Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair traded on Wednesday fully in line with the fundamental background. For almost the entire day, market movements were ultra-weak, as traders awaited the results of the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference. All other events of the day were irrelevant, even though another set of weak U.S. reports was published — this time in the construction sector. After the Fed's decision was announced, "fireworks" began. As we warned, volatility increased, and the price moved in both directions. First, the dollar dropped 70 pips in 10 minutes, then strengthened by 100 pips over the next several hours. Today, it may…
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[XPD/USD] – [Thursday, September 18, 2025] The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence, coupled with the two EMAs crossing with a Death Cross, indicates that Palladium has the potential to weaken against the USD today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1217.46 2. Resistance. 1 : 1187.50 3. Pivot : 1164.38 4. Support. 1 : 1134.42 5. Support. 2: 1111.30 Tactical Scenario Pressure Prone Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1134.42, there is potential for continued weakness to 1111.30. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1111.30 is successfully broken and closes below it, there is potential for continued weakness to 1081.34. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias i…
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US-based crypto exchange Coinbase has made a significant appeal to the Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding a wave of lawsuits aimed at its operations. The company is urging federal action to address what it describes as an “increasingly fragmented and hostile” regulatory landscape for the crypto market. Coinbase Urges Federal Action In a recent letter, Coinbase highlighted the steps taken by the current Administration to create a more equitable framework for digital asset regulation. This includes the introduction of stablecoin legislation and two pending bipartisan market-structure bills aimed at fostering uniformity in the oversight of cryptocurrencies. Coinbase a…
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A surge in supply from the Congo, responsible for 80% of the world’s cobalt output, coupled with tepid demand from the electric vehicle market, saw cobalt prices sink to historic lows at the start of 2025. Copper production in the DRC, with a big chunk owned by Chinese companies, was rising fast – leading to a near 40% jump in the country’s co-product cobalt output in 2024, but in February the country announced a four month ban on exports, extending it again in June. The price of cobalt sulphate entering the EV battery supply chain in China duly responded and is now trading over 90% higher than at the start of the year averaging $6,947 a tonne in August (still no…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated below the 1.1789–1.1802 level by the end of the day. Thus, the decline may continue toward the next Fibonacci level of 76.4% – 1.1695. A consolidation above the 1.1789–1.1802 zone will work in favor of the euro and a resumption of growth toward the 127.2% retracement level – 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke the previous wave's peak, while the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bullish" for now. The latest labor market data and the changed prospects for the Fed's monetary policy support only the bulls, while the…
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Everyone’s asking the same thing: What’s the best crypto to buy now, especially with how wild this week has been? According to CoinGecko , a handful of altcoins are running laps around the majors. Avantis (AVNT) jumped 368%, trading at $1.03. Aster isn’t far behind with more than 500% climb, sitting at $0.64. STBL shocked the market with a 459% spike, and even Linea managed a respectable 16.9% gain. In comparison, Bitcoin barely moved, and Ethereum’s just flat. In this kind of setup, the best crypto to buy now might not be the big names—it’s the ones showing both growth and on-chain activity. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y DISCOVER: Latest Crypto News Today, Se…
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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong believes US crypto legislation finally has a shot at passing. After several days of meeting with lawmakers in Washington, Armstrong said the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act has “a good chance of getting done.” In recent years, Coinbase is where BlackRock stores its BTC while other US exchanges like Gemini or Kraken are a literal who. The bill seeks to clarify how digital assets are regulated, splitting oversight between the SEC, CFTC, and other agencies. It focuses particularly on non-stablecoins like tokenized equities. “This is how we ensure the crypto industry can be built here in America, driving innovation and protecting consumers, an…
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Today, I tried trading the euro and the Australian dollar using the Mean Reversion strategy. With Momentum, I traded only the British pound, for which important data was released. News that producer prices in Germany fell more than expected put pressure on the euro. The Producer Price Index declined by 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding analysts' forecasts. This was the most significant drop. The euro reacted to the news by falling against the US dollar and other major currencies. Investors fear that the drop in producer prices may lead the European Central Bank to adopt a more dovish stance, since there is no point in waiting—the economy needs stimulus. The fall in German pr…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the structure's integrity is preserved, allowing for accurate forecasts. Recall that wave structures do not always look like textbook examples. At present, however, the pattern looks very good. The upward segment of the trend continues to develop, while the news background largely does not support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts are becoming more dovish. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in offic…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 19 Today’s story was one of cautious optimism for global trade, as both Washington and Beijing struck a more constructive tone. President Trump described the talks with Xi Jinping as “positive and constructive,” while adding that progress had been made on “several important issues.” That shift in rhetoric provided a relief bid across risk assets, even as broader market themes remained volatile. And despite all the classic diplomatic talk, Markets are still awaiting for actual concrete news but for now, we will content with the current words from Xi and Trump which don't sound too pessimistic overall. …
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YZi Labs, the family office linked to Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, is putting more weight behind Ethena Labs, the company behind the synthetic dollar USDe. The timing is interesting. Binance only recently added support for USDe across a few of its services, and now YZi is coming in with deeper backing. It looks like they’re making a clear bet that Ethena is picking up real traction. Ethena’s Numbers Are Climbing This move from YZi Labs comes after USDe saw a big jump in both supply and usage. The stablecoin now has more than 13 billion dollars in circulation, and the total value locked has passed 14 billion. That kind of growth tends to catch attention. For YZi, this …
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Asian crypto momentum is in full swing. Regulators are warming up to exchanges, and banks and fintechs are exploring tokenisation. The entire region is looking like a serious playground for digital assets. Here’s what transpired this week in the Asian crypto landscape. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.31T24h7d1y Vietnam Gears Up For A Crypto Exchange Debut Vietnam has emerged in the Asian crypto landscape as a promising destination for crypto enthusiasts in the last few years. The country recently greenlit a pilot program for cryptocurrency exchanges under Resolution 05/2025, Vietnam’s legal framework for piloting a regulated crypto trading market over five years. The fram…
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The AxCNH, a Chinese Yuan-pegged stablecoin issued by AnchorX, was officially launched on September 17, 2025 in Hong Kong. BDACS also launched KRW1, a South Korean Won-pegged stablecoin, the following day. Why do these moves matter? Because the crypto race is heating up. While America’s new federal stablecoin framework (the GENIUS Act in 2025) sets strict issuance and transparency rules, countries like Hong Kong and South Korea are also accelerating regulatory frameworks to oversee stablecoin activity. Retail users also stand to gain. Putting fiat on-chain enables near-instantaneous 24/7 cross-border settlement and brings smart contracts into the mix. This not only red…
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The upcoming week will be packed with various events—including the release of important economic data, primarily from the U.S., speeches by influential central bank officials, and the Swiss National Bank's final monetary policy decision. This week promises to be eventful, featuring key economic reports—especially from the United States—alongside remarks from major central bank figures and the Swiss National Bank's monetary policy decision. Let's assess how these events may influence the markets. Let's begin with an assessment of key U.S. statistics, which, unsurprisingly, play a leading role in global markets, given the current geopolitical landscape and financial market …
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The Australian dollar is coming off its best week since July, with gains of close to 1%. In Monday's European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6589, down 0.07% on the day. Bullock says inflation in good place but China a concern RBA Governor Bullock testified before a parliamentary committee on Monday. Bullock said that inflation was in a "very good position" as higher interest rates had curbed demand. Still, she warned that there inflation risks remained on "both sides". Bullock was less positive about the geopolitical environment, warning that the significant change in the global trading system which had created massive uncertainty. The Reserve Bank was particularly …
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Overview: After finishing last week with a bid tone, the US dollar's gains were initially extended against most G10 currencies before a mild bout of profit-taking emerged. It was extended in the European morning but may stall in North America. Several pairs have options near today's highs that expire at 10:00 AM ET. The US announcement that dramatically raises the prices of H-1B visas is a key talking point, with India seen particularly exposed. The US tariffs make it more expensive to import goods and now the administration will make it more difficult to import skilled labor. Meanwhile, Argentina's drama continues, and it is seeking a US loan on top of the IMF. Although…
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Did Arthur Hayes just cash out on his own 126x prediction for Hyperliquid? The BitMEX co-founder sold his entire stash of HYPE tokens, reportedly to fund a Ferrari Testarossa. Barely a month after telling a Tokyo audience the token could climb 126x, Arthur Hayes cashed out part of his HYPE stash. “Need to pay my deposit on the new Rari 849 Testarossa,” he posted on Sept. 21. Then, it’s over. I loved Hyperliquid and their values but what can a man do when their biggest advocate has abandoned them or against CZ Binance is promoting the Aster project? CZ literally destroyed the FTX wonder boys. Even his copypaste chain is unbeatable. Blockchain data from Lookonchain …
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The crypto market kicked off the week with one of its sharpest downturns of 2025, erasing more than $151 billion in market value within a single day. According to data from CoinGlass, over $1.7 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated in just 24 hours, leaving more than 402,000 traders in the red. Ethereum (ETH) bore the heaviest losses, with nearly $500 million in liquidations, while Bitcoin (BTC) saw about $284 million wiped out. Altcoins such as XRP, Solana, Dogecoin, and Hyperliquid (HYPE) tumbled between 7–12%, erasing recent gains and signaling an abrupt end to the latest altcoins rally. The cascade began with BTC dipping below $113,000, triggering margin c…
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The Trump Administration is pressing the World Bank to resume financing oil and gas projects, reversing the institution’s 2019 policy to halt new fossil fuel investments. Officials told the Financial Times the push extends to other development banks, signalling a broader retreat from climate-focused lending since Donald Trump’s return to the White House. North American banks and asset managers have also begun pulling out of net-zero alliances, further underscoring the shift. The move prioritizes energy security, with an emphasis on upstream gas development, and targets financing for projects in developing countries. Critics warn this could undermine global efforts…
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Overview: After rallying in the second half of last week, the dollar spent the last two sessions consolidating at lower levels. It has come back bid today amid light news. The greenback is 0.25%-0.50% firmer against the G10 currencies. The exception is the Australian dollar, which is holding on to small gains, inspired by the firmer CPI reading and a downgrading of the chances of a cut by the central bank not only next week but the following meeting in November, as well. The US dollar also enjoys a firmer bias against emerging market currencies. Japan returned from yesterday's holiday, and despite last week's announcement that the BOJ will begin selling its equity ETF ho…
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Aave’s planned Aave v3 deployment could turn OKX’s X Layer from a niche L2 into a serious DeFi venue. Aave v3, one of DeFi’s largest lending protocols, is preparing to launch on X Layer, the Ethereum Layer-2 network developed by crypto exchange OKX. The rollout is expected “in the coming weeks,” The deployment aims to build a core lending market on X Layer and strengthen its liquidity base. X Layer currently trails major Layer-2 networks in total value locked (TVL), with DefiLlama data showing deposits far below leaders such as Arbitrum and Optimism. (Source – X) Earlier this month, the Aave DAO held a “temp check” to measure community support for expanding onto X L…
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On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders locked in a significant amount of gain around the time of the latest price plunge. Bitcoin HODLer Whales Have Shown Profit-Taking Spree Recently As explained by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, long-term holder whales have participated in some profit-taking recently. “Long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago. This cohort is considered to represent the HODLers of the market, who rarely sell even in the face of volatility. That said, there are times when these investors do participate in selloffs, and one such instance seems to hav…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
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Overview: The foreign exchange market is becalmed today. The greenback is in narrow ranges with a slightly softer bias against most of the G10 currencies, but the Swiss franc and Canadian dollar. The news stream is light, and the leadership of the North American market seems awaited. The US announced a new sectoral investigation into robotics, industrial machinery, and medical devices. Under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, the investigation can last 270 days. Separately, the White House budget office reportedly is preparing for large-scale permanent layoffs during a government shutdown, which looks increasingly likely. Workers deemed nonessential are typically fur…
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Donald Trump wanted to achieve high rates of economic growth through a sharp reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate. However, Jerome Powell did not agree to the deal, and the FOMC Committee openly refused to make politically driven decisions. Trump was unable to convince the central bank of the need to lower the interest rate to 1-2%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also wonders why Powell did not promise a rate cut at the upcoming meetings. But Bessent and Trump are in the same boat, while Powell and the Fed's governors are in another. Therefore, the similarity in views on monetary policy between Trump and Bessent is not surprising. Since he failed to overpowe…
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