Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12258 tópicos neste fórum
-
The UK inflation data released on Wednesday put pressure on the British currency, including against the dollar. The GBP/USD pair has broken below the support level of 1.3100 (the lower boundary of the Kumo cloud on the four-hour chart) and is currently trying to stabilize within the 30-figure range. Almost all components of the report came in at the forecast level, but annual figures reflected a slowdown in inflation. Both the overall and core indicators showed a downward trend. This result suggests that the Bank of England may reduce the interest rate by 25 basis points at its next meeting in December. According to published data, the UK consumer price index (CPI) acc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The pound against the dollar continues testing the resistance level of 1.3650 (upper Bollinger Bands line on the D1 timeframe), despite the general strengthening of the greenback. After Tuesday's sharp drop to 95.96, the U.S. dollar index on Wednesday is attempting to recover at least partially. DXY has returned to the 96 range, and major dollar pairs adjusted accordingly, reflecting the greenback's rebound. However, GBP/USD stands apart: despite the dollar's recovery, the pound keeps pressing the 1.3650 barrier. The UK inflation report, published on Wednesday, favored GBP/USD buyers, as it confirmed persistently high inflation levels, giving the Bank of England ground…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBPJPY has been trading in a wide range since October 2024 after the pair breached the 208.00 level and retracted sharply on last July and August Carry Trades' unwinding. Market Players recently got some key data for their trading in both the GBP and the JPY. The Bank of England took their decision to hold their rates but with a more dovish stance than markets expected with 3 out of 9 who voted for a cut – The BoE is starting to show a few concerns about the UK GDP appearing progressively weaker, but with a still too-high inflation. close …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBPJPY is one of the most volatile FX pair available to trade including only major currencies – Yet, it's been stuck in a huge range since August 2024. As explained in our previous article on this currency pair, a continuous uptrend from 2020 lows (127.30!) to July 2024 highs (208.12) has been met with a sharp correction as carry trades saw a consequent slowdown amid a sudden market-breakdown which suddenly saw yen rebuying speed up. At the same time, equities saw a huge correction, which got followed with the usual dip-buying. Anyways, this time, a consistent shorter-range uptrend has built up momentum from April lows (184.50) to the higher bound of the year-long cons…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Markets just saw the released of the FOMC Rate Decision which stayed unchanged. July was a rough month for both the GBP and the JPY which were the worst performing currencies in the Major FX space against the Greenback (which also sparked a market-shaking comeback). The past week however did see the return of some strength for the Yen after observing a lot of bad talk around the Nippon currency– As if bearish positioning for the Yen was at an extreme. Positioning now seems more balanced as players have reduced their positions to prepare for tonight's Bank of Japan Rate Decision. No hike is expected but the BoJ tends to surprise markets so always stay ready, this one wo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBPUSD extended to a fresh high not seen since August 18, with the latest peak reaching 1.35558. That move briefly surpassed Friday’s post-employment high at 1.35541, signaling that buyers were willing to test the waters above a prior key resistance point. However, the momentum has since cooled, and the pair has rotated back down. For now, price action is finding nearby support at the 61.8% retracement of the decline from the September 11 high, which comes in at 1.35397. This level has become an important short-term line in the sand for traders. Holding above keeps the bullish bias intact, while a decisive move back below would suggest a failed breakout and could sap …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday's reaction to a mixed UK Employment data had been confusing for the most part before taking a look at the bigger picture. Despite seeing an employment change of 134K vs 46K expected, the UK Unemployment rate came at 4.7% vs a 4.6% consensus, highest since 2021 with easing salarial pressures – Some banks (Citi, GS, BofA) are seeing what they need to push back some rate cuts from September to November. The Pound had seen a major correction (10 consecutive selling candles) since its 1.3780 top and between some mess-ups from the UK Government requiring intervention from the PM Starmer and some extra mediation from Bank of England's Bailey during the week. However …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The morning session in Forex is a quiet one with only the UK Jobs report that was released overnight. The Data for the United Kingdom, release at 2:00 A.M. E.T. came out weak and GBPUSD has started to build a top on the charts. The Unemployent Rate elevated slightly to 4.6% from 4.5%, with lower average earnings. This release may console the Bank of England towards the continuation of their cut cycle that has started in last August, taking the UK's main policy rate from 5.25% to the current 4.25% with progressive 25bps cuts. The precise number for the jobs report was 89K with the last release at 112K. We will dive into a technical analysis for GBPUSD starting from the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBPUSD found intermediate lows at 1.3140, losing close to 7 handles since its June 30 highs. The pound had seen a huge uptrend in 2025, with a 13.57% increase from 1.21, as the year commenced, to its recent top at 1.3790. July changed Forex markets consequently with the Dollar Index retaking some of what it had lost through the first half – After the injurious US Non-Farm Payrolls report from last Friday, the Greenback saw some of its momentary strength evaporate and which allowed the GBP to take a breather from strong selling flows. The Bank of England began a non-continuous rate-cutting cycle, taking their benchmark rate from 5.25% to the current 4.25%. The Central…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the British Pound The price test at 1.3463 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the downward potential of the pair. Pound buyers failed to offer anything significant at the end of last week in the GBP/USD pair. The negative dynamics of the pound were reinforced by several factors, among them — investor caution ahead of key economic publications from the UK and ongoing uncertainty about the prospects for continued growth in the British economy. Today, there are no UK economic releases; however, speeches are expected from Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundA price test at 1.3369 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3331. The British pound plummeted after additional U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed concern over inflation yesterday, favoring a more cautious stance on interest rate policy. This unexpected tightening in the rhetoric of the U.S. central bank had an immediate impact on the currency markets. Investors, who had previously hoped for a quick rate cut to stimulate the economy, are now forced to r…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3367 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound. However, the pair did not experience a significant drop. The British pound continues to decline against the US dollar—especially against the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and unresolved trade disputes between the United States and China. Investors are exercising caution due to the unpredictability of global trade and the potential impact on the UK economy, which is already facing political and economic challenges. Yesterday's da…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3326 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to rise from the zero line. This confirmed a valid entry point for buying the pound, resulting in a 30-pip upward move. The pound dropped sharply in the first half of the previous day following news that UK core inflation had declined. This unexpected development triggered a wave of selling in the British currency, as investors reassessed their expectations regarding future Bank of England actions. Reduced inflationary pressure could give the central bank more room to maneuver and reduce the need for aggressively high interest rates. However, i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Trading Advice on the British PoundThe price test at 1.3322 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the downside potential of the pair. For this reason, I refrained from selling the pound. Dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, suggesting further interest rate cuts, put pressure on the U.S. dollar, yet this failed to benefit the British pound. Despite the weaker dollar, the pound has remained under pressure amid uncertainty over the UK budget, falling inflation, and the potential for an economic slowdown. Political instability—marked by frequent government changes and internal conflict within…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis and Advice for the British PoundThe test of the price at 1.3335 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upwards from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound and resulting in a 20-pip rise. American inflation slowed down in October this year, leading to a weakening of the dollar and strengthening of the British pound. Published data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose below expectations. The decrease in inflationary pressures, while welcome, prompted investors to revise their forecasts of the Federal Reserve's future policy. Today, the GBP/USD pair is unlikely to experience significant volatility, as the only im…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gem Diamonds (LON: GEMD) is buckling under the weight of a worsening diamond market, reporting on Thursday an attributable loss of $11.7 million for the six months ended June 30. The Africa-focused miner took a $10.7 million goodwill impairment as rough diamond prices continue to fall, supply outpaces demand, and lab-grown stones gain ground. The results mark a sharp reversal from the $2.1 million profit posted in the same period of 2024. At its flagship Letšeng mine in Lesotho, Gem Diamonds assessed the recoverable amount of the operation and recorded the impairment to bring the carrying value in line with the market reality. “The industry continues to face s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gem Diamonds (LON: GEMD) has become the latest casualty in a deepening crisis engulfing the global diamond industry, announcing sweeping cost-cutting measures as the market buckles under falling prices and the growing popularity of lab-grown alternatives. The Africa-focused diamond producer reported a 43% drop in revenue to $44.7 million for the first half of its financial year. Carat sales fell 22% to 44,360, while the average price per carat plunged 26% to $1,008. In response, it said it would reduce operating costs by $1.4 million to $1.6 million per month and cut around 250 jobs, or 20% of its workforce, at its Letšeng mine in Lesotho. Executives have also tak…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Emeralds and rubies miner Gemfields (LON: GEM) (JSE: GML) is selling its iconic jewellery brand Fabergé for $50 million, in a fresh attempt to shore up its finances. The buyer is SMG Capital, a US investment company controlled by the technology investor Sergei Mosunov. The deal closes a chapter that began in 2013, when Gemfields bought Fabergé from private equity group Pallinghurst for $142 million. The miner put the brand on the market in December after unrest in Mozambique forced a temporary halt at its Montepuez ruby mine. Founded in 1842 and transformed under Peter Carl Fabergé, who became goldsmith to the Russian Imperial Court in 1882, the brand has fac…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Coloured precious stones miner Gemfields (LON: GEM) (JSE: GML) has unveiled a colossal emerald weighing 11,685 carats, discovered at its 75%-owned Kagem mine in Zambia. Named Imboo, meaning buffalo in the local Bemba and Lamba dialects, the gemstone is the largest of several extraordinary emeralds unearthed at Kagem, already famed for record-breaking finds. The emerald will be sold at Gemfields’ auction running until Sept. 11. “Even under the beam of a strong light that is necessary to illuminate a gemstone of this remarkable size, Imboo reveals an intense, verdant green touched with golden warmth and a clarity that captivates the eye,” Gemfields’ managing directo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gemfields (LON, JSE: GEM) has released its latest “G-Factor for Natural Resources’’ figures, revealing that over the the 2015–2024 period, its Kagem emerald mine in Zambia and Montepuez ruby mine in Mozambique returned 20% and 25% of revenue, respectively, to their host governments. The “G-Factor” is a transparency tool introduced by Gemfields in 2021 to disclose the proportion of a company’s revenue paid to the host country in primary and direct taxes, as well as dividends where applicable. It aims to offer a simple, consistent metric across the mining sectors, helping to improve transparency in the gemstones market. “[Our latest] figures highlight the contrast…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
ChatGPT competitor Gemini AI, developed by Google, has issued an incredible forecast for Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Shiba Inu (SHIB), along with a stark warning for investors. These leading altcoins could be set for a highly volatile December. Gemini projects sharp price swings for all three assets as 2025 comes to a close. The broader crypto market has begun its slow recovery after a heavy correction phase triggered by heavy Bitcoin sell-offs. BTC USD dropped to $82,000 on November 30, its lowest level in eight months, and dragged the entire market down with it. Despite this turbulence, long-term sentiment in the industry remains largely positive, supported by o…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gemini, the crypto exchange built by everyone’s favorite identical twins, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, just quietly took a major step toward going public. They’ve filed confidentially for an IPO, and if all goes well, we could see Gemini trading on a traditional stock exchange sometime soon. Timing It Just Right Let’s be honest, crypto companies haven’t always had the smoothest ride with public markets. But Gemini’s filing comes at a pretty strategic moment. Bitcoin is hovering above $70,000, Ethereum’s back in the green, and the general mood in crypto land is cautiously optimistic. Even the regulatory landscape, while still bumpy, feels a bit less hostile than it did a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto world just got some rare good news. After years of fighting, Gemini and the SEC have finally agreed to settle their dispute over the Gemini Earn lending program. The deal isn’t final yet, but it already shows a softer tone from regulators. For investors, it’s a sign that crypto projects might get more breathing room as the industry matures. Add Gemini’s successful IPO to the mix and you have a new narrative: crypto isn’t going anywhere, it’s getting stronger. And that leaves one big question on the table. What’s the next crypto to explode as Gemini and SEC make peace? Let’s dive into three new crypto projects that could be the next to explode. The Gemini-SE…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gemini Space Station Inc., the crypto exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has filed for a $316.7M initial public offering (IPO) in New York. Social media is dubbing it the “Gemini IPO” and the company plans to sell 16.7 million shares priced between $17–$19 each, which would give Gemini a market cap of about $2.2Bn at the top of the range. Gemini controls more than $18Bn in assets and crypto assets, according to its filing. But the company is still losing money, reporting a $282.5M net loss on $68.6M revenue in the first six months of 2025. “We believe the U.S. market is finally ready for compliant, regulated crypto institutions,” the Winklevoss brothers w…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
