Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
-
Solana failed to stay above $144 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $140 and might find bids near the $135 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $140 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $144 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $135 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $148 and started a downside correction, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $145 and $144 to enter a short-term bearish…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: A few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. At first glance, today's reports may seem high-status; however, this week has seen the release of much more significant data. Virtually all of them had no impact on the overall market picture. Both currency pairs continue to move higher in line with local trends, with quite low volatility. Therefore, it is unlikely that anything will change in the market today. In the Eurozone, the third-quarter GDP will be released in its third estimate. This estimate is unlikely to differ significantly from the first two, nor is it expected to provide much assistance to the euro. The Eurozone e…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair attempted to extend its upward move on Thursday, but the market calmed after a volatile Wednesday and was unable to push it significantly higher. Nevertheless, the local upward trend on the hourly timeframe is maintained, so it is reasonable to expect and hope for continued growth. On Thursday, there were no significant events or reports in the UK, while in the US, traders had to settle for a less important unemployment claims report. The report turned out to be much better than forecasts, as the number of new initial claims was significantly lower. The dollar received a slight boost in the af…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded once again in a "neither fish nor fowl" style on Thursday. The macroeconomic backdrop throughout the day was very weak, so the market found no grounds to open new positions. Overall, this week we have already seen several important reports, most of which have had no impact. Almost all European reports (some quite significant) were ignored by the market, while the American reports were somewhat contradictory and provoked a mixed market reaction. For example, the important ISM Manufacturing Index was worse than expected, while the similar index for the services sector exceeded t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As institutional demand intensifies and the crypto market recovers, US spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) continue to lead the sector with a 13-day streak and over $200 million in positive net flows this week, outshining Solana (SOL) ETFs, which recorded their third day of outflows in seven days. XRP Funds Lead Crypto ETF Inflows Spot XRP exchange-traded funds have extended their record-breaking streak after registering their thirteenth consecutive day of positive net flows, with $50.27 million in inflows on December 3. The investment products have seen a remarkable performance since the launch of Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first single-token XRP spot ETF, on Novemb…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a decent increase above $2.120. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay in a positive zone. XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $2.080 zone. The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.110 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears $2.150. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.220 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.20 and $2.150 levels to enter a consolidation phase. The price even…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Reports have disclosed that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told a Binance-hosted panel he expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026. Bank Moves Could Be The Spark According to market coverage, Bitcoin tumbled about $5,000 in roughly three hours during early December, wiping more than $200 billion from the broader crypto market and triggering nearly $700 million in liquidations. That sudden drop has been linked to moves in traditional markets, not a single crypto event. Some analysts point to a change in Japan’s bond market that is pressuring the long-running yen carry trade. Reports say the Bank of Japan’s policy path is now in focus, with a key decision du…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,200. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,250. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,050 and $3,120 levels. The price is trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,240 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Another Upside Break Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,050 resistan…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is approaching a critical moment as multiple bullish signals begin to align. A clear Inverse Head & Shoulders formation, combined with rising accumulation and weakening trend rejection, suggests that the market may be gearing up for a powerful upside move. With momentum tightening and key levels coming into focus, ETH now stands on the verge of a breakout that could set the stage for its next major rally. Inverse Head And Shoulders Signals Brewing Momentum According to a recent update shared by crypto analyst Donald Dean, Ethereum may be gearing up for a significant move. He highlighted the development of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, a cla…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above $92,500. BTC is now consolidating gains and might attempt an upside break above $93,500. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $92,500 zone. The price is trading above $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $93,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $93,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $90,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $90,500 and $91,500 levels. There was a clear …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The GBP/USD currency pair traded quite calmly on Thursday, after showing impressive growth the day before. Recall that on this day, the US dollar received yet another verdict in the form of the ADP report. As a result, the number of private-sector employees in the US decreased by 32,000 in November, rendering all other data virtually meaningless for the American currency. The ISM Services PMI rose? Good, but it does not save the dollar from a decrease in the Federal Reserve's key rate next week. However! The euro rose by 50 pips, and the British pound by more than 100. Why? There are two obvious answers to this question. First, the British currency is historically more vo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair traded much more calmly on Thursday than on Wednesday, which can be attributed to the limited number of macroeconomic and fundamental events. Recall that important reports on industrial production, service sector activity, and the labor market were released in the U.S. on Wednesday. However, the first two were of secondary interest to the market, whereas the last report was of primary interest. It should be noted that the ADP report is not the most influential indicator of the state of the U.S. labor market. It only covers data from the private sector, ignoring, for example, the public and non-profit sectors. Therefore, while one can draw certain…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD pair made a final push towards the nearest target area of 1.3369-1.3377 on Thursday. It was unable to break through this area on the first attempt, which is not surprising given that this is a resistance zone. Moreover, the British pound has already risen considerably this week, and we have no objections to it. Notably, this rise occurred before the release of the crucial ADP report in the U.S., but this does not change the essence of the situation. The key takeaway is that the British pound is indeed rising, which we anticipated. The upward trend remains relevant, as indicated by the trend line. In the medium term, we continue to ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its "tormented journey" on Thursday. Volatility during most of the day did not exceed 30 pips. Essentially, we witnessed another day completely devoid of movement. Fairness dictates mentioning that the macroeconomic backdrop on Thursday was very weak, but it still did not account for a total movement of only 30 pips. After all, a report on retail sales in the Eurozone came in worse than expected, and in the U.S., jobless claims were also released. These reports used to provoke a market reaction of 20-30 pips, which we considered weak and unworthy of attention. Now the pair is moving only 30 pips in a day. From…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Reports have disclosed that the US Federal Reserve has ended its Quantitative Tightening program and has put cash back into markets. According to sources, the Fed injected more than $13 billion through overnight repo operations, the largest such move in years. Crypto investor and author Paul Barron said that coins like XRP could “bring the fire” now that more liquidity is flowing back into the system. He believes that when the Fed starts easing up, assets with clear utility often react faster than the rest of the market. Barron added that stronger liquidity usually pulls traders toward tokens that can move money quickly and cheaply, which is why he thinks XRP may see m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin may be sliding into a new bear phase unless fresh macro liquidity – particularly through spot ETFs – returns to the market, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. Bitcoin Bear Market Incoming? Sharing a composite on-chain dashboard overlaid on the BTC price, Ju wrote on X: “Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle.” The chart stacks ten CryptoQuant metrics behind the price in a red-to-green heatmap from 2021 to 2025, highlighting how regime shifts in prior cycles coincided with clusters of bearish readings. The indicators in the panel include the MVRV Z-score, CryptoQuant P&L Index, the Bull-Bear Cycle …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying. Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now. In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Read More: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Oil prices climbed on Thursday with WTI Oil ending the day with an increase of roughly 1%, trading at $59.70 a barrel. The upside move was primarily fueled by renewed geopolitical risk. Specifically, news of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and the backdrop of stalled peace negotiations created supply disruption fears, encouraging traders to push prices marginally higher. Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks Oil prices received support from the fact that peace talks for Ukraine seemed to be stalling, especially after representatives for President Trump met with the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the volatile theatre of the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are showing signs of a potential high-time-frame reversal. After weeks of stress and price compression, each of the top assets is now stabilizing at key structural support levels. The multiple leading cryptocurrencies are flashing similar recovery setups at the same time. The current crypto landscape may be setting up one of the most powerful high-time-frame reversals across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. An investor and trader known as MacroCRG on X highlighted that yesterday, all three assets printed a bullish engulfing candle, a strong signal that buyers are stepping back in with inten…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike. A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100. This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimis…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Euro Dollar – U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) Euro Dollar The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) may not be the most actively traded instrument in the forex world, but it remains one of the most valuable indicators for currency traders. Even if you never place a trade directly on the index, understanding how it works and how its movements correlate with major currency pairs—can give you a powerful edge. Think of it as a missing puzzle piece that helps you make clearer, more confident trading decisions. What Is the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)? The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a specific basket of foreign currencies. Originally introduced by the Fede…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Wednesday was notable not only for the ADP, ISM, and industrial production reports but also for another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. It is worth recalling that the ECB intends to keep interest rates unchanged in the near future, as there is no need for either an increase or a decrease. Inflation in the European Union remains stable and close to the central bank's target. Lagarde has previously stated that the ECB is satisfied with the current rate of price growth in the Eurozone. Concerns are raised primarily by the pace of economic growth, which remains relatively weak despite interest rates being lowered to a "neutral range." On average, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the ADP report was released in the U.S., which I consider critically important for the American currency. At the beginning of the week, there was significant uncertainty about U.S. economic data. Even on Monday, market participants did not know exactly when the next Nonfarm Payrolls report, crucial to the Federal Reserve, would be released. There were also contradictions in the inflation report, which has the second-strongest impact on the FOMC. Initially, the inflation report was scheduled for December 10—the day of the last Fed meeting of the year. However, closer to mid-week, a new date appeared in the calendars: December 18. At the same time, the next No…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The oil market has once again taken center stage: prices are rising, but this growth does not resemble the onset of a new commodities rally. Brent is consolidating around $63 per barrel, and WTI is near $59, with prices holding in a relatively narrow range. Meanwhile, the backdrop remains tense: on one hand, geopolitical risks are escalating, and concerns about supply disruptions are mounting; on the other hand, the fundamental picture indicates comfortable stock levels, high supply, and weak demand. As a result, the market is living in a state of constant balance: short-term news adds a "risk premium" to the price, while structural factors immediately counteract it. Anal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Wednesday, the pound surged by more than 150 pips against the dollar amid a general weakening of the greenback. Looking at the weekly GBP/USD chart, we can see that the pair is actively rising for the second week in a row, currently approaching the resistance level of 1.3370, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly timeframe. In comparison, just a few weeks ago—in November—the pair was trading at the bottom of the 30 range under background pressure. However, the fundamental picture for GBP/USD has changed. The growth driver this time is the greenback, which again fell from grace amid rising "dovish" expectations for the Feder…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
