Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12262 tópicos neste fórum
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Gold climbed on the release of the September Consumer Price Index data, which came in a tad cooler than expected. Headline inflation increased 3% from a year ago, which is slightly below Wall Street’s expectations for a 3.1% jump. Wall Street interpreted the inflation data as a green light to a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the Oct. 28-29 meeting. Wall Street traders are pricing in 97% odds of a 0.25 percent rate cut to 3.75-4.00% at the next Fed meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool, which is bullish for gold. Investors Buy Gold Dip After CPI Report Gold advanced on the inflation news, climbing to $4,125.80 an ounce. After hitting a record high at $4…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold climbed on the release of the September Consumer Price Index data, which came in a tad cooler than expected. Headline inflation increased 3% from a year ago, which is slightly below Wall Street’s expectations for a 3.1% jump. Wall Street interpreted the inflation data as a green light to a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the Oct. 28-29 meeting. Wall Street traders are pricing in 97% odds of a 0.25 percent rate cut to 3.75-4.00% at the next Fed meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool, which is bullish for gold. Investors Buy Gold Dip After CPI Report Gold advanced on the inflation news, climbing to $4,125.80 an ounce. After hitting a record high at $4…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Markets are still rattling about the crazy Friday trading, post-Non-Farm Payrolls. Equities were trading in paradise territory after a streak of positive US Data (that caught Markets off-guard, Participants were expecting worse data due to tariffs). But the picture quickly reversed, and markets were starting to trade mostly risk-on in many of the sessions prior to Friday, taking Stocks to Greed territory (on the Fear-Greed Index). Risk-assets took a beating after the miss (and particularly from the downward revisions for the past few months of data, taking the three-month average for NFP at 35K! There is some ongoing-mean reversion to Friday's huge selloffs in risk-as…
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Gold prices have declined but remain close to all-time highs as traders—encouraged by upbeat US economic data and noting diverging opinions among Federal Reserve officials this week—have reassessed their expectations for future monetary policy. Gold slipped to nearly $3,719 per ounce, down $70 from the record set on Tuesday. Prices dropped on Wednesday after data showed US new home sales in August unexpectedly rose to their fastest pace since early 2022, easing some concerns about a slowdown in the world's largest economy. The dollar climbed to its highest level in almost two weeks, making gold more expensive for most buyers. Traders also weighed comments from US offici…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 8. Sentiment was surprisingly positive in today's session with Japanese equities leading risk-assets (appreciating PM Ishiba's resigning?) and a few rebounds in cryptos. Gold and Silver maintain their stellar rise in yet another buying wave. Political turmoil in France and Japan (Prime Ministers getting ousted in both countries) and the Israel-Hamas war continuing have assisted both metals in their ascent. FX movement is still subdued, with Markets awaiting this week's US inflation data to attempt to solve the FED rate cut puzzle. Soft prints could easily point to a 50 bps jumbo-cut to restart the cut c…
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Gold has been declining for the third consecutive day amid weakening expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. New data, after 43 days of silence, is expected to shed light on a clearer picture of the U.S. economy. The price of gold fell by 0.8%, after losing over 2% in the previous session. Traders continue to lose confidence in a potential rate cut in December, as Federal Reserve officials do not exhibit much confidence in the need to lower borrowing costs. Lower interest rates typically make non-yielding precious metals more attractive to investors. As mentioned earlier, before making any significant moves, investors and policymakers are waiting for a f…
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Gold prices have fallen again as three Federal Reserve policymakers have voiced support for a more cautious approach toward lowering interest rates next month. The price of gold dropped below $3,985 per ounce, and Federal Reserve Chair Lisa Cook stated that she believes the risk of further weakening in the labor market outweighs the risk of accelerating inflation, but she refrained from hinting at further rate cuts in December this year. These comments resonate with statements from her two colleagues, Mary Daly and Austan Goolsbee. As a result, investors who were previously optimistic about imminent monetary policy easing are reassessing their positions. The strengtheni…
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Gold has stabilized after its largest weekly gain, as traders assessed the prospects for U.S. interest rates following the release of private-sector employment data. The price of gold holds just above $3,980 per ounce after an increase of 1.2% on Wednesday. The ADP Research data indicated that the number of jobs grew by 42,000 after two months of decline. While this modest growth alleviates concerns about a more rapid deterioration in the labor situation, it aligns with the overall decline in labor demand. The rise in gold prices, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, reflects ongoing uncertainty in the global economy. Although the labor market data showed some po…
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Gold stepped back ahead of the Fed's verdict. Few doubt that the central bank will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%. However, the number of dissenters, signals about future monetary policy, and the dot plot forecast will be critical for XAU/USD. The precious metal had long been rising and reached record highs, but investors chose to play it safe before this key event. The best environment for gold is stagflation. It has never fallen in the 21st century during periods when U.S. inflation was rising while the Fed was cutting rates. In this regard, the acceleration of consumer prices in August to 2.9% y/y, coupled with expectations of a renewed monetary…
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Gold and silver prices have experienced their steepest sell-off in the past twelve years, sparking concerns that their dramatic surge in recent weeks has made them overvalued. Spot gold is trading around $4,140 per ounce after falling 6.3% in the previous session, marking the largest intraday decline in more than twelve years. Silver registered a slight increase after an 8.7% drop on Tuesday. The sharp drop followed technical signals indicating that the rapid price rally in both metals had pushed them into strongly overbought territory. Many experts emphasize that technical selling was the primary cause. Prices have been in the overbought zone since early September, maki…
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A strong dollar and an overly cautious Federal Reserve are the recipe for a plunge in gold prices at the end of October. This decline began with the unwinding of excessively inflated speculative positions and continued with the market reassessing expectations for a federal funds rate cut in 2025. Before the last FOMC meeting, the chances for a rate cut exceeded 90%, only to collapse to 65%. The only rebound to 74% amid hopes for the imminent end of the shutdown allowed XAU/USD to enter a consolidation phase. Despite losing about 10% of its value from record highs, gold has still risen by over 50% since the beginning of the year. The rally of the precious metal this year …
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Gold had been climbing steadily despite the overall risk-on sentiment this week. However, this morning’s stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report failed to give the safe-haven asset any additional lift. The rejection at higher levels suggests a lower likelihood of a retest of the all-time highs, which remain at $3,500 - although with this year's volatility, everything is possible. The Bullion, which was up 3% at its weekly highs is now up only 1.26% - Let's dive into a technical analysis as we stand on the current pivot. Gold Technical Analysis from Daily to Hourly charts Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Busine…
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Gold Fields has announced a significant increase in its investment for the Windfall gold project in Quebec. The company has revised its capital expenditure estimate to C$1.7-C$1.9 billion, up from the initial C$790 million projection from 2022. This new estimate reflects a more comprehensive development plan for both surface and underground operations. The company made the announcement during a Capital Markets Day media conference call, on November 13. Gold Fields plans to steadily increase its production over the coming five years. The company aims to boost its annual output to approximately three million ounces by 2030. Following this growth phase, Gold Fields inten…
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South Africa’s Gold Fields (JSE: GFI) is reportedly selling a A$1.1 billion ($720 million) stake in Northern Star Resources (ASX: NST), with JPMorgan running an auction process that began after Thursday’s market close. Gold Fields inherited the holding through its $2.4 billion takeover of Australian gold miner Gold Road Resources (ASX: GOR), which won shareholder approval this week. The shares are being sold at a floor price of A$21.85 each, according to The Australian. This reflected a 2.7% discount to Northern Star’s last-traded price of A$22.66 before the sale was announced. The divestment comes amid record-breaking gold prices and only days after Gold Fie…
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South Africa’s Gold Fields (JSE: GFI) is closing in on its A$3.7 billion ($2.4 billion) takeover of Australia’s Gold Road Resources (ASX: GOR), with shareholders set to vote on the deal on September 22. The Australian mid-tier gold miner agreed in May to the proposed acquisition and confirmed that a scheme booklet, detailing the plan for a Gold Fields subsidiary to acquire all its shares, has been registered with the Australian Securities and Investments Commission. The company’s board has unanimously recommended the offer. The deal would give Gold Fields full ownership of the Gruyere mine in Western Australia, where it already holds a 50% stake and serves as oper…
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Gold Fields (NYSE, JSE: GFI) agreed to pay about C$50 million ($36 million) to become the biggest shareholder in Founders Metals (TSXV: FDR), which is developing the Antino gold project in Suriname. Johannesburg-based Gold Fields will acquire about 12 million Founders common shares – good for a 12% stake – at C$4.15 apiece, the Vancouver-based company said Monday. The deal is expected to close by Nov. 10, subject to customary conditions including TSX Venture Exchange approval. This is the second significant Canadian mining investment in as many years by Gold Fields, one of the world’s largest miners. It spent C$2.2 billion last year to acquire Toronto-based Osisko…
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Gold had been struggling in the past few weeks, particularly since Israel-Iran war-induced Risk-off moves failed to bring the precious metal to new all-time highs. However, the Bullion hasn't retracted majorly from its elevated levels, still up around 28.60% in 2025 despite being about $200 from its ATH price – A sign of resilience. Last week's bearish formation got met with a renewed breakout taking Gold up 2% from its 3,284 lows – New tariff announcements with the infamous Trump Letters is creating further uncertainty, leading to more outflows from US exposure. US Stocks are down on the session, US Treasuries are once again downtrending since July 1st , Cryptocurrenc…
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Gold advanced near a record high on Monday as momentum continues to build for a Federal Reserve rate cut this month amid concerns of US economic risks. Spot gold traded as high as $3,489.69 per ounce during the morning trading, just $11 shy of the all-time high of $3,500.05 set in late April. By 11 a.m. ET, it had pulled back slightly to $3,475.60 for a 0.8% gain. US gold futures also rose 0.8% to $3,545.60 per ounce, having set a new high of $3,557.10 earlier. Click on chart for live prices. The move builds on a 2.5% gain last week as new US economic data, which showed stubborn inflation and healthy consumer demand, further solidified chances of a September…
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Gold futures soared to an all-time high on Friday following reports of an unexpected US tariff on bullion bars that could bear significant implications on the global flow of the precious metal. On the COMEX, the most active December gold contract rose as much as 2.3% to $3,534.1 per ounce — a record high. By 10:45 a.m., it had pulled back to $3,484.8 an ounce. Meanwhile, the spot price was largely muted, trading mostly between a narrow range of $3,380-$3,400 and is heading for a slight decrease for the week. The Friday price moves give the New York gold futures a premium of more than $100 an ounce over the London Benchmark, as investors bet on the tariff sh…
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Gold prices rose again today and are near their historic highs, as traders prepare to assess US data that could confirm the need for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Gold prices exceeded $3,643 per ounce after peaking above $3,674 on Tuesday, when a preliminary data revision showed that the number of employed workers is likely to be revised downward by a record 911,000. The Fed will set monetary policy next week after the publication of US producer and consumer inflation data on Wednesday and Thursday, which will also influence its decision. Weak economic indicators in recent months—particularly slowing GDP growth and a decline in employment gains—have increased expectations …
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Gold set a new record this week as traders and investors anticipate more dovish actions from the Federal Reserve, including further rate cuts in the coming months. On Tuesday, the price of gold surpassed Monday's all-time high of about $3,685 per ounce, also supported by the US dollar dropping to its lowest level in over seven weeks. While this week's rate cut is already priced in, the Fed will also release its quarterly economic and rate projections—known as the "dot plot"—and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference after the decision. The latest surge in the precious metal indicates growing uncertainty about global economic stability and rising inflation e…
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[Gold] – [Wednesday, October 8, 2025] With the condition of both EMAs crossing a Golden Cross and the RSI at Extreme-Bullish levels today, buyers still dominate XAU/USD. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 4021.88 2. Resistance 1: 4003.09 3. Pivot: 3971.76 4. Support 1: 3952.97 5. Support 2: 3921.64 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If XAU/USD successfully breaks above 3971.76, it has the potential to test its nearest resistance level of 4003.09. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4003.09 is successfully broken and closes above it, it has the potential to strengthen Gold to 4021.88. Level Invalidation/ Bias Revision Upside bias weakens when Gold weakens and closes below 3921.64…
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[Gold] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bearish level, the Golden Cross condition of both EMAs indicates that there is potential for strengthening in the near future. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4283.11 2. Resistance. 1 : 4240.23 3. Pivot : 4215.89 4. Support. 1 : 4173.01 5. Support. 2 : 4148.67 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Gold breaks above 4215.89, it may have the potential to reach 4240.23. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4240.23 is breached and closes above, there is a potential for Gold to test 4283.11. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines below 4148.67. Technical Summa…
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[XAU/USD] With both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, although the RSI is still in the Neutral-Bearish level, it seems that the strengthening momentum continues to dominate in XAU/USD. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4175.64 2. Resistance. 1 : 4150.99 3. Pivot : 4123.81 4. Support. 1 : 4099.16 5. Support. 2 : 4071.98 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of XAU/USD breaks above 4123.81, there is potential to continue to 4150.99. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4150.99 is breached and closed above, XAU/USD will continue strengthening up to 4175.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines an…
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Market Insights Podcast (08/10/2025): In the most recent episode, we discuss the astronomical rally in precious metal pricing, the knock-on effects of the US government shutdown on Fed monetary policy, alongside a preview of FOMC minutes due to be released later today. Join OANDA Financial Writer Christian Norman, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into…
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