Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6922 tópicos neste fórum
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei at Three- Week Lows Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Japanese stocks experienced a widespread sell-off on Wednesday as investors chose to cash in profits following the market's recent strong rally, marking the beginning of the second half of the fiscal year. The main Nikkei index fell by 0.85%, closing at its lowest point since September 11, and marking its fourth straight session of losses. The broader Topix index also lost 1.37%. This decline followed a spectacular September for the Nikkei, which gained 5.2% and hit a record high, largely driven by chip-making equipment maker Tokyo Electron which soa…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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Bitcoin surged past the $115,000 level just a few hours ago, sparking speculation among investors about the potential for further upside. The move comes after weeks of tight consolidation that began in July, a period marked by choppy trading and indecision. Now, with momentum showing signs of returning, many analysts believe the next breakout could be aggressive, setting the tone for the final quarter of the year. The reclaim of $115,000 has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders closely watching whether Bitcoin can build a base above this threshold and aim for the next major resistance at $117,500. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases have often preceded str…
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The latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting delivered a few surprises, helping the Australian dollar hold its ground against the U.S. dollar. However, the long-term outlook remains uncertain. As expected, the RBA left interest rates unchanged at 3.6%, as inflation remains at its highest level since July 2024. The RBA directly acknowledged this inflation risk, stating: "...while recent data is incomplete and volatile, it suggests that inflation in the September quarter may come in higher than anticipated during the August Monetary Policy Statement." The central bank also noted signs of recovering consumer demand, which increases the risk of upward pressure on p…
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Six years ago, as many economists acknowledge, the government shutdown was not a total shutdown. At that time, the U.S. Congress had managed to approve at least part of the budget for the upcoming fiscal year, so not all federal employees were at risk of being furloughed. In 2025, however, the situation is very different. Virtually all public servants are now under threat because Democrats and Republicans have failed to agree on fundamental spending issues. It's also important to note that a U.S. federal employee is not limited to the stereotypical desk worker or postal carrier. It also includes military personnel, who, although they will not be dismissed, will also not r…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily c…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Forget meme coins. In 2025, crypto is being defined by stablecoins. USDT by Tether remains the undisputed leader, commanding over $175 billion as of early October 2025. USDC by Circle is in second place, while algorithmic alternatives like Ethena’s USDe and Sky’s USDS are making massive strides. The explosion of stablecoins has pumped the broader crypto market, benefiting some of the best cryptos to buy. With Tether minting billions, capital has flowed to Ethereum and Bitcoin, pushing them to fresh all-time highs in 2025. While USDT, USDC, and other stablecoins blossom, their issuers swim in billions in profits. Every $1Bn increase in USDT or USDC circulation generates r…
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While investors are becoming euphoric due to the perceived strong start to what everybody is calling ‘Uptober’, several warning signs are emerging that point toward a market-wide crash, which could see BTC price fall below $100k, dragging altcoins along with it. The Bitcoin 1-day chart is flashing a bearish signal, while the US Government has just gone into shutdown. Meanwhile, there is a strong consensus online among traders calling for new crypto highs in October and throughout Q4. Whenever the majority of investors are aligned on the direction of the market, historically, the opposite tends to happen. Today, the global cryptocurrency market cap is $4.18T, up 1.9% in …
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Central banks are usually less agile than hedge funds or asset managers. However, they control enormous reserves of $12 trillion. If they begin diversifying by selling one currency and buying another, the consequences for Forex could be massive. In this regard, the reduction of the U.S. dollar's share in foreign exchange reserves to 56.3%—the lowest level since 1995—has seriously alarmed EUR/USD bears. Could the process of offloading the greenback already be underway? Dynamics of the U.S. Dollar's Share in Central Bank Reserves There are plenty of reasons for concern. The highest tariffs since the 1930s, along with attempts by the White House to undermine the Fed's…
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According to the latest on-chain data, Bitcoin has been witnessing an interesting change in its holder behavior, further intensifying the bullish speculation in the market. Bitcoin UTXO Count Declines As Price Surges In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that long-term Bitcoin investors seem to be changing their investment strategy by increasingly holding on to their coins. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin UTXO Count metric, which tracks the total number of individual unspent transaction outputs on the blockchain. For context, an unspent transaction output is an amount of a cryptocurrency (in this case, Bitcoin) th…
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Fed Faces Dilemma Ahead of October 29 FOMC Meeting Data Accuracy With the next Federal Reserve (FOMC) decision scheduled for October 29, policymakers are facing an unusual challenge: the government shutdown has delayed critical economic data, leaving the Fed “flying blind” just weeks before its next interest rate call. At the September meeting, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, and market pricing suggests traders expect another cut in October. But with a slowing labor market and persistent inflation pressures, the decision won’t be straightforward. What Is the Fed’s Dual Mandate? The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate, set by Congress, consists of two key goals: M…
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According to veteran investor Pumpius, who says he has watched crypto since 2013, XRP may be poised for a sharp move higher. He outlines nine catalysts that he believes could push the price toward double digits, and even as high as $50, all within the next five months. ETF Approvals Could Unlock Institutional Flows Reports have disclosed that the SEC has sped up ETF reviews, and several crypto funds already list XRP, including Grayscale’s Multi-Asset Fund. Pumpius says a standalone XRP spot ETF is likely to arrive soon because deadlines are closing in. He argues that when ETFs go live, institutional money will pour in, raising liquidity and lifting prices quickly. Rip…
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Dark times are ahead for EUR/USD traders—and for all dollar-based pairs. The continued U.S. government shutdown has halted the release of official economic data. For instance, last week was supposed to bring September's Nonfarm Payrolls numbers, but traders had to settle for the ADP report, which does not cover government employees or several other non-agricultural sectors. This week, key inflation metrics (CPI/PPI) are scheduled for release, but they are unlikely to be published unless Congress unexpectedly reopens the government. If the shutdown continues—which remains the most likely scenario—EUR/USD traders will be forced to operate in a state of information vacuum. …
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Solana found support near the $205 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains above $220 and might soon aim for more gains above $232. SOL price started a fresh increase above $215 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $227 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start another increase if the bulls clear $235 and $242. Solana Price Aims Higher Solana price remained supported above the $215 pivot level and extended gains, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $220 and $225 resistanc…
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Yesterday (October 5), a bombshell was dropped on Aster Crypto, the newly launched Perp DEX platform that has taken the market by storm with a +7,000% price increase for its native token, ASTER. The YZi Labs-backed platform has also dominated TVL and trading volume metrics, quickly surpassing the competition, including Hyperliquid. However, it is these numbers that have come under scrutiny, with the Web3 data platform DefiLlama delisting its perpetual volume metrics and the founder of DefiLlama posting a thread on X, explaining why the platform has delisted Aster. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
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What’s next for the Shiba Inu price chart after the recent crash? After ten straight days of nonstop incident response, the Shiba Crypto development team has stabilized the Shibarium network and rescued 4.6 Mn BONE tokens from an attacker’s delegation contract. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Dogecoin DOGE $0.2584 0.25% Dogecoin DOGE Price $0.2584 0.25% /24h Volume in 24h $2.67B …
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Bitcoin had been steadily consolidating above the $110,000 mark since July (dipping only twice below before rallying consequently), but hadn’t been able to retake its record levels. Hesitancy was the norm: Summer trading tends to reduce inflows, and supplemented with weakening US Data, the Greenback finding a bottom (will it hold?) and Gold taking all the attention, Cryptocurrencies were a bit more timid. Timid but solid, however, a lack of pursued upside was far from implying weakness. The Crypto Market Cap held steadily around and above the 2021 and 2024 peaks, proof that buyers were not backing out of historically elevated valuations. Nonetheless, a mid-to-end Septe…
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The “Takaichi Trade” Tokyo Japan The “Takaichi Trade” Explained Global markets have already coined a new phrase called the “Takaichi Trade.” It refers to the market reaction following the election of Japan’s new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, who is widely seen as a supporter of former leader Shinzō Abe’s economic strategy known as Abenomics. While it’s still unclear how closely Takaichi will follow Abe’s playbook, traders have wasted no time expressing their views by buying Japanese stocks, selling the yen (JPY), and selling bonds. The move reflects expectations of policies favoring growth, stimulus, and a weaker yen, all hallmarks of the Abenomics era. (NEWSQUAWK…
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Is Mike Novogratz set to kill Robinhood market dominance? Galaxy stock price pumps high as Novogratz reveals new Robinhood rival app. Galaxy Digital launched a retail trading app that combines cash yields, crypto access, and commission-free stock trading, sending its shares higher and putting the firm in direct competition with Robinhood. Mike Novogratz’s company announced GalaxyOne, a US platform offering 4% annual yield on cash accounts, crypto trading, and fee-free access to over 2,000 US stocks and ETFs. The transition signals Galaxy changing its institutional crypto services to consumer finance. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Mike Novogratz Big Play: Ho…
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The outlook for Eurozone economic growth remains broadly optimistic, supported by rising real disposable incomes, low inflation, and high wages. These factors are expected to form a foundation for sustained consumer demand. Although PMI data has been mixed — with manufacturing slowing and services accelerating — consumer demand remains solid, and GDP growth, while modest, is stable. Inflation rose in September from 2.0% year-over-year to 2.2%. This increase was anticipated due to rising energy prices, while core inflation remained steady at 2.3%. At this stage, there are no reasons to expect a resurgence in inflation, which means the ECB is likely to stick to its policy o…
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President Donald Trump on Monday directed United States agencies to reissue permits for the 340 km Ambler industrial road in northwest Alaska and announced a $35.6 million federal investment linked to mining exploration. The executive order, which overturns a 2024 federal rejection and will help fund exploration in the Ambler Mining District, “is in the public interest and will unlock Alaska’s mineral potential by securing domestic supplies of critical minerals,” the White House said in a statement. At an Oval Office ceremony, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said construction could begin as soon as the second quarter next year. The Bureau of Land Management, Nation…
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