Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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One of the world’s oldest investment institutions, Morgan Stanley, has advised clients to allocate 2-4% of their investment portfolios to crypto. With a strong spotlight on Bitcoin as a “scarce asset, akin to digital gold,” Morgan Stanley’s suggestion is a pivot in Wall Street’s stance toward digital assets. On 5 October 2025, Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee (GIC) formally released a set of portfolio allocation guidelines, wherein “opportunistic growth portfolios were suggested up to 4% crypto allocation.” Meanwhile, Bitcoin price (BTC) climbed to a new all-time high overnight, reaching about $125,700 during Sunday’s Asia session before pulling back to the …
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Global markets hit new highs On Thursday, the MSCI global equity index climbed to an all-time peak. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar retreated as expectations of interest rate cuts grew. The softer labor market data outweighed the stronger-than-expected inflation reading. Inflation accelerated Consumer prices rose by 0,4% in August, the fastest pace in seven months, following a 0,2% increase in July. Housing costs advanced by 0,4%, while food prices went up by 0,5%. The category of food consumed at home recorded an even sharper gain of 0,6%. Rate cut expectations Traders are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its upcoming meet…
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While US inflation continues to climb, elevated jobless claims are capturing more attention in the markets. Expectations for three rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year are strengthening. The ECB held rates steady at 2% as anticipated. The Nikkei and KOSPI set new all-time highs, following Wall Street's lead. Oil prices stabilized, gaining more than $1 per barrel. Global markets hit new records On Thursday, the MSCI World Equity Index reached a historic peak. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields and the dollar fell on the back of expectations for imminent monetary easing. Weaker-than-expected labor market data outweighed concerns over higher inflation. Inflation accel…
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Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says The U.S. stock market slipped on Wednesday, just a day after it had closed higher for three straight sessions. Traders seemed to be weighing what Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, and they also were waiting for more data later in the week. Investors are moving carefully, because the central bank tries to juggle inflation worries while a softening job market looms. Powell noted on Tuesday that asset prices look fairly over‑valued. His peers split on the policy path, and the chair kept stressing the tightrope the Fed must walk. The S&P 500 energy sub‑index rose about 2%, helped by ris…
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Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading softer against most G10 and emerging market currencies today. The dollar seemed to lose its bid late yesterday after Federal Reserve Governor Waller argued in favor a rate cut at this month's meeting, despite the TIC data that showed foreign investors bought more US securities in May than they did in the first five months of 2024 ($311 bln vs $95 bln), driving home the message again that the talk of a capital strike against the US over its large deficit/debt or loss of "American exceptionalism" has been grossly exaggerated. The US announced a 93.5% tariff on graphite from China (given the other tariffs the effective rates is near 160%), …
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Walmart’s fintech venture, OnePay, is set to introduce Bitcoin and Ethereum trading and custody features to its mobile app later this year. This means users will soon be able to buy, sell, hold, and store both cryptocurrencies directly through the app. The setup is being powered by Zerohash, a crypto infrastructure provider, which will handle the back-end services. Blending Crypto with Everyday Spending What makes this launch unique is how OnePay plans to integrate cryptocurrency with everyday purchases. The app may let users convert their crypto into cash inside the platform, which they can then use at Walmart stores or even to pay down credit card balances. Instea…
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Wirehouse advisors are finding a new way to give clients a taste of Bitcoin and Ethereum without asking them to wrestle with private keys or new wallets. They’re pointing clients toward shares in companies like Strategy (MSTR) and Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR). Those stocks hold or mine crypto directly, so owning a share is almost like owning a slice of Bitcoin or Ether itself. Treasury Stocks Offer Direct Crypto Exposure According to recent filings, Ark Invest bought about 4.4 million shares of BMNR, a position worth roughly $175 million. That move highlights how big investors view treasury stocks: they’re a familiar vehicle wrapped around digital assets. Str…
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Bitcoin’s run above $120,000 has drawn fresh selling from the very people who dug it up. On July 15, miners sent a hefty 16,000 Bitcoin to exchanges—the most in a single day since April—raising questions about how long the rally can keep climbing. According to CryptoQuant data, those daily outflows edged past the earlier high, signaling that miners are cashing in on recent gains. That kind of supply surge can weigh on prices, at least for a little while. Miner Sales Hit Yearly High Based on reports from CryptoQuant, the jump to 16K BTC occurred as miners sensed a chance to lock in profits after Bitcoin’s latest spike. Earlier this year, on the way up from $75K to …
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Bitcoin continues to trade below its record high set earlier this month, hovering above the $119,000 mark. While price action over the past week has shown only a modest 0.3% gain, analysts suggest the market may be nearing a turning point. The sideways movement in price has not deterred the broader bullish outlook, but on-chain indicators now suggest caution may be warranted. One such indicator comes from CryptoQuant’s QuickTake contributor Arab Chain, who flagged potential overheating in Bitcoin’s current market structure. Bitcoin Bullish Trend Persists, but Signs Point to Caution In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the behavior of the Bull and Bear Market Cycle…
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Bitcoin continues to maintain its upward trajectory following a minor correction, now trading at $107,251, reflecting a 2.3% increase over the past week. Although still trailing its May all-time high of $111,000 by around 4%, the asset’s price action signals a notable return of momentum. The crypto market, led by Bitcoin, has seen renewed trading activity in recent weeks as investor sentiment oscillates between bullish optimism and profit-taking behavior. According to new on-chain data analyzed by CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha, Bitcoin may be approaching a critical phase that demands greater attention from market participants. Open Interest Spikes Signal Potential …
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Bitcoin’s price remains under pressure after retreating from its record high above $124,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $113,146, reflecting a decline of 8.7% from its recent peak, though it has recorded a modest 1.8% daily increase. The movement highlights ongoing volatility, as investors weigh both on-chain metrics and broader market sentiment to determine whether the bull cycle can regain strength. Analysts have pointed to a shift in behavior among large traders, particularly on Binance, the world’s largest exchange by volume. According to Arab Chain, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, the activity of whales, investor…
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is intensifying her scrutiny of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, by demanding clarifications from the US Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding the crypto company’s compliance with a 2023 settlement agreement. This comes in the wake of concerns about the exchange’s alleged ties to President Donald Trump’s administration and the potential easing of regulatory oversight. Warren Pressures DOJ On Binance Compliance Following years of legal challenges, which culminated in the resignation and brief imprisonment of former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) over allegations of money laundering in the US, Binance appeared to have navigated a pa…
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is turning up the heat on the Department of Justice. She wants real answers about how the agency is handling Binance after the company’s massive 2023 settlement. Warren says the DOJ is dodging her questions and that the public deserves more clarity about what’s actually happening behind the scenes. Questions That Still Haven’t Been Answered Back in May, Warren and two other senators sent a letter asking the DOJ if Binance was sticking to its side of the deal. They also wanted to know whether the department had discussed a pardon for Binance’s co-founder Changpeng Zhao. The DOJ responded, but Warren says the answers were vague and didn’t actually …
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Washington State just dropped the hammer on a crypto-linked fraud operation, filing to seize $7.1 million in digital assets tied to an international oil storage scam. The scheme lured investors with promises of high returns, but it turns out that everything is smoke. Backed by the DoJ and Homeland Security Investigations, the civil action targets crypto wallets allegedly used to launder investor funds. The main suspect, Geoffrey K. Auyeung, already faces a criminal indictment and could see up to 200 years behind bars. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.36T24h7d30d1yAll time Inside the Oil Storage Scam: Crypto, Shell Companies, and Global Laundering Fraud Investigation suggest…
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The Bitcoin price has not had quite the same spark it did at the beginning of the last month so far in June. The premier cryptocurrency has somewhat struggled to break out of a consolidation range since reaching a new all-time high in the month of May. The Bitcoin price recently succumbed to bearish pressure, falling to around $101,000 on Friday, June 6. While the market leader has enjoyed some resurgence to begin the weekend, a prominent blockchain firm has now identified significant levels in the event of a return to the $100,000 level in the coming days. Here Are The Next Support Levels For BTC In a June 6 post on the social media platform X, crypto analytics firm Se…
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Hours after Ripple Labs said it would abandon its long-running appeal in its securities case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, watched market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) on X argued that XRP’s price structure has already completed its corrective phase and is “now wave 3 in motion.” The pseudonymous trader described how Friday’s slide to $2.07 had “tagged” three separate Fibonacci confluence markers—the 0.618 retracement of the March-to-May rally, a 1:1 equality projection for wave C of the prior correction, and a 0.618 extension of sub-wave 5. “The market snapped upward from that exact price,” she observed, before adding: “$2.07 tagged. $2.25 loadin…
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The XRP price may be on the verge of a significant breakout, according to a new wave count analysis combining the Elliott Wave Theory and the Wyckoff reaccumulation principles. After months of sideways trading and corrective movement, analysts have pinpointed a critical price level that could serve as a trigger point for XRP’s next leg higher. XRP Price Primed For Major Lift-Off From This Level A new analysis published by crypto analyst the ‘Charting Prodigy’ on X (formerly Twitter) suggests that the XRP price is following a clear Elliott Wave structure that began forming after the April lows this year. The price has completed Wave 1 of a new impulse cycle, followed by …
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Singapore-based WazirX is shifting its base to Panama after local courts ruled against its restructuring plan. The crypto exchange announced the court’s decision via a post on X on 4 June 2025. In an email shared with its user base, WazirX detailed recently redacted documents revealing Zettai, WazirX’s parent company, will move to Panama and rebrand itself in the region. The document read, “Zettai has taken steps to incorporate a subsidiary, Zensui Corporation, in the Republic of Panama, and has been preparing for the transfer of the operations of the Platform’s cryptocurrency-related services to Zensui.” This news comes in the wake of Singapore’s central bank mandatin…
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The latest What Bitcoin Did episode, hosted by Danny Knowles, turns squarely to the question stalking one of the market’s hottest trades: can the boom in “Bitcoin treasury” companies withstand the next prolonged drawdown? Dylan LeClair, who helps lead the Bitcoin strategy at Tokyo-listed MetaPlanet, argues the answer rests less on ideology than on balance-sheet engineering, scale, and the willingness to endure volatility without blinking. “There’s sort of a ‘gradually then suddenly’ inflection point,” he said, describing how corporate exposure to Bitcoin has migrated from gimmick to boardroom agenda. The shift, in his view, is irreversible, but survival “is a constant fig…
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Two currencies are at the center of Forex movement in this volatile session: the Kiwi and the Yen — and not in a favorable spot. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a 50 bps rate cut, twice as large as many anticipated and only half priced in before the event. The decision followed a string of disappointing economic data that confirmed deeper cracks in New Zealand’s fragile economy — a trend that had pushed markets toward a dovish repricing earlier this summer. With the move from the central bank, the NZD took a large hit, particularly from the hesitant pre-meeting pricing (a smaller 25 bps was also 50% priced). But how much worse can it get? A larger cut today ma…
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The Israel-Iran war continues, but outside of oil, the capital markets have barely reacted. WTI rose by about 2.7% last week after a 13% rally the previous week. It reached levels not seen since early January. The average retail price of unleaded gasoline has risen by almost 2.5% this month. The price of gold fell by nearly 2% last week, its first weekly decline in three. The dollar rose against all of the G10 currencies. The US tariff threats, with postponement of the so-called reciprocal tariffs coming to an end on July 9, continue to cast a long shadow. The last-minute scramble for deals has begun. The recent doubling of the US steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% seem to…
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The week ahead features five G10 central bank meetings. Two will most likely cut rates, the US and Canada, and two will stand pat, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. Norges Bank, Norway's central bank also meets. It is a close call but we lean slightly in favor of it cutting 25 bp, which would bring the deposit rate to 4%. The Federal Reserve is the most interesting. First, the Senate is expected to confirm President Trump's nomination, Stephen Miran as appointment as Fed governor Monday afternoon, less than 24 hours before the beginning of the FOMC meeting. While a 25 bp cut is the most likely scenario, the derivatives markets are discounting almost a 10% chanc…
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President Trump says there are trade talks with China. Beijing denies it. Around the time the US reports that the world's largest economy contracted slightly in Q1 (0.3% annualized), US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the effective embargo was shutting down the China's economy. The week ended with China's Commerce Ministry statement that it was evaluating US overtures for trade talks, which implies the US caved, as the psych-ops continue. Trump and Bessent's call for lower interest rates will get little attention for the Federal Reserve. With a decent jobs report in hand, the Fed has no incentive to either cut rates or signal that it is preparing to cut. The uncertai…
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The market was caught leaning the wrong way. Anticipation that Federal Reserve Governor Powell was going to push against speculation of a September rate cut had underpinned the US dollar and short-term rates. The S&P 500 had sold off for five consecutive sessions, the longest losing streak of the year through August 21. Powell said two things that spurred a rally in US financial assets and triggered a sharp and broad dollar sell-off. The Fed Chair said that the "situation suggests downside risks to employment are rising" and that the "shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting policy." Moreover, we note that the early forecasts point to another poor employment re…
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