Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12262 tópicos neste fórum
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Gold prices have extended their weekly gains to 3.5% and also a seventh successive green trading day. With bond yields rising and interest rate cuts coming, market participants are facing a host of uncertainties. Add to the mix the renewed uncertainty around US tariffs with many of them ruled illegal by a Federal appeals court last Friday and market jitters are at a peak. Rate Cut Expectations Continue to Rise The current macro economic backdrop is a complicated one. Recent developments globally continue to point toward unfavorable scenarios from fiscal issues in Europe and Fed independence concerns in the US. Since Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, rate cut expe…
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Gold prices have remained choppy this week with the precious metal remaining in the range between $3300-$3350/oz for the majority of the week. Two key levels which for now it appears buyers and sellers are defending ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium and Geopolitical developments. Most Read: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Outlook: Mixed Signals as Bearish Potential Grows, $108600 May Hold the Key Strong US PMI Data Fails to Inspire Breakout A strong PMI release may have just aided Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The S&P Global US Composite PMI rose to 55.4 in August 2025, up from 55.1 in July, showing growth for the 31st straight month, according to flash estimates. This was al…
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Gold prices have continued to advance this week on a combination of a weak US Dollar and renewed haven demand, setting the stage for a potential retest of all-time-highs at $3500/oz next week. The return of haven demand may be attributed to the ongoing Russia/Ukraine discussions, Fed independence concerns (which are also having an effect on the Dollar) and a potential surge in tension between Iran, the US and the E3 (Germany, France and England). Rising Geopolitical Risks Just as it seemed market participants may be getting a prolonged reprieve from a heightened geopolitical risk environment which has continued throughout 2025, it appears these hopes are faltering. The…
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Gold prices have fallen from a post FOMC high of $4250/oz to lows around $4206/oz in early US trade. Market participants are assessing the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook after the latest interest rate cut. Mixed FOMC Keeps Markets Guessing On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) carried out another interest rate cut of 25 bps, which put the new target range for the policy rate at 3.50%-3.75%, exactly as expected. The decision, however, was not unanimous, passing with a 9-3 vote; one member wanted a larger cut of 50 bps, while two others wanted to keep the rates unchanged. Despite the cut, the price of gold did not rise much because the Fed did not offe…
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Gold prices remain high amidst US-China trade talks, indicating market uncertaintyTechnical analysis shows gold breaking a bear flag, suggesting a potential rally to $3400/oz.Short-term, a break above 3333.60 on the two-hour chart could further fuel the upward momentum.Read More: Markets Today: Asian Stocks Mixed, UK Unemployment Rises to 4.6%, FTSE 100 Eyes ATH Gold prices continue to hold the high ground as a host of commodities benefit from US-China talks which have entered their second day in the UK. Markets appear cautiously optimistic regarding the talks and this appears to have stemmed the flow toward haven assets. However, the fact that Gold continues to inch high…
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Gold prices have rallied from an overnight low around the $3323/oz handle to a high of $3360/oz before settling around the $3350/oz mark.The precious metal looks set to continue its choppy price action at the start of a busy week. The recovery in Gold from the overnight low could in part be down to lower US Treasury Yields with the benchmark 10Y US Treasury yield falling from its recent highs. Russia-Ukraine Developments as Trump and Zelensky Set to Meet European leaders will meet with Zelenskiy and Trump on Monday to discuss a possible deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war. Under the proposed plan, Russia would give up small areas of occupied Ukraine, while Ukraine would…
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Gold prices continue to struggle this week with the precious metal unable to hold convincingly above the $3400/oz handle. This is no doubt a surprise given the tensions in the Middle East as well as data from the World Gold Council monthly report which showed Central Bank buying remains elevated. Sentiment has been swaying back and forth with Gold taking its cues from comments around the Israel-Iran situation. The fact that Gold has failed to make fresh highs as a result of rising Geopolitical risk does not bode particularly well for the precious metal. Another sign that the bullish rally may have been waning even before the Israel-Iran conflict came in May, where buyers …
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With last week’s trading being its most volatile year to date, large movements in gold pricing remain on the cards. At the time of writing, gold trades at approximately $3,994 per troy ounce, up +1.05%, having conceded some gains made earlier in today’s session. If we are to return to the highs, gold will need to find support at the key psychological level of $4,000, although a further retracement is entirely possible considering how far price action strayed from key moving averages. Will gold find support at $4,000? This, and much more, in today’s article, as we attempt to answer the question: what’s next for gold bullion pricing? Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 29/10/2025…
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Most Read: Alphabet (GOOG) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: The $100 Billion Milestone and the CapEx Imperative Gold prices saw a sharp decline in early trade today breaching the $3900/oz handle and touching a three-week low. The selloff this week is down to a host of factors but the main one being increasing hopes of a US-China trade deal which has led to a risk-on environment. There is also potential profit taking, a slightly stronger US Dollar and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting which could all be contributing towards Gold's recent pullback. The precious metal has risen around 1.5% since the European session lows to trade around the $3960/oz handle at the time of writing…
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Most Read: Tesla (TSLA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Why Record Deliveries Still Mean a Profit Margin Squeeze Gold prices saw a sharp decline on Tuesday, on track for their steepest daily drop in five years, as investors sold the precious metal. A stronger US dollar and the decision by traders to take profits caused the price to fall significantly. This was compounded by US President Trump who softened his stance regarding a deal with China, reassuring the public that everything would "be fine" and that the US wanted to "help China, not hurt it." This slight shift in tone offered some relief to nervous markets and weighed on safe haven appeal. Prices scaled an all-time p…
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Gold sailed toward $4100/oz on Monday with the precious metal trading up around 2% on the day. The precious metal saw a significant selloff last week which looked like it could be the start of a significant retracement before renewed tension between the US-China sent market participants fleeing toward safe havens once more. Trade tensions between the US and China escalated when US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose massive 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports starting November 1st, a move that caught market participants by surprise. This dramatic announcement followed China's own recent decision to control the export of rare earth elements, which are vital ma…
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Trading at $4,008 well into the US session, up +0.14% in today’s trading, gold bullion continues to look for support at the key psychological level of $4,000. With the US government shutdown still ongoing, US data releases remain sparse. Eyes now turn to the private release of ADP payrolls this Wednesday, which will likely offer some insight into how the Fed will continue its easing cycle. Join me as I attempt to answer the $4,008 dollar question: How will gold (XAU/USD) fare in this week’s trading? Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 03/11/2025 Cooling after a period of significant upside, gold bullion has found some support at the key psychological level of $4,000, with Th…
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Gold prices saw a sharp rise at the start of the trading week. The precious metal is trading up around 2% on the day and holding near the 4100/oz handle. Last week, new data (data from 3rd party sources) came out showing that the US economy lost jobs in October, particularly in government offices and retail stores. Adding to this bad news, a report on Friday showed that Americans felt much less confident about the economy in early November because families were worried about things getting worse financially. Because of this weak data, financial markets now believe there is a 60% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in December. By January, the chances of a rate cut…
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Precious metals haven’t dodged the volatility bullet hitting markets throughout the morning session. zoom_out_map Metals performance since beginning October. November 14, 2025 – Source: TradingView Bleak and brutal overnight trading has failed to attract flows into normally in-demand gold, even as risk sentiment deteriorates sharply. An unusual positive correlation between the yellow metal and equities is adding con…
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As highlighted in our overnight session rewind, Gold has quickly breached above $4,300 and is now racing towards new all-time highs. The Fed's cutting cycle and overall 2025 US Exceptionalism from the Trump Administration have had a considerable effect on the demand for non-fiat assets, and Gold is the primary beneficiary of such demand. The financial world order since the early 2000s has been characterized by high demand for US Treasuries. As the US maintained higher rates relative to others, even during the Global Financial Crisis, and consequently recovered much more solidly than its OECD peers, it absorbed the flows from the entire globe. …
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Read More: GBP/USD reaches 1.33, on top as ADP Employment Miss sends the dollar in a limbo Gold prices are currently on a bullish rally having experienced a significant pullback and support test on Tuesday. The precious metal appears to have regained its shine as bulls returned to the party pushing prices to a high of $4240/oz in the early part of the US session. The Federal Reserve The current rally and supporting Gold’s valuation is the aggressive market expectation of impending monetary policy easing by the US Federal Reserve. Current forecasts indicate an 88% probability of a US interest rate cut in December, with broader market consensus pricing in approximately 9…
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Gold prices saw a sharp decline in the US session today with the precious metal down around 1.5%. Gold tested the $4000/oz in the European session but failed to break higher as the rally ran out of steam. The current resurgence in the US dollar which accelerated following a hawkish recalibration of market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy has played a big part in the precious metals struggles. Fundamental Catalysts: The Fed Repricing Shock and USD Strength After last week's Fed meeting, officials made it clear they are less likely to cut rates soon. The market's confidence in a rate cut this December quickly fell from 94% to about 70%. …
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Most Read: NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Navigating the AI Stress Test Gold prices have had a topsy turvy start to the week but the $4000/oz handle has held firm. Bulls have returned and price has bounced off the confluence area at $4000 but needs acceptance above the $4100/oz handle for the rally to gather steam. The question on the minds of market participants is whether or not Gold bulls will remain in control after the Fed minutes release and Labor data on Thursday? Technical Outlook - Gold (XAU/USD) Looking at the four-hour chart below, the technical picture is interesting. Having bounced off the ascending trendline which lined up with the $4000/oz handl…
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Gold prices are currently maintaining a robust uptrend and trading near two-week highs, around the $4150/oz handle. The precious metal is poised to log its fourth consecutive monthly gain, building on a record-setting surge experienced in October that briefly targeted the $4,400 area. The continuation of the bullish rally could be a sign that the current rally still has deep support. The bullish trend is reinforced by technical indicators that confirm strong underlying momentum, following a selloff that allowed some profit taking. Foundational Drivers: The Federal Reserve Pivot Proxy The current rally and supporting Gold’s valuation is the aggressive market expectation…
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Gold prices sailed past the $4,000/oz mark overnight to reach highs around the $4050/oz mark in the European session. A mix of easy monetary policies, steady buying by central banks and rising world tensions seem to be driving the rally. That move beyond $4000/oz hints that market participants feel hopeful after the psychological barrier fell. Overall, the momentum and the big‑picture forces look lined up, suggesting the $4,000 breach could be part of a long‑run cycle. A pull‑back might be a very good spot for would be bulls. Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says How Fast the 2025 Run‑Up Happened Gold’s climb this year h…
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Renewing all-time highs earlier today, around ~$4,218, gold (XAU/USD) has extended gains further so far in this week’s trading. With 2025 representing the best yearly performance in the yellow metals’ history by some margin, traders are left with one burning question: When will the current rally end? Let’s break down some of the major macroeconomic themes at play within precious metal markets, alongside some technical analysis and price targets. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 15/10/2025 Breaking above $4,200 earlier today, gold now trades over 56% higher since the beginning of 2025, with an increase from $3,500 to $4,000 only taking thirty-six daysActing as the primary …
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In today’s session, gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3960 per troy ounce, up an astounding +1.91%, and has yet again comfortably renewed all-time highs. With gold pricing up over 50% year-to-date, markets now turn their gaze to the key level of $4,000, having only rallied above $3,000 for the first time in history less than seven months ago. As ever, let’s take a look at some of the macro themes affecting precious metal markets, alongside some likely price targets for this week’s trading. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 06/10/2025 While wind has remained in the sails of precious metals for much of 2025, news of the US government has provided further tailwind to the current rall…
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Gold prices have started the week on the back foot as hopes grow over a barrage of trade deal announcements are expected this week. The initial July 9 deadline by the Trump administration approaches but there has been mixed messaging which may limit Gold's downside potential ahead of the announcements Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns close Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) …
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Gold prices soar to tap $3700/oz as Fed rate cut bets ramp up. The precious metal continues to benefit from the uncertainty around Fed policy moving forward beyond the September 17 meeting. The expectations for a rate cut and a dovish Fed moving forward has led to US Dollar weakness and falling US Treasury yields which have aided Gold's rise. The US dollar is getting weaker, with its value falling against other major currencies. This is because financial markets are now pricing in around 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% and expect a more dovish outlook moving forward. At the same time, returns on US government bonds are also stayin…
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Trading at $3825.41 per troy ounce in today’s session, up a remarkable +1.74%, gold (XAU/USD) has once again renewed all-time highs, further extending yearly gains. As things stand, the yellow metal is on pace for its best yearly performance since 1979, up an astounding +45.75% year-to-date. Let’s examine the market fundamentals alongside some likely price targets in the upcoming sessions. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 29/09/2025 Benefitting from a ‘perfect storm’ of macroeconomic factors, gold pricing has rallied to new highs in today’s session, and crucially, has broken above the key level of $3,800 for the first time in historyWhile gold prices have been rising thro…
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