
