Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12269 tópicos neste fórum
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Fed Cuts Interest Rate in Data Drought Just like a pilot flying a plane through a blizzard in white-out conditions, the Federal Reserve is making interest rate decisions blindfolded. Fed officials lack fresh economic data, because of the government shutdown. Today, amid the data drought, Fed officials voted 10-2 to cut its official interest rate to 3.75% – 4%. The Fed also said it will stop shrinking its balance sheet on December 1. Fed policymakers said that “job gains have slowed” and “risks to employment rose in recent months” and the rate cut was intended to help ease the weakness in the labor market, the second cut this year. Gold Market Reacts Gold edged sli…
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Fed Cuts Interest Rate in Data Drought Just like a pilot flying a plane through a blizzard in white-out conditions, the Federal Reserve is making interest rate decisions blindfolded. Fed officials lack fresh economic data, because of the government shutdown. Today, amid the data drought, Fed officials voted 10-2 to cut its official interest rate to 3.75% – 4%. The Fed also said it will stop shrinking its balance sheet on December 1. Fed policymakers said that “job gains have slowed” and “risks to employment rose in recent months” and the rate cut was intended to help ease the weakness in the labor market, the second cut this year. Gold Market Reacts Gold edged sli…
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Gold and silver prices have remained near record highs after lower-than-expected inflation in the U.S. supported forecasts for further interest rate cuts. Platinum has approached its 17-year peak. On Thursday, the spot price of gold reached approximately $4372 per ounce, signaling growth for the second consecutive week. According to data published on Thursday, the core Consumer Price Index in the U.S. increased at its slowest pace since early 2021, confirming the need for lowering borrowing costs—a factor that favors the price rise of non-yielding precious metals. Against this backdrop, investors are once again focusing on signals from the Federal Reserve regarding futur…
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Gold and gold mining stocks have not only surged past the S&P 500 this year but have also quietly outperformed over the past three, five and even ten years—a remarkable run that has unfolded with limited investor participation. Yet despite their impressive returns, the sector remains deeply undervalued, according to those at Sprott, with analysts anticipating further gains and making a case for gold to be included in core strategic holdings, much like during the 1960s and 1970s. Risk diversification In a note published this week, Sprott’s senior portfolio manager John Hathaway wrote that a short-term correction in precious metals — which is inevitable given…
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A crisis is unfolding in the bond market that equity investors may not be aware of. Long-term government bond yields are rising across major economies as governments struggle to contain mounting debt burdens. Last week, Japan’s 30-year bond yield ran to an all-time high of 3.4%. The 40-year also hit a record 3.6%. The Financial Post reports the higher yields resulted from a weak bond auction that highlighted investors’ concerns over the country’s fiscal stability. Germany’s 30-year “bund” yields jumped over 12 basis points, reflecting fears over its €500 billion rearmament plan. Japan has long faced a mountainous debt problem. A 260% debt-to-GDP ratio is by fa…
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Gold prices have reached a new all-time high, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and expectations of further U.S. interest rate cuts. Precious metals prices have risen by more than 1.5%, surpassing the previous record of $4,413 per ounce set in October of this year. Traders are once again betting that the Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs twice in 2026 following a series of economic data released last week. Lowering interest rates typically benefits the prices of non-yielding precious metals. The rise in gold prices is also supported by sustained demand from central banks, particularly in developing countries. Central banks are seeking to diversify their r…
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All problems are in the head. Events help us remember them. For example, rumors about the appointment of Kevin Hassett as chairman of the Federal Reserve and the presentation of the British budget project reminded financial markets of the serious fiscal difficulties facing the U.S. It was enough for the "bulls" in XAU/USD to attempt to restore the upward trend. Gold has risen for the fourth consecutive month. Five out of the last six months, including November, closed in the green zone for the precious metal. It is heading towards the best annual result since 1979, thanks to the influx of capital into ETFs, central banks' demand for bullion, geopolitical factors, and expe…
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Gold may face challenges, but they will be short-lived. Financial markets seem to have accepted that the Fed will not cut the federal funds rate in December, despite a series of weak data from alternative sources. However, derivatives imply a 68% probability of a monetary policy easing in January, with the possibility that borrowing costs could drop by as much as 50 basis points. It is no surprise that about 26% of the 172 financial managers overseeing around $475 billion prefer the precious metal as their top pick for 2026. The only contender surpassing it is the Japanese yen, which received 30% of the votes in a Bank of America survey. Saxo Bank believes that the res…
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The prospect of peace regarding the Ukraine situation could significantly reduce geopolitical tensions worldwide. On this wave, the price of gold — which traditionally functions as a safe-haven asset — may resume falling. This decline may occur even despite the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, which is expected to pressure the US dollar through a 0.25% interest rate cut. From a technical perspective, gold prices are still in a short-term uptrend and remain above the support level of 2150.50. A downward breakout of this level could lead to further declines. Technical picture and trading idea: The price is above the midline of the Bollinger Bands and above the S…
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Recently, the price of gold has received substantial support based on two main factors. First, the anticipated reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve would weaken the US dollar. The second factor is the ongoing global tensions, which threaten to escalate into a major conflict. These factors could spark a renewed rise in the price of the "yellow" metal, pushing it first to the recent high of 3672.42, and then to a new all-time level at 3682.00. From a technical perspective, the pair is testing the resistance level at 3644.00; breaking above this level could provide grounds for further price growth. Technical picture and trading idea: The price is above the mi…
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Gold prices reached a new record high on Tuesday, helped by growing expectations of more US interest rate cuts. Investors were also waiting for a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to get more hints about future policy. The price of spot gold went up 1% to $3,784.01 per ounce, after hitting a new record high of $3,790.82 earlier in the day. This optimism was partly due to new Fed Governor Stephen Miran, who called for aggressive rate cuts on Monday. He argued that the Fed's current policy is too strict and could put jobs at risk. However, his view was challenged by three of his colleagues, who believe the central bank needs to remain cautious about inflation.…
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Gold prices remain choppy with yesterday's post CPI decline limited as the precious metal found support around the 3320 handle. Most Read: GBP/USD Vulnerable as Trendline Break Sets Up Potential 600 Pip Drop The precious metal has continued its recovery today as it eyes a return to the 3350 handle which had held as a key area of support on Monday. For now though, price is choppy and it would appear that the precious metal is in desperate need of a catalyst to facilitate its next move. close …
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Gold prices are making a fresh attempt to reclaim ground above the $3300/oz mark following a selloff this week. The selloff in Gold has been down to a combination of factors such as improved sentiment as trade deals were struck and a stronger US Dollar. The question now is whether this is the start of a larger correction or is the road still bumpy ahead? Gold Prices Moving Forward Golds continued back and forth over the past few weeks left market participants scratching their heads. However the recent price drop and trendline break have raised interest in the potential for further downside. Gold buyers are still holding on, but the lower peak at 3435, below April's hig…
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Most Read: WTI Oil Slips as 200-day MA Caps Upside Potential Gold prices are making a fresh play for the $3400/oz handle, but will a break prove to be sustainable or not? This question remains front and center as trade tensions rise once more. The precious metal peaked just above the $3400 handle but failed to hold before a selloff saw the precious metals price drop to around the $3384/oz handle in the European session Trade Tensions on the Rise Gold prices have benefitted this week as trade tensions remain front and center especially between the US and EU. Trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU have grown as the EU plans new measures to counter tariffs threatened …
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Gold prices have seen whipsaw price action today in light of US inflation data and ongoing tariff developments. The precious metal did take out yesterday's low and continues to edge lower, but whipsaw price action as short while ago saw Gold return to the $3350/oz handle. Most Read: Dow Jones finds the most relief after in-line US CPI US CPI Inflation Data The US Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) for July came in mostly as expected. Headline inflation increased by 0.2% compared to last month and 2.7% compared to last year. Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 3.1% year-on-year. Looking at the details, energy prices dropped by 1.1…
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Most Read: S&P 500 shows a decline after the US Services PMI miss Gold prices have seen whipsaw price action today with a $30 drop being wiped away after the US open. Part of this could be down to another poor US data point which will only add to rate cut bets moving forward. The US ISM Services PMI dropped to 50.1 in July 2025 from 50.8 in June, falling short of the expected 51.5. This shows the services sector barely grew, with seasonal and weather issues affecting business. There was a slowdown in business activity (52.6 vs 54.2), new orders (50.3 vs 51.3), and inventories (51.8 vs 52.7). Meanwhile, price pressures increased to their highest level since October 202…
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Markets continue to display sharp movements. Gold and silver have reached record highs amid intensifying geopolitical tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. Shares of Wells Fargo surged after the bank raised its return targets and saw regulatory restrictions lifted. Google has committed a record $15 billion to develop an AI hub in India. Apple, in turn, is preparing to launch in the smart home market with a $350 premium hub while moving production to Vietnam. This article explores each of these events in depth and details the opportunities they unlock for traders. Gold sets records amid geopolitical tensions and Fed rate cut expectations Gold prices hit an a…
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Gold’s Rise as a Global Currency Why is Gold valuable Gold has always held a unique place in global finance, but recent trading trends suggest something even more significant is happening. A decade ago, I wrote an article questioning whether gold was evolving beyond its traditional role as a commodity. Today, ten years later, the question is more relevant than ever: Is gold quietly becoming a major global currency? With explosive growth in spot gold trading, rising participation from retail traders, and forex brokers treating gold nearly identically to established currencies, the transformation underway is hard to ignore. Below, we revisit the argument and explore why X…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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EarthLabs (TSXV: SPOT, OTCQX: SPOFF) has released a new episode of its flagship series EarthLabs Expeditions, offering an up-close look at West Red Lake Gold Mines (TSXV: WRLG, OTCQB: WRLGF) at a pivotal moment in the company’s growth. Titled “Pouring Gold at Record Prices”, the episode marks a return to Red Lake, Ontario, where EarthLabs host Jonathan Brazeau reconnects with CEO Shane Williams and the team to witness the culmination of their bulk sample program—and the first gold pour from the revitalized Madsen mine. With gold having surged to $3,500 an ounce for the first time in history, the moment is more than symbolic—it’s a powerful signal of where the comp…
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As geopolitical developments continue to impact global markets, the cryptocurrency space remains highly reactive. Earlier this week, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped below the $100,000 mark amid heightened tensions in the Middle East. However, with tensions easing, market optimism rebounded swiftly, propelling BTC through multiple technical resistance levels. The rally underscored Bitcoin’s strength as “digital gold.” Amid this volatile market, GoldenMining, a leading global intelligent cloud mining platform, reported that its investors earned an average of $9,800 per person in daily profits during the surge, demonstrating the platform’s ability to capitalize on market swings. Gold…
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GoldHaven Resources (CSE: GOH | OTCQB: GHVNF) announced Tuesday that it has entered into an agreement to acquire 100% of the Kuhn, Dead Goat, and M3 claims in British Columbia from Fundamental Resources. The company will issue 1,250,000 common shares, subject to a 36-month escrow release schedule. The transaction is expected to be completed on June 24. The claims total 1,100.6 acres and host a historic resource of 409,300 tonnes at 0.48% WO₃ (tungsten trioxide) and 0.134% MoS₂ (molybdenum disulfide) in the Kuhn North zone in the Cassiar Mining District northwestern BC, within the company’s flagship Magno project. Tungsten has emerged as a critical mineral of str…
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Goldman Sachs has lowered its global copper supply forecast for both 2025 and 2026, citing recent disruptions at the world’s second-largest mine. Production at the Grasberg mine in Indonesia has been under suspension since Sept. 8 after a landslide unleashed 800,000 tonnes of mud into the Block Cave area, trapping seven workers and causing severe damage across the mine’s infrastructure. US-based Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FCX), the mine’s operator, immediately halted mining activities to prioritize the rescue of the mine workers, and to date has recovered two bodies. As the search continues, the company has declared force majeure and is investigating the incident. …
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In my reviews, I have repeatedly stated that I continue to expect growth in the European currency. Many economists also support this view, as most factors point in favor of the euro. The key factor, in their opinion, is further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, combined with the likely completion of the ECB's easing cycle. Since Donald Trump is demanding that the Fed lower rates to at least 2%, there is reason to expect that the Fed will eventually reach the target that the ECB has already achieved. In other words, over the next six months, a year, or even two, only the Fed will be engaged in rate cuts, putting the already weak dollar in an even more difficult posit…
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As traditional financial firms increasingly explore the integration of stablecoins into their operations, Goldman Sachs has made a bold prediction: the stablecoin sector could soon reach valuations in the trillions. This optimism comes on the heels of significant regulatory developments, most notably the recent introduction of the GENIUS Act, which aligns state and federal frameworks for stablecoin regulation. ‘Stablecoin Gold Rush’ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in the role of stablecoins, suggesting they could significantly boost the market for US Treasuries. According to a report from the Financial Times, Bessent has indicated that the go…
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