Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11782 tópicos neste fórum
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Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has issued one of the most forceful bottom calls of this cycle, assigning a 91.5% probability that Bitcoin’s low is already in. In a X thread on December 4, he wrote: “F*ck it. I’m putting my neck on the line here. I’m 91.5% certain that the BTC bottom is in. And if it is, A LOT of people are about to be caught offside.” Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Deutscher bases his conviction on four “pillars”: market reaction to news, the historical behaviour of FUD events, a shift in flows, and an improving global liquidity backdrop. Each pillar is scored in an internal model that culminates in a 91.5/100 bullish reading. He starts with price behaviour …
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Sandvik announced Friday the groundbreaking of its new state-of-the-art facility at in Greater Sudbury, marking a significant investment in the future of its Canadian operations. Sandvik is investing C$85 million ($61m) in the project, supported by up to C$4 million ($2.9m) in provincial grant funding through the Invest Ontario Fund, subject to execution of a definitive agreement. The investment, Sandvik said, is designed to stimulate economic growth, strengthen industrial capabilities across the province, and support the creation of 61 new jobs. Situated on 115 acres, the site will feature a 135,000-square-foot facility and will support up to 400 employees on…
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Welcome to the follow-up piece to our individual Stock Market leaders analysis. Yesterday's analysis took a close look at two names that have had a pretty volatile performance in the past week: Nvidia and Meta. Get access to the analysis right here: Read More: AI Leaders Outlook: Technical Analysis of Meta and Nvidia Stocks Today's Index action was more volatile than yesterday, with bulls pushing to an early morning surge before mean reversion flows stepped in, leading to a sharp slowdown in momentum. zoom_…
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The Bitcoin price volatility is once again drawing attention to MicroStrategy, the company whose strategy has become a major market reference point, with billions in accumulated BTC and a track record of aggressive buying during downturns. As traders search for stability in a shaky market, Strategy’s stance is being watched closely for what it might signal about the next phase of BTC’s trend. Why MicroStrategy’s Next Move Could Redirect Market Momentum Bitcoin’s recent volatility has put MicroStrategy (MSTR), the largest corporate holder of BTC, in the limelight. Walter Bloomberg has revealed on X that analysts are watching closely to see if the company could influence t…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Market Insights Podcast (05/12/2025): In today's episode, Christian, Nick, and podcast host Jonny Hart discuss the latest in central bank monetary policy expectations, including the RBA, BoE, and Fed, alongside the recent PCE numbers released earlier today. Otherwise, Nick sheds some light on the continued unwinding of the yen carry trade and further implications for precious metals. Join OANDA Financial Writer Christian Norman, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning n…
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Bitcoin has been struggling to build momentum in recent weeks, and the return of cash into the system is raising questions about whether this could be the moment that changes the tone of the crypto market. That growing sense of anticipation has already started to show up in prices, with the total crypto market cap climbing more than $250 billion from its $3.016 trillion low on December 2. What Happened: The Liquidity Injection And Why It Matters After officially bringing its multi-year quantitative tightening (QT) program to an end, the central bank followed up with a $13.5 billion overnight repo operation, funneled through the New York Fed. Banks brought $13.5 billion i…
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Week in review: Markets Buoyed Ahead of FOMC Meeting The week draws to a close with risk assets largely buoyed by the prospect of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Friday, the main US stock market indexes all moved slightly higher. The Dow Jones gained 236.46 points (a 0.49% rise), the S&P 500 increased by 31.44 points (a 0.46% gain), and the Nasdaq rose by 131.27 points (a 0.56% increase). Read More: US Dollar Index (DXY) Slips as Rate Cut Bets Remain Unchanged Post US PCE and University of Michigan Data Looking ahead to next week, Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to have a significant debate: should they lower interest rates, or keep them s…
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UK gilt yields may rise toward 6%, reflecting mounting fiscal strain and investor concernsPersistent outflows from UK equity funds signal weak confidence despite temporary market calmCommodities and mining stocks support the FTSE, contrasting with broader economic instability The British economy is facing serious fiscal challenges that are increasing tensions in the bond market and may affect the pound’s exchange rate. Despite the government’s declarations about maintaining budget balance, experts warn that the tax increases announced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves are too dispersed to meaningfully strengthen public finances and ease pressure on debt markets. A prospect o…
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Dogecoin has quietly been trying to find its footing again. The price has started to firm up after a period of declines that dragged the meme coin to as low as $0.134 in early December, trading around $0.14 to $0.15 and showing signs that bearish pressure might be easing. In that backdrop, a recent chart analysis shared by crypto analyst BitGuru on X shows that Dogecoin could be forming a bullish base, and it offers a possible setup for a rebound towards $0.2. A Recovery Attempt Begins To Take Shape The daily candlestick price chart shows Dogecoin rebounding from the lower boundary of its demand zone after briefly dipping beneath it on December 1. That bounce is signif…
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Shares of Orla Mining (TSX: OLA) plunged on Friday after it was announced that Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSX: FFH, FFH.U) sold nearly half of its shares in the company at a below-market price. The Toronto-based investment firm sold a total of 25 million shares at a price of C$17.6435 per share for total proceeds of approximately C$441.1 million, Orla said in a press release. Prior to the sale, Fairfax held, through its insurance company subsidiaries, about 56.8 million shares in the company, representing 16.7% of those outstanding on a non-diluted basis. The divestment of 25 million shares brings its shareholding down to 9.4%. The news brought Orla’s shares …
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Bitcoin is trading around $91,000 after a minor dip earlier today, and uncertainty continues to dominate sentiment. The market sits at a crossroads: a small but vocal group of analysts argues that the recent correction served as a healthy reset before a continuation of the broader uptrend, while the majority of traders believe the first leg of a new bear market is already underway. With price action still showing hesitation, the debate grows louder by the day. According to top analyst Darkfost, a critical threshold will help determine Bitcoin’s next major direction. He highlights the importance of the Realized Price of the youngest Long-Term Holder (LTH) band, which cur…
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Copper extended its record-breaking run on Friday, as Citigroup became the latest to provide a bullish outlook on prices behind the narrative of an impending global supply shortage. Futures on the London Metal Exchange rose as much as 2.2% to $11,705 a ton, surpassing the previous record high set earlier this week. The industrial metal has been ratcheting up in recent weeks as traders anticipate a supply squeeze caused by stockpiling in the US ahead of potential tariffs. Copper’s record-breaking week. (Click on chart for live prices.) The rally received a further boost Friday when Citigroup backed this supply-side narrative, predicting that the global copper def…
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A resource update for Capitan Silver’s (TSXV: CAPT) Cruz de Plata silver-gold project in north-central Mexico’s Durango state lifts contained ounces in the inferred category by more than 120%. The update, which focuses only on the Capitan Hill portion of the project, gives the deposit about 39.8 million inferred tonnes grading 0.41 gram gold per tonne for 525,000 oz. gold and 3.3 grams silver for 4.2 million silver oz., Capitan said in a release on Friday. That represents a 72% rise in contained gold and a 129% increase in contained silver compared to the initial resource from 2020. “While silver remains our primary focus and the strongest driver of value at Cruz …
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Finlayson speaks at the Resources Rising Stars Summer Series. (Photo: Kristie Batten) It has been a pivotal week for uranium explorer DevEx Resources (ASX: DEV) under newly appointed managing director Marnie Finlayson. Finlayson, who joined the company this week, previously served as managing director of battery materials for Rio Tinto (ASX, LON: RIO) and spent 17 of her 27 years at the mining giant, including a three-year assignment in Serbia overseeing the Jadar lithium project. She is also a director of Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST). She told the Resources Rising Stars Summer Series that she joined DevEx for three key reasons. She said the global shift…
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US Equities have gone into yet another spectacular run but after delivering a strong open, they start to show some hesitancy. As the Bureau of Labor Statistics reopened, traders were initially concerned that the first public US data releases wouldn't be supportive of a December Fed cut—a worry that partially fueled the mid-October to end-November struggle. However, since NY Fed President Williams appeared with a dovish speech that reset expectations, things have been back to normal, almost as if nothing happened the past two months. The rebound has been massive: The Dow Jones is trading close to 48,000, the S&P 500 came shy from 6,900, and the Nasdaq is less than …
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Most Read: WTI Rangebound: How Stalled Peace Talks & OPEC Strategy Will Shape the Oil Market American consumers felt slightly better about the economy in early December, according to a survey released on Friday. The Consumer Sentiment Index from the University of Michigan went up to 53.3 this month, an improvement from 51.0 in November, and slightly better than what economists expected. However, the overall mood remains gloomy. The main problem is that consumers are still very worried about high prices (inflation) and are not very optimistic about the job market. On a positive note, consumers expect price increases to slow down slightly: they now anticipate inflation …
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1644, below 3/8 Murray, and around 21 SMA. If the euro pulls back towards the 3/8 Murray or 1.1670 in the coming hours, it could be seen as an opportunity to resume selling. If the euro rises in the coming hours and tests the strong daily resistance at 1.1670, it could be a good time to enter short positions with a target at the 200 EMA at 1.1600. On the H4 chart, we can see that EUR/USD is in a downtrend channel, which could be confirmed if a pullback towards 1.1670 occurs, resuming its downtrend. The Eagle indicator is showing overbought signs. So, we believe that in case of a sharp break in the bullish trend channel, EUR/USD could gain down…
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Crypto analyst CryptoInsight has indicated that the XRP price is on the verge of another crash, with a potential drop below the psychological $2 level. The analyst also revealed the level that the altcoin needs to reclaim to invalidate this bearish outlook. XRP Price Risks Crash To Another Low In an X post, CryptoInsight suggested that the XRP price could crash to a new low. This came as the analyst noted that on the lower time frame, the altcoin has made a higher low after bouncing from range lows. However, it has yet to make a higher high, which provides a bearish outlook. The analyst further remarked that until the XRP price makes a higher high, there is likely to…
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Bitcoin is trading around $91,270. On a daily chart, we can see that the price is within a downtrend channel formed since the end of September. If Bitcoin falls below the psychological level of $90,000, we could expect it to reach the psychological level of $75,000 in the medium term, around the 0/8 Murray. If Bitcoin rebounds and consolidates above $90,000, we could expect it to continue rising and could reach the top of the downtrend channel around $96,500. A good area to open short positions could be if the price reaches the $96,000 level. Below this area, we could expect a strong technical correction. On the contrary, if Bitcoin falls towards the 1/8 Murray located a…
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Ethereum is trading around $3,125, consolidating above the 21 SMA, below the 200 EMA, and below the uptrend channel formed since November 21. Ethereum is showing signs of exhaustion. Hence, a drop below $3,097 could accelerate a sharp technical correction to reach the 1/8 Murray support. Conversely, if Ethereum breaks above $3,200 and consolidates above this zone, we could expect it to reach the 3/8 Murray around $3,437. A technical rebound around the support at the bottom of the uptrend channel, located at $2,800, could present a good opportunity to enter long positions to hit the 3/8 Murray at $3,437. Technically, the Eagle indicator is showing a negative signal. So, if…
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Gold is trading around $4,218, around 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA with a slightly bullish bias, although it is showing signs of exhaustion. Gold could continue its rise in the coming hours if it consolidates above $4,220. A return below the 7/8 Murray could mean a technical correction, and we could expect the price to reach the support of the uptrend channel drawn around $4,118 on the daily chart. If gold continues its upward bias, it could reach the 8/8 Murray around $4,375, and we could even expect the upward momentum to take it to the +1/8 Murray around $4,531. A sharp break in the uptrend channel formed since October 20 could signal a change in trend, and we could…
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Some change is starting to appear for Canada after consecutive rough years. Subject to a red-hot post-COVID boom, the Land of the Maple Syrup had severely tightened its policy rates and immigration rules, leading to a consecutive trough in activity starting in 2024. To add to that, US President Trump’s protectionist policies placed huge tariffs on key Canadian exports, including Lumber, Aluminium, and many others, damaging demand for Canada's cyclical economy and its prospects for growth. Given that growth prospects are essential for inciting business investment and hiring, it is clear why Canada struggled quite a bit under such pressure. But with peak fear subsiding a…
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Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound. A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility refle…
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Markets now treat a December rate hike to 0.75% as the base case.Inflation remains above target, with limited improvement in core measures.Rising rate expectations are strengthening the yen, supported by a narrowing US - Japan rate spread.Higher yields may constrain the BoJ’s pace of tightening next year.Growing likelihood of a December rate increase Expectations for another interest rate hike in Japan are clearly strengthening. Although initial hints appeared as early as September, they have intensified markedly in recent days. According to the latest reports, Bank of Japan policymakers are prepared to raise the policy rate to 0.75% at the December meeting - provided …
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