Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11716 tópicos neste fórum
-
When the economy lacks arguments to hold back the bullish momentum of EUR/USD, politics steps in. The split within the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has dealt a blow to the euro. About 18 party representatives do not support the pension project of the CDU and the Social Democrats. To pass it in the Bundestag, a majority is needed, and they are short by six votes. Chancellor Friedrich Merz's position has weakened, unsettling the main currency pair. Politics and geopolitics have long impeded EUR/USD's progress. France has changed prime ministers as often as changing gloves, the armed conflict in Ukraine has lasted almost four years, and now Germany faces its own challeng…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 4 Markets traded in chaotic fashion today as the latest Jobless Claims report sent confusion waves to the market. The headline number came at 191K vs 220K, the lowest since September 2022 (!) A stark divergence is emerging between private labor data (looking at Tuesday's ADP report) and public data. Some analysts have noted bad seasonal adjustments from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – Could there have been some reshuffling? This morning's Challenger Report paradoxically confirms another rise, of a lesser extent, in US Layoffs. You can access the interesting report right here. Markets unfortunately wo…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum (ETH) is topping talks once again as its Fusaka upgrade goes live and the ETH price returns firmly above the $3,200 mark. After weeks of choppy trading and lingering fear across the broader crypto market, the combination of a major technical overhaul and rising on-chain activity is giving traders a fresh narrative to follow. Related Reading: Eric Trump Says Bitcoin Could Hit $500,000, Stands By ABTC Strategy In the last 24 hours, ETH has climbed around 4–5%, outperforming most large-cap cryptos and reclaiming a key psychological zone near $3,200. Market data shows rising volumes and a noticeable pickup in accumulation from larger holders, even as sentiment indi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin has spent the majority of the past 30 days drifting lower, falling into a tight and almost predictable rhythm of lower highs and lower lows. The movement has been sluggish, but technical analysis shows that something important may now be forming. A new analysis shared by crypto commentator Clifton Fx suggests that Dogecoin is approaching the end of this decline, and the chart he posted highlights a falling wedge pattern that could become the basis for a 96% rally if buyers finally step in with conviction. A Falling Wedge That Has Started Attracting Attention Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the 12-hour chart shows two downward-sloping trendline…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD. As is often the case ahead of pivotal events like the FOMC, the Dollar may test relative extremes, but it rarely poses definitive breakout situations. The best example of this was ahead of the September Fed Meeting, where the Dollar rushed to make new lows but was inevitably constrained by the bounds of its previous yearly support zones. The catalyst for the current downside came from NY Fed President John Williams' speech on November 21, which fundamental…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound is showing gains against the U.S. dollar during the North American session and has moved into a consolidation phase, despite U.S. labor market data indicating stability, while expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut remain high. As markets digest the positive U.S. employment figures and maintain expectations of a December Fed rate cut, the British pound is holding firm. Recent U.S. economic data showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits came in below experts' forecasts for the week ending November 29. Initial jobless claims totaled 191,000, below the forecast of 220,000 and even below last week's upwardly revised figure of 2…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave structure on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has shifted but remains quite understandable overall. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex and extended since July 1. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very unconventional form. Within this wave we observe exclusively corrective patterns, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend all the way up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e series appears complet…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Larvotto Resources (ASX: LRV) has expanded the technical capabilities at its flagship Hillgrove antimony-gold project with the acquisition of a core scanning system to support both exploration and metallurgical development activities. The ECORE system — developed by Elemission Inc. — is an advanced, automated drill core scanner that uses laser ablation and atomic emission spectroscopy to provide detailed quantitative mineralogy in near real time. Following the acquisition, Hillgrove becomes the only mine site in Australia equipped with these capabilities, highlighting its commitment to using the latest technology to produce the best production results, Larvotto sa…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP has reclaimed the $2.10 level after a strong rebound across the broader crypto market, signaling renewed confidence following several days of fear, volatility, and sharp pullbacks. Analysts now see the potential for a sustained recovery as momentum returns and buyers show signs of stepping back in. The reclaim of this key level comes at a crucial moment, with traders closely watching whether XRP can build enough strength to challenge higher resistances in the coming sessions. Adding to the renewed optimism, a new report from CryptoOnchain on CryptoQuant highlights a major spike in XRP Ledger Velocity, marking one of the strongest on-chain signals of 2025. On Decembe…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The recent unsuccessful attempt to find support above the $4,250 level and the subsequent decline favor the bears. However, positive technical oscillators on the daily chart indicate that any downturn will find strong support near the weekly low set on Tuesday around $4,160. But further selling below this level will push prices toward the round level of $4,100 on the way to $4,075. This level is close to the 50-day SMA, which may become a base in the near future. On the other hand, since gold has already surpassed the round $4,200 level today, resistance at $4,250 may still serve as a strong barrier before $4,270, above which the precious metal will attempt to reclaim the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Dogecoin (DOGE) price movement is entering a phase that traders often watch closely, a stretch of tightening action that usually precedes a decisive move. After several days of elevated activity, shifting ETF flows, and a rare alignment of technical indicators, the memecoin is now sitting at a point where sentiment and structure appear to be converging. The conversation around Dogecoin is beginning to shift from short-term speculation to whether the asset is preparing for a larger breakout as the year closes. Recent trading sessions have highlighted a steady rise in activity, driven initially by an 8% price jump that pushed DOGE to the $0.15 region. The move came …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A crypto market analyst has compared XRP to NVIDIA, an American technology company with one of the biggest tech success stories in history. The analyst implied that buying XRP today could mirror the opportunity investors had when purchasing NVIDIA shares in 2000 at just $0.35. The comparison emphasizes the long-term potential of the XRP price and highlights the importance of HODLing. XRP Today Shows Growth Potential Like NVIDIA In 2000 A leading market expert, Egrag Crypto, has drawn a striking parallel between the current XRP price and the early days of NVIDIA. He suggested that buying XRP now could be akin to purchasing NVIDIA shares at just $0.35, as recorded in 2000…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today's session is one of the most muted trading seen in Stock Markets in a long while, reflecting ongoing caution after the volatility of November. Pretty logic considering Markets are still awaiting next Wednesday's FOMC rate decision Confusion reigns regarding the Labor picture: this morning's Jobless Claims came in sharply lower at 191K (lowest since September 2022!), a number that fundamentally diverges from yesterday's ADP private payroll -32K Miss. With next week's Fed Cut well anchored around 85-90% and traders awaiting the pivotal Core PCE release, the immediate theme is not one of volatility, but rather uncertainty. We will instead analyze the Stocks which ha…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
.cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-trend-holder .cwp-trend { background-color: transparent !imp…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Recent bullish predictions for the XRP price have emerged, hinting at a potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) by March 2026 for one of the market’s leading altcoins. XRP Price Projected To Reach New ATH By Q1 2026 According to projections from ChatGPT, XRP could reach approximately $4.40 by the first quarter of 2026, a notable increase of 120% from current levels around $2. In contrast to the AI forecast, some analysts believe that the XRP price has the potential for a stronger rally. They suggest that structural changes could allow XRP to exceed $5 and potentially approach $6 by 2026. Several factors support their optimistic view. For instance, key aspects of the U…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Anglo Asian Mining (LON: AAZ) has begun copper concentrate sales from its new Demirli mine as part of a recently signed agreement with commodities trading group Trafigura. On Nov. 3, the London-listed miner, which operates mines in Azerbaijan, contracted to sell copper concentrates produced at Demirli in Karabakh to Trafigura, with the latter agreeing to a $25 million prepayment. In the second half of November, Anglo Asian made its first sale to Trafigura — totalling 2,055 wet tonnes of copper concentrate containing 351 tonnes of metal. This is expected to generate a revenue (before the government of Azerbaijan’s share) of $3.6 million, it said. To facilitate …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin and XRP have become central to a bold corporate shift in Japan, with AltPlus announcing that both digital assets will be formally incorporated into its long-term treasury strategy. The publicly listed company disclosed the move in its recent shareholder filing, outlining a multi-layered plan that positions cryptocurrencies as foundational components of its future financial and operational framework. Bitcoin And XRP Lead Treasury According to a post by “BankXRP” on X (formerly Twitter), AltPlus is expected to purchase and hold Bitcoin and XRP through a newly established cryptocurrency purchase and management division. The company frames this step as part of a long…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Mining veteran Jake Klein says Australia missed a huge opportunity to become a leader in the rare earths space. Best known as the founder and chairman of gold producer Evolution Mining (ASX: EVN), Klein also sat on the board of Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) for many years when it was trying to establish itself as a producer. Speaking at the Melbourne Mining Club on Wednesday, Klein pointed to China’s successful multi-decade strategy to secure raw materials. “When I reflect on Australia’s success over the last 30 years, it was largely founded on the back of some very bold reform in the ‘90s, which laid the groundwork for our economic success, which has been phen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, Thursday, the pair attracted buyer interest as it attempted to recover yesterday's losses; however, the attempt was unsuccessful, and the pair remained at the same price level. Current prices show no confidence in growth, hovering just above the 200-day SMA. The U.S. dollar index made attempts to recover today, which provided important support for USD/CAD.Nonetheless, significant dollar strengthening should not be expected, as most market participants anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week in December. These expectations were reinforced by the weak ADP employment report, which showed that private-sector employers unexpectedly cut 32,000 jobs i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD pair is consolidating near its monthly high, preparing for further growth, and the potential for a correction remains limited against a favorable fundamental backdrop. Today, the U.S. dollar attempted a modest recovery from levels last seen at the end of October, but unsuccessfully. This attempted rebound became the key factor restraining the rise of EUR/USD. According to the latest U.S. macroeconomic data, the economy is gradually cooling, and combined with signs of a further slowdown in the U.S. labor market in November, this has strengthened expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for next week. Meanwhile, expectatio…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Rising U.S. debt and heavy Treasury issuance are killing the charm of long-duration bonds, so institutions are looking toward Bitcoin and other digital assets as hedges. As Bitcoin adoption grows, demand is shifting away from simple price bets toward real infrastructure for fast payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) introduces a Bitcoin-anchored Layer 2 that uses the Solana Virtual Machine to fix Bitcoin’s slow transactions, high fees, and lack of smart contracts. Competition among Bitcoin Layer 2 networks will heat up as macro pressures and institutional inflows reward projects that mix Bitcoin’s trust with real performance. Surging…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Defying market optimism, Goldman Sachs Group sought to curb enthusiasm over copper’s record-breaking rally, saying the metal’s breakout above $11,000 a tonne is unlikely to last as global supplies remain adequate. In a note to clients this week, Goldman analysts led by Aurelia Waltham argued that copper’s recent rally centres around “expectation of future market tightness, rather than current fundamentals,” adding that they do not expect prices at current levels to hold. Click on chart for live prices. The warning comes at a time when copper had just set a new record high of $11,540 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, fueled by fears of a global supply squeeze a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rio Tinto (NYSE, LSE, ASX: RIO) venture partner Nuton has produced the first copper using new technology at Gunnison Copper’s (TSX: GCU) Johnson Camp Mine (JCM) in Arizona. The Nuton-made copper cathode, produced last month with a unique sulphide bioleaching technology, is part of a four-year demonstration period at JCM using its heap leach pad for the production of about 30,000 tonnes of refined copper, Gunnison said Thursday. JCM is about 105 km east of Tucson. “This is a breakthrough achievement for our Nuton technology, which is proving that cleaner, faster, and more efficient copper production is possible at an industrial scale,” Rio Tinto Copper CEO Katie Ja…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
McEwen (TSX, NYSE: MUX) said new drilling at its Froome mine in northern Ontario boosted the property’s higher-grade gold mineralization by about 45%. Drillhole 25PR-G467 cut 31 metres grading 7.7 grams gold per tonne from 298 metres depth, McEwen said Thursday in a statement. Another hole, 25PR-G478, cut 15 metres at 6.1 grams gold from 328 metres downhole. “Drilling continues to prove out the high-grade discovery at the Froome mine, with mineralization extended at depth and to the west providing enhanced optionality,” National Bank Financial mining analyst Don DeMarco said Thursday in a note. Some of the deepest intersections so far show gold mineralization …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Moonrock Capital founder Simon Dedic says the crypto industry is nearing a decisive transition from an early-adopter niche to a mainstream market, assigning a 75% probability that the sector will “finish crossing the chasm and enter the early-majority phase next year.” Is The Crypto Market Crossing The Chasm? Dedic frames his outlook using the classic technology adoption curve, which splits the market into innovators (2.5%), early adopters (13.5%), an early majority (34%), late majority (34%) and laggards (16%). The critical “chasm” lies between early adopters—“people who want newest things” and accept a minimum feature set—and the early majority, who demand a “whole pro…
Last reply by Ben Graham,