Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11722 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the EuroThe price level of 1.1663 was tested when the MACD indicator was just beginning to turn down from the zero mark, confirming a valid entry point for selling euros. As a result, the pair declined toward the target at 1.1640. The dollar regained some ground against the euro after news that US jobless claims fell significantly last week. While this did not prompt investors to reassess the prospects for Federal Reserve monetary policy, it did offer some hope of a recovery in the labor market. The strengthening dollar pressured the euro, which had previously risen amid expectations of a more hawkish stance from the European Centra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin has slightly pulled back from the $94,000 level and is currently trading around $92,000, maintaining the potential for a new wave of growth. Ethereum also remains above the $3,100 mark, which is very positive. Yesterday, the CEO of BlackRock stated that some sovereign funds are already buying BTC. The November correction provided a great opportunity for large purchases aimed at accumulation for the long term. This statement is undoubtedly an important signal for the crypto market. BlackRock, the world's largest investment company, has a significant influence on institutional investor sentiment. The confirmation of interest from sovereign funds, which control vast…
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The US dollar regained some positions against the euro and the British pound yesterday, though it fared poorly against the strengthening Japanese yen ahead of the central bank meeting. Following the news that jobless claims in the US fell to their lowest level in more than three years last week, the dollar gained some momentum. This positive report lifted trader optimism, suggesting resilience in the US labor market. However, the dollar's growth was limited by cautious rhetoric from White House representatives. Today, important economic reports are expected in the first half of the day, which could significantly impact the euro's exchange rate and the overall economic hea…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out how the current Bitcoin market is reminiscent to the structure from the first quarter of 2022. Bitcoin Dynamics Are Currently Looking Similar To Early 2022 Bear Market In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has discussed about how the broader Bitcoin market structure is starting to resemble Q1 2022. First, the analytics firm has shared the data of its Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, highlighting price levels that correspond to a certain degree of investor profitability. In the chart, three supply quantiles are listed: 0.75, 0.85, and 0.95. If Bitcoin trades at the first of these levels, 75% of the supply will be in p…
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[Filecoin] Although the both EMAs in Filecoin have not yet formed a Death Cross, but with the appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14) indicator, which is also in the Neutral-Bearish level, suggests that there is potential for weakness to occur in Filecoin shortly. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1.652 2. Resistance. 1 : 1.595 3. Pivot : 1.553 4. Support. 1 : 1.496 5. Support. 2 : 1.454 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Filecoin breaks down and closes below 1.496, it may test the level at 1.454. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1.454 is broken, Filecoin could potentially weaken down to 1.397. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision:…
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[Litecoin] With the appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14), which is also at a Neutral-Bearish level, and both EMAs still in a Golden Cross, it indicates that today there is potential for weakening that will occur to Litecoin in the near future Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 88.69 2. Resistance. 1 : 86.12 3. Pivot : 84.15 4. Support. 1 : 81.58 5. Support. 2 : 79.61 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If Litecoin breaks down below 81.58, it may test the level at 79.61. Momentum Extension Bias: If 79.61 is broken, there is potential to test down to 77.04. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price o…
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Solana failed to stay above $144 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $140 and might find bids near the $135 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $140 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $144 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $135 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $148 and started a downside correction, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $145 and $144 to enter a short-term bearish…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: A few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. At first glance, today's reports may seem high-status; however, this week has seen the release of much more significant data. Virtually all of them had no impact on the overall market picture. Both currency pairs continue to move higher in line with local trends, with quite low volatility. Therefore, it is unlikely that anything will change in the market today. In the Eurozone, the third-quarter GDP will be released in its third estimate. This estimate is unlikely to differ significantly from the first two, nor is it expected to provide much assistance to the euro. The Eurozone e…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair attempted to extend its upward move on Thursday, but the market calmed after a volatile Wednesday and was unable to push it significantly higher. Nevertheless, the local upward trend on the hourly timeframe is maintained, so it is reasonable to expect and hope for continued growth. On Thursday, there were no significant events or reports in the UK, while in the US, traders had to settle for a less important unemployment claims report. The report turned out to be much better than forecasts, as the number of new initial claims was significantly lower. The dollar received a slight boost in the af…
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Trade Analysis for Thursday: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair The EUR/USD currency pair traded once again in a "neither fish nor fowl" style on Thursday. The macroeconomic backdrop throughout the day was very weak, so the market found no grounds to open new positions. Overall, this week we have already seen several important reports, most of which have had no impact. Almost all European reports (some quite significant) were ignored by the market, while the American reports were somewhat contradictory and provoked a mixed market reaction. For example, the important ISM Manufacturing Index was worse than expected, while the similar index for the services sector exceeded t…
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As institutional demand intensifies and the crypto market recovers, US spot XRP Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) continue to lead the sector with a 13-day streak and over $200 million in positive net flows this week, outshining Solana (SOL) ETFs, which recorded their third day of outflows in seven days. XRP Funds Lead Crypto ETF Inflows Spot XRP exchange-traded funds have extended their record-breaking streak after registering their thirteenth consecutive day of positive net flows, with $50.27 million in inflows on December 3. The investment products have seen a remarkable performance since the launch of Canary Capital’s XRPC, the first single-token XRP spot ETF, on Novemb…
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XRP price started a decent increase above $2.120. The price is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay in a positive zone. XRP price started a downside correction and tested the $2.080 zone. The price is now trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.110 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears $2.150. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price started a downside correction from the $2.220 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $2.20 and $2.150 levels to enter a consolidation phase. The price even…
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Reports have disclosed that Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told a Binance-hosted panel he expects Bitcoin to reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026. Bank Moves Could Be The Spark According to market coverage, Bitcoin tumbled about $5,000 in roughly three hours during early December, wiping more than $200 billion from the broader crypto market and triggering nearly $700 million in liquidations. That sudden drop has been linked to moves in traditional markets, not a single crypto event. Some analysts point to a change in Japan’s bond market that is pressuring the long-running yen carry trade. Reports say the Bank of Japan’s policy path is now in focus, with a key decision du…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,200. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,250. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,050 and $3,120 levels. The price is trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,240 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Another Upside Break Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,050 resistan…
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Ethereum is approaching a critical moment as multiple bullish signals begin to align. A clear Inverse Head & Shoulders formation, combined with rising accumulation and weakening trend rejection, suggests that the market may be gearing up for a powerful upside move. With momentum tightening and key levels coming into focus, ETH now stands on the verge of a breakout that could set the stage for its next major rally. Inverse Head And Shoulders Signals Brewing Momentum According to a recent update shared by crypto analyst Donald Dean, Ethereum may be gearing up for a significant move. He highlighted the development of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, a cla…
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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above $92,500. BTC is now consolidating gains and might attempt an upside break above $93,500. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $92,500 zone. The price is trading above $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $93,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $93,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $90,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC gained strength for a move above the $90,500 and $91,500 levels. There was a clear …
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded quite calmly on Thursday, after showing impressive growth the day before. Recall that on this day, the US dollar received yet another verdict in the form of the ADP report. As a result, the number of private-sector employees in the US decreased by 32,000 in November, rendering all other data virtually meaningless for the American currency. The ISM Services PMI rose? Good, but it does not save the dollar from a decrease in the Federal Reserve's key rate next week. However! The euro rose by 50 pips, and the British pound by more than 100. Why? There are two obvious answers to this question. First, the British currency is historically more vo…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded much more calmly on Thursday than on Wednesday, which can be attributed to the limited number of macroeconomic and fundamental events. Recall that important reports on industrial production, service sector activity, and the labor market were released in the U.S. on Wednesday. However, the first two were of secondary interest to the market, whereas the last report was of primary interest. It should be noted that the ADP report is not the most influential indicator of the state of the U.S. labor market. It only covers data from the private sector, ignoring, for example, the public and non-profit sectors. Therefore, while one can draw certain…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD pair made a final push towards the nearest target area of 1.3369-1.3377 on Thursday. It was unable to break through this area on the first attempt, which is not surprising given that this is a resistance zone. Moreover, the British pound has already risen considerably this week, and we have no objections to it. Notably, this rise occurred before the release of the crucial ADP report in the U.S., but this does not change the essence of the situation. The key takeaway is that the British pound is indeed rising, which we anticipated. The upward trend remains relevant, as indicated by the trend line. In the medium term, we continue to ex…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its "tormented journey" on Thursday. Volatility during most of the day did not exceed 30 pips. Essentially, we witnessed another day completely devoid of movement. Fairness dictates mentioning that the macroeconomic backdrop on Thursday was very weak, but it still did not account for a total movement of only 30 pips. After all, a report on retail sales in the Eurozone came in worse than expected, and in the U.S., jobless claims were also released. These reports used to provoke a market reaction of 20-30 pips, which we considered weak and unworthy of attention. Now the pair is moving only 30 pips in a day. From…
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Reports have disclosed that the US Federal Reserve has ended its Quantitative Tightening program and has put cash back into markets. According to sources, the Fed injected more than $13 billion through overnight repo operations, the largest such move in years. Crypto investor and author Paul Barron said that coins like XRP could “bring the fire” now that more liquidity is flowing back into the system. He believes that when the Fed starts easing up, assets with clear utility often react faster than the rest of the market. Barron added that stronger liquidity usually pulls traders toward tokens that can move money quickly and cheaply, which is why he thinks XRP may see m…
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Bitcoin may be sliding into a new bear phase unless fresh macro liquidity – particularly through spot ETFs – returns to the market, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. Bitcoin Bear Market Incoming? Sharing a composite on-chain dashboard overlaid on the BTC price, Ju wrote on X: “Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle.” The chart stacks ten CryptoQuant metrics behind the price in a red-to-green heatmap from 2021 to 2025, highlighting how regime shifts in prior cycles coincided with clusters of bearish readings. The indicators in the panel include the MVRV Z-score, CryptoQuant P&L Index, the Bull-Bear Cycle …
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Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying. Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now. In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 m…
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Read More: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Oil prices climbed on Thursday with WTI Oil ending the day with an increase of roughly 1%, trading at $59.70 a barrel. The upside move was primarily fueled by renewed geopolitical risk. Specifically, news of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and the backdrop of stalled peace negotiations created supply disruption fears, encouraging traders to push prices marginally higher. Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks Oil prices received support from the fact that peace talks for Ukraine seemed to be stalling, especially after representatives for President Trump met with the…
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In the volatile theatre of the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are showing signs of a potential high-time-frame reversal. After weeks of stress and price compression, each of the top assets is now stabilizing at key structural support levels. The multiple leading cryptocurrencies are flashing similar recovery setups at the same time. The current crypto landscape may be setting up one of the most powerful high-time-frame reversals across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. An investor and trader known as MacroCRG on X highlighted that yesterday, all three assets printed a bullish engulfing candle, a strong signal that buyers are stepping back in with inten…
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