Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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“US Jobless Claims Spike: Labor Market Weakness, Fed Rate Cuts, and Market Implications” Unemployment number The old trading adage, “It’s not the news but the reaction to the news that matters,” was on full display after last week’s sharp increase in U.S. weekly jobless claims. Markets initially reacted to fears of an acceleration in labor market weakness, but the details suggest a less dire picture. What the Jobless Claims Data Shows Initial claims for unemployment insurance spiked by 27,000 to 263,000, well above the consensus forecast of 230,000. This was the highest reading since October 2021, raising concerns about whether the labor market is finally cracking under…
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Wall Street Ends in the Red U.S. stock markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the three major Wall Street indexes finishing the session in decline. Investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated interest rate decision. Rate Cut Expectations Most market participants continue to bet that the Fed will trim its key rate by 25 basis points. The move is seen as a response to mounting signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market, highlighted by a series of recent economic reports. Political Moves Overlooked Political developments failed to shift market sentiment. The Senate confirmed White House economic adviser Steven Miran to the Federal Res…
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It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC. Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors. To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week. The greenback saw close to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range thro…
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Lithium Ionic (TSXV: LTH) said a definitive feasibility study for its Bandeira project in eastern Brazil shows higher returns, lower capital costs and a longer mine life than prior calculations. Thanks to increased reserves and an optimized mine design, Bandeira is now projected to deliver a post-tax net present value of $1.45 billion instead of the $1.31 billion estimated by a May 2024 study, Lithium Ionic said Wednesday in a statement. The project’s internal rate of return climbs to 61% from 40% while the payback period shrinks to 2.2 years from 3.4 years. News of the improved economics comes about four months after Lithium Ionic lifted the project’s contained r…
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Eric Trump on Tuesday described Bitcoin as a “modern-day gold,” calling it a liquid store of value that can act as a hedge to real estate and other assets. According to reports, the remark came during a TV appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box, tied to the launch of American Bitcoin, the mining and treasury firm he helped start. Company Holdings And Strategy Based on public filings and company summaries, American Bitcoin has accumulated 2,443 BTC on its balance sheet. That stash has been valued in the low hundreds of millions of dollars at recent spot prices. The firm mixes large-scale mining with the goal of holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, which it says will help i…
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On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair traded relatively calmly until the evening. The evening events and subsequent movements will be analyzed later today, once the dust settles and traders digest all the information. For the pound, it may take another day, as the Bank of England's meeting is scheduled for today, which could also spark major market volatility. As a result, the pair may swing both ways for two consecutive days, movements that are unlikely to be considered systematic. In the EUR/USD review, we discussed the "three doves" within the Fed—Mirran, Bowman, and Waller. These three are ready to vote at FOMC meetings exactly as Trump demands, and while the Fed is not supp…
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Gold, following the release of the Fed's interest rate decision, made a strong upward move, reaching a new ATH around $3,707. From this level, gold began a technical correction and subsequently bounced within the downtrend channel. The technical correction is likely to continue in the coming days, pushing the price down to the 200 EMA around $3,634. As long as the gold price consolidates below $3,671, it will be seen as an opportunity for short positions, as the 7/8 Murray is located in this area, now acting as resistance. We could expect the price to reach $3,652, and possibly even reach the $3,640 level. Gold could find good support around $3,630. This level represents …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday consolidated below the support zone of 1.3587–1.3611, which allows for a continued decline of the pound toward the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. A rebound from 1.3482 followed by growth will keep the trend "bullish." However, over the past two days, developments have been unfavorable for bulls and for the pound. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. For the most part, the news background this week was neutral for the pound, but Thursday and Friday spoiled the picture. The trend will shift to "…
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Dogecoin is pressing a make-or-break weekly level as price retests the mid-$0.27s “springboard” highlighted by popular trader Rekt Capital, while macro cross-currents and a pivotal USDT dominance structure flagged by analyst Kevin may decide whether momentum extends into Q4. Dogecoin Bulls Face Crucial Test On the weekly DOGE/USDT chart shared by Rekt Capital, price has rallied back into the $0.27–$0.28 area and is attempting to flip it into support. At the time of the screenshot, the active weekly candle sat near $0.28410 with 3 days and 6 hours left, directly atop a green horizontal level plotted at $0.27884. Above, the next clearly marked resistance is the prior ran…
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Gold moved higher on Friday and is headed for a fifth straight weekly gain, as the market digests this week’s US rate cut and weighs up the Federal Reserve’s policy path for the rest of this year. Spot gold rose 0.6% at $3,665.54 per ounce as of 11:15 a.m. ET, while US gold futures climbed 0.7% higher at $3,702.30 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for live prices. Bullion is now on track for another weekly gain of 0.3%, riding the momentum of a record-setting rally that sent prices to an all-time high of $3,706.90 an ounce right after Wednesday’s 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed. However, the US central bank also gave warnings of persistent inflation, …
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Institutional staking may soon receive a significant boost as reports emerge that Grayscale is preparing to stake its substantial Ethereum holdings. This move would mark a pivotal shift for one of the world’s largest crypto asset managers, bringing billions of dollars worth of ETH into active network participation. In an X post, on-chain analyst CryptoGoos has brought to light a significant development in the institutional crypto space. Grayscale is reportedly preparing to stake its massive Ethereum holdings. Although not yet confirmed, such a move, which was flagged by on-chain data following a transfer of over 40,000 ETH, is a significant signal of Grayscale’s evolving…
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On Thursday, September 18, the Bitcoin price enjoyed some form of rejuvenation following the outcome of the United States Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced an interest rate cut for the first time in 2025. The general crypto market rallied on the back of this rate cut announcement, with the Bitcoin price running to a monthly high and almost breaking above the $118,000 level on the day. However, the premier cryptocurrency has failed to build on this momentum, retreating to around $115,500 on Friday, September 19. With price unable to sustain a serious rally, the question on the other side is—is the Bitcoin market o…
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Cardano (ADA) prices have dropped by 3.49% in the past week, amidst a broader crypto market correction. The popular altcoin now trades near the $0.90 price region following this significant bearish activity. However, renowned market expert Ali Martinez has shared an audacious bullish theory that suggests Cardano may be preparing for a major upside swing. ADA Price Structure Suggests Bullish Breakout Ahead, Analyst Says In a recent X post, Martinez provides some technical insight into the Cardano market, which highlights the potential for a significant price move based on historical price behavior and Fibonacci extension levels. Notably, Martinez’s analysis shows how ADA…
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Wall Street may be taming Bitcoin’s mood swings, turning BTC USD a little more like a major forex pair. Bitcoin held near $115,700 on Sunday, Sept. 21, as a growing question took center stage: is TradFi steadying Bitcoin’s swings or changing their shape? The debate picked up after fresh inflows to the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF and new remarks from Michael Saylor. In a Saturday interview on the Coin Stories podcast, Saylor said calmer price action helps, not hurts: “You want the volatility to decrease so the mega institutions feel comfortable entering the space and size.” He called it a normal “growing stage” as products and liquidity deepen. On the derivatives …
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Bitcoin price failed to extend gains above $117,750. BTC is now moving lower and might even test the $113,200 support zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $115,500 zone. The price is trading below $115,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $115,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $116,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $116,800 and $117,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A high was form…
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The euro is trading around 1.1730, reaching the support levels of the uptrend channel formed on August 26. The EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure following the Fed's interest rate decision unveiled last week. A recovery in EUR/USD is likely in the coming days. We could then look for a possible buy zone around 1.1700. The area where the Murray 8/8, the bottom of the uptrend channel, and the 200 EMA converge could serve as good support for the euro. Therefore, we could expect a technical rebound above this area, which will be seen as a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the euro breaks below 1.1703 and consolidates below this area, the instrument under bearish pressure …
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XRP price started a fresh decline below the $3.00 zone. The price is now showing bearish signs and might decline further below the $2.880 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $3.00 support zone. The price is now trading below $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.980 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.880. XRP Price Dips Below Support XRP price failed to extend gains above $3.20 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $3.050 and $3.020 support levels. The bears ev…
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Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pat…
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since July, with gains of close to 1%. In Monday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6589, down 0.07% on the day. Bullock says inflation in good place but China a concern RBA Governor Bullock testified before a parliamentary committee on Monday. Bullock said that inflation was in a "very good position" as higher interest rates had curbed demand. Still, she warned that there inflation risks remained on "both sides". Bullock was less positive about the geopolitical environment, warning that the significant change in the global trading system which had created massive uncertainty. The Reserve Bank was particularly …
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Canadian pension fund La Caisse is acquiring Australian renewables developer Edify Energy for C$1.1 billion ($725 million), securing a foothold in a market it has long sought to enter. La Caisse, which manages nearly C$500 billion ($550 billion) in net assets, will commit about C$1 billion in equity. Roughly one-third will go toward the acquisition, with the rest funding two integrated solar-and-battery projects. The deal marks La Caisse’s first investment in Australian renewables after years of searching for an entry point, including an unsuccessful bid for Tilt Renewables in 2021. “We don’t have renewables in Australia, which is something I was trying to fix…
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Copper prices held steady on Monday as traders continue to assess the impact of a major mine shutdown on global supplies. Three-month futures traded at above $10,000 per ton ($4.6125 per lb.) on the CME, down 0.3% for the day. In London, the metal traded at just under $10,000/ton, holding onto Friday’s advance. Click on chart for live prices. The moves follow an announcement by Freeport McMoRan that it will temporarily suspend its Grasberg mine in Indonesia — the second-largest copper producer in the world — following a mud flow incident that trapped seven workers underground two weeks ago. As of Monday, the bodies of two workers had been recovered. Operatio…
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EUR/USD Brief Analysis: The upward wave algorithm that began on July 31 continues to push the euro's main pair quotes toward the upper part of the chart. Since late August, the price has been forming a sideways corrective segment (B), which was still incomplete at the time of analysis. A week ago, the price entered a strong potential reversal zone and began pulling back, forming the final part (C) of the correction. Forecast for the Week: A bullish price vector is expected over the next few days, leading the euro toward calculated resistance levels. A reversal within this zone and a return to a bearish trend are likely by the weekend. The projected support/resistance zone…
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This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Technical: Bullish trend remains intact despite Japan’s PM resignation”, published on 8 September 2025. The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) has continued to remain in a bullish trend as expected and rallied by 5.3% to hit a fresh all-time high of 45,956 on last Thursday, 18 September 2025, ex-post FOMC. Thereafter, the Japan 225 CFD Index staged a minor corrective pull-back of -3.2% to print an intraday low of 44,485 on Friday, 19 September 2025, on the onset of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announcement to start unwinding its massive hoard of around 79.5 trillion yen of …
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Ever wondered what your grandfather’s coin collection is worth? Inherited old coins but not sure of their value? Or maybe you’re just starting your journey in numismatics? Coin grading is the key to understanding the true value and authenticity of your coins. In this guide, you’ll learn what coin grading is, why it matters, how grading scales work, and which professional coin grading services (PCGS, NGC, and CACG) you can trust. Q: What Is Coin Grading and Why Does It Matter? A: Coin grading is the process of evaluating a coin’s condition and authenticity. A certified grade confirms a coin is genuine and assigns it a numeric value that collectors and dealers recognize …
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Ever wondered what your grandfather’s coin collection is worth? Inherited old coins but not sure of their value? Or maybe you’re just starting your journey in numismatics? Coin grading is the key to understanding the true value and authenticity of your coins. In this guide, you’ll learn what coin grading is, why it matters, how grading scales work, and which professional coin grading services (PCGS, NGC, and CACG) you can trust. Q: What Is Coin Grading and Why Does It Matter? A: Coin grading is the process of evaluating a coin’s condition and authenticity. A certified grade confirms a coin is genuine and assigns it a numeric value that collectors and dealers recognize …
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