Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6915 tópicos neste fórum
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The USDCHF has been grinding steadily lower today after an early test of resistance in the Asian session. The pair briefly pushed up to 0.79948, just above the top of a swing area between 0.7986 and 0.7994, before sellers reasserted control. Fundamentals also leaned against the dollar after remarks from Swiss National Bank President Martin Schlegel. He reiterated that Technically, the move lower has extended into the U.S. session, with the pair breaking below another swing area between 0.7938 and 0.79471. Holding under this zone keeps sellers firmly in control and exposes the next downside target at 0.7910–0.79209. A further break would shift focus to the 2024 low at 0.…
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The United States continues to demonstrate why it remains the largest and most powerful economy in the world, consistently surprising markets with its resilience in the past few data releases. While market participants have been eager to question US strength—especially under President Trump’s “US Exceptionalism” policy, which many feared could backfire—recent economic data continues to challenge that narrative. Despite ongoing concerns over diplomatic volatility and declining business confidence, the US economy once again delivered upside surprises. The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected at 110K, surprised with a +37K beat, and the more influential ISM Services PM…
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The USDJPY surged in early trading following the resignation of Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba over the weekend. From Friday’s close at 147.382, the pair spiked higher in the Asian session, reaching a peak of 148.57—just above the 50% midpoint of the range defined since the August 1 high (148.555). However, momentum could not be sustained. That rally was quickly unwound, with the pair sliding to a European morning low of 147.457, pushing briefly below the 200-hour moving average at 147.727. Over the past several hours, price action has stabilized but remains choppy, with the pair oscillating above and below this key long-term average as traders digest two competing forces:…
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USDJPY, a historically volatile forex pair, has failed to break lows and has been consolidating at the low of its 2024 to today’s monthly range. Looking at higher timeframes allows us to see where prices currently stand and zones of interest as the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan’s Monetary policies diverge once again. From Monthly to Daily charts, we will look at zones of interest in potential breakouts or reversals. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purp…
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Markets are far from straightforward, and political instability doesn’t always translate into weakness in the subject currency. In Japan, Shigeru Ishiba’s resignation was expected since the Liberal Democratic Party he represents lost the vote in mid-July which preceded a stronger yen. Participants are relieved from the resignation that is taking place right ahead of a no-confidence vote in Japan that would oust the Prime Minister and provoke further political unrest. If you want to see how bad these turn out, look at France today (hosting some of the largest protests in years) after French PM Bayrou got kicked out, losing a no-confidence vote. Ishiba aimed to pursue t…
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Like other FX pairs, USDJPY has been held in a tight range for the past two full weeks. There is a lack of clarity regarding the outlook for US cuts due to contradicting data, supplemented by Markets having digested a more balanced/dovish tone from Powell rather than a fully dovish one (from a more balanced/hawkish tone regarding the impact of tariffs). The question remains: Will there be only 2 cuts this year? This would not change much to the FED's quarterly outlook from previous meetings. Markets are also awaiting more information regarding who will be the next FED board member. Reactions to the US Dollar have been minimal regarding the firing of Lisa Cook, a board …
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USDJPY has been range-bound between 142.30 and 146.29 since mid-May, following a five-month downtrend. Volatility within the range has remained elevated, driven by a combination of geopolitical developments and key data releases impacting multiple asset classes. From a geopolitical perspective, the conflict between Iran and Israel shows no clear signs of easing, with headlines emerging by the hour. Despite this, US equity markets have largely shrugged off risk-off sentiment, although they have pulled back from their intraday highs. Tonight, between 19:00 and 20:00 ET, the Bank of Japan will announce its latest rate decision. While no rate hike is expected, markets will b…
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USDJPY hasn’t failed to generate some volatility in the past few weeks. The pair, which had seen some steep up moves since the beginning of July, has been met by some sharp realities for its bulls. Such Daily ranges are strong, and without weekly closes or a substantial fundamental change, Technicals indicate that they are expected to hold. In today’s analysis, however, we will try to spot if anything from the new situation emerging in Japan has the potential to create a real upside breakout or if the range is deemed to continue. Also we'll be monitoring the effect of the ISM PMI results on the pair – Services PMI Came in with a beat (55.2 vs 53.0 exp) and Manufacturi…
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The most volatile major currency pair delivered another textbook session, marked by two-handle swings over consecutive days. After a brief show of strength, the U.S. Dollar resumed its broader decline against most major currencies. The post-war reversal was continued further after today's speech from Fed Chair Powell at the US Congress, in which he offered no fresh signals regarding a rate cut at the July 30 FOMC meeting—a message that markets are watching closely. The absence of new dovish guidance was interpreted as a continuation of the current policy stance, prompting traders to resume the prevailing bearish trend on the Greenback. The Japanese Yen, which had underp…
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USDJPY has been the most affected major pair since the US Dollar reversal that happened since July 1st, rising to a maximum of 6464 pips (around 4.50%), a consequential move in Forex. Beyond the position covering due to oversold and overpositions US Dollars adding to a conclusion of a weekly Head and Shoulders in the Dollar Index, Yen traders haven't been able to find any fundamental reason to be long that currency. Japan's monetary policy, despite being more hawkish than the past 20 years, is still loose – especially compared to the US which keeps pushing back their cuts (strong data obliges). Furthermore, a lack of new communication from the Bank of Japan is also cons…
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USDJPY, one of the most volatile FX pairs is still holding within a tight range as traders turn to metals with Gold making new all-time highs and Silver racing towards a fresh record. FED's Waller appeared with comments this morning, foreshadowing a Rate cut at the upcoming 18th of September FOMC Meeting but the outlook for the pace of cuts is still uncertain. As mentioned in our most recent USDJPY piece, the Bank of Japan would rather the Federal Reserve to move first to reduce the interest rate differential between the US and Japan which is detrimental to the Yen and hurting Japanese citizens' buying power. As a matter of fact, BoJ Governor Ueda met Japan's Prime Min…
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Good morning for the North-American readers and nice start to the week to everyone. The ongoing Forex session is a very calm one, as most traders brace for the upcoming US CPI data release tomorrow, with the most moving currency in the day being the AUD and NZD seeing some selling. France is also celebrating their National Day! (Bonne fête aux compatriotes !) Other markets have however seen some movements: the Singapore STI has been making records highs on its 6th consecutive sessionBitcoin hit highs of $123,000Orange Juice Futures are squeezing again (up above 18% on the session, +50% since July) Let's prepare for tomorrow's huge number by taking a look at where we sta…
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenA test of the 152.87 level occurred when the MACD indicator began moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the dollar, which resulted in a 35-pip rise in the pair. The Japanese yen remained under pressure after additional U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed concern about inflation yesterday, preferring a more cautious position on interest rates. The market reacted instantly to such rhetoric: the yen—already influenced by the dovish political stance of the new Prime Minister—faced additional selling pressure. The future direction of the USD/JPY pair will depend on how closely al…
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[USDX] – [Monday, September 22, 2025] With the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area and supported by both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, #USDX is likely to strengthen to its nearest Resistance in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.09 2. Resistance. 1 : 97.85 3. Pivot : 97.55 4. Support. 1 : 97.31 5. Support. 2 : 97.01 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks out and closes above 97.85, #USDX has the potential to strengthen to 98.09. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.09 is breached and closes above, it has the potential to continue its rally to 98.39. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if the price declines an…
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According to reports, USELESS coin surged 52% in a single day after becoming the first memecoin from LetsBONKfun to land on Binance. The price climbed from $0.19 to $0.33 during the initial burst, data from Coingecko shows, and many traders sold into that move overnight. Social interest rose alongside the price: 30-day growth was 42%, which translated to nearly 9,700 new followers, data from Messari shows. Exchange Listings Fuel Hype Reports have disclosed that other platforms moved quickly. Kraken listed the token amid the buzz, and Coinbase added USELESS to its listing roadmap, making the token visible to US markets. That wider exposure appears to have attracted …
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ChatGPT Agent went live on July 17, allowing users to delegate high-frequency trading logic and crypto analysis to AI. The tool is already changing how traders interact with markets. But that’s not all. Sam Altman confirmed this week that OpenAI GPT-5 will be here in early August. Today, the best crypto trades are being made using AI tools. Here’s what you should know: Why ChatGPT Agent Matters for Crypto Traders AI in crypto is nothing new. Yet what makes this new suite of upgrades different is execution. ChatGPT Agent combines browser tools, terminal access, spreadsheets, code interpreters, and API integrations into a unified desktop. It can monitor charts, track wha…
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US Oil is still in the range established after the first part of May. The commodity prices have been whipsawing throughout the past few weeks. Fears from higher supply have been priced in which can be observed as prices are consolidating - The prices are bouncing sharply from every retest of the mid-month lows. WTI is currently up 1.24% on the day, trading at 62.20. Dive into a technical analysis comprising the 1H timeframe and a look on the Daily picture. US Oil Hourly Chart Analysis close …
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Vale Base Metals, a subsidiary of Vale (NYSE: VALE), has commissioned a second furnace at its Onça Puma ferronickel complex in southeastern Pará, Brazil, increasing the asset’s nominal production capacity by 60%. The start-up of Furnace 2 adds 15,000 tonnes of nickel production capacity, lifting Onça Puma’s nameplate output to 40,000 tonnes per year. The company said the investment will allow higher production at lower costs, consolidating Onça Puma as Brazil’s largest ferronickel operation. CEO Shaun Usmar told Reuters that the expansion places Vale Base Metals in a “very strong position” once the market recovers, despite current low nickel prices driven by overs…
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Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE) said on Monday that it has obtained a preliminary environmental licence for its Bacaba copper project in Pará state. The miner expects to invest about $290 million during the project’s implementation phase. The Bacaba project is designed to extend the operational life of the nearby Sossego mining complex, contributing an average of approximately 50,000 tonnes of copper per year over eight years of operation, with production scheduled to begin in the first half of 2028. “This is the first in a series of copper projects that Vale intends to develop in the Carajás mineral province, as part of a strategic plan to double its copper productio…
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Vale (NYSE: VALE) has officially reopened the Capanema iron ore mine in Ouro Preto, Minas Gerais, after a 22-year halt, as part of an investment strategy worth R$ 67 billion ($12.2 billion) through 2030. The reactivated Capanema unit, which received about R$ 5.2 billion ($950 million) in investments, will operate without using water in processing, generating no tailings and removing the need for dams. The shift toward dry processing has been a central goal for Vale following the deadly collapses of two tailings dams in Minas Gerais in 2015 and 2019, disasters that killed hundreds of people and caused widespread environmental devastation. The majority of Vale’s…
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Weeks after its high-profile spinout from Anglo American, newly listed Valterra Platinum (JSE: VAL) is charting its independent course in the platinum group metals (PGM) sector. With a valuation of £8.5 billion ($11.5bn) and assets spanning operations in South Africa and Zimbabwe, CEO Craig Miller says the company is positioned for sustainable growth and disciplined returns despite a volatile market. In an interview with MINING.com host Devan Murugan, Miller emphasized that the demerger gave Valterra a platform to showcase the quality of its long-life, high-reserve assets and its talented team. “It’s been a real privilege to demonstrate that on the global stag…
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During a recent interview on Fox Business, VanEck CEO Jan van Eck shared his view on which cryptocurrency he believes has become the top choice among Wall Street investors. He made it clear that the answer is not XRP, a token many expected to fill that role. According to him, Ethereum is becoming the primary choice for banks and large financial companies due to the rise of stablecoins and digital currencies, and institutions that want to remain competitive cannot afford to ignore it. Ethereum Crowned The “Wall Street Token” By VanEck CEO Jan van Eck said Ethereum is the blockchain network to which Wall Street institutions are increasingly turning as its smart contracts a…
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On Friday, VanEck, asset manager and cryptocurrency exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer, announced a new filing for a spot Solana ETF backed by JitoSOL with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This marks a significant change from other crypto ETFs as it would be the first fund to utilize a liquid staking token. A New Era For Liquid Staking? JitoSOL functions as a liquid staking token on the Solana blockchain, representing both staked SOL and the rewards associated with it. This structure allows users to stake their SOL through the Jito Network while retaining the liquidity necessary for participation in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. Consequently…
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Vanguard is finally starting to take crypto seriously. The company is considering a move that would let its customers trade crypto ETFs directly from its platform. This is a big deal for a firm that’s always been cautious about digital assets. While other major players have already embraced crypto ETFs, Vanguard has held off until now. That hesitation might be coming to an end. Why Vanguard Might Be Reconsidering The pressure has been building. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have pulled in over 70 billion dollars, and a lot of that interest is coming from everyday investors. People are no longer waiting around for approval from traditional institutions. They want a…
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Types of Gold Bars: A Practical Buyer’s Guide When people talk about “buying gold,” they often mean gold bars. But the types of gold bars you can buy differ in purity, format, size, maker, and—most important—how easily you can resell them. This guide breaks it all down in plain English so you can choose bars that match your budget, storage plan, and exit strategy. No fluff. Just what matters at purchase and at resale. What Is a Gold Bar, Really? A gold bar is refined gold shaped into a uniform piece with clear markings. Legitimate bars display weight, purity (usually 0.999 or 0.9999), and the refiner’s name or hallmark. Many include a serial number and arrive sealed in a…
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