Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,200. BTC is now consolidating and might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $116,850 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,000 zone. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Hits Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $114,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $115,000 and $115,500 resistance levels. The bulls were…
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Although Ethereum (ETH) is still up approximately 80% over the past three months, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap appears to have lost its momentum lately, down 0.6% over the past month. Binance Ethereum Trading In Neutral Zone According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Ethereum trading on Binance during September 2025 is witnessing a period of relative calm compared to other months. Notably, there has been a decline in the imbalance between ETH spot and perpetual volumes. Commenting on ETH’s recent price surge, which saw it jump from $2,127 on June 15 to around $4,500 at the time of writing, Arab Chain noted that this rally …
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $240 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains below $240 and might aim for another increase if it stays above $230. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $240 and $242 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $240 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $238 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $230 zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $220 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed ab…
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US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopoli…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intell…
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From a technical perspective, yesterday's break of the round level of 147.00 and consolidation below it became a fresh trigger for the bears. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has once again started moving lower, indicating that the path of least resistance for spot prices is downward. However, a minor rebound from support at 146.20, where the 100-day SMA is currently aligned, calls for caution. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for sustained selling below this area, as well as below the round level of 146.00, before planning further losses. In that case, the pair would accelerate its decline toward intermediate support at 145.30, opening…
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Speculation around the XRP price and XRP spot ETF spiked after REX Shares said on Sept. 15 that the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (ticker: XRPR) will begin trading this week. If confirmed, it would mark the first US fund offering direct exposure to XRP ▼-0.51%, the market’s third-largest crypto by capitalization. This is it for XRP: The SEC Case is nearly settled, Donald Trump is president, XRP is in the strategic crypto reserve. If this doesn’t pump XRP price sky high, what will? People said once the lawsuit was finished, XRP would teleport to $10+ instantly, and nothing happened. So what is going on? The 20 SMA recently crossed above the 200 in a Golden Cross, but flattenin…
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Today, the pound and the Australian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried to trade the yen through Momentum, but the result was mediocre. The released data showing a decline in the Consumer Price Index in the eurozone put pressure on the euro. However, falling inflation is not an unconditional signal for policy easing. Observers note that the slowdown in consumer price growth may be driven not only by the ECB's effective measures but also by weaker economic growth in the region and external factors such as lower energy prices. In this context, a premature rate cut could lead to undesirable consequences, something some ECB representatives have recen…
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Arthur Hayes believes the macro domino that sends Bitcoin to $1 million has just tipped. In a post on X late Monday, the BitMEX co-founder argued that the US Federal Reserve is preparing markets for “yield curve control” (YCC) under what he called a “third mandate,” pointing to the confirmation of economist Stephen Miran to the Fed’s Board of Governors and a fresh Bloomberg report raising the same specter. “With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed’s ‘third mandate’ which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m,” Hayes wrote. His comment came hours after Bloomberg published “Fed ‘Third Mandate’ Forces Bond…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. This week finally lands some fundamental change for the currency space, and this will influence Markets for the time to come. After North American Central Banks holding due to tariffs uncertainty, the latest round of data provided what they needed for their decision-making: The Bank of Canada cuts its main rate to 2.50% after its last cut in March 2025. The change in policy reflects mounting evidence of economic weakness — Canadian GDP keeps contracting with the Q2 numbers and August saw a steep 60K jo…
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The much expected FOMC cut finally took place, and it is offering a lot of action throughout markets. The rate is now officially at 4.25% (Between 4% to 4.25%). An additional 50 bps is planned by the FED for the rest of the year. As expected Miran dissented for a 50 bps, the dot plot is a bit more dovish than expected. After the volatile past few days, particularly in FX markets and commodities, [...] took the seat of the most violent movements. You can access the official FOMC statement right here. Summary of Economic Projections can be found right here. Also do not forget to log in at 14:30 E.T. to Jerome Powell's Live Press conference through this link. Let's tak…
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But aren't they guilty themselves? It turns out Scott Bessent also listed two of his houses as his primary residence. Donald Trump called such actions by Lisa Cook mortgage fraud and a reason to dismiss her from her position as FOMC governor. Should the Treasury Secretary be fired as well? The U.S. president often presents wishful thinking as fact. This also applies to his calls for the Fed to cut the federal funds rate by 50 basis points or more. According to him, the central bank should listen to someone as smart as he is. A massive sell-off of the U.S. dollar allowed EUR/USD to soar to 4-year highs. The euro has never risen so fast during the first nine months of a yea…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $4,520. ETH is now showing positive signs and might attempt to clear the $4,680 resistance. Ethereum is now recovering higher above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,580 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $4,550 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,640 and $4,700. Ethereum Price Eyes Steady Increase Ethereum price extended losses below $4,550 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,415 zone and recently started a recovery wave. The price …
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According to on-chain alerts, FalconX pulled 413,075 SOL from major exchanges over an eight-hour stretch, valued at about $98.4 million. The tokens were moved off Binance, OKX, Coinbase and Bybit into wallets linked to the brokerage, reports have disclosed. FalconX Withdrawals Raise Eyebrows Blockchain trackers flagged the transfers as significant because they happened across multiple venues in a short window. FalconX is the largest digital asset prime brokerage, the company’s website shows. Lookonchain and other analytics firms have flagged the pattern as consistent with institutional activity, where assets are moved into custody or cold storage rather than kept on e…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1864 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair gained 50 pips. Yesterday's decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% initially pushed the euro higher. However, since Fed Chair Powell did not provide clear, stronger guidance for further substantial monetary easing this year, the U.S. dollar quickly regained ground. Investors had hoped for a more decisive signal confirming the Fed's commitment to a dovish policy stance. The absence of firm promises dis…
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In a situation of two-sided risks, there is no risk-free path. Treat the rate cut as a reduction in risk management. How should risky assets have reacted to Jerome Powell's rhetoric? Correct — with a roller coaster ride! Stocks initially surged, then plunged, but by the close of the trading session managed to recover their lost positions. The "bulls" lined up to buy the dip in the S&P 500 and were rewarded. After a nine-month pause, the Fed resumed its cycle of monetary easing. Markets expected this, but the fact that the FOMC forecasts pointed to two more federal funds rate cuts by the end of the year became a rally catalyst. Then came the classic "sell the fact afte…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rose to the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support zone of 1.3587–1.3620. Today, consolidation below this zone would allow for a continued decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3482. A rebound from the zone would work in favor of the pound and a return to growth toward 1.3708. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetar…
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Jack Mallers, co-founder and CEO of Twenty One Capital, told NYSE TV that he expects Bitcoin to climb much higher from current levels. According to Mallers, the size of global wealth available for savings gives Bitcoin room to grow in a big way. He made the bold remark that Bitcoin could be “100 to 200 times from here,” and his firm’s buying behavior appears to follow that view. Analyst’s 200x Bitcoin Claim According to Mallers, total global wealth across assets like stocks, property, gold and art is about $900 trillion. He argued roughly $400–500 trillion of that is used mainly as savings. Right now, Mallers said, Bitcoin’s market value sits near $2 trillion. At t…
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The market has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, with industry leaders suggesting that the Bitcoin price is only at the beginning of its next major rally. As the digital asset shows resilience against broader market volatility, Adam Back, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Blockstream, a blockchain technology company, has made a bold prediction that Bitcoin at $100,000 is still cheap. The crypto founder believes the flagship cryptocurrency holds far greater potential, predicting its real peak value for this cycle. Why Bitcoin Price At $100,000 Is Still Cheap Back, a long-time advocate of Bitcoin, recently emphasized that the market continues to underesti…
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The AUD/USD pair has been in a zone of strong turbulence in recent days — on Wednesday, buyers made their presence felt at the 0.6709 mark, while on Thursday, sellers pushed it down to the lower end of the 0.66 range. Such swings are driven not only by the outcome of the Fed's September meeting. The Australian currency has also played a role, sharply reacting to the published labor market data out of Australia. The release did not favor the Aussie. Unemployment in August held at the previous month's level, i.e., 4.2%. On the one hand, this is "stability," but it's important to remember that the unemployment rate is a lagging and shaky indicator. Labor market cooling ca…
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The GBP/USD currency pair also easily and calmly returned to its original positions on Thursday, only to continue its decline. As we mentioned in previous articles, it is wise to reserve judgment for now and not rush to conclusions or entirely rethink the technical picture. The dollar may show some growth, but under current conditions, any rise in the dollar is likely to be only corrective. The Fed's monetary policy stance nearly perfectly matched traders' expectations, so in essence, there was no fundamental reason to sell or buy. Jerome Powell took the same stance he always does: Fed decisions will depend entirely on macroeconomic data, and any rate decisions will be ma…
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According to recent chart work and on-chain checks, some XRP backers say the token may be gearing up for another big move. Analysts who track past cycles point to patterns that played out in 2017 and 2018 and say similar moves could follow now. XRP Repeats Past Price Cycle Reports have disclosed that XRP broke a long downtrend in March 2017, running from about $0.0055 to roughly $0.40 by May 2017. After that first surge, the token cooled and traded sideways for around six months before shooting to $3.31 in January 2018. According to EtherNasyonal’s charts, the market then entered a long decline and another accumulation phase. One key detail the analyst highlights is…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3524 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 25 points. The drop was caused by a sharp increase in public sector borrowing, which threatens the UK's economic outlook and the political career of Rachel Reeves. The surge in government debt, reported at far higher levels than expected, triggered panic among investors. Many economists questioned the government's ability to manage finances effectively, which immediately weighed on the pound sterling. This significa…
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Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 147.69 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the dollar. As a result, the pair rose by more than 40 points. In the second half of the day, no US statistics are scheduled, so the market's attention will be on a speech by FOMC member Mary Daly. However, the yen, as is well known, has its own resilience due to the Bank of Japan's long-standing tradition of stable monetary policy. Markets will closely monitor Daly's words, looking for hints of a potential acceleration in Fed rate cuts. Suc…
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Strategy’s long-running bet on Bitcoin remains at the heart of the debate over the asset’s place in finance. Based on reports, the firm now holds more than 638,500 BTC, a stake that Saylor has said is worth “tens of billions” of dollars. That stockpile has shaped both the company’s identity and Michael Saylor’s public message since Strategy began buying Bitcoin in 2020. Saylor Predicts Long Run Outperformance According to Saylor’s recent interview on Coin Stories, Bitcoin will outperform the S&P 500 “forever.” He went further, saying the S&P 500 would lose nearly 29% each year when measured against Bitcoin for the next 21 years. Those are among the most aggres…
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