Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11729 tópicos neste fórum
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Analysis of GBP/USD 5M The GBP/USD pair made a final push towards the nearest target area of 1.3369-1.3377 on Thursday. It was unable to break through this area on the first attempt, which is not surprising given that this is a resistance zone. Moreover, the British pound has already risen considerably this week, and we have no objections to it. Notably, this rise occurred before the release of the crucial ADP report in the U.S., but this does not change the essence of the situation. The key takeaway is that the British pound is indeed rising, which we anticipated. The upward trend remains relevant, as indicated by the trend line. In the medium term, we continue to ex…
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Analysis of EUR/USD 5M The EUR/USD currency pair continued its "tormented journey" on Thursday. Volatility during most of the day did not exceed 30 pips. Essentially, we witnessed another day completely devoid of movement. Fairness dictates mentioning that the macroeconomic backdrop on Thursday was very weak, but it still did not account for a total movement of only 30 pips. After all, a report on retail sales in the Eurozone came in worse than expected, and in the U.S., jobless claims were also released. These reports used to provoke a market reaction of 20-30 pips, which we considered weak and unworthy of attention. Now the pair is moving only 30 pips in a day. From…
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Reports have disclosed that the US Federal Reserve has ended its Quantitative Tightening program and has put cash back into markets. According to sources, the Fed injected more than $13 billion through overnight repo operations, the largest such move in years. Crypto investor and author Paul Barron said that coins like XRP could “bring the fire” now that more liquidity is flowing back into the system. He believes that when the Fed starts easing up, assets with clear utility often react faster than the rest of the market. Barron added that stronger liquidity usually pulls traders toward tokens that can move money quickly and cheaply, which is why he thinks XRP may see m…
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Bitcoin may be sliding into a new bear phase unless fresh macro liquidity – particularly through spot ETFs – returns to the market, according to CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. Bitcoin Bear Market Incoming? Sharing a composite on-chain dashboard overlaid on the BTC price, Ju wrote on X: “Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle.” The chart stacks ten CryptoQuant metrics behind the price in a red-to-green heatmap from 2021 to 2025, highlighting how regime shifts in prior cycles coincided with clusters of bearish readings. The indicators in the panel include the MVRV Z-score, CryptoQuant P&L Index, the Bull-Bear Cycle …
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Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying. Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now. In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 m…
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Read More: Santa Claus Rally Strategy: How to Trade the S&P 500's Most Reliable Seasonal Pattern Oil prices climbed on Thursday with WTI Oil ending the day with an increase of roughly 1%, trading at $59.70 a barrel. The upside move was primarily fueled by renewed geopolitical risk. Specifically, news of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure and the backdrop of stalled peace negotiations created supply disruption fears, encouraging traders to push prices marginally higher. Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks Oil prices received support from the fact that peace talks for Ukraine seemed to be stalling, especially after representatives for President Trump met with the…
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In the volatile theatre of the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are showing signs of a potential high-time-frame reversal. After weeks of stress and price compression, each of the top assets is now stabilizing at key structural support levels. The multiple leading cryptocurrencies are flashing similar recovery setups at the same time. The current crypto landscape may be setting up one of the most powerful high-time-frame reversals across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. An investor and trader known as MacroCRG on X highlighted that yesterday, all three assets printed a bullish engulfing candle, a strong signal that buyers are stepping back in with inten…
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Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike. A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100. This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimis…
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Euro Dollar – U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) Euro Dollar The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) may not be the most actively traded instrument in the forex world, but it remains one of the most valuable indicators for currency traders. Even if you never place a trade directly on the index, understanding how it works and how its movements correlate with major currency pairs—can give you a powerful edge. Think of it as a missing puzzle piece that helps you make clearer, more confident trading decisions. What Is the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)? The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a specific basket of foreign currencies. Originally introduced by the Fede…
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Wednesday was notable not only for the ADP, ISM, and industrial production reports but also for another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. It is worth recalling that the ECB intends to keep interest rates unchanged in the near future, as there is no need for either an increase or a decrease. Inflation in the European Union remains stable and close to the central bank's target. Lagarde has previously stated that the ECB is satisfied with the current rate of price growth in the Eurozone. Concerns are raised primarily by the pace of economic growth, which remains relatively weak despite interest rates being lowered to a "neutral range." On average, …
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On Wednesday, the ADP report was released in the U.S., which I consider critically important for the American currency. At the beginning of the week, there was significant uncertainty about U.S. economic data. Even on Monday, market participants did not know exactly when the next Nonfarm Payrolls report, crucial to the Federal Reserve, would be released. There were also contradictions in the inflation report, which has the second-strongest impact on the FOMC. Initially, the inflation report was scheduled for December 10—the day of the last Fed meeting of the year. However, closer to mid-week, a new date appeared in the calendars: December 18. At the same time, the next No…
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The oil market has once again taken center stage: prices are rising, but this growth does not resemble the onset of a new commodities rally. Brent is consolidating around $63 per barrel, and WTI is near $59, with prices holding in a relatively narrow range. Meanwhile, the backdrop remains tense: on one hand, geopolitical risks are escalating, and concerns about supply disruptions are mounting; on the other hand, the fundamental picture indicates comfortable stock levels, high supply, and weak demand. As a result, the market is living in a state of constant balance: short-term news adds a "risk premium" to the price, while structural factors immediately counteract it. Anal…
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On Wednesday, the pound surged by more than 150 pips against the dollar amid a general weakening of the greenback. Looking at the weekly GBP/USD chart, we can see that the pair is actively rising for the second week in a row, currently approaching the resistance level of 1.3370, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly timeframe. In comparison, just a few weeks ago—in November—the pair was trading at the bottom of the 30 range under background pressure. However, the fundamental picture for GBP/USD has changed. The growth driver this time is the greenback, which again fell from grace amid rising "dovish" expectations for the Feder…
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When the economy lacks arguments to hold back the bullish momentum of EUR/USD, politics steps in. The split within the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has dealt a blow to the euro. About 18 party representatives do not support the pension project of the CDU and the Social Democrats. To pass it in the Bundestag, a majority is needed, and they are short by six votes. Chancellor Friedrich Merz's position has weakened, unsettling the main currency pair. Politics and geopolitics have long impeded EUR/USD's progress. France has changed prime ministers as often as changing gloves, the armed conflict in Ukraine has lasted almost four years, and now Germany faces its own challeng…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 4 Markets traded in chaotic fashion today as the latest Jobless Claims report sent confusion waves to the market. The headline number came at 191K vs 220K, the lowest since September 2022 (!) A stark divergence is emerging between private labor data (looking at Tuesday's ADP report) and public data. Some analysts have noted bad seasonal adjustments from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – Could there have been some reshuffling? This morning's Challenger Report paradoxically confirms another rise, of a lesser extent, in US Layoffs. You can access the interesting report right here. Markets unfortunately wo…
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Ethereum (ETH) is topping talks once again as its Fusaka upgrade goes live and the ETH price returns firmly above the $3,200 mark. After weeks of choppy trading and lingering fear across the broader crypto market, the combination of a major technical overhaul and rising on-chain activity is giving traders a fresh narrative to follow. Related Reading: Eric Trump Says Bitcoin Could Hit $500,000, Stands By ABTC Strategy In the last 24 hours, ETH has climbed around 4–5%, outperforming most large-cap cryptos and reclaiming a key psychological zone near $3,200. Market data shows rising volumes and a noticeable pickup in accumulation from larger holders, even as sentiment indi…
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Dogecoin has spent the majority of the past 30 days drifting lower, falling into a tight and almost predictable rhythm of lower highs and lower lows. The movement has been sluggish, but technical analysis shows that something important may now be forming. A new analysis shared by crypto commentator Clifton Fx suggests that Dogecoin is approaching the end of this decline, and the chart he posted highlights a falling wedge pattern that could become the basis for a 96% rally if buyers finally step in with conviction. A Falling Wedge That Has Started Attracting Attention Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the 12-hour chart shows two downward-sloping trendline…
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Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD. As is often the case ahead of pivotal events like the FOMC, the Dollar may test relative extremes, but it rarely poses definitive breakout situations. The best example of this was ahead of the September Fed Meeting, where the Dollar rushed to make new lows but was inevitably constrained by the bounds of its previous yearly support zones. The catalyst for the current downside came from NY Fed President John Williams' speech on November 21, which fundamental…
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The British pound is showing gains against the U.S. dollar during the North American session and has moved into a consolidation phase, despite U.S. labor market data indicating stability, while expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut remain high. As markets digest the positive U.S. employment figures and maintain expectations of a December Fed rate cut, the British pound is holding firm. Recent U.S. economic data showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits came in below experts' forecasts for the week ending November 29. Initial jobless claims totaled 191,000, below the forecast of 220,000 and even below last week's upwardly revised figure of 2…
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The wave structure on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has shifted but remains quite understandable overall. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex and extended since July 1. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very unconventional form. Within this wave we observe exclusively corrective patterns, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend all the way up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e series appears complet…
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Larvotto Resources (ASX: LRV) has expanded the technical capabilities at its flagship Hillgrove antimony-gold project with the acquisition of a core scanning system to support both exploration and metallurgical development activities. The ECORE system — developed by Elemission Inc. — is an advanced, automated drill core scanner that uses laser ablation and atomic emission spectroscopy to provide detailed quantitative mineralogy in near real time. Following the acquisition, Hillgrove becomes the only mine site in Australia equipped with these capabilities, highlighting its commitment to using the latest technology to produce the best production results, Larvotto sa…
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XRP has reclaimed the $2.10 level after a strong rebound across the broader crypto market, signaling renewed confidence following several days of fear, volatility, and sharp pullbacks. Analysts now see the potential for a sustained recovery as momentum returns and buyers show signs of stepping back in. The reclaim of this key level comes at a crucial moment, with traders closely watching whether XRP can build enough strength to challenge higher resistances in the coming sessions. Adding to the renewed optimism, a new report from CryptoOnchain on CryptoQuant highlights a major spike in XRP Ledger Velocity, marking one of the strongest on-chain signals of 2025. On Decembe…
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The recent unsuccessful attempt to find support above the $4,250 level and the subsequent decline favor the bears. However, positive technical oscillators on the daily chart indicate that any downturn will find strong support near the weekly low set on Tuesday around $4,160. But further selling below this level will push prices toward the round level of $4,100 on the way to $4,075. This level is close to the 50-day SMA, which may become a base in the near future. On the other hand, since gold has already surpassed the round $4,200 level today, resistance at $4,250 may still serve as a strong barrier before $4,270, above which the precious metal will attempt to reclaim the…
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The Dogecoin (DOGE) price movement is entering a phase that traders often watch closely, a stretch of tightening action that usually precedes a decisive move. After several days of elevated activity, shifting ETF flows, and a rare alignment of technical indicators, the memecoin is now sitting at a point where sentiment and structure appear to be converging. The conversation around Dogecoin is beginning to shift from short-term speculation to whether the asset is preparing for a larger breakout as the year closes. Recent trading sessions have highlighted a steady rise in activity, driven initially by an 8% price jump that pushed DOGE to the $0.15 region. The move came …
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A crypto market analyst has compared XRP to NVIDIA, an American technology company with one of the biggest tech success stories in history. The analyst implied that buying XRP today could mirror the opportunity investors had when purchasing NVIDIA shares in 2000 at just $0.35. The comparison emphasizes the long-term potential of the XRP price and highlights the importance of HODLing. XRP Today Shows Growth Potential Like NVIDIA In 2000 A leading market expert, Egrag Crypto, has drawn a striking parallel between the current XRP price and the early days of NVIDIA. He suggested that buying XRP now could be akin to purchasing NVIDIA shares at just $0.35, as recorded in 2000…
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