Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12223 tópicos neste fórum
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Fundstrat’s Tom Lee drew a crowd at Korea Blockchain Week 2025 with a bold call: Bitcoin could reach as high as $250,000 by year-end, and Ethereum could climb toward $12,000. According to reports, Lee gave a range for Bitcoin of $200,000 to $250,000 and said Ethereum might hit $10,000 to $12,000, with upside to $12,000 to $15,000 under favorable conditions. His case rested on macro tailwinds and growing institutional interest in crypto assets. Market Drivers And Timeline Reports have disclosed Lee’s timing is tied to a mix of factors. He pointed to a possible shift in US monetary policy from a hawkish stance to one that is less aggressive, which he thinks would be pos…
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Despite positive U.S. data and pressure on the precious metal from the dollar, gold continues to attract buyers. From a technical perspective, however, Tuesday's failure near the round level of 3800 can be seen as the first sign of possible exhaustion of the bullish trend, given the persistent overbought condition of the daily RSI (Relative Strength Index). Still, last week's breakout above 3700 was viewed as a key trigger for the bulls, confirming the likelihood of buying on pullbacks near that level. That said, a decisive break below 3700 would trigger technical selling, pushing the yellow metal toward intermediate support at 3645 on the way to the 3615–3600 level. On t…
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Let me also highlight a few additional important points. First, the European currency is declining, but it has far fewer reasons than the pound sterling to continue falling. The pound faces several factors, including the Bank of England's weak position in combating inflation, potential budgetary issues for the UK in 2026, possible tax increases, and a potential slowdown in the labor market and economy. These factors also put pressure on the pound. The euro doesn't face similar issues. Second, the euro hasn't lost that much over the past few days to expect that the upward trend segment is over. In part, the dollar may be getting support for the following reasons. Donald Tr…
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[Solana] – [Saturday, September 26, 2025] With both EMAs forming a Death Cross, accompanied by the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone and confirmed by the appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence, Solana is likely to weaken today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 219.88 2. Resistance. 1 : 208.08 3. Pivot : 200.83 4. Support. 1 : 189.03 5. Support. 2 : 181.78 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 189.03, Solana has the potential to continue weakening down to 181.78. Momentum Extension Bias: If 181.78 is breached and closes below, Solana could weaken further down to 169.98. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The downside bi…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue its downward movement from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.1608 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 3, 2025). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.1645 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, the price from the 1.1665 level (yesterday's da…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair made another reversal in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling to the support level of 1.1637–1.1645. A rebound from this zone worked in favor of the euro and the beginning of growth toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. A rebound from this level would favor the U.S. currency and a renewed decline toward the 1.1637–1.1645 level. A firm move above the 1.1695 level would increase the likelihood of continued growth toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave easily broke the …
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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On September 25, 2025, nine European banks formed a consortium to develop a euro-backed stablecoin, set to launch in the second half of 2026. The consortium has created a new Netherlands-based company to issue the token. The central European banks forming the consortium include UniCredit (Italy), ING (Netherlands), DekaBank (Germany), Banca Sella (Italy), KBC Group (Belgium), Danske Bank (Denmark), SEB (Sweden), CaixaBank (Spain), and Raiffeisen Bank International (Austria). The goal is to challenge dollar dominance in stablecoins. The current stablecoin market is almost entirely dominated by the US dollar via $USDT ($173B market cap) and $USDC ($74B). Thus, most global …
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The Japanese yen has stabilized on Friday. In the North American session, US/JPY is trading at 149.61, down 0.11% on the day. The yen has taken a beating over the past two days, falling 1.5%. Tokyo Core CPI remains unchanged at 2.5% Tokyo Core CPI held steady in September at 2.5% y/y. This matched the downwardly revised August reading and was lower than the market estimate of 2.8%. Tokyo Core CPI excluding food and energy dropped to 2.5%, down sharply from 3.0% in August. Food inflation remains high but eased to 6.9% in September from 7.4% in August. The Bank of Japan will include this data in the mix when it meets next on October 29-30. Aside from inflation, BoJ polic…
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Aya Gold & Silver (TSX: AYA) has shot down a short-seller report alleging that the company had overstated the resource and value of its only producing asset. Shares of Aya bounced back after an initial onslaught. A report by activist short-seller Blue Orca Capital on Thursday claimed that the company had significantly inflated the resource estimate of its Zgounder mine in Morocco to cover up issues such as plummeting grades and underwhelming production. The Canadian miner later responded with a press release, stating that it “strongly refutes” those allegations, and the report “contains numerous inaccuracies and mischaracterizations, including about Aya’s curr…
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Bitcoin, after forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, broke sharply above the 3/8 Murray level and the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) located at 109,747. Above this area, Bitcoin rose sharply to reach the 4/8 Murray level around 112,500. In the coming hours, we can expect a technical correction. Therefore, a rebound around the psychological level of $110,000 could be seen as an opportunity to buy Bitcoin, with short-term targets located around the 200 EMA at 113,500 and even 115,625. Conversely, a sharp break below the 21SMA and a consolidation below the 3/8 Murray level could lead Bitcoin to fall to the 2/8 Murray level located at 106.250. The eagle indicator is sho…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3430 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. U.K. GDP data matched economists' forecasts. Expectations had been built on assumptions of stronger-than-expected growth in the British economy, which fueled speculative buying. However, the actual figures disappointed optimistic investors. The pound sterling, already under pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar, showed a restrained reaction and lacked the momentum needed to continue its upward movement. During the U.S. trading session…
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Traders are lowering their expectations regarding how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the coming months, illustrating how mixed signals from central bank officials are clouding the outlook for monetary policy. In the futures market, the scenario implying just one 25-basis-point rate cut in 2025 and the so-called neutral rate — the optimal rate at which policy neither stimulates nor restrains growth — is now expected to be only partially realized. This stands in sharp contrast with last week, when bets on a 50-basis-point cut by year-end were in demand. A wider range of views on monetary policy expressed by Fed officials in recent days contributed to t…
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SWIFT goes on-chain with Chainlink, and UBS is already piloting fund trades, putting real-world finance one step closer to blockchain at scale. Will this integration push LINK price higher? Here’s the Link price prediction. Chainlink has rolled out a new integration with SWIFT that allows banks to trigger tokenized fund subscriptions and redemptions directly onchain using standard ISO 20022 messages. The work runs through the Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE) and was tested in a pilot with UBS Tokenize during Sibos week. How Does Chainlink Connect SWIFT Messages to Blockchain Transactions? The setup maintains legacy systems while integrating them with blockchain rai…
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Before analyzing all the aspects of a "government shutdown" and its impact on the economy, it's worth recalling that the last time the U.S. government suspended operations was six years ago. Previously, it occurred in 2013–2014. In both cases, the American economy lost between 0.4% and 0.6% of its GDP. So it's naive to think that this time there will be no or minimal losses. The U.S. economy is bound to take a hit. The first issue to consider is the fate of federal employees. They are once again being sent on an unplanned vacation, as Donald Trump refuses to make compromises with Democrats. If the shutdown lasts one to two weeks, it won't be catastrophic. But what if it d…
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USDT issuer Tether has added a significant amount of Bitcoin to close out the third quarter, a development that has caught the attention of the crypto community. Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, also confirmed this purchase, as the company ranks among the largest BTC treasury companies. Tether Adds 8,889 BTC To Bitcoin Holdings Arkham data shows that Tether bought 8,889 BTC for $1 billion, with the coins transferred from Bitfinex’s hot wallet to the USDT issuer’s Bitcoin reserves wallet. The company now holds 86,335 BTC, which is valued at $10.23 billion. Ardoino also confirmed the purchase in an X post, highlighting their effort to keep accumulating BTC. BitInfoCharts d…
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According to new analysis and community discussion, XRP’s recent price action has rekindled a long-running comparison to Amazon’s slow climb before a major breakout. Some analysts say the pattern looks familiar: a long consolidation, then a steep rally. Amazon’s stock took 3,800 days — more than a decade — to clear its old highs and later rose from about $5 to over $200, a timeline that is being used as a benchmark by bullish XRP voices. Regulatory Battles Do Not End Growth Based on reports, the regulatory history has nuances. Brad Kimes revived the comparison and pointed to regulatory pressure on Amazon as similar to what Ripple faced. That point needed fact-chec…
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The US government is said to be interested in buying a stake in Critical Metals (NASDAQ: CRML), part of the Trump administration’s broader strategy to expand its control over the world’s supply of critical minerals, Reuters reported on Friday. The deal, if finalized, would give Washington a direct interest in the Tanbreez project in southern Greenland, one of the largest rare earth deposits in the world. The Reuters report comes a day after Critical Metals more than doubled its interest in the project from 42% to 92.5%, effectively giving it near-control. The reported government interest follows a series of high-profile transactions Washington made to acquire stak…
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What's fueling the growth of the U.S. stock market? The S&P 500 continues to shrug off concerns, including rising valuations, the government shutdown, and even political unpredictability. The broad-based stock index just posted its 31st record high this year. Despite the unpredictable nature of Donald Trump, investors maintain a strong belief that the U.S. president will do everything within his power to support the markets. Additionally, there is the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle and the boom in artificial intelligence. Democrats and Republicans remain at a stalemate. Neither side seems willing to compromise and restore the full functioning of the U.S. gove…
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TRX is showing remarkable strength as the broader crypto market accelerates, with Bitcoin testing a new all-time high and altcoins following closely behind. Amid this renewed momentum, top analyst Darkfost shared key insights highlighting that TRX’s underlying trend no longer needs confirmation — it remains clearly positive. The asset has maintained a steady bullish structure even through periods of consolidation, suggesting a strong foundation for the next move. Darkfost also pointed out that a particularly interesting signal has now appeared — one that historically precedes a new phase of acceleration for TRX. This signal, based on trading volume dynamics, reflects a …
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Tudor Gold (CVE: TUD) has filed a lawsuit against the Canadian province of British Columbia, alleging it allowed rival Seabridge Gold (TSE: SEA)(NYSE: SA) to tunnel through its mineral claims in the Golden Triangle, a resource-rich region stretching 500 kilometres from Stewart toward Yukon and Alaska. The case, launched in the Supreme Court of B.C. on October 3, challenges the legality of a conditional mineral reserve connected to Seabridge’s Kerr–Sulphurets–Mitchell (KSM) copper, gold, silver and molybdenum project. The reserve prevents Tudor, which owns the neighbouring Treaty Creek property, from obstructing or interfering with construction or operation of the…
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Bitcoin price started a strong increase and traded above $126,000. BTC is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains in the short term. Bitcoin started a major increase above the $125,000 zone. The price is trading above $124,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $124,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $125,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Sets New ATH Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $122,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC settled above the $123,500 resistance zone to start the current move. The…
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[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, October 07, 2025] With the Death Cross condition of the EMA(50) and EMA(200), along with the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish zone, there is an opportunity for #CL to continue its decline today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 62.70 2. Resistance. 1 : 62.21 3. Pivot : 61.61 4. Support. 1 : 61.12 5. Support. 2 : 60.52 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 61.61, there is a chance to continue its decline further to 61.12. Momentum Extension Bias: If 61.12 is breached and closes below that level, the price could move toward 60.52. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is limited if Crude O…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe price test at 1.3456 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The U.S. dollar resumed its decline against the British pound yesterday after Republicans and Democrats once again failed to reach a budget agreement, extending the government shutdown. Investors, exhausted by political uncertainty and concerned about its potential economic consequences, continued to abandon dollar-denominated assets, which immediately impacted the exchange rate against major global currencies. As is well known, a prolonged shutdown erodes confidence i…
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OnlyFans and junior mining should have nothing in common. At least not on the surface. One sells sexual fantasy; the other sells geology. Yet both rely on the same three currencies: attention, trust, and connection. OnlyFans figured that out early. It didn’t become a multibillion-dollar success through slick production or cinematic polish. It exploded because it felt personal. The platform replaced the distance of old-school celebrity with a sense of raw access. Subscribers weren’t paying for content — they were paying for connection. That success offers a valuable lesson for a junior mining sector still communicating like it’s 1998. Most junior miners remain …
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