Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Australian dollar remained calm in response to yesterday's news about the suspension of funding for several U.S. government agencies, continuing the upward movement that began three days ago. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above both key indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator is in the positive zone, taking a brief pause before potentially continuing the uptrend. The target at 0.6668 remains open, and a firm consolidation above this level could lead to further gains toward 0.6755. The alternative (bearish) scenario would require a sustained move below the MACD line (at 0.6564). In that case, the downside target opens at 0.6450. In the 4-hour timefram…
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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Bitcoin edged higher today, breaching the key $119,000 mark, after a string of steady sessions, lifting prices above recent ranges and drawing fresh attention from big investors. According to Coinglass data, BTC rose about 2.50% in the last 24 hours, and is up 8% over the last seven days. Trading activity and inflows are being watched closely as traders size up the next move. Institutional Flows Drive Momentum Data shows the top crypto asset registered a second straight day of strong inflows, putting $430 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs. That kind of demand helps explain why Bitcoin’s market value has jumped from $870 billion to $2.34 trillion this year. Analysts say t…
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Highlights include Fed Meeting Minutes, ECB Minutes, RBNZ, Canada jobs, OPEC+, Japan LDP leadership election SAT: Japanese LDP Leadership Election SUN: OPEC+ Meeting Fed Meeting Minutes MON: EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3) TUE: EIA STEO; German Industrial Orders (Aug), US International Trade (Aug), Canadian Trade Balance (Aug), Ivey PMI (Sep), Chinese FX Reserves (Sep) WED: RBNZ & NBP Policy Announcements, FOMC Minutes (Sep), BoJ’s Ueda; Japanese Overtime Pay (Aug), Swedish CPIF Flash (Sep) THU: ECB Minutes (Sep), Eurogroup Meeting; German Trade Balance (Aug), US Weekly Claims (TBC) FRI: Norwegian CPI …
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Bitcoin (BTC) has maintained a strong bullish performance over the past seven days, with the price gaining by approximately 12%. The crypto market leader rose to near $124,000 before experiencing a slight retracement, which has now forced prices to $122,070. With the market maintaining a consolidation pattern, prominent analyst Ali Martinez has shared some important price insights based on the MVRV pricing bands. Holding Above $117k Could Propel BTC To $140k Next The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) metric measures how far Bitcoin’s market price deviates from its realized price, effectively assessing whether BTC is overvalued or undervalued relative to historical …
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Trend Analysis This week, from the level of 1.3478 (closing of the last weekly candle), the price may start moving downward with the target of 1.3270 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward with the target of 1.3332 – the lower fractal (weekly candle of September 21, 2025). Fig. 1 (weekly chart). Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volume – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Monthly chart – down.Overall conclusion for the GBP/USD weekly chart: The price this week will most likely have a downward tendency, with the absence of a…
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One of the world’s oldest investment institutions, Morgan Stanley, has advised clients to allocate 2-4% of their investment portfolios to crypto. With a strong spotlight on Bitcoin as a “scarce asset, akin to digital gold,” Morgan Stanley’s suggestion is a pivot in Wall Street’s stance toward digital assets. On 5 October 2025, Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee (GIC) formally released a set of portfolio allocation guidelines, wherein “opportunistic growth portfolios were suggested up to 4% crypto allocation.” Meanwhile, Bitcoin price (BTC) climbed to a new all-time high overnight, reaching about $125,700 during Sunday’s Asia session before pulling back to the …
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the British pound The test of the 1.3451 price level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero mark, which confirmed a correct entry point for buying the pound. However, after a 10-point rise, selling pressure returned to the pair. Although the UK construction sector PMI declined, its reading of 46.2 exceeded analysts' expectations. Positive dynamics have persisted for three months, fueling optimism about a potential recovery in business activity in the near term. The moderate decline in housing construction is a result of the Bank of England's interest rate cuts in recent …
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The week kicks off with a familiar pattern for 2025: Tech and metals leading the charge. The Nasdaq extends its dominance, officially breaking above the 25,000 mark and up roughly 1% as I write this piece. Cryptocurrencies follow suit (they correlate very well with Tech in general), while Metals also join the positive mood amid continued “everything rally” momentum. Flows remain heavily concentrated in growth and innovation-linked assets, as markets appear to be pricing not just this year’s optimism, but the next five years of transformation — where AI, automation, and digital infrastructure take center stage. The chip and tech manufacturing boom, tightly linked to c…
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Ethereum price started a steady increase above $4,650. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,750 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,500 and started a fresh upward move. The price is trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $4,550 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,720 and $4,750. Ethereum Price Gains Over 10% Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,400 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,500 and $4,620 resi…
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Senator Cynthia Lummis is pushing a new proposal that aims to make spending Bitcoin as easy as swiping a debit card. Her plan introduces a de minimis tax exemption that would remove capital gains reporting for small Bitcoin transactions. By cutting out complicated tax steps, she hopes to make paying for coffee, groceries, or everyday services with Bitcoin far more practical. Breaking Down the Proposal The draft framework would exempt individual transactions under roughly 300 dollars from taxation, with a yearly cap of 5,000 dollars per person. That means people wouldn’t need to calculate capital gains every time they spend small amounts. There are limits, though. T…
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GBP/USD 5M Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its steady decline on Thursday. Interestingly, the drop didn't start after Jerome Powell's speech — the only major event of the day — but rather in the morning. It's unlikely the market was still reacting to the French political crisis for the fourth day in a row. It's becoming clear — something in the market isn't right: either market makers are manipulating price to feign the start of a downtrend, or market sentiment toward Donald Trump's policies has shifted. Either way, the pound continues falling and the dollar continues to rise. Powell said nothing new or significant in his speech, but at this point, the ma…
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[Uniswap] – [Friday, October 10, 2025] Although EMA(50) and EMA(200) are still in a Death Cross configuration, but the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish zone and a Bullish Divergence has emerged, suggesting that this cryptocurrency will strengthen. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 8.316 2. Resistance. 1 : 8.048 3. Pivot : 7.844 4. Support. 1 : 7.576 5. Support. 2 : 7.372 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Uniswap strengthens and breaks out and closes above 7.844, it is likely to continue its upward movement to 8.048. Momentum Extension Bias: If 8.048 is broken and closed above, Uniswap will likely continue strengthening to 8.316. Invalidation Level…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is holding a tight range around $121,000–$123,000 after tapping a fresh all-time high near $126,000 earlier this week. Under the surface, demand remains robust as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs just logged an eighth straight day of net inflows, with one session alone adding $441 million. Over the past week, cumulative ETF net flows have climbed by billions, pushing total Bitcoin ETF assets toward $160 billion. This steady pipeline of capital, now a fixture of pension funds, RIAs, and asset managers, continues to soak up more BTC than miners create, tightening free float and muting deeper pullbacks. The setup reinforces Bitcoin’s evolving role as a portfolio diver…
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The XRP price has been struggling to break through the $3 resistance level, which has proved to be a formidable barrier for the token over the past two months. However, recent news of Ripple’s expansion into the Kingdom of Bahrain has sparked renewed optimism among investors, fueling new bullish predictions for the altcoin. Ripple’s New Partnership With BFB On Thursday, Ripple announced a strategic partnership with Bahrain Fintech Bay (BFB), the largest fintech incubator in the Kingdom. This collaboration aims to enhance Bahrain’s digital assets ecosystem by supporting the development of proofs-of-concept and pilot projects relevant to the local fintech landscape. The…
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For GBP/USD, the wave markup continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave structure, but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and ambiguous form. The pound has fallen too sharply recently, so the trend segment starting from August 1 now looks uncertain. The first thing that comes to mind is the complication of the assumed wave 4, which will take on a three-wave form, with each of its sub-waves also structured into three waves. In this case, a decline of the pair towards the 1.31 and 1.30 levels should be expected. However, there is a positive aspect – the wave structures of the euro and the pound have once again aligned. The European currency will li…
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The GBP/USD currency pair has been falling actively for the past few weeks, without any solid or objective reasons. Or to be more precise, the number of compelling GBP-selling factors has been even fewer than those for the euro. However, switching to the daily timeframe immediately shows that the British pound has been trading sideways for months. Therefore, the current decline holds little significance. In fact, the lower the pair drops now, the higher it is likely to rise later. We fully expect the decline to continue toward the last local low near 1.3140, from which the next bullish wave for the pound may begin. Let us recall once again that the U.S. government shutdow…
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Today, the GBP/JPY pair is attracting aggressive intraday sellers following yesterday's rally and the rise during the Asian session to the 203.55 level. This comes amid the overall strengthening of the Japanese yen. Weak U.K. employment data suggest that the Bank of England will likely continue cutting interest rates, as signs of economic slowdown increase the likelihood of further monetary easing. Moreover, solid demand for the yen is putting downward pressure on the GBP/JPY pair, curbing its upward momentum. Recent remarks from Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, about possible sharp fluctuations in the foreign exchange market have heightened speculation that the …
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Today, the Japanese yen is leading amid concerns about possible interventions. Japan's Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato noted that recently there have been one-sided and sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate, emphasizing the importance of stable currency movements that reflect the economy's fundamentals. This has supported the yen, although political uncertainty could limit its gains. Last week, the long-standing LDP–Komeito coalition unexpectedly collapsed, as newly elected LDP leader Sanae Takaichi awaits a parliamentary vote to confirm her as Japan's first female prime minister. The breakup means Takaichi will need support from other parties to advance her key initiat…
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According to statements made on CNBC, BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has topped $100 billion in assets under management less than two years after it launched. That figure marks one of the fastest rises for any ETF in recent memory. It also puts the world’s largest asset manager squarely at the center of institutional Bitcoin holdings. BlackRock Now Holds A Large Share Of Bitcoin Supply Based on reports, BlackRock holds 804,944 BTC. At current, lower market levels, that stash is worth close to $90 billion. When Bitcoin hit an all-time high last week, the same holding was worth more than $100 billion. BlackRock’s position represents 3.83% of Bitcoin’s total supply.…
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Overview: The US dollar is mostly a little softer ahead of the start of the North American session. Participants do not seem to have much short-term conviction amid the heightened tensions between the US and China and wary of political developments in France and Japan. Against several pairs, the greenback has frayed its recent ranges but there has been limited follow-through. Poor Australian jobs data boosted market speculation of a rate cut next month, while a recovery in the UK's August GDP is helping lift sterling to the top of the G10 currency performers today. French Prime Minister Lecornu has survived one of two no-confidence motions today after yesterday's signific…
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The Japanese yen has recovered intraday losses that were previously driven by domestic political instability in Japan. The ruling coalition between the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito collapsed, creating uncertainty as newly appointed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi seeks support for confirming her leadership. The strategy remains consistent—continue the economic stimulus policies of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, focusing on aggressive fiscal spending and accommodative monetary measures, while simultaneously strengthening the yen's role as a haven currency amid global geopolitical instability. On the U.S. side, international trade tensions have escalated sharply. T…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.45%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped by 0.55%. Indices continued to weaken as investors shifted toward safety in government bonds after shares of US regional banks fell amid concerns over lending standards. Gold is on track for a ninth consecutive week of gains. Futures on US stock indices dropped by 0.7%, pointing to further weakness after Thursday's regular session decline. Regional bank stocks came under pressure following the fallout from subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings, which rippled beyond Wall Street. European indices also indicate a softer open. …
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Asia Market Wrap - Lending Concerns Drag Global Equities Lower Most Read: Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook: Silver Price Consolidates Ahead of Next Move. Where to Next? Global stock markets, particularly the financial sector, fell sharply after concerns about bank loan quality in the US rattled investors. The source of the worry was the US regional banking sector, which slumped 6% on Thursday. Two smaller banks, Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp, disclosed issues related to bad loans and fraud allegations, respectively. Wall Street analysts compared this to the recent failure of the auto lender First Brands, suggesting a broader problem with credit oversight…
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Dogecoin’s next inflection could arrive as soon as October 22–23, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed, who argues that the memecoin’s multi-month rising channel will either confirm with a higher low in the $0.16–$0.18 region or give way to another full “round trip” into year-end. In an October 16 video analysis, he frames the coming week as a binary checkpoint: “This next week is going to be your do or die… if this breaks down, it’s over. GG. If it holds, then we could say, ‘All right, rally is coming and maybe we’ll get another chance.’” Why October 23 Could Be Crucial For Dogecoin The case rests on a recurring confluence he has been tracking for months: Dogecoin …
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