Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11851 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin price is attempting to recover above $108,500 and $108,800. BTC could rise further if there is a clear move above the $111,200 resistance. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $108,800 resistance level. The price is trading above $109,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a short-term channel with resistance at $108,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it trades above the $111,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Increase Bitcoin price declined again below the $109,000 level. BTC tested the $106,720 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Global macro signals are flashing both warning and opportunity for Bitcoin (BTC). On one hand, major bank Standard Chartered PLC has flagged the potential for Bitcoin to dip below $100,000 in the near term. On the other hand, significant growth in global M2 money supply strengthens the backdrop for a longer-term upside. Short-Term Correction Predicted as Trade & Liquidity Risks Mount According to head of digital asset research Geoff Kendrick at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin could briefly fall under the $100,000 mark amid intensifying global risks, particularly the escalating U.S.–China trade tensions. Although he deems the drop as temporary, Kendrick frames it as…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair didn't even attempt to continue its illogical downward movement. For the second day in a row, price action moved sideways with minimal volatility. There was once again no macroeconomic or fundamental news, leaving traders with nothing to react to for a fourth consecutive day. However, on Thursday, it was officially confirmed that the U.S. inflation report—originally in question due to the ongoing government shutdown—would indeed be published today. The fact that this news almost went unnoticed speaks volumes. The shutdown has become such a familiar occurrence this October that even the dollar remains unaffe…
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M On Thursday, the GBP/USD currency pair once again showed no desire to move in any clear direction. After a relatively eventful Wednesday, when a fairly impactful inflation report was published in the UK, Thursday brought no significant data releases. As a result, the British pound returned to its usual low-volatility movements with a downward bias. It is worth noting that, just like the euro, the pound sterling currently has no underlying reasons for a decline. However, on the daily time frame, a flat trend persists, so on lower time frames, we continue to observe illogical movements in the complete absence of fundamental and macroeconomic event…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave from $3,700. ETH is moving higher but faces a couple of key hurdles near $3,900 and $3,955. Ethereum started a fresh recovery above $3,780 and $3,820. The price is trading above $3,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,900 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $3,920. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price started a minor recovery wave from the $3,710 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price surpassed the $3,800 and $3,820 levels to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even spiked above $…
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In one of the most striking moments of this cycle, gold has lost trillions in market capitalization, a drawdown larger than the entire value of Bitcoin itself. The metal that once symbolized stability is now showing cracks, while BTC, the asset branded as volatile, has remained remarkably resilient. What It Means For Bitcoin Next Market Cycle For decades, gold has been hailed as the ultimate safe-haven, and it has been rock-solid. However, a seasoned financial analyst, Tom Tucker, has revealed on X that Gold, the world’s oldest store of value, has lost $2.5 trillion in market value, which is more than the entire Bitcoin market capitalization. Meanwhile, the crypto Fea…
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XRP price started a recovery wave from $2.320. The price is now struggling to clear $2.420 and might decline if it trades below the $2.350 support. XRP price is attempting to recover above the $2.350 zone. The price is now trading above $2.350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2.420 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.420 resistance. XRP Price Attempts Recovery XRP price formed a base above $2.30 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.3750 and $2.380 resistance levels. …
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HYPE has reignited bullish sentiment across the crypto market after a sharp 11.91% daily surge pushed the Hyperliquid price above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) to $39.02. Related Reading: 16,000 Ancient Bitcoins Just Moved—And It’s Costing Whales Billions The rally follows renewed investor optimism fueled by institutional participation and aggressive whale activity. Traders are now watching the $41.76 resistance level, a breakout point that could confirm a full trend reversal. Having reclaimed the key 61.8% Fibonacci level at $35.84, the Hyperliquid price is showing resilience amid broader market volatility, with volume spikes reflecting rising demand for exp…
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[ADA/USD] – [Friday, October 24, 2025] With EMA(50) and EMA(200) condition forming a Death Cross, and the RSI indicator in the Neutral-Bearish zone, then ADA/USD is likely to face further downside pressure today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 0.67940 2. Resistance. 1 : 0.65897 3. Pivot : 0.63281 4. Support. 1 : 0.61238 5. Support. 2 : 0.58622 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price weakens and closes below 0.63281, ADA/USD could test the 0.61238 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 0.61238 is breached and closes below, there is potential for further decline toward 0.58622. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is limited if the p…
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[DOGE] – [Friday, October 24, 2025] If we look at technical indicators that demonstrate bullish conditions such as a continuing Golden Cross between the EMAs and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone, then Doge has the potential to move higher today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 0.20443 2. Resistance. 1 : 0.19899 3. Pivot : 0.19202 4. Support. 1 : 0.18658 5. Support. 2 : 0.17961 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Doge breaks and closes above 0.19899, it could potentially move up toward 0.20443. Momentum Extension Bias: If 0.20443 is successfully breached and closed above, Doge is likely to continue strengthening toward 0.21140. Inval…
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Analysis of Thursday's Trades: 1H Chart of the EUR/USD Pair On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair showed no notable movements. There were practically no movements, and volatility continues to reach record lows day after day. While at the beginning of the week we observed a very weak but still downward movement, on Wednesday and Thursday the trend was sideways. This indicates that the market has essentially "died." Today, however, it might come back to life, as this is the first day of the week with at least some macroeconomic data releases. Therefore, volatility is expected to increase. Unfortunately, a flat trend persists on the daily time frame, which remains the…
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Analysis of Thursday's Trades: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also traded with minimal volatility on Thursday amid a complete absence of macroeconomic and fundamental information. Overall, the British pound continues its sluggish decline, with no underlying reasons to support it. This week had only one event that could have triggered the pound's decline—the UK inflation report. On all other days, there was no reason for traders to sell the pair: neither technical, given the cancellation of the downtrend, nor macroeconomic. What will happen today remains an open question, as unlike the rest of the week, Friday includes a significant amount of macroecono…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: A considerable number of macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday. In fact, today is the first day this week when traders will have anything significant to focus on. Therefore, there is no doubt that today's movements will be more volatile. The nature of movement for both currency pairs will depend on the actual reports. Business activity indices (PMIs) in the services and manufacturing sectors will be released in Germany, the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The UK will also publish retail sales data, and in the U.S., the most critical report of the week—CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation data—will be an…
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Is there reason to panic when corporations are as strong as a bull, the U.S. economy is expanding, and the Federal Reserve plans to continue cutting rates? Positive earnings reports from Intel and other companies acted as a catalyst for a swift rebound in the S&P 500 from its local bottom. Investors did what they had been wanting to do for some time—buy the dip. Are record highs just around the corner? According to LSEG data, out of 130 S&P 500 companies that have reported third-quarter results, 86% have exceeded profit forecasts. This figure not only reflects their robust health but also a firmly grounded U.S. economy. Moreover, signs of improvement are giving st…
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Bitcoin is trading around 110,489, above the 3/8 Murray level, and above the 21SMA with a positive bias. It is likely to continue rising in the coming hours, reaching the strong resistance of the 4/8 Murray level around 112,500, and could even encounter a strong rejection around the top of the downtrend channel located at 113,220, which also coincides with the 200 EMA. If Bitcoin makes a technical rebound around 109,375, it will be seen as a signal to buy in the coming hours, with targets at 112,500. On the other hand, if Bitcoin falls and consolidates below the 21SMA at $109,000, we could expect the bearish cycle to resume, potentially reaching the 2/8 Murray at 106,250 …
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The Trump family likes to bask in glory. Yes, they run the United States, are billionaires, and are also behind one of the most talked-about DeFi projects in 2025: World Liberty Financial (WLF). What’s more? They are celebrities, and Donald Trump can’t just let China overshadow the world’s largest democracy. Let’s also not forget that the Trump family is also directly linked to two equally successful meme coins, not on Ethereum but on the meme coin host, Solana. When writing on October 24, the official TRUMP meme coin was the second most valuable meme coin on Solana, commanding over $1.1Bn in market cap. Yes, that’s more valuable than BONK, a “genuine” meme coin, and d…
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Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, warned that Bitcoin reaching $250,000 by year-end would take “a heck of a lot of crazy stuff,” putting a big question mark over some of the bolder market forecasts. According to his remarks, the more likely outcome is that Bitcoin holds near current levels unless major new forces push prices much higher. Novogratz Sets A Realistic Range Based on reports, Novogratz suggested a year-end range of roughly $100,000 to $125,000 for Bitcoin under normal market conditions. At the time of his comment Bitcoin traded around $107,000, meaning a move to $250,000 would require roughly a 130% rise in a matter of weeks. That kind of jump is pos…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1607, retreating after a strong bullish momentum and is now below the 21 SMA and below the 200 EMA, which suggests that we could expect it to continue falling in the short term until it reaches the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1520 and could even reach the 6/8 Murray level around 1.1474. Remembering that the euro left a gap around 1.1735, if there is a technical rebound and consolidation above 1.1660 in the coming days, we could expect EUR/USD to reach this area. The price could even reach the +1/8 Murray level around 1.1840. The Eagle indicator is showing negative signals, so the euro is expected to continue its bearish cycle in th…
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The U.S. Dollar Rose Against the Pound and Yen, but Lost Ground Against the Euro Dovish statements from Federal Reserve officials about further interest rate cuts put pressure on the dollar, though not across all currencies. Yesterday, discussions suggested that the Fed may conclude its balance sheet reduction program—also known as quantitative tightening—as early as next Wednesday, further weakening the U.S. dollar. Today is packed with statistical data, and in the first half of the day, attention will be on the Eurozone's manufacturing, services, and composite PMIs for October. These indicators serve as a barometer of the region's economic health, providing insights int…
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Bitcoin has once again attempted to consolidate above the $110,000 level and, at the time of writing, is trading at $111,400. If it breaks above this range, we will likely see a swift return to $116,000. However, throughout the week, bitcoin has been quickly sold off on every rally. We'll soon find out if that pattern continues this time. Meanwhile, Bitwise published a report suggesting that if just 4–5% of the capital currently invested in gold were reallocated to BTC, the price could at least double from its current level of $110,000. Many optimists point to growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin, as a new asset class. They argue that bi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Bitcoin price has recently experienced a significant uptick in volatility, positively impacting its performance as it recovered to $110,000 after opening the week at $107,000. Despite this, Bitcoin’s struggle to maintain momentum near all-time high levels, combined with increasing selling pressure over the past month, has led some to speculate that the current bull run may have peaked. Analysts at The Bull Theory, on the other hand, have identified key indicators suggesting a shift in Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle, with potential for the ongoing bullish trend to extend into 2026. Anticipating Bitcoin Price Peak In Q2 2026 In a post on social media platfor…
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Trade Review and Trading Advice on the EuroThe price test at 1.1596 occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move above the zero line, confirming a valid entry point to buy the euro. As a result, the pair rose to the target level near 1.1617. Dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials on the future path of interest rates, along with hints of an imminent end to the Fed's quantitative tightening program, exerted downward pressure on the U.S. dollar. Today will be devoted to analyzing macroeconomic data, specifically the Eurozone PMI figures for October: manufacturing and services activity indicators, as well as the composite index. These figures reflect the regio…
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Trade Review and Trading Advice on the British PoundThe price test at 1.3322 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the downside potential of the pair. For this reason, I refrained from selling the pound. Dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, suggesting further interest rate cuts, put pressure on the U.S. dollar, yet this failed to benefit the British pound. Despite the weaker dollar, the pound has remained under pressure amid uncertainty over the UK budget, falling inflation, and the potential for an economic slowdown. Political instability—marked by frequent government changes and internal conflict within…
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Trade Review and Trading Advice on the Japanese YenThe price test at 152.68 occurred as the MACD indicator began to decline from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point to sell the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair dropped by 17 pips. Comments from Federal Reserve officials about the potential for further monetary easing weighed on the U.S. dollar. Nevertheless, in its exchange against the Japanese yen, the dollar held its ground. This paradox is explained by the yen's traditional status as a safe-haven currency, which is currently under pressure due to domestic economic and political factors. The Bank of Japan's difficulty in continuing its tight monetary policy, …
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Yesterday, US stock indices ended in positive territory. The S&P 500 rose by 0.58%, and the Nasdaq 100 strengthened by 0.89%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31%. Asian indices, along with futures on European and US equities, moved higher amid plans for a meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, which helped ease concerns about the ongoing trade war. US Treasury bonds showed stable performance ahead of the release of key US inflation data. Markets were encouraged by the prospect of dialogue between the leaders of the world's two largest economies. Investors, worn down by prolonged uncertainty in trade relations, now see a glimmer of hope for resolving …
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