Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12219 tópicos neste fórum
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Burkina Faso has moved to reassure investors that its request to acquire an additional 35% stake in West African Resources’ (ASX: WAF) Kiaka gold mine is an option, not a demand, under the country’s new mining framework. Speaking at a mining conference in Australia, Mamadou Sagnon, director-general of the mining registry, explained that the Mining Code introduced in July last year allows the state to secure a minimum 30% paid interest in mining projects, in addition to its 15% free-carried stake. The paid portion is linked to exploration and feasibility costs rather than the mine’s market valuation. Speaking at at mining conference in Australia, the country’s dire…
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Panama is expected to have all information necessary to make a decision on First Quantum’s (TSX: FM) shuttered copper mine by the end of this year, according to its Minister of Commerce and Industry Julio Moltó. Speaking with local media this week, Moltó confirmed that the terms of reference for Cobre Panamá’s environmental and comprehensive audit have been consolidated into a single review process. He added that the Ministry of Environment has already selected the firm responsible for conducting the audit, which was slated to begin this month. “I understand that the company has been defined, and the audit should commence shortly, pending the awarding of the contr…
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The latest U.S. employment report is direct evidence that the Federal Reserve has no option but to return to a looser monetary policy. A few years ago, unemployment was at a half-century low. Now, this troubling rate has reached its highest level since 2021, recorded at the height of the pandemic. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. unemployment rate of 4.3% raises concerns that the labor market—hit both by uncertainty and by rising costs associated with Trump's trade war—is on the brink of a more significant downturn. These 4.3% are not just numbers in a report. They represent a complex picture of interconnected economic forces steadily eroding the fo…
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Markets had been desperately awaiting the Non-Farm Payrolls report before making their next move. Yet even after the release, uncertainty remains. Non-Farm Payrolls and their impact on the upcoming weeks Markets had been waiting for today for a while. This Friday brought us the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls report for August, and the numbers were certainly a surprise. The consequential miss—with just 22K new jobs vs 75K exp, and further downward revisions—paints a degrading picture for the labor market. While this would have spurred an immediate risk-off reaction, stocks opened slightly higher, but the reaction quickly shifted when the US equity markets opened, and…
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The US Treasury is going after cyber scam operations in Southeast Asia that have quietly drained over $10 billion from Americans. In its latest move, it announced sanctions on 19 different entities tied to these scams, nine in Myanmar and ten in Cambodia. The focus is on schemes known as “pig butchering,” where victims are manipulated into sending money through fake investment platforms, often built around fabricated romantic relationships. Shwe Kokko in Myanmar Comes Into Focus Much of the attention is on Shwe Kokko, a compound in Myanmar linked to these scams. It’s not just a random location. This area is under the control of the Karen National Army and has long been k…
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US Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food & Energy August (Core) (YoY): +2.8% vs +3.5% expected, below consensus by -0.7%US Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food & Energy August (Core) (MoM): -0.1% vs +0.3% expected, below consensus by -0.4%US Producer Price Index (PPI) August (YoY): 2.6% vs +3.3% expected, below consensus by -0.7%US Producer Price Index (PPI) August (MoM): -0.1% vs +0.3% expected, below consensus by -0.4%US Producer Price Index Report (August 2025): …
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure is preserved. This allows for accurate forecasts. It should be noted that the wave pattern does not always look textbook-like. At present, however, it looks very clear. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are growing. Trump's "One Big Law" will add 3 trillion dollars to the U.S. national debt, and the…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very quietly on Wednesday, as it has for most of the past few months. The chart below highlights that euro volatility has rarely exceeded 70-75 pips per day. That's not low, but not particularly high either. In addition, in the last month, we've seen movements that are very similar to a sideways flat. Despite a mild upward bias and the dollar's inability to even stage a meaningful correction, the price mainly remained between 1.1597 and 1.1719. Last Friday, prices broke out of this stubborn range, but by the start of the week, they had already returned to it. And, inexplicably, they returned to this range even though Tuesday saw the releas…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.249, pressing against the upper end of a six-week range between $0.22 and $0.25. Technical indicators now hint at a potential rally, with the meme coin attracting renewed attention from investors. The 20-day EMA near $0.225, alongside the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages clustered below $0.220, highlight a strong support zone. With the RSI at 60–61, DOGE shows steady buying momentum without being overbought. Similarly, the MACD histogram has turned positive, signaling a resurgence in bullish sentiment following muted August trading. Resistance at $0.25 Could Unlock Higher Targets Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory hinges on whet…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very calmly during most of Thursday—at least, up until the US inflation report came out, which is now much more important than the ECB meeting. But more on that later. Let's remember that volatility has noticeably declined over the last one and a half to two months, which, perhaps not coincidentally, matches the period when there's been no trending movement in the market. So, the market has effectively taken a pause and seems in no hurry to end it. From our point of view, the US dollar still has plenty of fundamental reasons to keep falling—reasons we discuss constantly. Any strengthening of the dollar should be viewed as a normal correcti…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1742 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the upside potential of the pair—especially after weak data from the eurozone. Reported inflation in eurozone countries was almost exactly in line with analysts' expectations, which did not allow the euro to show significant growth. In the second half of the day, only a limited set of US economic data will be released, including the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and related inflation expectations. Only convincing numbers can trigger renewed dollar gains against the euro. The index is expected to s…
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Copper jumped to a 15-month high on Monday amid a broader risk-on rally, as traders prepare for this week’s US Federal Reserve meeting with the expectation of a long-awaited interest rate cut. Futures on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1% to $10,173 a ton, the highest since June 2024. Those on the COMEX also gained 1.5% to $4.726 a pound, or about $10,419 a ton. Click on chart for live prices. Copper, a bellwether for the health of the global economy, has now risen for six consecutive trading sessions, as a stream of weak US economic data led traders to raise their bets on the Fed cutting rates. It is widely anticipated that a quarter-point rate cut will c…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 147.45 coincided with MACD moving far above zero, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar, which turned out to be correct. A sharp 0.5% rise in Japan's services activity index supported the yen. As a key part of the Japanese economy, growth in services reflects improved consumer and business confidence, potentially boosting domestic demand and easing recession fears, which favorably affects the attractiveness of the yen. Still, one indicator should not be overestimated. The situation on the currency markets is complex and influenced by many factors, including tomorr…
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Pantera Lithium (ASX: PFE) said on Tuesday that shareholders overwhelmingly voted in favour of the proposed sale of its subsidiary Daytona Lithium Pty Ltd to Energy Exploration Technologies (EnergyX). Daytona Lithium indirectly owns mineral rights in southwest Arkansas, and EnergyX is progressing its project Lonestar Lithium in the Smackover with its near completed demonstration plant. This summer, EnergyX bought another 35,000 acres in the Smackover, an underground geological formation stretching from Florida to Texas filled with lithium-rich brine, in a $26 million cash and shares deal, upping the company’s stake to 47,500 acres. Analysts estimate the Sm…
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Ethereum has shown signs of strength after completing a healthy pullback. Having met and retested its $4,811 target, ETH is now holding firm, suggesting the correction phase may be over. If buyers regain control, the path could open for a powerful rally in the near term. Ethereum Pulls Back, But Bullish Signals Confirm Strength Javon Marks, in his most recent update, emphasized that ETH reached the $4,811.71 target before entering a pullback phase. Despite the temporary dip, bullish signals have re-emerged, indicating that ETH has regained strength and could soon retest this important level. He noted that surpassing the $4,811.71 zone would mark a decisive step forwar…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are quite a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Wednesday, but it's worth reminding novice traders that yesterday's calendar was also full of data—yet none of it had any impact on the dollar, euro, or pound. So a similar situation might occur today. For instance, what should we expect from the second estimate of eurozone inflation, when this reading already has almost no impact on the ECB? US construction and real estate data are unlikely to be more important than industrial production and retail sales, which the market ignored yesterday. Thus, the only data of real interest is the UK inflation report. Fundamental Events Analys…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe first test of the 1.3646 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move up from the zero mark, confirming this as the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose, stopping just short of the 1.3671 target. UK labor market data kept demand for the pound healthy in the first half of the day, after which dollar weakness returned. Despite the lack of strong positives in the published data, the mere resilience of the UK labor market—contrary to some analysts' expectations—supported the national currency. Investors who feared a sharp deterioration got a signal that the UK economy is…
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US equity indices closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 down 0.13% and the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.07%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.27%. Futures on major indices are fluctuating between minor gains and losses ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision, as investors speculate that the central bank may lower rates for the first time this year. Ahead of the Fed meeting, many traders are taking a cautious stance, waiting for clearer signals on the central bank's next steps. The market appears to be holding its breath, bracing for a potential catalyst that could trigger a sharp move up or a significant downturn in the major indices. In addition, geopoli…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Potential deep drop in the S&P 500 after the Fed's announcement Analysts forecast that the S&P 500 index could face a significant decline following the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates. The index is expected to potentially drop into the 5916–5973 range, posing risks not only of a short-term correction but also of a long-term recession for the U.S. economy. Investors are seriously concerned about the possibility of slower economic growth if the Fed opts for a more hawkish stance. The market remains cautious as it awaits the outcome of the meeting. [More at the link.] US stock indices close lower amid Fed rate decision anticipation Yesterday, m…
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Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets surged following news that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has fast-tracked approval of listing standards for cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), quickly laying the groundwork for these products to enter public markets. This decision marks a turning point in the recognition of digital assets by the traditional financial system. Opening the market to crypto-based ETFs significantly expands access to this asset class for both institutional and retail investors, many of whom have previously avoided direct ownership of cryptocurrencies due to storage complexities and regulatory uncertainty. The emergence of v…
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Ethereum ($ETH) is under the spotlight after Fundstrat’s Tom Lee reiterated his bullish stance, stating that $ETH could reach $5.5K by mid-October. He further added that both Bitcoin and Ethereum could make a ‘monster move’ in the next three months. Lee explained that the driver for this price rise will be the Federal Reserve’s expected monetary easing, including the 0.25% rate cut. He believes that this liquidity injection will primarily benefit Bitcoin and Ethereum, making them the biggest winners of the Fed’s new policy. Alongside $ETH, $XRP is also drawing attention, with the upcoming launch of the REX-Osprey $XRP ETF (under the ticker XRPR). Nate Geraci, president …
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Malian prosecutors have appealed a judge’s order to release four employees of Barrick Mining (NYSE: B) on bail, extending the legal uncertainty around the Canadian miner’s operations in the country, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. The employees — including a regional manager detained late last year — will remain in jail until the Court of Appeal reviews the prosecution’s case, according to people familiar with the matter. The judge had set bail at 50 billion CFA francs (about US$90.3 million), an unusually high sum, one of the people said. The arrests in November 2024 were tied to allegations of money laundering, terrorism financing, and tax-related offenses. Barr…
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What did Jimmy Kimmel say to get fired? Why did he say the killer was a groyper? ABC has suspended Jimmy Kimmel Live! indefinitely after the host made remarks in his monologue about the killing of conservative activist Charlie Kirk that drew sharp backlash. Nexstar, a large ABC affiliate station group, pulled the show from its 23 stations first. Disney later confirmed the indefinite preemption. “We hit some new lows over the weekend with the MAGA gang desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them and doing everything they can to score political points from it,” – Jimmy Kimmel’s monologue. Disney has already…
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Bitcoin is targeting the $118,000 level, reigniting bullish momentum and fueling speculation of a potential push toward a new all-time high. With buyers regaining control after recent volatility, this breakout could open the path toward $120,000 and beyond. Pullback Seen As Final Shakeout Before Rally Crypto VIP Signal, in a recent update, pointed out that Bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback yesterday after news of a rate cut, coupled with remarks from Jerome Powell, triggered a wave of volatility. The decline caught the attention of traders across the market, but the expert’s analysis suggests that this movement is more likely a final shakeout rather than the start of …
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