Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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OnlyFans and junior mining should have nothing in common. At least not on the surface. One sells sexual fantasy; the other sells geology. Yet both rely on the same three currencies: attention, trust, and connection. OnlyFans figured that out early. It didn’t become a multibillion-dollar success through slick production or cinematic polish. It exploded because it felt personal. The platform replaced the distance of old-school celebrity with a sense of raw access. Subscribers weren’t paying for content — they were paying for connection. That success offers a valuable lesson for a junior mining sector still communicating like it’s 1998. Most junior miners remain …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 7th Today commemorates the second anniversary of the tragic massacre when Hamas soldiers invaded Israel, killing, raping, and kidnapping more than a thousand civilians. Tomorrow will see the biggest meeting of Arab leaders regarding implementing the Trump 20-point Plan, which would impose a ceasefire and achieve a process towards peace in the region for the time to come. The meeting will be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, and will include the highest diplomatic delegates from Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff will also participate in the meeting and recently landed in Egypt. Tu…
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In the previous two reviews, we discussed why a strong euro is unfavorable for both the European Union and the European Central Bank, which, unlike the Federal Reserve, is not entirely autonomous. The only question that remains is: how can that be addressed? One of the options currently being floated by some economists is further interest rate reductions. Despite inflation in Europe having stabilized around 2%, the ECB may need to continue easing monetary policy solely to weaken the euro. It's true that in 2025, the ECB's "dovish" stance didn't produce a weaker euro — but that had more to do with Donald Trump's policies, which caused global markets to flee the U.S. dollar…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may possibly continue moving downward with the target at 1.3364 – retracement level 61.8% (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with a target at 1.3381, retracement level 14.6% (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Wednesday, from the level of 1.3421 (yesterday's daily candle close)…
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The AI age is upon us, and you cannot ignore it. Now that the quest for AI Superintelligence has been made official, how will it affect the crypto space? AI trading is already fast and emotionless. But what happens when AGI (Advanced General Intelligence) and ASI (Advanced Super Intelligence) are introduced into the trading spectrum? Here’s a hypothetical. Imagine an AGI-powered trading system that tracks global systems and predicts disruptions to reallocate assets before humans even notice. Imagine it adapting to your portfolio and adjusting your risk exposure based on your goals and the macro landscape. Impressive right? Now, increase the scope! An ASI-powered system…
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Demand for the euro continues to fall against the backdrop of the political crisis in France and the sharp drop in Germany's industrial production. In my view, the market is not currently factoring in all the available elements, but let's assume it is pricing them in one by one. This week, most of the news has come from the Eurozone, but in the second half of the week, the situation will likely shift in the opposite direction. Let me remind you that ECB President Christine Lagarde has already spoken three times this week. In some of her speeches, she avoided the subject of monetary policy, while in others she said she was satisfied with the current level of inflation, tho…
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On Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair updated its 8-month price high, firmly settling within the 152 range for the first time since February this year. The yen remains under intense pressure following the internal party elections within Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), in which Sanae Takaichi emerged victorious. This means she is now the most likely candidate to become the next Prime Minister of Japan. However, the leader of the ruling party does not automatically become head of government. Takaichi's nomination must still be approved by parliament — and the LDP does not hold a majority in either chamber. A failed attempt by her predecessor, Shigeru Ishiba, who …
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Key takeaways The Japanese yen has weakened sharply, losing 3.7% against the USD as markets priced in pro-stimulus expectations from new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi, fuelling the “Takaichi Trade.”Despite short-term JPY weakness, Japan’s consumer confidence continues to improve, supporting the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) gradual rate hike stance.The BoJ’s policy rate curve remains upward trending, signalling gradual monetary tightening into 2026.The US–Japan 10-year yield spread has broken (intraday) below key support at 2.47%, a potential signal for medium-term USD/JPY weakness ahead. In the past three sessions since Monday, 6 October 2025, the Japanese yen has weakened sig…
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How much is 0.46 Bitcoin to USD? Well, as it stands, that’s $56221.89, almost half a BTC. Why is “0.46 Bitcoin to USD” trending on Google? Who knows. The world is weird. But analyst Peter Brandt believes it’ll be much higher soon. The veteran chartist told Cointelegraph that, based on historical cycle data, “it is reasonable to expect a bull market high any day now.” Brandt, who correctly called .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,876.51 0.98% Bitcoin …
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Canada’s Franco-Nevada (TSX, NYSE: FNV) plans to expand its royalty and streaming business in Australia, chief executive Paul Brink said Thursday, as record-high gold prices fuel fresh investment in the sector. Brink confirmed the Toronto-based firm has made two new hires in Western Australia, signalling its intent to back junior gold developers in the resource-rich state. “The reason that we are hiring is our plan to focus more on Australia,” he told a mining conference in Melbourne. Australia, one of the world’s largest gold producers, is on track to make the metal its second most valuable export this financial year as prices soar to unprecedented levels. G…
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Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 hits record high: The index rallied 1.2% on 8 October 2025, reaching a new all-time closing high of 25,137, supported by continued tech sector strength.AI bubble concerns rise: Market chatter grows around US$1 trillion in “AI circular deals” among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle, sparking valuation worries.Technical outlook remains bullish: The Nasdaq 100 stays within its ascending channel, above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.Market breadth improves: A rising share of Nasdaq 100 stocks now trades above short- and medium-term moving averages, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Nasdaq 100 rallied by 1.2% on Wednesday, 8 October 2025, an…
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European gas prices stay near 30–32 euro per MWh despite the upcoming heating season.High storage levels and strong LNG inflows from the U.S. keep the market stable.China’s weaker LNG demand reduces global price pressure.Risks ahead include Norwegian production outages and possible winter cold pushing prices toward 40 euro per MWh. Despite the approaching heating season, natural gas prices in Europe remain near a yearly low — around 30–32 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh). The persistence of such low levels results primarily from high storage inventories and strong inflows of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States. In addition, lower demand for LNG in China — o…
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The uranium market has momentum on its side as it looks to end 2025 on a strong note, with several catalysts lined up to fuel a sector seen as critical for the future of energy, says Sprott. In a report released on Thursday, the firm listed three key developments that could lift uranium even further, namely the US government’s critical minerals policy, accelerating demand for the nuclear fuel, and concerns surrounding supply. In the first case, Sprott analysts led by Jacob White pointed to the Trump administration’s intent to stockpile more uranium to alleviate the persistent supply gap for US utilities and the country’s heavy reliance on foreign supply, in partic…
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In the formative decades of the United States Mint, every coin struck carried more than face value — it carried a story. The 1853-O Seated Liberty Half Dollar, particularly the “Arrows and Rays” variety, stands as one of the most fascinating artifacts of mid-19th century American coinage. It tells a story of economic adaptation, artistic refinement, and the evolving identity of a growing nation. A Glimpse Into the Mid-19th Century Mint By 1853, the U.S. Mint was confronting challenges brought about by shifting metal values and the growing demands of commerce. Silver coins, long a foundation of everyday trade, had begun to vanish from circulation as their melt value excee…
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EUR/USD 5M Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair continued to decline throughout Thursday. Overall, even if we were to gather all possible factors that could support the U.S. dollar and ignore all the ones that oppose it, even then, such dollar strength would hardly be justified. The only significant event on Thursday was Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech. However, the dollar began to strengthen earlier in the day, which once again highlights the illogical nature of the current market behavior. Perhaps the market has completely changed its attitude toward Donald Trump's policies and now, for example, views them positively. But from our perspective, there shoul…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued a mild downward movement throughout Thursday, still largely unfounded from a fundamental perspective. To recap, the U.S. dollar currently has far more new bearish factors than it has bullish ones. Yet, for nearly two weeks now, the market has been ignoring the overwhelmingly negative fundamental and macro backdrop for the dollar. The reason for this happening is difficult to explain. We believe there's no need to force an explanation for every single move. Who could have predicted two weeks ago that the dollar would rally against the backdrop of a government shutdown, disappointing labor data, and dovish comments from the Federal Reserv…
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EUR/USD On Thursday, the euro declined by 64 pips, ending up more than 40 pips below the support level of 1.1605. This can be considered price consolidation below the level, which means the euro has chosen the scenario of further decline before closing Monday's gap. The nearest target is 1.1495. Consolidating below this level will open the next target at 1.1392 — the low of August 1. The Marlin oscillator is declining within the area of a downward trend. Yields on U.S. government bonds and the S&P 500 stock index have been moving horizontally all week — the euro has no support for growth, so in the context of the political crisis in France, it continues to decline, …
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the British PoundA price test at 1.3369 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 1.3331. The British pound plummeted after additional U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed concern over inflation yesterday, favoring a more cautious stance on interest rate policy. This unexpected tightening in the rhetoric of the U.S. central bank had an immediate impact on the currency markets. Investors, who had previously hoped for a quick rate cut to stimulate the economy, are now forced to r…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin mega whales are still in a phase of distribution despite the other cohorts shifting to buying. Bitcoin Mega Whales Have Continued To Sell During This Rally According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score suggests a resurgence in buying among the investors. This on-chain indicator basically tells us whether the BTC holders are buying or selling. The metric calculates its value by not only looking at the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors, but also accounting for the size of the wallets themselves. This means that the behavior of the larger entities has a larger influence on …
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The weekly close turns more cautious after a strong run for tech and growth stocks. Some technical concerns had risen on Tuesday after a huge risk-off/profit-taking session that wasn't explained by any particular fundamental change. Both the S&P 500 (6,764) and Nasdaq (25,195) printed fresh record highs over the past 24 hours, capping a stellar stretch for the sector — though the Dow Jones, still below last Friday’s 47,000 peak, hasn’t quite kept pace. As explained in our previous session analysis, this divergence has started to drag sentiment. The rest will be to see how far it influences overall stock performance. Read More: US stocks sector divergence raises…
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Week in review – Equities flashing red, peace in the Middle East and key milestones in Metals It has been a tense week for global markets as the US government shutdown enters its second week. What had initially seemed like a non-event is now beginning to rattle investors. The growing uncertainty around the absence of economic data and a huge US Dollar rally has started to weigh on sentiment, breaking the market’s steady bullish rhythm since late September. Risk assets are blinking. Equities and cryptocurrencies are showing cracks after a relentless climb to new records since September 23. The Dow Jones reached a record 47,000 last Friday and has since rolled over…
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Tron (TRX) is at a decisive moment after retracing to key demand levels that could determine its next major move. Bulls, who have been in control since late March, are now working to defend support and prepare for a possible breakout. However, to confirm a bullish continuation, Tron must overcome the current supply zone and regain strong upward momentum — a challenge that will test the strength of the recent rally. Adding context to Tron’s long-term growth, top analyst Maartunn shared striking on-chain data revealing that TRON’s USDT supply has surged 309x in just six years. What began as a modest 254 million USDT on the network has now expanded to a staggering $78.5 bi…
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According to CRYPTOWZRD in a recent post, both Ethereum and ETH/BTC closed the session on a bearish note but quickly recovered, showcasing ETH’s resilience and renewed buyer confidence. He noted that a move above $4,000 would be a crucial development, potentially marking a key turning point for Ethereum’s momentum. Bearish Daily Close Mirrors Bitcoin’s Market Direction CRYPTOWZRD further explained that Ethereum and ETH/BTC’s daily candle bearish close followed Bitcoin’s lead. Despite the negative close, Ethereum displayed relative strength compared to most other cryptocurrencies, maintaining a more resilient structure amid the decline. This reflects the asset’s continued…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 147.60 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far down from the zero level, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Today's data on the growth of the money supply aggregate in Japan supported the yen and weakened the dollar's position. An increase in the money supply, reflecting higher liquidity in the Japanese economy, is usually seen by the market as a positive factor. This may indicate increased business activity, rising investments, and consumer spending. In turn, this strengthens investor confidence in the prospects of the Japanese economy…
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The euro-dollar pair is trying to reach the resistance level of 1.1800 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the four-hour chart). The price has been rising for three days in a row, driven by overall weakness in the US dollar. The US dollar index on Tuesday fell to the base of 97 ahead of the release of key US inflation growth reports. The euro, in turn, is showing resilience, ignoring political turmoil in France, where a political crisis has erupted. The current fundamental backdrop for EUR/USD favors further price growth—only strong PPI/CPI reports can "redraw" the overall picture if they come in strong. However, even a rise in US inflation is unlikely t…
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