Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12262 tópicos neste fórum
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior report, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Push up towards medium-term range resistance zone as Fed’s independence erodes”, published on 26 August 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have staged the expected bullish move, rallied by 2.3% and hit the US$3,435 resistance as highlighted in our earlier publication last Friday, 29 August. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have staged the expected bullish move, rallied by 2.3% and hit the US$3,435 resistance as highlighted in our earlier publication last Friday, 29 August. For a quick recap, the US$3,435 is considered a significant range resistance on Gold (XAU/U…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Overbought but bullish acceleration trend remains intact”, published last Tuesday, 9 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have traded sideways and managed to hold above the US$3,600 short-term pivotal support highlighted in our previous report. The latest speculative positioning and flows data in the gold futures market and exchange-traded funds are net positive, in turn, supporting the current short-term bullish acceleration trend of Gold (XAU/USD) since the bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 on 2 September 2025. Let’s examine …
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Bullish acceleration supported rising implied volatility”, published on 2 September 2025. The precious yellow metal has staged the expected bullish breakout above its former all-time high of US$3,500 printed on 22 April 2025. Gold (XAU/USD) rallied by 5.3% to hit a current fresh intraday record high of US$3,655 at the time of writing. Lower opportunity costs reinforced the current bullish acceleration phase of Gold …
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The recent price actions of Gold (XAU/USD) have started to trade firmer since last Friday, 22 August, with a gain of 1%, on increased hopes that the US Federal Reserve is likely to enact its first interest rate cut of 2025 in the next month's FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium dovish speech has led traders in the Fed Funds futures market to firm up bets that the Fed is likely to cut twice in 2025 (25 basis points each), with a probability of 81% that the Fed Funds rate will be at 3.75%-4.00% on 10 December 2025 FOMC meeting at the time of writing from the current range of 4.25%-4.50%. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gol…
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Renewing all-time highs by a whisker on Monday, at around $4,381 per troy ounce, gold has since experienced some significant downside, falling over 5.25% in yesterday’s session. In today’s session, gold has fallen further, down 2.18% at $4,035. Now in striking distance of the key psychological level of $4,000, having surpassed it for the first time in history only 10 days prior, what’s next for the yellow metal? Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 22/10/2025 Falling in excess of 8.00% in the last two sessions alone, a spell of selling pressure has entered into precious metal markets following recent upsideGaining almost a ⅓ in value since late August, recent gold price actio…
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Key takeaways The recent 9% rally in gold (XAU/USD) from US$3,886 to US$4,245 is likely a short-term corrective rebound within a larger medium-term downtrend after the all-time high of US$4,381 on 20 October 2025.Rising 10-year US Treasury real yield, which broke above 1.77% and remains supported, increases the opportunity cost of holding gold, constraining its upside momentum.Short-term gold is at risk of a bearish breakdown below US$4,036, with key resistance at US$4,155; a break above this level could trigger a squeeze toward US$4,203/4,267. The recent 9% rally seen in the gold (XAU/USD) from its 28 October 2025 low of US$3,886 to last Thursday, 13 November 2025,…
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Key takeaways Gold hit a fresh all-time high at US$3,791 on 23 September before consolidating in a short-term uptrend.Current price action forms an “Ascending Triangle”, signalling potential for a bullish continuation if resistance at US$3,785 is cleared.Key short-term support is at US$3,688; holding above this level keeps the bullish bias intact.US 10-year Treasury real yield remains capped below 1.87%, supporting Gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD): Short-term bullish acceleration intact towards new all-time highs above US$3,660 key support”, published on 22 September 202…
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Key takeaways Gold (XAU/USD) surged 8.5% since late September, breaking above US$4,000 to hit a new all-time high of US$4,059.The rally is driven by demand for inflation hedges and fears of fiat currency debasement amid fiscal concerns.Technical indicators show an overstretched uptrend, raising the risk of a short-term pullback below US$4,012.The medium-term uptrend remains intact, as Gold stays above its key 20-day and 50-day moving averages. This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD): In a bullish consolidation above US$3,688 despite a firmer US dollar”, published on 26 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/…
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Gold (XAU/USD) Technical: Eyeing a new all-time high above US$3,675, supported by positive flows and positioning”, published on 15 September 2025. The price actions of Gold (XAU/USD have shaped the expected bullish move and printed a fresh all-time intraday high of US$3,707 on Wednesday, 17 September, during the onset of the release of the FOMC’s monetary policy outcome and latest summary of economic dot plot projections. Thereafter, the precious yellow metal staged a minor corrective decline of 2.2% to hit an intraday low of US$3,628 on Thursday, 18 September 2025, in line with a rebound in t…
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Key takeaways Gold’s sharp correction: XAU/USD plunged over 8% from its all-time high of US$4,381, marking its steepest drop since August 2020.Short-term bullish reversal signs: Technical indicators, including bullish “Hammer” candlestick formations and RSI divergence, signal potential rebound momentum.Medium-term uptrend intact: Gold remains supported by a sustained downtrend in the 10-year US Treasury real yield below 1.87%.Key levels to watch: Support sits at US$4,056/4,000; resistance zones at US$4,267, US$4,380, and US$4,424/4,455. Gold (XAU/USD) has experienced a volatile movement in the past three sessions. The precious yellow metal has managed to reverse the…
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Just a couple of weeks ago, analysts at Goldman Sachs predicted that gold could soon reach the $4,000 mark. Yesterday, that prediction came true. Spot gold prices exceeded $4,000 per ounce for the first time and are now holding around $4,036. This milestone comes amid growing concerns that the ongoing government shutdown could have a severe impact on the U.S. economy. It's a historic moment for gold, which was trading below $2,000 just two years ago. This year alone, gold has surged more than 50%, driven by global trade uncertainty, questions surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over U.S. financial stability. Heightened geopolitical tensions…
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Troubles seldom come alone. Joy seems to come in packs as well. The Federal Reserve's rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and the slowdown in global economic growth have intertwined to help gold shine once more. When the precious metal fell from its record highs in October, rumors spread that a return would take years. However, in reality, XAU/USD could set a new historical peak even before the end of 2025. Gold is heading toward its best annual result since 1979. Back then, its prices surged by 127% as the White House pressured the Fed to lower rates. A similar picture is emerging now. Donald Trump is demanding that the central bank lower borrowing costs to 1% or lower. To…
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Against an AI-led market rally has stretched US equities to elevated levels, gold has emerged as one of the most compelling hedges against a potential correction, analysts at Bank of America said. In a note, strategists led by Michael Hartnett pointed to the current forward earnings multiple of the S&P 500 (23 times) — which is well above its two-decade average of 16 — and the even higher 31 times multiple ascribed to the so-called “Magnificent Seven” tech megacaps. “With AI equity leadership ain’t budging for the time being and we like gold … as best boom/bubble hedges,” the BofA team said. Why gold? The BofA strategists argue that a sustained economic…
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The demand for gold remains strong amid growing expectations of a U.S. rate cut this December. Expectations of a more accommodative monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve are boosting investor interest in gold, a traditionally safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty and declining interest rates. Gold, which does not yield interest income, becomes more attractive relative to alternative investments such as bonds when their yields fall. Additionally, the current weakness of the U.S. dollar makes gold more accessible to buyers using other currencies, further boosting demand. However, it is important to note that the dynamics of gold prices are influence…
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2025 has marked a rare moment in financial history—a time when two opposing asset classes have begun to rise simultaneously. Gold, traditionally a safe haven against risk, and stocks, symbolizing a bet on economic growth, have suddenly moved in the same direction. This unusual coincidence has prompted the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) to publicly warn the markets: we are witnessing "explosive behavior" in both asset categories—and this could mean much more than just a good year for investors. Such a combination contradicts the classic logic of financial markets, where gold rises when stocks fall and vice versa. Now, both curves are pointing upwards. The main co…
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[Gold] – [Thursday, October 23, 2025] Considering the EMAs position which still in a Death Cross configuration and the RSI indicator remains in the Neutral-Bearish zone, Gold has the potential to extend its decline today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4244.28 2. Resistance. 1 : 4170.97 3. Pivot : 4087.50 4. Support. 1 : 4014.19 5. Support. 2 : 3930.72 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If gold breaks down and closes below 4,087.50, it may continue its decline toward 4014.19. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4014.19 is breached and closes below, gold could try to test the 3930.72 level. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision: The downside bias is invalidated if…
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Gold at Record Highs XauUsd Technical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) has surged an astonishing 44.4% in 2025, climbing from a year-end close of $2,624 to reach fresh record high at $3.791. For traders, investors, and central banks alike, the question is simple: what’s driving this runaway train, and what could bring it to a halt? What Is Spot Gold? Spot gold refers to the current price of one troy ounce of pure gold for immediate delivery (typically settled within two business days). Unlike futures contracts, it reflects real-time supply and demand in the physical and financial markets. What’s Driving Gold’s Meteoric Rise? Expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve Rate Cuts The a…
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It seemed yellow metal could hardly surprise us anymore, unless with a sudden explosive rise. Yet gold has more tricks up its sleeve: it's going digital. Usually, that term is used to describe Bitcoin, but the first cryptocurrency has nothing to do with this. Some big market players have begun digitizing physical metal, and this new experience is revealing. Earlier this week, gold dipped slightly, reaching $3,635 per ounce. Market activity remained low as traders acted cautiously ahead of the Fed meeting. On Tuesday, September 16, gold was trading at $3,693 per ounce. According to analysts, the overall fundamental bias stays on the side of gold buyers. On Monday, Septem…
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As Australian gold producers set annual guidance for the 2026 financial year, a clear trend has emerged across the sector. While miners outside the gold sector are expecting to see flat to lower unit costs for the 12 months to June 30, 2026 (FY26), gold miners are almost universally forecasting a rise in costs. Shares in sector leader Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST) were heavily sold off last month after the company said it expected all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for FY26 to rise to A$2,300-2,700 an ounce ($1,477-1,862/oz) from A$2,163/oz in FY25. “Unfortunately, we’re not seeing costs plateau, and that pressure still remains and you’re seeing that across t…
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At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold briefly slipped to a four-week low as some investors rotated back toward riskier assets, such as stocks, following the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal, which appears to be holding for now. Stocks climbed after President Trump said a trade deal had been signed with China, as Beijing agreed to approve rare earth exports. Investors and traders had piled into the safety of precious metals as missiles flew in the Middle East and amid concerns that trade was slowing between the world’s two largest economies. The ceasefire and trade deal alleviated some of the market’s most pressing geopolitical and economic concerns, prompting light profit-taking in gold. Gold slid below $3,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Peter Schiff, the outspoken gold advocate, warned that Bitcoin may be “topping out” as traders await a Federal Reserve decision this week. According to a post on his X account, Schiff said gold and silver have broken out while Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum. The comment has drawn attention because it comes just before a key Federal Reserve meeting that many expect to affect risk assets. Market Resistance At $116,000 Bitcoin has been stuck near the $116,000 level and has not been able to push well past that mark, even after recent gains. Based on market reports, BTC logged about a 4% rise over the past week but ran into strong resistance at roughly $116,0…
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Gold has always been considered a reliable investment option, especially during economic instability. However, buying gold can be complex, and it’s easy for inexperienced investors to make costly mistakes. In this article, we’ll discuss the most common pitfalls when buying gold and provide you with strategies to avoid them. In addition, we’ll explore what not to do when buying gold, what to watch out for, the safest way to buy gold, and tips for beginners. You can make informed decisions and safeguard your investments with the proper knowledge. What Not to Do When Buying Gold? Ignoring purity and weight: One of the investors’ most common mistakes is disregarding the im…
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