Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6918 tópicos neste fórum
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Slips Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Technical Breakdown & Key Levels Amidst Dollar Strength Most stock markets in Asia rose on Monday, while the U.S. dollar eased. This investor reaction was triggered by the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown, which would lead to the delayed publication of the September jobs report and other key economic data. China's blue-chip stocks added 0.7% ahead of the start of the Golden Week holidays on Wednesday. The broader MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) firmed 0.4%, bringing its monthly gain to almost 4%. South Korean stocks bounced 1.5%, contributing to their strong 7.8% gain for Sep…
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Telegram founder Pavel Durov said on September 28 that French intelligence pressured him into removing Moldovan election channels during the 2024 campaign. In posts on Telegram and X, he claimed the request came through an intermediary while he was in Paris and was linked to his ongoing legal case in France. “This was unacceptable on several levels,” Durov wrote. Crypto advocates and digital rights groups framed Telegram as a last line of defense for free speech online, warning that the prosecution was a test case for platform accountability. DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025 Europe’s Broader Push for Online Control: Is Telegram Next? The latest claims come …
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Trade review and tips for trading the pound The test of 1.3427 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3427 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out, resulting in growth of more than 20 points. In the second half of the day, weak U.S. pending home sales data is unlikely to pressure the dollar, but dovish comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams are another matter. An unexpected drop in sales would be an unpleasant su…
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Two days remain before the deadline, yet amid recent headlines, the market has almost overlooked the approaching new fiscal year in the U.S. By itself, the start of the fiscal year is usually a formality, but in America, it has become an annual political standoff. Democrats and Republicans once again cannot agree on spending plans for the coming year. The Democratic Party demands the preservation of tax breaks and healthcare subsidies for the American population, while the Republican Party (read—Donald Trump) insists on cutting expenditures in precisely these areas. Previously, Republicans passed most bills in both chambers of Congress with a simple majority. The situatio…
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Key takeaways RBA steady, RBNZ dovish tilt: Australia’s central bank is expected to hold rates at 3.6%, while New Zealand’s weak labour market raises the odds of a more dovish RBNZ stance.Widening yield spreads: The 2-year and 10-year AU/NZ sovereign bond yield spreads are likely to widen further, favouring AUD strength over NZD.AUD/NZD strength: The cross pair has gained 5.8% since July 2025, hitting a three-year high of 1.1390, supported by relative macro and yield dynamics.Technical outlook bullish: Short-term bias stays positive for AUD/NZD above 1.1330 support, with scope to test 1.1435 and the long-term secular resistance at 1.1470. Australia’s central bank (R…
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Key takeaways Silver’s stellar run: XAG/USD surged 16.1% in September and 27.5% in Q3 2025, marking its strongest quarter since Q3 2020.Short-term pullback risk: Price stalled at US$47.17 resistance with bearish RSI divergence, signalling potential mean reversion decline.Upside scenario: A breakout above US$47.17 could extend gains toward US$48.14/49.45 in the near term. Silver (XAG/USD) has delivered a stellar performance, surging 16.1% month-to-date and 27.5% in Q3 as of 30 September 2025, its strongest quarterly gain since Q3 2020. Over the same period, Silver has outpaced Gold (XAU/USD), which posted comparatively smaller advances of 10.4% month-to-date and 15.5…
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Markets just received the report for the US JOLTS Job Openings, which came in at 7.227 million vs 7.190M expected – a modest upside surprise compared to the prior 7.184M. The JOLTS release is closely watched by participants as it offers an early signal on labor demand and hiring appetite, especially as the data gets released ahead of the Monthly NFP figures. The one thing to keep in mind however is that the data gets released for the prior month (this is the report for August). Today’s beat shows that, despite slowing momentum elsewhere in the economy, the US labor picture is not deteriorating. This resilience may again temper expectations for aggressive 2026 rate cuts…
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Since everything Trump does is "Great," the shutdown will likely be Great as well — albeit with a negative side. This time, Trump has decided not to simply send federal workers home while he and his team attempt to negotiate with the Democrats. Instead, he's opted for a more dramatic move: to fire government employees — and blame the Democrats for it. It may look and sound absurd, but let's not forget that Trump is a gambler. And gamblers love to bluff. I believe this is just that — a bluff — and no one is actually going to be fired. However, Trump will play this card as a trump (no pun intended) in his standoff with the Democrats. Without a doubt, he will announce loudly…
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The Canadian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with no notable fluctuations, largely due to a relatively steady decline in oil prices (yesterday, -1.50%). The Marlin oscillator has settled in positive territory and is poised to turn upward. A breakout above the resistance level of 1.3958 (the high from September 26) opens the way to the next target at 1.4060. The first sign of a potential alternative (bearish) scenario for the Canadian dollar would be a decline below the 1.3890 level (high from September 11 and yesterday's low). However, a more significant signal would be a break below the 1.3860 level, which would open the path toward 1.3810. On the …
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As the market stabilizes from last week’s correction, BNB is attempting to hold a crucial area that could set the stage for a rally, leading some analysts to suggest that the next leg up could be around the corner. Kazakhstan Adoption Pushes BNB To $1,000 Nearly two weeks after breaking above the $1,000 milestone for the first time, BNB is attempting to hold this key area as support following the recent market pullback. The cryptocurrency has recorded a massive multi-month rally this quarter, surging 54% since the July opening. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has climbed 16% from the start-of-September lows, turning the crucial $800-$900 zone into support befor…
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No matter how challenging the current U.S. government shutdown may seem, these disruptions are temporary. This fact, combined with positive news from pharmaceutical companies, has pushed the S&P 500 back toward record highs. Donald Trump announced that Pfizer will introduce new medications in the U.S. at reduced prices. As long as the company invests in the American economy, it will be exempt from tariffs. The White House is also working with other industry representatives to reach similar agreements. U.S. Stock Index Performance The market hears what it wants to hear. That's why stock indices have continued their rally despite the government shutdown and declin…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday continued a very sluggish upward move after consolidating above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. Thus, the pound's growth may continue today towards the next corrective levels at 1.3482 and 1.3528. Consolidation below 1.3425 or a rebound from 1.3482 would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a pullback toward the nearest levels. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last high. The news background for the pound over the past two weeks has been negative, but I believe traders have already fully priced it in. This w…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a modest upward move toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1819. A rebound from this zone would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Consolidation above 1.1789–1.1819 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next corrective level, the 127.2% Fibonacci at 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" for now. Recent labor market data and the shifting Fed monetary polic…
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Against all expectations, September 2025 proved surprisingly kind to crypto. While BTC USD ticked higher in the first few weeks of the month, the sharp plunge in the final week failed to erase those gains. Instead, a mix of bullish Bitcoin news and resilient buyers provided strong support, establishing a solid foundation for BTC USDT to push above $125,000 in Q4 2025. Presently, the Bitcoin price is steady above $116,000. The digital gold has successfully reversed its losses from September 25. That said, this leg up is on relatively low trading volume but has nonetheless pumped some of the best cryptos to buy. From a technical standpoint, a close above $118,000 could ign…
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According to Arkham, a wallet labeled “Tether: Bitcoin Reserves” received 8,889 Bitcoin in a single transfer from Bitfinex. The move added roughly $1 billion to Tether’s holdings and pushed the firm’s Bitcoin stash to about $9.8 billion based on the market price. It was one of the biggest single top-ups to its BTC balance this year. Quarter-End Buying Pattern Based on reports, the timing of the buy was not random. Blockchain records show Tether has made similar quarter-end additions in September 2024, December 2024, and March 2025. Analysts say the pattern points to a deliberate effort to bolster reserves ahead of public attestations. Tether’s second-quarter attestati…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily c…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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The first shipment of tungsten concentrate (WO3) from Trinity Metals’ Nyakabingo mine in Rwanda arrived this week at Global Tungsten and Powders’ (GTP) plant in Towanda, Pennsylvania. Officials from Trinity Metals, GTP and Traxys were joined at the facility by the US Ambassador to Rwanda and The Deputy Rwandan Ambassador to the US to witness the arrival. GTP is the largest tungsten processor in the US and is part of Austria’s Plansee Group, a global manufacturer of tungsten-made components used in aerospace, defense and industrial applications. Tungsten is listed by the US government as a critical mineral needed to support the economy and enhance national …
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Metals are loving everything about this year’s trading, with most of them posting their best yearly performances since the early 2010s. A combination of drivers continues to fuel the rally: a weaker US Dollar weighed down by the Trump administration’s tariffs and tense international relations, alongside FED cuts and questions over the central bank’s independence. Add to that the ballooning government debt and an expanding money supply, and the stage is set for commodities — particularly metals — to keep outperforming. …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 3rd Today marked the continuation of the US Government shutdown, with the Senate rejecting a Democrat attempt to end it. It seems that the two parties are not agreeing to the financing terms and will require more than a few days of negotiation. The Trump administration had expected the shutdown which, would help the President to reduce drastically the number of federal workers, at least according to his Truth Social Post. …
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Crypto news today is popping! Bitcoin (BTC) has broken its August ATH, and Ethereum (ETH) looks ready for a breakout! Whales are making moves, and the charts are heating up! Here’s the rundown. After nearly two months of grinding sideways action, with multiple price dips below $110k, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $123,167.22 0.55% Bitcoin BTC Price $123,167.22 0.55% /24h Volume…
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Bitcoin price (BTC) climbed to a new all-time high overnight, reaching about $125,700 during Sunday’s Asia session before pulling back to the low $123,000 range. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The rally extended an eight-day winning streak and came as spot ETF inflows surged alongside a weaker US dollar amid renewed concerns over a potential government shutdown. The move surpassed Bitcoin’s previous mid-August peak, marking another milestone in the asset’s strongest run since early 2024. Price action turned volatile near 12:45 a.m. ET, when BTC spiked…
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Ethereum price started a steady increase above $4,500. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,620 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,450 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $4,490 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,550 and $4,620. Ethereum Price Gains Over 5% Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,320 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,450 and $4,500 re…
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EUR/USD Analysis – 5M Chart The EUR/USD currency pair showed absolutely no significant movement on Friday. Even on the hourly time frame, it is clearly visible that the pair remained in a total flat throughout the past week. Only once did the price attempt to break out of the range between the Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines—on Thursday, when the unemployment rate in the Eurozone unexpectedly rose to 6.3%. All other, far more important, data was either ignored by the market or responded to very weakly. And that's a shame. There was plenty to pay attention to last week—starting with the U.S. government shutdown. It's hard to believe such a major event, which doesn't …
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Asia Market Wrap - Japan Politics Send Markets in a Tailspin, Nikkei Up 4.8% Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Global markets were boosted over the weekend as stock prices soared while currencies and bonds fell. Some investors turned to gold and Bitcoin for safety as Japan’s election of a pro-stimulus leader fueled expectations for aggressive fiscal spending. In Asia, shares jumped to new highs. The Nikkei 225 rose about 5% percent, reaching a record after Sanae Takaichi won the election as the new Prime Minister. At the same time the yen fell close to two percent, slipping to about 150 per dollar and hitting a low against the euro.…
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