Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded from the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357 and turned in favor of the pound. Today, consolidation above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3524 – was recorded, which allows for expectations of further growth toward 1.3482 and 1.3528. A close below 1.3425 would once again favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.3332–1.3357 zone. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe traders have already fully priced this in. This w…
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The dollar began an eventful week on a weaker note. The Dollar Index fell 0.2% on Monday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The looming U.S. government shutdown, with both political parties holding firm to their positions, could significantly affect the strength of the dollar in the short term. Several important U.S. economic releases are also expected this week, culminating in Friday's monthly employment report. The prospect of a government shutdown, hanging over the U.S. economy like a Damocles' sword, adds considerable uncertainty to the currency markets. Traders, who traditionally seek safety during turbulent periods, may begin shifting capital into more …
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Asian markets kick off week with gainsOn Monday, most Asian equity markets ended the session in positive territory. The dollar weakened as investor focus shifted to the US, where the risk of a temporary government shutdown persists. Such a scenario could delay the release of the September jobs report and several other key data points. Washington seeks compromisePresident Donald Trump plans to meet with leaders of both congressional parties on Monday to discuss extending federal funding. Otherwise, the government will face a partial shutdown. This coincides with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and a number of other goods. Seasonal sup…
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Trend analysis. This week, from the level of 1.3400 (close to the last weekly candle), the price may continue moving downward with the target at 1.3270 – the historical support level (light blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of August 31, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for GBP/USD: during the week, the price will most likely show a downward tren…
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Last Friday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.59%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.44%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped by 0.55%. Futures on US and European stock indices climbed alongside Asian markets, signaling growth on Wall Street after data pointed to moderate inflation growth in the US. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 advanced after both indices surged on Friday, breaking a three-day losing streak. European stock indices also pointed to a stronger open. Asian markets pared early losses, rising by 0.6%, with mainland China's index soaring by 2%. Oil prices fell on expectations that OPEC+ will once again raise production i…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). This week, the market from the level of 1.1699 (close of the last weekly candle) may start moving downward with the target at 1.1536 – the 38.2% pullback level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may retrace upward with the target at 1.1572 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Conclusion of the comprehensive analysis: downward movement. Overall outcome of the weekly candle calculation for EUR/USD: during the week, the pri…
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Bulls are tired of this September and already looking forward to Uptober, historically one of Bitcoin’s strongest months. In the past few hours, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,147.29 2.36% Bitcoin BTC Price $112,147.29 2.36% /24h Volume in 24h $35.59B Price 7d Buy with Best …
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.3400 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.3454 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon reaching this line, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.3363 – the 61.8% pullback level (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may then start moving upward with the target at 1.3381 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: upward…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.1734 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, a move downward is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a further move upward is possible with the target at 1.1689 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.General conclusion: downwa…
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GBP/USD Brief analysis: Over the past three months, the major pound pair has been forming the corrective part (B) within the uptrend that has dominated since the beginning of the year. The price is moving sideways along the lower boundary of the potential reversal zone on the daily timeframe. The wave structure does not yet look complete. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the British pound is expected to gradually decline toward support boundaries. In the second half of the week, a reversal and the start of price growth may follow. The resistance zone marks the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly range. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.3520/1.3570Supp…
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EUR/USD Brief analysis: The upward trend has been setting the main direction in the euro's major pair since February this year. The latest unfinished segment started in late July. From the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone, the price has continued its sideways movement that began a month and a half ago. The structure shows the correction remains incomplete. Weekly forecast: In the coming days, the euro is likely to continue its sideways movement along the support zone. Later, conditions may form for a reversal and the start of an upward move. The rise of the major could extend to the calculated resistance levels. A breakout above them within the weekly pe…
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Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH. In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption highe…
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Gold prices have climbed to a new all-time high of around $3,800 per ounce amid dollar weakness, as investors grew nervous about the potential shutdown of the U.S. government. Bullion rose 1.4% to an all-time high of $3,814 per ounce, surpassing last Tuesday's record after six consecutive weeks of gains. Silver jumped 2.4%, while platinum and palladium also posted significant increases, supported by persistent market tensions and inflows into exchange-traded funds backed by these metals. Strong physical demand from central banks — particularly in emerging markets — has also been an important factor behind gold's rally. Diversification of foreign reserves into gold is see…
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Everything comes to an end — both the good and the bad. As investors prepare for heightened volatility in the S&P 500 in October, following several months of a sharp rally, the markets are beginning to bid farewell to the Magnificent Seven. Since the launch of artificial intelligence technologies in early 2023, betting on the stocks of companies in this group seemed like a win-win trade. However, nothing lasts forever. Performance of the Magnificent Seven At first glance, the giants appear unshaken—the Magnificent Seven accounts for 35% of the S&P 500's market capitalization. In 2026, the group's earnings are expected to grow by 15% and revenue by 13%. This is str…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 149.56 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed the entire downward move. The Japanese yen surged sharply against the US dollar at the end of last week after news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, entirely in line with economists' forecasts. Although expected, this release triggered a chain reaction in the currency markets. Investors interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy course as …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3383 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and skipped the pair's small upward move. The pound reacted positively against the dollar on news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, in line with economists' forecasts. This modest increase, predicted by analysts, served as a signal of a possible further easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The market interpreted this as a sign of a softer stance by the ce…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1689 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario #2 for selling to play out, although a major decline in the pair did not materialize. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index in the US matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressure. This event served as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in global financia…
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Bitcoin rose sharply during today's Asian session, reaching $112,300, after previously trading near $109,000. Ethereum also gained significantly, climbing back to the $4,000 level, which had been broken late last week. Meanwhile, Eric Trump, son of the U.S. president, recently stated that the fourth quarter of 2025 will be incredible for BTC and the entire cryptocurrency market, citing seasonality and similar factors. According to him, the future of crypto looks bright thanks to QE, an expanding money supply, regulatory progress, and the actions of the White House administration. While the impact of political statements on the cryptocurrency market is hard to overestim…
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After rallying above $0.3 at the start of September, the Dogecoin price has faced significant resistance since then, leading to an over 28% decrease in price. By Sunday, though, the Dogecoin price had begun to rebound, suggesting that there would be a rise in momentum, especially among buyers. This now puts the meme coin at a significant level, as there is the potential of the price bouncing off the current demand zone, but with bears still making a bid, the tug-of-war continues. What A Bounce From The Demand Zone Means Presently, the most critical support for the Dogecoin price lies at the $0.229 level, as outlined by crypto analyst Lingrid, which the cryptocurrency has…
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Asian markets start the week on a positive note Most Asian stock exchanges moved higher on Monday, while the US dollar weakened. Investors are closely watching developments in Washington, where a potential government shutdown could delay the release of September's employment report and other key economic data. Political talks in Washington President Donald Trump is set to meet congressional leaders from both parties on Monday in a bid to secure continued government funding. Without an agreement, a partial shutdown may begin midweek, coinciding with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other products. Seasonal momentum supports equitie…
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The U.S. dollar quickly lost ground against risk assets at the end of last week, with clear reasons for this shift. Data showed that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressures in the U.S. This sharply weakened the dollar's position. Traders interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates without major risks, stimulating the economy and supporting the labor market. As a result, U.S. assets became less attractive, triggering capital outflows. The euro, the British pound, and other risk-sensitive assets, by contrast, strengthened on expectations that th…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: No significant macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. Both the euro and the pound are recovering after declines seen over the past one and a half to two weeks. We believe the macroeconomic and fundamental background remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we expect the bearish trend in both currency pairs to come to an end, with European currencies likely resuming their upward movement. Fundamental Events Analysis: Today's calendar is full of speeches rather than data. In the Eurozone, European Central Bank representatives Cipollone, Kazaks, Muller, Schnabel, and Chief Economist Philip Lane are scheduled to spe…
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Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Friday, the GBP/USD pair began an upward move, and by Monday night, it had already broken through the local descending trendline. Thus, the bearish trend has been canceled. Recall that over the past week and a half, the pound sterling was caught in a vortex of negative developments, which triggered its decline — a scenario many traders did not expect. However, the global fundamental backdrop for GBP/USD remains unchanged, and therefore, we do not anticipate a further medium-term decline of the British currency. On Friday, the U.S. dollar came under pressure after the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index once again …
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Friday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Friday, the EUR/USD pair began a natural upward movement. Over the past week, we observed another technical correction, as the euro had no fundamental reasons for a significant decline. The results of the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meetings could have been interpreted in different ways — and that's precisely what the market did. Speeches from Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde also did not materially alter the situation and did not indicate a shift in central bank sentiment. The only support for the dollar came from the U.S. Q2 GDP report. On Friday, however, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index…
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