Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Spot silver soared above $46.00, recently touching the $45 an ounce level in late September. The powerful and enduring rally in precious metals this year has lifted silver as much as 55% in 2025, outpacing the 43% gain in gold. The push to fresh highs in silver comes alongside news that the U.S. economy grew at a faster pace in the second quarter. The third estimate of Q2 U.S. GDP came in at 3.8%, which is higher than the previous estimate of 3.3%. Upward revisions to consumer spending contributed to the better number. This followed a negative reading in the first quarter of the year, which revealed that economic growth shrank by 0.6%. Other economic news also surprised…
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In order to form a sustained rally in October, the flagship cryptocurrency must break through the $115,000 barrier, according to analysts at QCP Capital. Right now, the leading crypto asset is only approaching this level. According to analysts, open interest in Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies is gradually stabilizing. Current conditions in the crypto market are favorable for the start of a Bitcoin bullish trend. QCP Capital analysts also noted a recovery in prices, despite significant capital outflows from ETFs. Prices are absorbing selling pressure more smoothly than previously expected. After recovering part of their earlier losses, ETF inflows could spark renewed …
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei at Three- Week Lows Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Japanese stocks experienced a widespread sell-off on Wednesday as investors chose to cash in profits following the market's recent strong rally, marking the beginning of the second half of the fiscal year. The main Nikkei index fell by 0.85%, closing at its lowest point since September 11, and marking its fourth straight session of losses. The broader Topix index also lost 1.37%. This decline followed a spectacular September for the Nikkei, which gained 5.2% and hit a record high, largely driven by chip-making equipment maker Tokyo Electron which soa…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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Bitcoin surged past the $115,000 level just a few hours ago, sparking speculation among investors about the potential for further upside. The move comes after weeks of tight consolidation that began in July, a period marked by choppy trading and indecision. Now, with momentum showing signs of returning, many analysts believe the next breakout could be aggressive, setting the tone for the final quarter of the year. The reclaim of $115,000 has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders closely watching whether Bitcoin can build a base above this threshold and aim for the next major resistance at $117,500. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases have often preceded str…
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Guanajuato Silver Company (TSXV: GSVR) is looking to raise as much as C$43 million ($31 million) in a bought deal public offering to support its Mexican mine operations. However, its shares dropped nearly 15% on the news. The company initially announced that it planned to raise C$30 million through the sale of 60 million units priced at C$0.50 each, but later increased the offering to C$43 million (87 million units) due to strong demand. The units each carry one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant, with each whole warrant exercisable at C$0.65 per share for three years. Guanajuato Silver’s stock traded at C$0.46 with a market capitaliz…
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The latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting delivered a few surprises, helping the Australian dollar hold its ground against the U.S. dollar. However, the long-term outlook remains uncertain. As expected, the RBA left interest rates unchanged at 3.6%, as inflation remains at its highest level since July 2024. The RBA directly acknowledged this inflation risk, stating: "...while recent data is incomplete and volatile, it suggests that inflation in the September quarter may come in higher than anticipated during the August Monetary Policy Statement." The central bank also noted signs of recovering consumer demand, which increases the risk of upward pressure on p…
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On Tuesday, just before the U.S. government shutdown took effect, the Bureau of Labor Statistics managed to publish the JOLTS report. Had the release been scheduled for today, it would not have come out due to the suspension of government operations. For the same reason, it is now likely that the September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will not be published on Friday—unless lawmakers pass an interim funding bill, which seems extremely unlikely at this point, given the deep divide between the political parties. Democrats are insisting on preserving subsidies under the Affordable Care Act, while Republicans firmly oppose the idea. This has resulted in a stalemate in Congre…
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Six years ago, as many economists acknowledge, the government shutdown was not a total shutdown. At that time, the U.S. Congress had managed to approve at least part of the budget for the upcoming fiscal year, so not all federal employees were at risk of being furloughed. In 2025, however, the situation is very different. Virtually all public servants are now under threat because Democrats and Republicans have failed to agree on fundamental spending issues. It's also important to note that a U.S. federal employee is not limited to the stereotypical desk worker or postal carrier. It also includes military personnel, who, although they will not be dismissed, will also not r…
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The final — and perhaps most important — point to consider is the economy. When government spending is slashed and up to 1 million federal employees are furloughed, economic and business activity drops abruptly. American consumers cut back on spending, and business revenues, along with personal incomes, decline. Between 2018 and 2019, the U.S. economy contracted by 0.4%, and between 2012 and 2013, by 0.6%. However, economists noted that the 2018–2019 shutdown was only partial, while in 2012–2013, it was total. This means that in just two weeks of a total shutdown, the U.S. economy sustained one and a half times more damage than it did during five weeks of a partial shutdo…
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Trade breakdown and guidance on trading the euro The test of the 1.1753 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The rise in the euro area unemployment rate to 6.3% was seen as routine and did not lead to a significant drop in the euro's exchange rate. Investors were likely prepared for such an outcome, given the slowdown in the region's economic growth in recent months. Nevertheless, despite the muted reaction to the unemployment data, the euro continues to face pressure. The latest inflation and manufacturing sector data, co…
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While investors are becoming euphoric due to the perceived strong start to what everybody is calling ‘Uptober’, several warning signs are emerging that point toward a market-wide crash, which could see BTC price fall below $100k, dragging altcoins along with it. The Bitcoin 1-day chart is flashing a bearish signal, while the US Government has just gone into shutdown. Meanwhile, there is a strong consensus online among traders calling for new crypto highs in October and throughout Q4. Whenever the majority of investors are aligned on the direction of the market, historically, the opposite tends to happen. Today, the global cryptocurrency market cap is $4.18T, up 1.9% in …
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Spacecoin says it has relayed a blockchain transaction entirely through space, moving data from one ground point to another without using terrestrial internet links. According to reports, the test aimed to show that cryptographic transactions can be sent via satellite radio and still be validated at the other end. End-To-End Transaction Via Satellite Reports have disclosed that the transmission began in Punta Arenas, Chile, was uplinked over S-band radio to a nanosatellite called CTC-0, and then downlinked to a ground station in the Azores, Portugal. That path covered roughly 7,000 kilometers. Based on reports, the message was processed on the Creditcoin test network …
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GBP/USD Analysis, 5M On Thursday, GBP/USD also traded lower, although the British pound had absolutely no grounds for decline. One might assume that the euro pulled the pound down with it, but even the euro's fall raises questions—particularly since it started two hours after the weak unemployment report was published. The technical picture on the hourly timeframe remains unchanged. Despite Wednesday's and Thursday's declines, the new uptrend is still valid, though it remains very weak and uncertain as long as the Senkou Span B line is not broken. Friday may not provide clarity either and could create even more confusion. For starters, it is still unclear whether U.S.…
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Metals are loving everything about this year’s trading, with most of them posting their best yearly performances since the early 2010s. A combination of drivers continues to fuel the rally: a weaker US Dollar weighed down by the Trump administration’s tariffs and tense international relations, alongside FED cuts and questions over the central bank’s independence. Add to that the ballooning government debt and an expanding money supply, and the stage is set for commodities — particularly metals — to keep outperforming. …
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Australia-based Fleet Space Technologies, developer and operator of microsatellites that deliver universal connectivity, has opened a new global headquarters (GHQ) and space-tech hyperfactory at Adelaide Airport’s Catalyst Park. Fleet Space’s 5,300m²+ facility boosts Australia’s advanced manufacturing capacity, enabling the production of thousands of next-generation geophysical sensors and hundreds of satellites annually, the company said. The GHQ and space-tech factory will support the expansion of its global, AI-powered exploration platform – ExoSphere – deployed by the major mining and resource companies including Rio Tinto, Barrick, Gold Fields, and Maaden …
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Bitcoin is presently valued in the $122,000 price region following an impressive price surge over the last week. Notably, bullish sentiments around the crypto market leader are presently strong as analysts speculate that another accumulation phase may have commenced. On-chain analytics page, Swissblock has now provided an in-depth analysis of the present market situation, with insights on potential drivers for profits or losses. BTC Dip To $108,600 A Constructive Reset Earlier this month, Bitcoin registered a sharp decline from $117,000 to $108,600, sparking fears of a deeper correction. Although the market has since recovered, Swissblock explains that several on-chain…
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According to the latest on-chain data, Bitcoin has been witnessing an interesting change in its holder behavior, further intensifying the bullish speculation in the market. Bitcoin UTXO Count Declines As Price Surges In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed that long-term Bitcoin investors seem to be changing their investment strategy by increasingly holding on to their coins. This on-chain observation is based on the Bitcoin UTXO Count metric, which tracks the total number of individual unspent transaction outputs on the blockchain. For context, an unspent transaction output is an amount of a cryptocurrency (in this case, Bitcoin) th…
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Bitcoin price (BTC) climbed to a new all-time high overnight, reaching about $125,700 during Sunday’s Asia session before pulling back to the low $123,000 range. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time The rally extended an eight-day winning streak and came as spot ETF inflows surged alongside a weaker US dollar amid renewed concerns over a potential government shutdown. The move surpassed Bitcoin’s previous mid-August peak, marking another milestone in the asset’s strongest run since early 2024. Price action turned volatile near 12:45 a.m. ET, when BTC spiked…
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Dark times are ahead for EUR/USD traders—and for all dollar-based pairs. The continued U.S. government shutdown has halted the release of official economic data. For instance, last week was supposed to bring September's Nonfarm Payrolls numbers, but traders had to settle for the ADP report, which does not cover government employees or several other non-agricultural sectors. This week, key inflation metrics (CPI/PPI) are scheduled for release, but they are unlikely to be published unless Congress unexpectedly reopens the government. If the shutdown continues—which remains the most likely scenario—EUR/USD traders will be forced to operate in a state of information vacuum. …
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On Monday, from the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the market may begin a downward move targeting 1.1685 – the 14.6% retracement level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a possible upward move may occur toward 1.1689 – a historical resistance level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.1741 level (Friday's daily candle close), the price may begin a downward move targeting 1.1655 – the 50% retraceme…
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Yesterday (October 5), a bombshell was dropped on Aster Crypto, the newly launched Perp DEX platform that has taken the market by storm with a +7,000% price increase for its native token, ASTER. The YZi Labs-backed platform has also dominated TVL and trading volume metrics, quickly surpassing the competition, including Hyperliquid. However, it is these numbers that have come under scrutiny, with the Web3 data platform DefiLlama delisting its perpetual volume metrics and the founder of DefiLlama posting a thread on X, explaining why the platform has delisted Aster. Market Cap 24h 7d …
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Today, the GBP/USD pair starts the week with a bearish gap amid broad U.S. dollar strength and is struggling to hold on to Friday's strong gains. Spot prices show no further upward momentum and remain below the 1.3500 level. Over the weekend, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) elected Sanae Takaichi as its new leader. Since Takaichi is known as a supporter of loose fiscal policy, this choice increases expectations that the Bank of Japan will postpone raising rates, which may trigger a significant sell-off of the Japanese yen. As a result, this supports the U.S. dollar's rise, which is a key pressure factor on the GBP/USD pair. However, the dollar's upward potential i…
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