Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Ethereum had a relatively quiet weekend, with price action showing signs of stability after last week’s volatility. ETH has reclaimed the $4,100 level, and analysts now point to the $4,000 mark as a crucial line of defense. If bulls manage to hold above this support, the market could see a strong surge in the coming days, setting the stage for Ethereum to retest higher levels. Adding weight to this outlook, a key report by CryptoQuant highlights that Ethereum supply on spot exchanges continues to decline. This trend often signals that investors are withdrawing ETH to self-custody or staking, reducing available sell-side liquidity on exchanges. Historically, such decline…
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A sharp increase in Bitcoin during today's Asian trading session may indicate the return of large players to the market—participants who have not been very active lately. Clearly, September is not the best time for such a move. As historical data show, September is usually a bearish month not just for cryptocurrencies, but for all classes of risk assets. October, on the other hand, is known for the strongest bullish seasonality: BTC has posted positive returns and an average gain of 22.9% in 9 out of the last 10 Octobers. Naturally, this phenomenon does not guarantee a repeat, but it does highlight the cyclicality and seasonal trends that are typical of financial market…
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Gold surged above $3,800 an ounce for a new record on Monday, as investors flocked to the safe-haven metal amid fears of a potential US government shutdown. Spot gold rose as much 1.7% to $3,831.27 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high by about $50 an ounce. US gold futures were also 1.2% higher, peaking at $3,860.60 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Gold’s rise was fueled by a continued deterioration of the US dollar, which lost 0.3% as the market awaits developments from a meeting between top US congressional leaders and President Donald Trump on Monday, scheduled right before the Sept. 30 expiration of federal funding. Polit…
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Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of MicroStrategy, which recently rebranded to Strategy, has once again drawn attention to the company’s aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy by reviving and actively utilizing the public BTC Tracker. What Is The Bitcoin Tracker And Why Does It Matter Michael Saylor has once again released the Strategy Bitcoin tracker, a chart that the market has come to watch closely. According to the X post, the latest buy brings Strategy’s total Bitcoin treasury holdings to 639,835 BTC, which is approximately $70.01 billion. CryptosRus has stated that the familiar orange dots continue their steady climb upward and to the right, a simple yet p…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair moved upward and managed to break through the descending trendline. Further growth of the pair was capped by the 1.1750–1.1760 area, which has repeatedly acted as support or resistance for the price. Thus, at this point, it is still too early to be fully confident that the short-term downtrend has ended. Nevertheless, we have repeatedly noted that there have been no strong reasons for medium-term dollar growth. Over just the past few days, news has created a new fundamental basis for a decline in the U.S. currency. Donald Trump introduced new tariffs and announced plans to tax even the film industry. Expec…
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The Bitcoin price opened Monday with a slight recovery, reclaiming the $113,000 mark after a dip that brought the price down to $109,000—a level that has proven to be significant support for the top cryptocurrency. Despite this temporary bounce, one expert warns of further challenges ahead for bullish investors. Warns Of Further Bitcoin Price Drops In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Doctor Profit expressed confidence in his market analysis, indicating that BTC is on track to reach his projected target range between $90,000 to $94,000, meaning an additional 20% drop for the Bitcoin price. He posited that the cryptocurrency is poised to move…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the low $110,000 range, a key on-chain indicator has flipped bullish, show signs of an upcoming price rally that could propel the top digital asset to new all-time highs (ATH) in the near term. Bitcoin’s 600,000 Transactions Threshold Takes Center Stage According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Ibrahim Cosar, an important correlation between BTC price and the total number of transactions over time stands out. The analyst shared the following chart to highlight the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the total number of transactions. Notably, whenever the total transaction count surges above the 600,000 level …
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The U.S. dollar continued to lose ground rapidly against risk assets at the start of the week, with objective reasons for this decline. The likelihood of a government shutdown increased further after yesterday's meeting between Democrats and Republicans with Trump. Traders are concerned about how political uncertainty may impact the U.S. economy and are seeking safer assets, which is putting pressure on the dollar. The situation is aggravated by the approaching deadline for passing the budget for the new fiscal year. If Congress fails to reach a compromise, government agencies will be forced to suspend their operations. This would lead to a reduction in public services, s…
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As September ends, Bitcoin reclaims $114K – a meaningful intraday bounce that also pushes the total crypto market cap back above $3.9T. BTC closed near $113,985 after briefly touching $114,309, and traders are now eyeing $108K as support and $114,309 as immediate resistance, with a stronger ceiling sitting near $117K. XRP and Ethereum are also up by 0.89% and 2.44% respectively. In other news, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and gold are in the green, with the US Treasury’s gold holdings crossing $1T in value. A likely contributor to this is the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut, which has significantly lowered the hurdle rate for risky bets, bleeding into high-beta assets like …
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Gold has surged to another all-time high, extending Monday's rally as the looming prospect of a U.S. government shutdown has clouded the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook ahead of next month's interest rate decision. Investors, seeking to protect their assets from geopolitical turbulence and potential economic instability, are increasingly turning to gold — traditionally viewed as a "safe haven." The rise in gold prices is also being fueled by the weakening of the U.S. dollar, making the precious metal more attractive to holders of other currencies. Economic uncertainty tied to a possible shutdown is forcing analysts to reconsider their forecasts regarding the Fe…
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The USD/JPY pair is losing support at the technically important 200-day simple moving average (SMA). However, oscillators on the daily chart still remain in positive territory, which continues to favor the bulls. That said, any further upward movement will face resistance near this same 200-day SMA, currently aligned with the 148.40 level. Beyond this, the next key obstacle is the psychological 148.00 level. A sustained break above it would confirm a positive outlook, allowing spot prices to attempt another move toward the psychological 150.00 level, with intermediate resistance at the 149.00 round level and at 149.45. On the other hand, a move below the round level would…
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Chile’s environmental regulator has fined Albemarle (NYSE: ALB) nearly $340,000 for violations at its lithium operations in the Atacama salt flat, escalating tensions between the world’s top lithium producer and Chilean authorities. The Superintendence of the Environment (SMA) said Albemarle exceeded its approved water extraction limits between October 2019 and September 2020, drawing an average of 452.3 litres per second, which is above what was authorized under its environmental permit. The regulator also found the North Carolina-based company failed to follow required safeguards under its Aquifer Alert Sector plan in early 2021, including not reporting the act…
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Qatar National Bank (QNB) has started using JPMorgan’s Kinexys payments platform for US dollar corporate flows, bringing on-chain settlement to clients in the country. According to JPMorgan, the move went live in March 2025. QNB Adopts Kinexys For USD Flows Based on reports, the Doha lender will now be able to move US dollar payments around the clock, removing the usual business-hour cutoffs that delay transfers. The system operates 24/7 and can settle some transfers in as little as two minutes, a speed level that banks say shortens what used to take days. For JP Morgan, Kinexys (the unit that grew out of its earlier blockchain work) is being rolled out more widely…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 30 Today continue yesterday's geopolitical narratives with the US Government shutdown odds increasing (it seems that democrats wouldn't want to sign an extension) and Arab nations pushing for Hamas to accept the Gaza deal. About the first theme, a movement is happening with the Trump administration to remove a huge number of federal workers in an attempt to reduce costs and bureaucratic inefficiencies – There is a breach in the Government budget. The one issue is that it would be the people whose jobs are on the line that are required to prevent a shutdown. There are some intricacies to this theme but o…
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Bitcoin rebounded yesterday but failed to break above the $115,000 mark, which raises questions about its short-term bullish outlook. Ethereum, meanwhile, remained relatively flat, continuing to trade around the same levels as the previous day. A particularly interesting interview with Pavel Durov surfaced yesterday, in which he revealed that he lives off early investments in BTC. Durov shared that he had purchased several thousand BTC at around $700. "In reality, my cryptocurrency investments, primarily in Bitcoin, support my lifestyle. Many believe that my affinity for luxury homes and private jets is funded by Telegram. However, as I've said before, Telegram is a non…
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Gold prices soared to a new record on Wednesday, lifted by safe-haven demand amid a US government shutdown, while softer jobs data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month. Spot gold rose as much as 1% to $3,895.13 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high of $3,871.45 set just a day ago. US gold futures surged to as high as $3,922.70 per ounce, also a new high. Click on chart for live prices. Driving the rally was the economic uncertainty of a US government shutdown — the first in seven years — which drove investors towards the safety of gold and assets like Bitcoin. The US dollar, meanwhile, continued to weaken, further bolsterin…
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Guanajuato Silver Company (TSXV: GSVR) is looking to raise as much as C$43 million ($31 million) in a bought deal public offering to support its Mexican mine operations. However, its shares dropped nearly 15% on the news. The company initially announced that it planned to raise C$30 million through the sale of 60 million units priced at C$0.50 each, but later increased the offering to C$43 million (87 million units) due to strong demand. The units each carry one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant, with each whole warrant exercisable at C$0.65 per share for three years. Guanajuato Silver’s stock traded at C$0.46 with a market capitaliz…
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An update for Aclara Resources’ (TSX: ARA) Carina project in Brazil has lifted most of the deposit to the indicated category and raised grades for its four rare earths compared to the previous estimate. Shares jumped. The update converts 79% of the inferred resource from last year’s preliminary economic assessment (PEA) to 236.3 million indicated tonnes, Aclara reported Wednesday. Grades rose at least 3% to 293 parts per million (ppm) neodymium praseodymium (NdPr), 43 ppm dysprosium and 6.8 ppm terbium for 371,492 tonnes of total rare earth oxides (TREO). Carina is in the central state of Goiás. “The quality of the Carina deposit has been affirmed,” Aclara chief o…
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The Dogecoin price is about to complete a Golden Cross pattern, a technical event that often signals the start of a super bullish run. A crypto analyst argues that the real test lies at $0.33, a resistance level that could determine whether DOGE begins its next major rally and extends its momentum into the broader altcoin market. Golden Cross Forms On Dogecoin Price Chart Crypto analyst Cas Abbe recently highlighted in an X social media post Dogecoin’s bullish momentum, noting that the meme coin is about to complete another Golden Cross. In technical terms, a Golden Cross signals the potential start of an extended bullish cycle. Cas Abbe emphasized the significance …
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On Tuesday, just before the U.S. government shutdown took effect, the Bureau of Labor Statistics managed to publish the JOLTS report. Had the release been scheduled for today, it would not have come out due to the suspension of government operations. For the same reason, it is now likely that the September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will not be published on Friday—unless lawmakers pass an interim funding bill, which seems extremely unlikely at this point, given the deep divide between the political parties. Democrats are insisting on preserving subsidies under the Affordable Care Act, while Republicans firmly oppose the idea. This has resulted in a stalemate in Congre…
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The final — and perhaps most important — point to consider is the economy. When government spending is slashed and up to 1 million federal employees are furloughed, economic and business activity drops abruptly. American consumers cut back on spending, and business revenues, along with personal incomes, decline. Between 2018 and 2019, the U.S. economy contracted by 0.4%, and between 2012 and 2013, by 0.6%. However, economists noted that the 2018–2019 shutdown was only partial, while in 2012–2013, it was total. This means that in just two weeks of a total shutdown, the U.S. economy sustained one and a half times more damage than it did during five weeks of a partial shutdo…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, which began a few days earlier. While the euro came under pressure following the release of eurozone inflation data, the British pound had no such releases and continued to climb without interruption. Overall, the pound is rising, while the dollar continues to fall — a trend that is clearly visible on the daily timeframe. The pair has essentially been in a state of consolidation for over two months, but during that time, the pound never lost more than 400 points. In fact, the downward correction could be considered completed as early as August 1. So while the pound may not be growing as firmly as in the…
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Trade breakdown and guidance on trading the euro The test of the 1.1753 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The rise in the euro area unemployment rate to 6.3% was seen as routine and did not lead to a significant drop in the euro's exchange rate. Investors were likely prepared for such an outcome, given the slowdown in the region's economic growth in recent months. Nevertheless, despite the muted reaction to the unemployment data, the euro continues to face pressure. The latest inflation and manufacturing sector data, co…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair tried to continue its upward movement toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802, but the news background dampened bullish sentiment. No trading signals were generated yesterday. Today, a rebound from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695 would favor the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 1.1789–1.1802 zone, while a close below this level would open the way to a decline toward the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the previous wave's low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" …
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By Jonatan Randin, Market Analyst at PrimeXBT World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is one of the most high-profile altcoins launched in 2025. Backed by branding ties to Donald Trump’s family, WLFI raised significant capital during its presale before launching trading on 1 September 2025. With governance as the sole stated utility of the token, WLFI offers an unusual mix of political attention, ambitious product promises, and experimental tokenomics. This article takes a deeper look at WLFI’s origins, structure, governance, on-chain concentration, and technical analysis to assess whether it represents a valid opportunity or simply a speculative narrative. WLFI can now also b…
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