Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6916 tópicos neste fórum
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei at Three- Week Lows Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Japanese stocks experienced a widespread sell-off on Wednesday as investors chose to cash in profits following the market's recent strong rally, marking the beginning of the second half of the fiscal year. The main Nikkei index fell by 0.85%, closing at its lowest point since September 11, and marking its fourth straight session of losses. The broader Topix index also lost 1.37%. This decline followed a spectacular September for the Nikkei, which gained 5.2% and hit a record high, largely driven by chip-making equipment maker Tokyo Electron which soa…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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Bitcoin surged past the $115,000 level just a few hours ago, sparking speculation among investors about the potential for further upside. The move comes after weeks of tight consolidation that began in July, a period marked by choppy trading and indecision. Now, with momentum showing signs of returning, many analysts believe the next breakout could be aggressive, setting the tone for the final quarter of the year. The reclaim of $115,000 has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders closely watching whether Bitcoin can build a base above this threshold and aim for the next major resistance at $117,500. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases have often preceded str…
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Guanajuato Silver Company (TSXV: GSVR) is looking to raise as much as C$43 million ($31 million) in a bought deal public offering to support its Mexican mine operations. However, its shares dropped nearly 15% on the news. The company initially announced that it planned to raise C$30 million through the sale of 60 million units priced at C$0.50 each, but later increased the offering to C$43 million (87 million units) due to strong demand. The units each carry one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant, with each whole warrant exercisable at C$0.65 per share for three years. Guanajuato Silver’s stock traded at C$0.46 with a market capitaliz…
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An update for Aclara Resources’ (TSX: ARA) Carina project in Brazil has lifted most of the deposit to the indicated category and raised grades for its four rare earths compared to the previous estimate. Shares jumped. The update converts 79% of the inferred resource from last year’s preliminary economic assessment (PEA) to 236.3 million indicated tonnes, Aclara reported Wednesday. Grades rose at least 3% to 293 parts per million (ppm) neodymium praseodymium (NdPr), 43 ppm dysprosium and 6.8 ppm terbium for 371,492 tonnes of total rare earth oxides (TREO). Carina is in the central state of Goiás. “The quality of the Carina deposit has been affirmed,” Aclara chief o…
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The latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting delivered a few surprises, helping the Australian dollar hold its ground against the U.S. dollar. However, the long-term outlook remains uncertain. As expected, the RBA left interest rates unchanged at 3.6%, as inflation remains at its highest level since July 2024. The RBA directly acknowledged this inflation risk, stating: "...while recent data is incomplete and volatile, it suggests that inflation in the September quarter may come in higher than anticipated during the August Monetary Policy Statement." The central bank also noted signs of recovering consumer demand, which increases the risk of upward pressure on p…
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Six years ago, as many economists acknowledge, the government shutdown was not a total shutdown. At that time, the U.S. Congress had managed to approve at least part of the budget for the upcoming fiscal year, so not all federal employees were at risk of being furloughed. In 2025, however, the situation is very different. Virtually all public servants are now under threat because Democrats and Republicans have failed to agree on fundamental spending issues. It's also important to note that a U.S. federal employee is not limited to the stereotypical desk worker or postal carrier. It also includes military personnel, who, although they will not be dismissed, will also not r…
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The final — and perhaps most important — point to consider is the economy. When government spending is slashed and up to 1 million federal employees are furloughed, economic and business activity drops abruptly. American consumers cut back on spending, and business revenues, along with personal incomes, decline. Between 2018 and 2019, the U.S. economy contracted by 0.4%, and between 2012 and 2013, by 0.6%. However, economists noted that the 2018–2019 shutdown was only partial, while in 2012–2013, it was total. This means that in just two weeks of a total shutdown, the U.S. economy sustained one and a half times more damage than it did during five weeks of a partial shutdo…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair tried to continue its upward movement toward the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802, but the news background dampened bullish sentiment. No trading signals were generated yesterday. Today, a rebound from the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695 would favor the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 1.1789–1.1802 zone, while a close below this level would open the way to a decline toward the support zone of 1.1637–1.1645. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the previous wave's low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" …
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While investors are becoming euphoric due to the perceived strong start to what everybody is calling ‘Uptober’, several warning signs are emerging that point toward a market-wide crash, which could see BTC price fall below $100k, dragging altcoins along with it. The Bitcoin 1-day chart is flashing a bearish signal, while the US Government has just gone into shutdown. Meanwhile, there is a strong consensus online among traders calling for new crypto highs in October and throughout Q4. Whenever the majority of investors are aligned on the direction of the market, historically, the opposite tends to happen. Today, the global cryptocurrency market cap is $4.18T, up 1.9% in …
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GBP/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, GBP/USD also traded lower, although the British pound had absolutely no grounds for decline. One might assume that the euro pulled the pound down with it, but even the euro's fall raises questions—particularly since it started two hours after the weak unemployment report was published. The technical picture on the hourly timeframe remains unchanged. Despite Wednesday's and Thursday's declines, the new uptrend is still valid, though it remains very weak and uncertain as long as the Senkou Span B line is not broken. Friday may not provide clarity either and could create even more confusion. For starters, it is still unclear whether U.S.…
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Australia-based Fleet Space Technologies, developer and operator of microsatellites that deliver universal connectivity, has opened a new global headquarters (GHQ) and space-tech hyperfactory at Adelaide Airport’s Catalyst Park. Fleet Space’s 5,300m²+ facility boosts Australia’s advanced manufacturing capacity, enabling the production of thousands of next-generation geophysical sensors and hundreds of satellites annually, the company said. The GHQ and space-tech factory will support the expansion of its global, AI-powered exploration platform – ExoSphere – deployed by the major mining and resource companies including Rio Tinto, Barrick, Gold Fields, and Maaden …
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Bitcoin is presently valued in the $122,000 price region following an impressive price surge over the last week. Notably, bullish sentiments around the crypto market leader are presently strong as analysts speculate that another accumulation phase may have commenced. On-chain analytics page, Swissblock has now provided an in-depth analysis of the present market situation, with insights on potential drivers for profits or losses. BTC Dip To $108,600 A Constructive Reset Earlier this month, Bitcoin registered a sharp decline from $117,000 to $108,600, sparking fears of a deeper correction. Although the market has since recovered, Swissblock explains that several on-chain…
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According to the latest on-chain data, Bitcoin has been witnessing an interesting change in its holder behavior, further intensifying the bullish speculation in the market. Bitcoin UTXO Count Declines As Price Surges In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that long-term Bitcoin investors seem to be changing their investment strategy by increasingly holding on to their coins. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin UTXO Count metric, which tracks the total number of individual unspent transaction outputs on the blockchain. For context, an unspent transaction output is an amount of a cryptocurrency (in this case, Bitcoin) th…
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Fed Faces Dilemma Ahead of October 29 FOMC Meeting Data Accuracy With the next Federal Reserve (FOMC) decision scheduled for October 29, policymakers are facing an unusual challenge: the government shutdown has delayed critical economic data, leaving the Fed “flying blind” just weeks before its next interest rate call. At the September meeting, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, and market pricing suggests traders expect another cut in October. But with a slowing labor market and persistent inflation pressures, the decision won’t be straightforward. What Is the Fed’s Dual Mandate? The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate, set by Congress, consists of two key goals: M…
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According to veteran investor Pumpius, who says he has watched crypto since 2013, XRP may be poised for a sharp move higher. He outlines nine catalysts that he believes could push the price toward double digits, and even as high as $50, all within the next five months. ETF Approvals Could Unlock Institutional Flows Reports have disclosed that the SEC has sped up ETF reviews, and several crypto funds already list XRP, including Grayscale’s Multi-Asset Fund. Pumpius says a standalone XRP spot ETF is likely to arrive soon because deadlines are closing in. He argues that when ETFs go live, institutional money will pour in, raising liquidity and lifting prices quickly. Rip…
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Dark times are ahead for EUR/USD traders—and for all dollar-based pairs. The continued U.S. government shutdown has halted the release of official economic data. For instance, last week was supposed to bring September's Nonfarm Payrolls numbers, but traders had to settle for the ADP report, which does not cover government employees or several other non-agricultural sectors. This week, key inflation metrics (CPI/PPI) are scheduled for release, but they are unlikely to be published unless Congress unexpectedly reopens the government. If the shutdown continues—which remains the most likely scenario—EUR/USD traders will be forced to operate in a state of information vacuum. …
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Solana found support near the $205 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains above $220 and might soon aim for more gains above $232. SOL price started a fresh increase above $215 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $227 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls clear $235 and $242. Solana Price Aims Higher Solana price remained supported above the $215 pivot level and extended gains, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $220 and $225 resistanc…
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On Monday, from the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a possible upward move may occur toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retraceme…
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Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
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What’s next for the Shiba Inu price chart after the recent crash? After ten straight days of nonstop incident response, the Shiba Crypto development team has stabilized the Shibarium network and rescued 4.6 Mn BONE tokens from an attacker’s delegation contract. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Dogecoin DOGE $0.2584 0.25% Dogecoin DOGE Price $0.2584 0.25% /24h Volume in 24h $2.67B …
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Bitcoin had been steadily consolidating above the $110,000 mark since July (dipping only twice below before rallying consequently), but hadn’t been able to retake its record levels. Hesitancy was the norm: Summer trading tends to reduce inflows, and supplemented with weakening US Data, the Greenback finding a bottom (will it hold?) and Gold taking all the attention, Cryptocurrencies were a bit more timid. Timid but solid, however, a lack of pursued upside was far from implying weakness. The Crypto Market Cap held steadily around and above the 2021 and 2024 peaks, proof that buyers were not backing out of historically elevated valuations. Nonetheless, a mid-to-end Septe…
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The “Takaichi Trade” Tokyo Japan The “Takaichi Trade” Explained Global markets have already coined a new phrase called the “Takaichi Trade.” It refers to the market reaction following the election of Japan’s new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, who is widely seen as a supporter of former leader Shinzō Abe’s economic strategy known as Abenomics. While it’s still unclear how closely Takaichi will follow Abe’s playbook, traders have wasted no time expressing their views by buying Japanese stocks, selling the yen (JPY), and selling bonds. The move reflects expectations of policies favoring growth, stimulus, and a weaker yen, all hallmarks of the Abenomics era. (NEWSQUAWK…
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