Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Today’s Federal Reserve Rate Cut Is Just the Start, Gold Still Climbing The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point today, marking the start of an important new monetary easing cycle. In an 11-1 vote, central bankers lowered the Fed’s benchmark rate to 4.00-4.25%. The lone dissent came from newly appointed Governor Stephan Miran, who wanted a half-point rate cut. A majority of Fed officials indicated they expect at least two more interest rate cuts in 2025, suggesting easing at the October and December meetings. After hitting a new record high earlier this week, gold pulled back after the Fed news. Today’s Fed rate cut was widely expected, and short-term t…
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Wall Street Shows Mixed Results US stock markets closed with mixed dynamics on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve announced a widely anticipated rate cut of 25 basis points. Despite the predictable decision, remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell added uncertainty to the trading session. Labor Market Concerns Overtake Inflation Risks The central bank signaled that it plans to continue easing monetary policy gradually through the end of the year. Policymakers emphasized growing weakness in the labor market, which they now view as a more pressing challenge than inflation. The Fed's forecast includes two additional quarter-point cuts in the coming months. Market Reaction Ag…
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The outcome of the Fed meeting was, as expected, a 0.25% rate cut. But, as I noted in the previous article, all the attention was on the central bank's published forecasts for key macroeconomic indicators through the end of this year and the next two years. It was precisely the forecasts, not the fact of the rate cut — which had already been priced into asset values — that gave significant support to the main beneficiary of this theme, which has been dominating the markets in recent weeks. First, let's look at the forecasts. The main point is that the Fed projects further rate cuts amid consumer inflation stabilizing around 3%. At the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell…
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As the overall market continues to move sideways, Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim its local range highs as support. After short-term volatility, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut, the cryptocurrency could be poised to close the month on a positive note. Bitcoin Nears Multi-Month Bullish Run On Wednesday, Bitcoin retested the $117,000 resistance for the first time in nearly a month before being rejected. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between the $107,000-$116,000 levels since late August, falling to the local lows at the start of September. Amid the retracement, investors expected to see another “Rektember,” as it has historically been one of …
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The first Korean Won-backed stablecoin has been launched! BDACS (Busan Digital Asset Custody Services) has become the first South Korean custodian to launch the stablecoin on the Avalanche blockchain. Woori Bank has backed the newly launched stablecoin, dubbed KRW1. According to BDACS’s press release dated 18 September 2025, Korean Won deposits back the KRW1 stablecoin 1:1. Per the press release, BDACS confirmed that it completed a full proof of concept for the KRW1 stablecoin, validating its technical viability. Particularly, the firm mentioned Avalanche’s reliability and security as key reasons for choosing the network. “Every KRW1 is backed 1:1 with won held in escr…
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Ethereum is approaching a decisive phase that could carry it into five-figure territory, according to a multi-timeframe analysis from trader Cantonese Cat (@Cantonmeow). Ethereum Ready To Smash All-Time Highs In a video published today, the analyst argues that ETH has cleared a cluster of late-cycle resistances and is now exhibiting a confluence of technical signals—on monthly, weekly, daily, and intraday charts—that “favor some of the higher targets to be met, maybe 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, anywhere around potentially five figures.” These Fib levels would put ETH at $7,752, $9,883 and $14,011 respectively. On the monthly chart, the analyst centers his case on the log-scal…
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The market has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, with industry leaders suggesting that the Bitcoin price is only at the beginning of its next major rally. As the digital asset shows resilience against broader market volatility, Adam Back, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Blockstream, a blockchain technology company, has made a bold prediction that Bitcoin at $100,000 is still cheap. The crypto founder believes the flagship cryptocurrency holds far greater potential, predicting its real peak value for this cycle. Why Bitcoin Price At $100,000 Is Still Cheap Back, a long-time advocate of Bitcoin, recently emphasized that the market continues to underesti…
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The Dogecoin price had seen an initial run-up to $0.3 before the correction that brought it back toward $0.26 again. The aftermath of this has been uncertain price movements for the meme coin, especially as bulls and bears vied for control of the digital asset. At this junction, there is now a near equal opportunity for the price to actually go in either direction, and crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise has outlined the conditions that could favor either side. Why Dogecoin Price Is Still Bullish Despite the Dogecoin price decline, there is still a lot of bullishness in the current price action. This comes with the breakout of a classic falling wedge pattern, which is bullis…
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Wondering if the crypto cycle is finally over? Today’s crypto market gives a mixed answer, especially with bulls vs bears in the news. BTC is back just above 117K, while ETH remained steady at nearly 4,541 against USD. Meanwhile, XRP caught some momentum, climbing to roughly 3.04 USD, mostly thanks to buzz around upcoming ETFs. It has been a strange mix, but the total crypto market cap is around $4.18 trillion, stablecoins are flowing in, and big players seem interested again. (source – CoinGecko) DeFi TVL is inching upward, too, sitting at $162 billion right now, which is up just a little, about 0.13% in the last day, says DefiLlama. Stablecoins increased by around…
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The pair is under pressure not of a fundamental but of a technical nature. After the Fed decided at its meeting to cut the key interest rate by 0.25%, the market began taking profits from previous dollar sales, including against the euro. This trend may locally continue amid Europe's negative economic problems, as well as the effective plundering by the US and its involvement in the war in Ukraine. From a technical standpoint, the pair is trading below the resistance level of 1.1775, which may hold, meaning there is a chance of further decline until profit-taking from earlier dollar sales is fully completed. However, this decline will be limited, as two more Fed rate cuts…
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A theme that had been building throughout this entire year was how a compromised Federal Reserve independence, combined with a more isolationist US policy (and de-globalization), would send the US dollar into shambles. In fact, this theme has been a favorite for Market enthusiasts, particularly as a compromised US dollar would participate in a rewiring of all financial flows. Since COVID, a spectacular rise in the USD supply has ramped up inflationary pressures, which got exacerbated by ever-higher government spending, hurting confidence in Fiat currencies. Particularly after the surprising dovish shift from FED speakers, initiated by Trump-appointed Governor Waller and…
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The Canadian dollar is in negative territory for a third straight day. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, up 0.18% on the day. Canada's retail sales slide Canada's retail sales declined by 0.8% m/m in July, a sharp dowrturn from the 1.6% gain in June. The volatility in retail sales reflects uncertainty over the US tariffs, which has affected consumer spending. August is expected to show a rebound, with a preliminary estimate of a 1% gain, which would make up for the July decline. US unemployment claims slip There are no US releases today but there was positive news from the employment front on Thursday. Unemployment claims fell to 231 thoua…
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Newmont (NYSE: NEM; TSX: NGT) has sold its entire stake in Orla Mining (TSX: OLA) for $439 million, marking another step in its broader divestiture program aimed at streamlining its portfolio. The company disposed of all 43 million Orla shares at $10.14 per share through the Toronto Stock Exchange. The sale comes amid Newmont’s efforts to unlock more than $2 billion in cash through asset sales, workforce reductions, and debt cuts following its $17.14 billion takeover of Australia’s Newcrest in 2023. Shares of Newmont rose 3% in New York following the announcement, lifting its market capitalization to $88.6 billion, while Orla shares fell 7.8%, valuing the company …
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Week in review - Fed Delivers Cut but Keeps Markets in Check A busy week that was still dominated by the highly anticipated Federal Reserve Meeting. I have to say, hats off to Fed Chair Powell who kept markets in check whether you think he is right or wrong in his decision. Believe me there is support in both camps. Fed Chair Powell in particular has been under pressure from the political sphere while labor data and mixed economic signals put the Fed Chair in the firing line. The Fed board itself faced a key decision as markets have turned extremely dovish in expectations ahead of the meeting. The message from the Fed balanced market expectations while not giving too m…
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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Nevada Lithium Resources (TSXV: NVLH) shares surged on Wednesday after the company disclosed that it had partnered with South Korea’s Hydro Lithium on the extraction of critical minerals from its flagship Bonnie Claire project. In its press release, Nevada Lithium said the two parties entered a letter of intent on Sept. 7 related to the use of proprietary extraction technologies developed by Dr. Uong Chon, CEO of Hydro Lithium, for the recovery of valuable elements, including those on the US critical minerals list, from the Bonnie Claire property. The LOI also includes frameworks on collaborative efforts to recover critical minerals from other North American prope…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 24 Today’s session saw a softer tone across equities, with decent profit-taking emerging as Rosh Hashanah (Shana Tovah!) holidays wind down, volumes come back and the Jewish calendar year begins. The pullback comes after a strong week for risk assets, with traders opting to lock in gains before fresh catalysts arrive. In terms of news flow, markets are still digesting the latest speeches from Powell and Trump’s UN appearance. Powell’s balanced remarks reinforced that the Fed is not rushing deeper into dovish territory, while Trump’s address sharpened focus on global energy and trade — with the most rec…
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XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone. The price is now struggling to clear $3.00 and might decline again below the $2.80 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.920 support zone. The price is now trading near $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.850. XRP Price Faces Hurdles XRP price found support near $2.680 and recently started a recovery wave, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.80 and $2.85 resistance leve…
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Bitcoin is trading around 112,500, an important support area where we believe it could resume its bullish cycle in the coming hours, only if the price consolidates above this area. If Bitcoin sharply breaks the bearish trend channel, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 114,253 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level around 115,625. Since September 16th, Bitcoin has been trading within a bearish trend channel formed between the high of 118,000 and the low of 111,000. Bitcoin will likely continue to fall in the coming days until it reaches the 3/8 Murray level around the psychological level of $110,000. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signals and pointi…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
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Crypto markets have recently faced renewed challenges, despite a brief resurgence following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate cut that initially propelled Bitcoin (BTC) back toward the $120,000 mark. This week, however, Bitcoin has dropped to the lower end of its established consolidation range, fluctuating between $110,000 and $115,000. Analysts from The Bull Theory have pinpointed several factors contributing to this downturn. How Fed Policies And QT Are Impacting Crypto One of the primary reasons for the current situation is the ongoing capital flow favoring traditional assets. In the wake of rate cuts, institutional investors tend to channel their funds into stoc…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3383 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3405 – a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving do…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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Mechanism Capital co-founder Andrew Kang escalated his critique of Tom Lee’s latest Ethereum investment case with an unusually blunt tirade on X, interlacing his rebuttal with a series of sharply worded assertions and data-driven claims. “Tom Lee’s ETH thesis is one of the most retarded combinations of financially illiterate arguments I’ve seen from a well known analyst in a while,” Kang wrote, before listing five pillars he says underpin Lee’s view: “(1) Stablecoin & RWA adoption; (2) Digital oil comparison; (3) Institutions will buy and stake ETH; (4) ETH will be equal to all financial infrastructure companies; (5) Technical analysis.” Is Tom Lee’s Ethereum Thesis …
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River Valley PGM project. Credit: New Age Metals New Age Metals (TSXV: NAM) is raising C$3.5 million ($2.5 million) to fund exploration across its Canadian projects, with mining billionaire Eric Sprott committing more than half of that investment. In total, the company will issue C$2.3 million in regular units and another C$1.2 million in flow-through units, priced at C$0.22 and C$0.26 each, respectively. The units all comprise one common share (in the case of the latter, flow-through shares) and one-half of a share purchase warrant. Under both unit categories, each whole warrant has an exercise price of C$0.40. Sprott, currently its largest shareholder with a …
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