Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Over the past week, the Bitcoin market experienced significant volatile price action, resulting in a net price loss of 0.07%. Notably, the crypto market leader initially surged to $118,000 as bullish sentiments rose after the US Federal Reserve announced the first interest rate cut of 2025. However, Bitcoin has since retraced to around $115,700 in the past 24 hours, as transaction activity cooled off. In studying the asset’s price structure, a popular market analyst with the X username KillaXBT has highlighted two important price levels. Bitcoin’s Weekly Open Faces Pressure Amid Daily Imbalance Threat In an X post on September 19, KillaXBT shares a vital cautionary…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday and Friday, having earlier broken through the ascending trend line. From a technical perspective, the decline of the British pound was fairly easy to predict. As mentioned before, the trend line was breached—an important signal of movement against the prevailing trend. However, last week unfolded in a highly pessimistic scenario for the pound. Most of the macroeconomic data from the UK was moderately positive. The Federal Reserve meeting can be considered dovish, and the Bank of England meeting was neutral. Despite that, the pound showed a strong decline over the past three…
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Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's weakness is linked to continued dollar strength following last week's Federal Reserve rate cut. While the Fed did lower the rate for the first time, it did not emphasize the need for an accelerated pace of easing in the coming months. Investors are now awaiting eurozone consumer sentiment data, as well as speeches from a European Central Bank (ECB) representative and members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for today. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted at the pos…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving upward toward the target of 1.3528 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may then start moving down toward the 85.4% retracement level at 1.3516 (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3462 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin moving …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for the Japanese Yen The price test at 148.12 during the first half of the day came at a time when the MACD indicator had significantly moved below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The yen could strengthen further against the dollar, as speeches by FOMC members John Williams and Thomas Barkin are expected in the second half of the day. A dovish tone from policymakers could lead to a drop in the USD/JPY pair. In recent days, the Japanese currency has shown signs of weakening, and today's statements from politicians might serve as a reason to pause. If Williams and Barkin take a m…
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GBPJPY is one of the most volatile FX pair available to trade including only major currencies – Yet, it's been stuck in a huge range since August 2024. As explained in our previous article on this currency pair, a continuous uptrend from 2020 lows (127.30!) to July 2024 highs (208.12) has been met with a sharp correction as carry trades saw a consequent slowdown amid a sudden market-breakdown which suddenly saw yen rebuying speed up. At the same time, equities saw a huge correction, which got followed with the usual dip-buying. Anyways, this time, a consistent shorter-range uptrend has built up momentum from April lows (184.50) to the higher bound of the year-long cons…
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ASTER, the native token of the decentralized perpetual exchange Aster, officially launched last week and immediately made waves across the crypto market. Backed by Yzi Labs (formerly Binance Labs) and carrying the public endorsement of former Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the token quickly drew massive attention from traders and investors. Upon launch, ASTER surged to nearly $1.94, sparking excitement around its potential to rival leading decentralized derivatives platforms. However, the enthusiasm was quickly tested as the token dropped 33% to lows of $1.33 within days, reflecting the volatility often seen in new market entries. Despite this sharp correction, ASTER …
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Following a period of setting new records, U.S. stock markets, particularly the major technology companies, saw a decline. This was largely due to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell not giving any clear indication that he would support another interest rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in October. While the stock market dropped from its all-time highs, government bonds held onto their gains. Powell stated that both the job market and inflation outlooks are uncertain, repeating his previous message that it will be a difficult challenge for policymakers as they consider future interest-rate cuts. Under pressure from the White House, the Federal Reserve cut it…
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The minor corrective pull-back of -2% seen in the AUD/USD ex-post FOMC from 17 September 2025 high of 0.6707 to 22 September 2025 low of 0.6575 has reached an inflection point to kick-start a potential fresh bullish impulsive up move sequence. Fig. 1: …
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Copper prices jumped Wednesday after Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: FCX) declared force majeure on contracted supplies from its Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia. Three-month futures traded above $10,496 per ton ($4.7710 per lb.) on the CME, up 2.74% for the day. In London, copper for delivery in three months rose as much as 2% to $10,172 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, the highest level in more than 15 months. Click on chart for live prices. Freeport’s shares fell as much as 10.4% in New York, while rivals Glencore PLC (+3%), Teck Resources (+5%), and Antofagasta (+7.4%) climbed. BMO Capital Markets said the announcement was largely in line with expe…
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Looking at how safe havens have performed so far this year, one thing is clear: fear is driving markets. With Donald Trump as US President, tariffs were swiftly rolled out, and businesses, even nations, had to shield themselves from uncertainty. This flight to safety has funneled trillions of dollars into bonds, high-quality equities, crypto, and gold. BTC USD rocketed to new all-time highs in August, breaking $124,500, but gold has truly stolen the show with its relentless climb. In 2025, gold prices have trended strictly upward, a pattern that’s hard to miss. According to CME data, the yellow metal is up nearly +45% over the past ten months, jumping from about $2,640 i…
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The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) interest rate decision is scheduled for Thursday, September 25, 2025, followed by a press conference from Chairman Martin Schlegel. It is expected that the central bank will once again keep the key rate at 0.0%, marking a second consecutive meeting without changes after six straight cuts since March of last year. Market expectations do not point to further cuts this year, while any potential moves next year remain uncertain. Investors and traders should closely monitor Schlegel's remarks for signals that could indicate a review of the negative rate policy. This decision will have a significant impact on the Swiss franc's exchange rate and p…
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Foran Mining’s (TSX: FOM) construction progress at its McIlvenna Bay zinc-copper project in Saskatchewan is putting it on track to start commercial production by the middle of next year’s second quarter, analysts said after a recent site tour. The tour, joined by provincial Premier Scott Moe and other government representatives, came just days after Foran released an update on construction at McIlvenna Bay, where the build is about 56% finished. “The tour underscored McIlvenna Bay as a project of national importance, and highlighted the significant state of construction, operational readiness, scale potential underpinned by [the project’s Tesla zone], and further …
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The gold price traded around 3,744, bouncing within the upward trend channel formed since September 10 and attempting to break the strong resistance at 3,753. If the gold price consolidates above 3,753 in the coming hours, it could resume its upward cycle, and gold could reach 3,828 around +1/8 Murray. If the gold price falls below 3,730, we could expect a strong breakout of the uptrend channel, and the price could return to the 7/8 Murray price levels around 3,671. The outlook remains bullish for the XAU/USD as the eagle indicator is showing a positive signal, so we will wait for a positive buy scenario to occur only if the price consolidates above 3,753. Conversely, as …
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XRP contracts by 6% in a week after failing to break the psychological barrier at $2.80. The bearish performance erased over $18B in value as a result of heavy selling, much of which took place yesterday. A failure to maintain the $2.75 support level could cause a crash to $2.70, further fueling the bear sentiment. The dire performance comes despite the recent inclusion of XRP, alongside Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, and Stellar, in the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF, the ‘first multi-asset spot crypto ETP in the United States’. However, this bearish sentiment may be misplaced and a strong correction may arrive this coming October, which could set $XRP on track to a new …
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Overview: The dollar rallied in North America yesterday and the foreign exchange market seems to be waiting for its leadership again today. Against the G10 currencies, the greenback is consolidating in narrow ranges near yesterday's best levels without advancing. The dollar is mixed against the major currencies but is not much more than +/- 0.15%. Emerging market currencies are mixed with most of Asia Pacific currencies a little lower and central Europe slightly firmer. The news stream is light. Besides the unexpected flat Tokyo September CPI, the market is digesting a rash of new tariff announcements by the US. They include 100% on non-generic pharma (with an exemption f…
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Thumzup Media’s $10 million stock buyback and its move into Dogecoin mining have stirred fresh interest in DOGE, but traders are watching price action closely for confirmation before calling a rally. Market Tests Key Trend Line Reports have disclosed that DOGE recently pulled back to a demand zone that matches the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). That area is being watched as a make-or-break spot. A solid bounce from here could push Dogecoin toward $0.29 in the near term. If buyers push through the rising wedge pattern, a move to $0.40 is the next clear target. Some traders say a run to $1 is possible if momentum picks up sharply, though that would require su…
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CryptoWzrd noted in a fresh update that Chainlink ended the day on a bullish note, with signs pointing to more upside ahead. The strength in LINKBTC is adding momentum, suggesting further pressure from the bulls. On the intraday chart, the $22 level is emerging as the next key bullish zone, while lower time frames remain the focus for spotting the next scalp opportunity. LINKBTC To Trigger A Reversal For Chainlink In an elaborate analysis, CryptoWzrd confirmed a strong bullish close for both the price of Chainlink and the LINK/BTC pairing. Notably, the LINK/BTC pair printed a powerful bullish daily candle, an event that coincided with a decrease in Bitcoin’s dominance. T…
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The upcoming week will be very important for the U.S. dollar. The currency will attempt to hold its ground, but it will be difficult to withstand the pressure from market participants. Most economists expect further weakening of the dollar, driven by instability in the U.S. economy, the threat of rising inflation, the dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's influence on the Fed. Therefore, the period of calm for the dollar has not yet arrived. Individual events in the U.K. or the Eurozone may put pressure on the euro and the pound, allowing the dollar to strengthen from time to time. However, the situation in the United States is of far greater concern to…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,050. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,170 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $3,820 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $4,000 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,170 and $4,200. Ethereum Price Recovers Ethereum price remained supported above the $3,820 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $3,880 and $4,000 resis…
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[USDX] – [Monday, September 29, 2025] Although the two EMAs are still crossing the Golden Cross, but the RSI's position in the Extreme Bearish area has the potential to weaken #USDX today towards its nearest support levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.65 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.40 3. Pivot : 98.25 4. Support. 1 : 98.00 5. Support. 2 : 97.85 Tactical Scenario Pressure Vulnerable Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 98.00, it has the potential to continue weakening to 97.85. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.85 is successfully broken and closes below it, the USDX has the potential to weaken again to 97.60. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downsid…
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It was a tough week for BTC USD. The good news is that a positive shift is underway. After a concerning dip, the Bitcoin price steadied, closing with a long lower wick that signals strong buying pressure. The digital gold found support at $108,900 before staging a robust bounce, closing above $110,000. Right now, BTC USDT is holding firm above $112,000. Amid this refreshing rebound, attention is turning to Solana and one of its key revenue drivers: Pump.fun. The meme coin launchpad remains a hot topic, boosting PUMP and several top Solana meme coins along the way. While SOL USD fluctuates above $200, confidence is building that a surge in Pump.fun activity could ignite a…
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USD/JPY continues its decline for the second consecutive day, trading above 148.50 and finding support at the 200-day SMA. Pressure on the U.S. dollar comes from fears of a possible temporary suspension of federal government operations. On Monday, President Donald Trump is set to meet with congressional leaders to discuss government funding. If no agreement is reached, a shutdown could begin as early as October 1, coinciding with the implementation of new tariffs on trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other goods. According to Reuters, this conflict could also delay the release of the September employment report and other key economic data. The dollar's weakness and the fall in …
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Ripple’s XRP might be trending towards a short squeeze as new analysis suggested its available trading supply could shrink to levels comparable to Bitcoin’s 21 million cap. XRP commentator Chad Steingraber, in a post on social media platform X, argued that the amount of the altcoin actually available for retail trading is going to be a fraction of its total supply. His comments came in response to discussions about the role of institutional and network-led lockups, with projects such as Axelar and Flare Networks working to secure billions of XRP tokens. XRP Might Be Gearing Up For Short Squeeze The discussion began after a popular crypto commentator posted about Axelar…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's bullish impulse in the single currency proved to be weak. The price tried to move further away from the MACD line after breaking above it, but by the end of the day, the upper shadow was larger than the candle body. The Marlin oscillator stalled at the neutral zero line, and this morning even hinted at a reversal downward. The price is likely to remain in a sideways trend until the U.S. employment data is released on Friday. Even a consolidation below the MACD line (1.1708) would not be a signal for a decline toward the target of 1.1605; the market is simply waiting for Friday's data. A similar situation occurred a month ago, when the euro began to mo…
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