Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 2 Towards the end of trading, U.S. stock markets resumed their climb to new highs, especially in technology stocks. This rebound happened even though the Trump administration had created some unease by proposing to cut "thousands" of federal jobs on the second day of the government shutdown. The Nasdaq 100 index surged to its second consecutive record high, fueled by renewed excitement around artificial intelligence (AI) after a share sale by OpenAI. This transaction made OpenAI the world's most valuable startup, with a staggering $500 billion valuation. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also rose by 1.9%…
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The phenomenal +150% run that saw Ethereum dramatically outperform Bitcoin has officially hit the brakes. After fueling the recent altcoin mini-season, the crucial ratio has stalled out completely, exhibiting 40 days of stagnation. With the main engine of the altcoin market now idling, the initial euphoria is fading, raising serious concerns about the stability and short-term future of nearly every asset outside of BTC. Is Ethereum Entering A Healthy Accumulation Phase? The powerful momentum behind altcoins has evaporated following the stagnation of the ETH/BTC ratio. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades has highlighted that after a monumental +150%…
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Today's labor data from Japan showed a jump in the August unemployment rate from 2.3% to 2.6% (forecast: 2.4%). According to market participants, such figures will slow the Bank of Japan's monetary tightening. Considering that the yen has spent 2.5 months in the 146.29–149.38 range precisely in anticipation of tightening signals, after a signal pointing to easing, the pair may break out of the range upward. On the daily chart, we see that the upper boundary of the range at 149.38 will soon align with the MACD line, so their overlap may provoke another strong price surge, continuing the uptrend. The target is the 151.70–152.10 range. The Marlin oscillator is close to ente…
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Ethereum is once again at the center of market attention, trading at critical levels after a volatile stretch marked by uncertainty and rapid swings. The second-largest cryptocurrency has reclaimed the $4,400 level, signaling renewed bullish momentum. Investors are closely watching whether ETH can extend this recovery into a sustained breakout, with many expecting that a decisive move higher could open the path toward testing yearly highs. Still, not all market voices are aligned. While momentum appears to favor the bulls, several analysts warn of risks that could challenge Ethereum’s upward trajectory. Concerns range from declining liquidity in certain segments of the …
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For GBP/USD, the wave structure continues to indicate the building of an upward wave pattern, and it has not changed over the past week. The pound has fallen too much recently, so the trend segment that began on August 1 now looks ambiguous. The first idea that comes to mind is a complication of the assumed wave 4, which could take the form of a three-wave structure, with each of its subwaves also made up of three smaller waves. In this case, a decline toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, if this assumption is correct, then the euro would also decline, and consequently its wave structure would undergo certain changes as well. At this time, I do not…
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The market is painting a confusing image. Today, BTC and ETH have rallied strongly this week and are capturing every news headline this “Uptober”, while tension mounts as the crypto altcoin season index pushes higher, even as BTC USD remains supreme. The headline numbers are hard to ignore as the BTC USD pair gained sharply, closing at its ATH, while the ETH USD pair followed with conviction, but barely pushed above $4,500. Still, with BTC dominance brushing close to 60 %, the tug‑of‑war between majors and alts remains intense. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time …
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The Solana price had a relatively better performance than most large-cap crypto assets in September, posting a double-digit gain in the past month. The altcoin has made an even stronger start to October, enjoying the opening days of the month with an over 10% price jump so far. It is worth mentioning, though, that the Solana price somewhat struggled going into the weekend, which has seen the loss of the $230 mark. However, the latest on-chain data suggests the SOL token might only be taking a break, as it has yet to encounter the next major obstacle to its continuous ascent. Sustained Upward Run Hinges On $245 Resistance: Data In an October 4 post on the X platform, cry…
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XRP has defended support at $2.90 and made several attempts to push above $3.10 over the past week. Although XRP bulls have managed to hold above $3, the cryptocurrency hasn’t really followed rallies witnessed by Bitcoin and Ethereum in the past 24 hours. Nonethless, XRP’s price action in the past few days has caused its price chart to print a new technical setup that has previously marked the beginning of significant rallies, and history might repeat itself again. Bullish XRP Technical Signal Reappears Technical analysis of XRP’s 3-day candlestick chart shows that the cryptocurrency is currently repeating a technical signal which has preceded rallies multiple times t…
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The EUR/USD currency pair remained relatively calm on Friday. Volatility remained minimal. In fact, the only relatively strong movement of the entire past week occurred on Thursday—ironically, the day with virtually no significant macroeconomic or fundamental events. Only the Eurozone unemployment rate, which unexpectedly climbed to 6.3%, had the theoretical potential to trigger a reaction. However, other days featured far more important data, even excluding the unreleased Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment figures. Thus, the first conclusion is that last week's price movement had nothing to do with logic. As we've stated many times before, there's no point in trying to r…
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Macroeconomic Data Overview: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Only two data points are worth noting: Retail Sales in the Eurozone and Construction PMI in the United Kingdom. However, both fall far short of being top-tier releases. Consequently, we do not expect any strong or lasting market reactions to these reports. At the same time, the U.S. dollar still has plenty of fundamental reasons to resume its decline. Fundamental Events Overview: There will be several noteworthy events on Monday. In the United Kingdom, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is scheduled to speak. Bailey rarely appears in the public spotlight, so while any …
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.45 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar. This resulted in a minor rise of the pair by about 10 pips. The yen fell by 300 pips against the U.S. dollar on the news that Sanae Takaichi would become the new Prime Minister of Japan. Her plans for economic stimulus and her commitment to accommodative monetary policy triggered a sharp sell-off in the yen on the currency markets. The market appears to view her election as a signal that Abenomics—the policy of aggressive fiscal stimulus and low interest rates—will …
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Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high, hitting $125,710 over the weekend. Ethereum also rose, though not as significantly. This explosive growth marks the culmination of several weeks of steady accumulation by big players in support of the broader uptrend. A key driver behind the rally is growing global awareness of the instability of fiat currencies, with investors turning to BTC as digital insurance against fiat devaluation. Bitcoin's new high reflects a broader awakening and increasing trust in a new monetary system. This isn't just hype around another tech breakthrough, but rather a fundamental revaluation of financial principles. As the pioneer of decentralized cu…
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Global markets are buzzing: gold is storming all-time highs, Bitcoin is once again proving it can rival the dollar, BlackRock is doubling down on AI infrastructure, and Tesla has released a mysterious announcement that could upend the electric vehicle market. In this review, we cover everything driving markets today: from the luster of gold and digital optimism to billion-dollar deals and Elon Musk's ambitions, along with practical ideas for those seeking to turn volatility into profit. Gold storms records: factors behind historic rally and ways to capitalize Against the backdrop of the prolonged US government shutdown, gold has once again claimed center stage in financi…
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The European Commission is planning major reforms that would make the EU’s (European Union) financial regulator, ESMA’s (European Securities and Markets Authority) oversight a lot more expansive. If the motion goes through, ESMA would be in charge of directly overseeing stock exchanges, crypto companies and clearing houses across the EU bloc. In an article published by the Financial Times on 6 October 2025, Verena Ross, ESMA’s Chair, explained that the main goal is to fix the fragmented nature of Europe’s financial systems and build a stronger, more unified market. “This would provide a key impetus towards having a capital market in Europe that is more integrated and gl…
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TRX is showing remarkable strength as the broader crypto market accelerates, with Bitcoin testing a new all-time high and altcoins following closely behind. Amid this renewed momentum, top analyst Darkfost shared key insights highlighting that TRX’s underlying trend no longer needs confirmation — it remains clearly positive. The asset has maintained a steady bullish structure even through periods of consolidation, suggesting a strong foundation for the next move. Darkfost also pointed out that a particularly interesting signal has now appeared — one that historically precedes a new phase of acceleration for TRX. This signal, based on trading volume dynamics, reflects a …
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Tudor Gold (CVE: TUD) has filed a lawsuit against the Canadian province of British Columbia, alleging it allowed rival Seabridge Gold (TSE: SEA)(NYSE: SA) to tunnel through its mineral claims in the Golden Triangle, a resource-rich region stretching 500 kilometres from Stewart toward Yukon and Alaska. The case, launched in the Supreme Court of B.C. on October 3, challenges the legality of a conditional mineral reserve connected to Seabridge’s Kerr–Sulphurets–Mitchell (KSM) copper, gold, silver and molybdenum project. The reserve prevents Tudor, which owns the neighbouring Treaty Creek property, from obstructing or interfering with construction or operation of the…
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The Dogecoin price action is now being closely examined through the lens of M2 Global Money Supply trends, with a new analysis pointing to a powerful bullish setup. Charts comparing Dogecoin and the M2 global liquidity curve suggest that the meme coin could soon make a decisive move toward $1. At the same time, long-term technical patterns suggest a potential rise toward a market capitalization in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Dogecoin Price And M2 Global Money Supply Signal $1 Breakout On October 4, crypto analyst Bull Bear Spot on X social media highlighted a striking correlation between Dogecoin’s price and the growth of the M2 Global Money Supply. His accompa…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $125,708 on Binance yesterday, BTC exchange inflows are starting to show signs of slowing down. As a result, crypto analysts are confident that the top cryptocurrency by market cap may be on the cusp of a healthy rally. Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Slump Amid New ATH According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ChainSpan, fresh on-chain data shows that the average amount of BTC inflows into exchanges such as Binance has decreased significantly. To recall, BTC sent to exchanges is usually seen as a warning sign, as it suggests that investors are attempting to sell their holdings at prevailing market prices. As a …
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Monday, which is, at the very least, surprising. Let's remember that in 2025, the United States faces a multitude of challenges. Each passing week brings new developments that practically scream at the market to continue dumping the U.S. dollar. Of course, the dollar is not the currency of a developing country. It cannot and will not fall endlessly. However, one must agree that the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains such that betting on dollar growth is simply unreasonable. Just last week, it became clear that nearly all published U.S. data surprised traders in a negative way. The key disappointment came in the…
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Ethereum has finally broken free from a multi-year-long consolidation phase, reigniting bullish sentiment across the crypto market. After spending over three years struggling to hold above the $4,000 level, ETH has now confirmed a decisive breakout, a move seen as the start of its next major rally. With momentum building and technical indicators aligning, analysts suggest that a run toward the $7,000 region could be closer than ever Ethereum Breaks Free After 1,146 Days Of Consolidation Mags, a popular crypto analyst on X, recently shared a bullish update, noting that ETH could be on track to reach the $7,331 mark. According to the analyst, this target aligns with the br…
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XRP roared back above $3.00 in early Asian trading, reclaiming key psychological support as Bitcoin’s march to fresh highs energized altcoin flows. But the move comes with a caveat: on-chain trackers flagged 320 million XRP ($950Million) moving onto exchanges over the past week, an overhang that could test buyers’ resolve as price approaches a crowded resistance band. With ETF chatter heating up and Ripple’s banking ambitions in motion, the next leg hinges on whether bulls can absorb supply and force a clean breakout toward $4.00. Bitcoin Tailwinds, XRP ETF Buzz, and Banking Ambitions Momentum spilled over from Bitcoin’s surge above $125K, historically a favorable bac…
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The euro is trading around 1.1706, below the 8/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, and within the downtrend channel formed on September 12. Over the past few days, the euro has failed to break out of the downtrend channel on several attempts. However, we see on the chart that the euro left a gap at the close of Friday's session, so during a technical rebound, EUR/USD is likely to reach 1.1735 in the coming days. If bearish pressure prevails, we can expect the euro to reach the 7/8 Murray around 1.1596 or even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1560. If the euro breaks sharply above the trend channel and consolidates around 1.1740, we could expect it to continu…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Tuesday, from the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1655 – the 50% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly rebound upward toward the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the level of 1.1709 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue movi…
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the euro The price test of 1.1696 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro and resulted in a 30-point drop in the pair. The political crisis in France continues: today, French Defense Minister Le Maire also resigned. This came just a day after the resignation of the Prime Minister, who had served for only 27 days. Political turbulence has reached its peak, plunging the country into deep uncertainty and calling into question the stability of the ruling coalition. The resignation of key government figures one after another indicates a se…
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Gold advanced to a new record on Tuesday, with futures surpassing $4,000 an ounce for the first time, as US rate cut expectations and political uncertainty across the globe continue to fuel safe-haven demand. Three-month gold futures rose to as high as $4,014.60 per ounce before pulling back to $3,987.50, while spot gold set a new all-time high of $3,991 per ounce, a few dollars short of the $4,000-an-ounce level. Click on chart for live prices. The rally gained new momentum as the US government shutdown entered its second week, depriving investors of key economic data needed to gauge the timing and extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The market is currently pr…
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